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The longer the EU row goes on the better it is for Hancock and Johnson – politicalbetting.com

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  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    I expect most writers have, as you put it, complex lives. Lovecraft, for instance, was someone that early 20th century white Americans thought was a bit on the racist side.
    Never mind him, try Philip Larkin. In both cases I find it possible to forget and ignore.

    O'Brien's problem was that he wasn't Irish and thought he was. Auto-racism, or something.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,628

    Keir....It was that former career working in a leisure centre that kept him fit.
    I genuinely had Boris as 7-10 years older.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    edited February 2021

    I expect most writers have, as you put it, complex lives. Lovecraft, for instance, was someone that early 20th century white Americans thought was a bit on the racist side.
    Nicely put.

    Which brings us to an interesting point - his overtly racist stuff is de-emphasised or not published. So younger, recent readers don't realise quite you bad some of his stuff is.

    Bit like Kipling. I found a complete works of his, in a library sale, years ago. The stories in India and the journalism range from insightful and very empathetic to stuff that was Der Sturmer grade.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537
    edited February 2021
    TimT said:

    Interesting that the Egyptians are separated from the Arabs ...
    The original inhabitants of what we now call Egypt were early migrants from the South. Some of them migrated on in Arabia and, as Arabs, for some reason moved back.


    Bye for now!
  • One of them is a future POTUS.

    But which one?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,426

    I know it is Guido but looks as if Starmer has a bit of a problem

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1356971400272166914?s=19

    I dont believe it. Starmer, physically accosting Johnson?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    kinabalu said:

    A very fair comment. Brexit flattered Labour in 17 and killed them in 19. Their "par score" (if you will) was between the two - but nearer 17 since Brexit was a stronger factor in 19 than it was then. So about 250 seats. A Left Labour offering with a wildly unsuitable leader scores 250 seats. This means if you replace the leader with an upgrade (done) but stay to the Left (although not with exactly the same policies) you can win. You might not, but you most certainly can. That's my analysis and it's bulletproof. No amount of waffle or facetious one-liners from Tory Story propaganda merchants changes a damn thing about it or detracts from its essential truth.
    I can't tell.

    Starmer may make Labour acceptable (not for me, because dangling off TU apron strings and the remaining cabal of very questionable MPs anti-semitism wise are show stoppers for me), but the next Election is the Tories' to win or lose.

    Which will be determined imo by if they deliver (Red Wall needs to have seen something tangible - one reason the South-shifting Council Tax proposals look interesting), and there are COVID effects, and Post-Brexit effects.

    I have no idea how it will turn out, which is why I stopped betting on Elections after a slightly expensive 2017.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    IshmaelZ said:

    Good mix.

    One of the joys of Brexit here is that Irish imports suddenly cost 20% more in VAT plus vet certificates and a week in a queue at the Irish ports.
    Luxury!!! Here in the States, it's an about $7000 flight, a week in quarantine, vet inspections, and shipping from the quarantine centre. The US is trying to improve its domestic breeding for event horses and has a couple of programmes in place. We've had a couple of babies do well in the Young Event Horse competitions, and we have one qualified for this year's Futurity.
  • kle4 said:

    I dont believe it. Starmer, physically accosting Johnson?
    Seems so
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496
    TimT said:

    I do not agree with Angela on everything, but here she is spot on.
    I don't either, but I like her no prisoners attitude.
  • Possibly both! Pete could run in 2060 and still be younger than Joe!
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,732
    RobD said:

    The number is immaterial actually, since it is as large as it can possibly be without forcing people to take the vaccine.
    That's a really unfortunate picture of Michael Gove. :lol: Poor fella.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118

    Irish recommendation on vaccines:

    There is an urgency to protect those aged 70 and older who are at most risk of a severe outcome. Because of the ongoing concern regarding rates of community COVID-19 transmission and
    hospitalisation, NIAC recognises that the best vaccine anyone can receive at this time is the
    vaccine that can be soonest administered. Everyone is strongly urged to accept whichever
    vaccine is available.


    https://rcpi-live-cdn.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/NIAC-Recommendations-to-CMO-Re-AZD.pdf

    Absolute common sense.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Nicely put.

    Which brings us to an interesting point - his overtly racist stuff is de-emphasised or not published. So younger, recent readers don't realise quite you bad some of his stuff is.

    Bit like Kipling. I found a complete works of his, in a library sale, years ago. The stories in India and the journalism range from insightful and very empathetic to stuff that was Der Sturmer grade.
    I reread Kim the other day, and came away thinking that in real life there is no way he would have got past p.20 without being raped and murdered by one of the dozens of creepy unmarried older men among whom he gets passed around. It patronises the whole of India. When Orwell got it wrong, he got it wrong.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    The original inhabitants of what we now call Egypt were early migrants from the South. Some of them migrated on in Arabia and, as Arabs, for some reason moved back.


    Bye for now!
    And certainly around Alexandria that was a huge Greek influence too. But the modern-day Egyptians really do think of themselves as the quintessential Arab, the natural leaders of the Arab world. Not that any other Arab country would agree to either assertion.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    Traditional, I think...

    In US politics, if someone demands gun control, it usually turns out that they possess an arsenal. If they demand a crack down on illegal immigrants, all the staff at their house.... etc. etc.
  • malcolmg said:

    If Gove was unable to confirm this morning, what magic trick managed to change it.
    He was able to confirm that.

    What he can't confirm is how many residents refused the vaccine. If you're asking how many have gone into the arms, that's what you're asking. The care home rollout in England is complete but some residents will refuse the vaccine and they have the right to do so.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,732
    DavidL said:

    Absolute common sense.
    And if and when the UK Government is in a position to provide vaccines to ROI significantly quicker than they can be provided by the EU, I hope the same common sense approach prevails.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051
    RobD said:

    The number is immaterial actually, since it is as large as it can possibly be without forcing people to take the vaccine.
    Why then are unionists whining constantly about it
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited February 2021

    I know it is Guido but looks as if Starmer has a bit of a problem

    twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1356971400272166914?s=19

    Regardless of if he had to be pulled away or not, nobody is denying he has got rather upset about Boris' comment. Why? PMQs quotes are thrown about all the time and often taken out of context. He has done it to Boris before, that's the game.

    And in this case, they have him banged to rights. And it is really tame compare to the sorts of stuff they used to pin on Jezza. He said it would be a bad idea to leave the EMA and / or we shouldn't throw away the good that institution does. By the sorts of stuff people have said from both sides over Brexit, it is nothing more than Boris scoring some PMQ points.

    By making such a scene over it all, he is just drawing more attention.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    edited February 2021

    Except for the fact that Corbyn's best seat total barely beat New Labour's worst, and the Tory result in that election was better than what Cameron achieved against Brown.

    And the main thing that cost May her majority and made it close at all? Promising to steal people's assets. We just don't like it.
    We can all slice and dice like that. In other metrics - e.g. votes which are quite important in a democracy - he smashed Miliband and Brown. And at one point in the early hours he went fav - FAV - for PM. God, can you imagine! Anyway, whatever, he's gone and that's good. And, yes, it is ironic in the true alanis morrisette sense of the word that the objectively best policy in May's manifesto - not "theft" but a serious attempt to start to come to terms with the funding crisis in social care - cost votes. It's like many Tory voters are not interested in adult stuff like that. It's like they can't see beyond the end of their own nose. In which case what can you do? You tell me.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    kinabalu said:

    A very fair comment. Brexit flattered Labour in 17 and killed them in 19. Their "par score" (if you will) was between the two - but nearer 17 since Brexit was a stronger factor in 19 than it was then. So about 250 seats. A Left Labour offering with a wildly unsuitable leader scores 250 seats. This means if you replace the leader with an upgrade (done) but stay to the Left (although not with exactly the same policies) you can win. You might not, but you most certainly can. That's my analysis and it's bulletproof. No amount of waffle or facetious one-liners from Tory Story propaganda merchants changes a damn thing about it or detracts from its essential truth.
    The one factor that I think you're missing is whether the damage done by Corbyn et al after 17 proves to cause longer term damage to Labour's credibility in the North, that Starmer isn't capable of reversing purely by being an upgrade. But otherwise I agree completely with your analysis.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,201

    I know it is Guido but looks as if Starmer has a bit of a problem

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1356971400272166914?s=19

    Yes it's Guido. Even if true, not on the same scale as Johnson and Guppie's little "arrangement".
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,461
    kle4 said:

    I dont believe it. Starmer, physically accosting Johnson?
    And you thought 2021 couldn't get any weirder.....
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,732

    Regardless of if he had to be pulled away or not, nobody is denying he has got rather upset about Boris' comment. Why? PMQs quotes are thrown about all the time and often taken out of context. He has done it to Boris before, that's the game.

    And in this case, they have him banged to rights. And it is really tame compare to the sorts of stuff they used to pin on Jezza.

    By making such a scene over it all, he is just drawing more attention.
    Perhaps that's what he's trying to do. He has been fiercely criticised for being too 'reasonable' with Boris and the Tories. Perhaps this is PR.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    Pulpstar said:

    London (Particularly inner London) has less pensioners than elsewhere, so they are probably getting through the groups a bit quicker.
    I think the reason my Dad was vaccinated weeks before my Mum, despite them being the same age in London, was that my Dad has a Labour MP and my mother a Tory.

    I'm guessing that the vaccine allocation has been done on basis of age demographics, but in some areas you have a lower uptake of the vaccine due to the ethnic mix, and so they are getting through the categories faster.

    Hopefully people will come forward later after being initially reluctant.
  • Regardless of if he had to be pulled away or not, nobody is denying he has got rather upset about Boris' comment. Why? PMQs quotes are thrown about all the time and often taken out of context. He has done it to Boris before, that's the game.

    And in this case, they have him banged to rights. And it is really tame compare to the sorts of stuff they used to pin on Jezza. He said it would be a bad idea to leave the EMA and / or we shouldn't throw away the good that institution does. By the sorts of stuff people have said from both sides over Brexit, it is nothing more than Boris scoring some PMQ points.

    By making such a scene over it all, he is just drawing more attention.
    He certainly has not helped himself on this
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited February 2021

    Perhaps that's what he's trying to do. He has been fiercely criticised for being too 'reasonable' with Boris and the Tories. Perhaps this is PR.
    Yes, but that isn't the way you get good PR for being critical. That is just like Jezza who used to get all snarly when people picked him up on his past. It just looks bad.

    You get the good PR by presenting strong arguments well, so much so, the government U-Turn.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    IshmaelZ said:

    I reread Kim the other day, and came away thinking that in real life there is no way he would have got past p.20 without being raped and murdered by one of the dozens of creepy unmarried older men among whom he gets passed around. It patronises the whole of India. When Orwell got it wrong, he got it wrong.
    Kipling was, from reading him, a very variable person. In one story in the volume I mentioned, he describes a English writer noticing the child of the lowest gardener building a fantasy in mud and pebbles. The whole story is about how the child becomes a real person to the teller of the tale.... the empathy and compassion in it was very apparent.

    A few pages on, Kipling describes going out with the police in patrol in a big city. He comes across a white British woman living with a Indian. The next page or so could have been written by Julius Streicher.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,201
    kle4 said:

    I dont believe it. Starmer, physically accosting Johnson?
    It's not like Johnson's annoying, or anything.

    Not an excuse, still not acceptable if Starmer did clock him, which I doubt.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Another very encouraging update from Israel. Of course, their rollout is much quicker than ours, and comprises Pfizer with 2 doses, but the clear downturn in the prioritised over-60s relative to the under-60s is very marked. It's hard to tell from these charts how much of the downturn occurred before most of the over-60s had their 2nd jabs. Edit: Here's the update!

    https://twitter.com/segal_eran/status/1356985003142479873

    Tremendous news!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114

    Perhaps that's what he's trying to do. He has been fiercely criticised for being too 'reasonable' with Boris and the Tories. Perhaps this is PR.
    Anything short of duel - does anyone care?
  • glwglw Posts: 10,349

    Irish recommendation on vaccines:

    There is an urgency to protect those aged 70 and older who are at most risk of a severe outcome. Because of the ongoing concern regarding rates of community COVID-19 transmission and hospitalisation, NIAC recognises that the best vaccine anyone can receive at this time is the vaccine that can be soonest administered. Everyone is strongly urged to accept whichever vaccine is available.

    https://rcpi-live-cdn.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/NIAC-Recommendations-to-CMO-Re-AZD.pdf

    Spot on. Nice to see it put so clearly.
  • Charles said:

    Worth bearing the old Egyptian saying in mind:

    Why doesn't the sun set on the British Empire? Because God doesn't trust them in the dark!

    The Arabs preferred:

    It is better to be an enemy of the British than their friend. They buy their enemies - and sell their friends
    Would be good to see a translation of what exactly was asked in each language. “Trust” might have been interpreted as “do what they tell you they are going to do”. Our worst enemies would agree with that.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Kipling was, from reading him, a very variable person. In one story in the volume I mentioned, he describes a English writer noticing the child of the lowest gardener building a fantasy in mud and pebbles. The whole story is about how the child becomes a real person to the teller of the tale.... the empathy and compassion in it was very apparent.

    A few pages on, Kipling describes going out with the police in patrol in a big city. He comes across a white British woman living with a Indian. The next page or so could have been written by Julius Streicher.
    There are some truly gruesome little haiku-length WW1 poems. So gruesome I can't face searching for or linking to them.
  • Yes it's Guido. Even if true, not on the same scale as Johnson and Guppie's little "arrangement".
    He may have to come to the HOC and apologise for his denial of his support for the EU vaccine procurement programme
  • Anything short of duel - does anyone care?
    Either way, my money is on Boris in a fight. Well, him or someone he gets to do it for him.
  • Yes it's Guido. Even if true, not on the same scale as Johnson and Guppie's little "arrangement".
    You mean like how one allegedly happened today and the other allegedly happened 31 years ago? 🤔
  • Either way, my money is on Boris in a fight. Well, him or someone he gets to do it for him.
    Surely you would bet on the knight?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051
    DougSeal said:

    The dude's locked his account. If he was wanting to get fake Tweets out there he wouldn't have done that.
    If not fake then he has severe mental health issues.
  • Data not here, data not there, data not any fuckin where

    https://twitter.com/alextomo/status/1356992140375707650?s=20

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    malcolmg said:

    Why then are unionists whining constantly about it
    I don't think they are whining about that, rather they are wondering what the hold up is getting everyone else the jab when both countries were able to get the care homes done at about the same time.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,221

    It's not like Johnson's annoying, or anything.

    Not an excuse, still not acceptable if Starmer did clock him, which I doubt.
    FWIW The Spectator seem to have a couple of bits of footage of Starmer saying what he denies he said

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/keir-starmer-s-misleading-ema-remarks
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    edited February 2021
    felix said:

    Stalker alert! Help! :smiley:
    Yes, Felix. I am observing you quite closely at the moment. And even if I'm not it's safest to assume I am.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696
    Going to post this one now - as I suspect everyone is going to see this a lot of times over the next few days

    https://twitter.com/MattHighton/status/1356991693552316423
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,242
    edited February 2021

    It's not like Johnson's annoying, or anything.

    Not an excuse, still not acceptable if Starmer did clock him, which I doubt.
    It is an excuse and it is acceptable.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051

    That's a really unfortunate picture of Michael Gove. :lol: Poor fella.
    It shows him in a better light than reality. Certain they used him as model for Gollum
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    Starting to feel a little sorry for Starmer.

    His task really is extremely difficult.
  • Data not here, data not there, data not any fuckin where

    https://twitter.com/alextomo/status/1356992140375707650?s=20

    Why would it be?

    Everyone's had it offered. People have the right to refuse it though. Do you want them to jab people who've refused it?

    What kind of frigging point are you trying to make? Have Scottish doctors been jabbing people who refused to give consent? Is that a difference?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    edited February 2021

    Belgium working out how to get through its AZ vaccine:

    https://twitter.com/DarrenEuronews/status/1356984352886972416?s=20

    There are absolubtely shitloads of people on the borderline of obesity. Quite tempting to put on a few pounds if the criteria is only BMI 30.

    Possibly both! Pete could run in 2060 and still be younger than Joe!
    Could be a HArris/Buttigieg ticket next time.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051
    RobD said:

    I don't think they are whining about that, rather they are wondering what the hold up is getting everyone else the jab when both countries were able to get the care homes done at about the same time.
    No idea , but for sure there will be some logistics delays with distances , however they were up 59% yesterday so looks like they are getting there, it is not a competition. The whining from England is most unedifying and is just a smokescreen to divert from the horrifying death rates and other failures like borders etc.
  • Why would it be?

    Everyone's had it offered. People have the right to refuse it though. Do you want them to jab people who've refused it?

    What kind of frigging point are you trying to make? Have Scottish doctors been jabbing people who refused to give consent? Is that a difference?
    Calm down, you're not even on your 12th coffee yet.
    Shouldn't you be asking what frigging point is Ch4 journo Alex Thomson trying to make?
  • HYUFD said:

    twitter.com/JaneyGodley/status/1356939995609788418?s=20

    The whole thing about "my seat" is very childish.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    Pulpstar said:

    There are absolubtely shitloads of people on the borderline of obesity. Quite tempting to put on a few pounds if the criteria is only BMI 30. Could be a HArris/Buttigieg ticket next time.
    Against Pence most likely

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1356836849533284352?s=20
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited February 2021


    Nicely put.

    Which brings us to an interesting point - his overtly racist stuff is de-emphasised or not published. So younger, recent readers don't realise quite you bad some of his stuff is.

    Bit like Kipling. I found a complete works of his, in a library sale, years ago. The stories in India and the journalism range from insightful and very empathetic to stuff that was Der Sturmer grade.

    Kipling was an absolutely fantastic and very varied writer, nothing like the caricature of him which has become accepted wisdom in the UK. Definitely worth anyone's time: Kim is sheer genius from beginning to end, enjoyable on so many different levels (and an amazing introduction to India, one which remains relevant even today). Plain Tales from the Raj and the other short stories of that era are wonderfully sly observations of the British in India. And the late short stories are different again, the diametric opposite of tub-thumping Jingoism of which he's wrongly accused. Some of them are small masterpieces of anti-war polemic, like this wonderfully chilling and thought-provoking gem:

    https://theshortstory.co.uk/classic-short-story-mary-postgate-by-rudyard-kipling/
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    edited February 2021
    malcolmg said:

    No idea , but for sure there will be some logistics delays with distances , however they were up 59% yesterday so looks like they are getting there, it is not a competition. The whining from England is most unedifying and is just a smokescreen to divert from the horrifying death rates and other failures like borders etc.
    Yep, only a couple of days in it really. And honestly if the situation is reversed I'm sure you'd be adding it to the list of failures of HMG.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    The whole thing about "my seat" is very childish.
    Don't they have cards with their names that they can reserve at the start of the day?
  • RobD said:

    Don't they have cards with their names that they can reserve at the start of the day?
    Or towels?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Theresa May had a point, it turns out.
    No - essentially she said that the GFA was more important than the UK's democratic freedom to leave the Customs Union.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    Why would it be?

    Everyone's had it offered. People have the right to refuse it though. Do you want them to jab people who've refused it?

    What kind of frigging point are you trying to make? Have Scottish doctors been jabbing people who refused to give consent? Is that a difference?
    I agree it is problematic to force people to have a vaccine, particularly one that only has EUA. But it still would be useful to have the data as to what percentages of residents and what percentages of staff have been vaccinated per home, and to track that against infection rates going forwards. It could provide invaluable insights as to the lower limit of vaccination required to achieve herd immunity, and perhaps even whether there is a differential based on vulnerability.
  • Calm down, you're not even on your 12th coffee yet.
    Shouldn't you be asking what frigging point is Ch4 journo Alex Thomson trying to make?
    Not sure what your obsession is about my coffees lately. I haven't mentioned coffee in ages. I've probably only had about 6 or 7 so far today, but I don't keep count. Typically 1 an hour on average for most of the day, what's the big deal about that? 🤷🏻‍♂️
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696
    Charles said:

    No - essentially she said that the GFA was more important than the UK's democratic freedom to leave the Customs Union.
    Given the current situation is it possible that the GFA is a pre-existing treaty that makes leaving the Customs Union impossible?
  • TimT said:

    I agree it is problematic to force people to have a vaccine, particularly one that only has EUA. But it still would be useful to have the data as to what percentages of residents and what percentages of staff have been vaccinated per home, and to track that against infection rates going forwards. It could provide invaluable insights as to the lower limit of vaccination required to achieve herd immunity, and perhaps even whether there is a differential based on vulnerability.
    Pree-cisely
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,201

    You mean like how one allegedly happened today and the other allegedly happened 31 years ago? 🤔
    One was a minor (not even) scuffle, whereas one was a fully blown conspiracy. Anyway, do we have a statue of limitations in the UK?
  • As we pass 10million first jabs, all heading in the right direction:


  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,201

    One was a minor (not even) scuffle, whereas one was a fully blown conspiracy. Anyway, do we have a statue of limitations in the UK?
    Statute
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,242
    edited February 2021

    Not sure what your obsession is about my coffees lately. I haven't mentioned coffee in ages. I've probably only had about 6 or 7 so far today, but I don't keep count. Typically 1 an hour on average for most of the day, what's the big deal about that? 🤷🏻‍♂️
    Lol!


  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    Kipling was an absolutely fantastic and very varied writer, nothing like the caricature of him which has become accepted wisdom in the UK. Definitely worth anyone's time: Kim is sheer genius from beginning to end, enjoyable on so many different levels (and an amazing introduction to India, one which remains relevant even today). Plain Tales from the Raj and the other short stories of that era are wonderfully sly observations of the British in India. And the late short stories are different again, the diametric opposite of tub-thumping Jingoism of which he's wrongly accused. Some of them are small masterpieces of anti-war polemic, like this wonderfully chilling and thought-provoking gem:

    https://theshortstory.co.uk/classic-short-story-mary-postgate-by-rudyard-kipling/
    There's a very good TV drama of the tragedy of his son in WW1 with Daniel Ratcliffe. Kipling apparently pulled strings to get his son enlisted after he was initially turned down on health grounds.

    The poor young man then either perished or went MIA on the Western Front.

    It haunted Kipling until his own passing, sadly
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051
    edited February 2021
    RobD said:

    Yep, only a couple of days in it really. And honestly if the situation is reversed I'm sure you'd be adding it to the list of failures of HMG.
    Rob, both of them have failures and trying to get one up either way is pathetic.
    PS: The whole childish UK political system is broken and badly needs sorting.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,747
    Charles said:

    No - essentially she said that the GFA was more important than the UK's democratic freedom to leave the Customs Union.
    That was only the May backstop. She was trying to leverage it to achieve something in the final trade deal that might look like the kind of pragmatic compromise you have in mind.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    19,202 cases - ~24% down on last week.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    You can only have a solution which allows people to believe what they want to believe if practical reality doesn't get in the way of those beliefs.
    It's the EU's insistence that the border must be enforced which is the issue.

    NI is part of the UK customs zone. Have a "trusted trader" process that allows shipping from NI to RoI.

    The amount of "non-compliant" product that will be smuggled from the UK to the EU via NI and RoI will be minimal. But if volumes start going up suspiciously in Belfast then you take action at that point.

    Just turn a blind eye to the small abuses.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496
    kinabalu said:

    Totally out of order. Jesus. Some people.

    Mind you, I watched the TV coverage yesterday of Captain Tom's passing and I was struck by the complete absence of balance. Quite right to give prominence to the side of the argument that maintains he was a great great guy and the source not only of serious funds for the NHS but of inspiration to the whole country at a very dark time - which is how I happen to feel - but where were the Captain Tom skeptics? Not a single one was granted a platform on any of the channels, as far as I could see. Felt a bit uncomfortable about that aspect.
    The shameless self promoting efforts of our leaders to jump on the hagiography bandwagon have been distasteful.
    And my mother, who is old enough to remember the war, was deeply unimpressed by the relentless quantity of coverage.
  • Charles said:

    No - essentially she said that the GFA was more important than the UK's democratic freedom to leave the Customs Union.
    Indeed.

    And your smart solution means that you negotiate the UKs trade with the EU first then transition and figure out a way to make that work with NI.

    Theresa May's ridiculous sequencing is what landed us in this mess. Trying to "sort out" Northern Ireland before future arrangements had been agreed was never a viable solution.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    MattW said:

    I can't tell.

    Starmer may make Labour acceptable (not for me, because dangling off TU apron strings and the remaining cabal of very questionable MPs anti-semitism wise are show stoppers for me), but the next Election is the Tories' to win or lose.

    Which will be determined imo by if they deliver (Red Wall needs to have seen something tangible - one reason the South-shifting Council Tax proposals look interesting), and there are COVID effects, and Post-Brexit effects.

    I have no idea how it will turn out, which is why I stopped betting on Elections after a slightly expensive 2017.
    No, me neither. I have not developed an intuition of any sort about GE24. It's ages away. Could be another Con landslide, could be a Labour outright win, could be a hung parliament. The only thing I've ruled out is a Labour landslide. The core of Tory/Leave support precludes that. Re betting, I'm starting to place modest money on Cons largest party at 1.8 (which I think is too big) but that's all.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771

    Kipling was, from reading him, a very variable person. In one story in the volume I mentioned, he describes a English writer noticing the child of the lowest gardener building a fantasy in mud and pebbles. The whole story is about how the child becomes a real person to the teller of the tale.... the empathy and compassion in it was very apparent.

    A few pages on, Kipling describes going out with the police in patrol in a big city. He comes across a white British woman living with a Indian. The next page or so could have been written by Julius Streicher.
    One of the things I think people forget is how extreme "norms" were, and how comparatively recently.

    For example, I *could not* give my beloved Topper Annual 1978 to my daughter (unsupervised) because of "Captain Bungle" and his adventures in the Jungle. Not even Britain First types would use the images concerned, as it would do their cause direct harm.
  • eek said:

    Given the current situation is it possible that the GFA is a pre-existing treaty that makes leaving the Customs Union impossible?
    No. We've left the Customs Union and the voters of NI could terminate the NI Protocol.

    It is politics not law that landed us with the Protocol. It should be abolished now.
  • Statute
    I'd quite like to see a statue of limitations...

    There is the Limitation Act 1980: is that what you meant?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,426
    edited February 2021

    It is an excuse and it is acceptable.
    Theres no way he did it, but no it wouldn't be. Someone being a twat is not justification to be a bigger twat in response. That would mean they are justified to retaliate in turn.

    Its called the twat cycle.
  • Lol!


    Cool latte art. I can make some patterns but not that.

    Why is drinking coffee funny to you?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496
    Why not both ?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited February 2021

    There's a very good TV drama of the tragedy of his son in WW1 with Daniel Ratcliffe. Kipling apparently pulled strings to get his son enlisted after he was initially turned down on health grounds.

    The poor young man then either perished or went MIA on the Western Front.

    It haunted Kipling until his own passing, sadly
    Indeed, and it inspired this masterpiece:

    http://www.telelib.com/authors/K/KiplingRudyard/prose/DebtsandCredits/gardener.html
  • HYUFD said:

    Against Pence most likely

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1356836849533284352?s=20
    Big XKCD energy this one

    https://xkcd.com/500/
  • Charles said:


    It's the EU's insistence that the border must be enforced which is the issue.

    NI is part of the UK customs zone. Have a "trusted trader" process that allows shipping from NI to RoI.

    The amount of "non-compliant" product that will be smuggled from the UK to the EU via NI and RoI will be minimal. But if volumes start going up suspiciously in Belfast then you take action at that point.

    Just turn a blind eye to the small abuses.

    Which provisions of the EU Treaties would give the Commission or the Republic the power to do that?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,288
    edited February 2021
    O/T

    Someone's set up a playlist for pretty much every episode of the Brittas Empire here.

    www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL0yYA9IlBHjARLQejGhIX-MBoDj6OkbDC
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,426

    The whole thing about "my seat" is very childish.
    Funny though. I wish she just stood nearby.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114

    There's a very good TV drama of the tragedy of his son in WW1 with Daniel Ratcliffe. Kipling apparently pulled strings to get his son enlisted after he was initially turned down on health grounds.

    The poor young man then either perished or went MIA on the Western Front.

    It haunted Kipling until his own passing, sadly
    A dead statesman

    I could not dig: I dared not rob:
    Therefore I lied to please the mob.
    Now all my lies are proved untrue
    And I must face the men I slew.
    What tale shall serve me here among
    Mine angry and defrauded young?
  • geoffw said:

    Duty done, OxAZ. Like nothing. Hard to believe such a miniscule prick could so important to self and community.

    Look, we've done Gove already today.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496
    HYUFD said:

    Against Pence most likely

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1356836849533284352?s=20
    On those figures, it could be absolutely anyone.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716

    A dead statesman

    I could not dig: I dared not rob:
    Therefore I lied to please the mob.
    Now all my lies are proved untrue
    And I must face the men I slew.
    What tale shall serve me here among
    Mine angry and defrauded young?
    Is that Kipling or one of yours, Malmesbury?
This discussion has been closed.