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Home or Abroad? – politicalbetting.com

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  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    edited February 2021
    Nigelb said:

    Self serving bollocks.
    Zero respect.
    Yes, they're working to reduce demand of vaccines in Europe, it's absolutely disgusting.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,531
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, the EU has decided it wants to have more slices of one pizza, the US and UK have decided to simply order more pizzas.

    The contrast of those approaches is why the EU programme is stuck at 2-3% in similarly sized countries while we're at 14% and the US is at 9%.
    The EU wants OUR pizza. Despite our having ordered it half an hour ago. And despite their professing to HATE pineapple....
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,680

    There was some initial concern here over the speed of authorisation. Not, I hasten to add, concern which I particularly shared. MHRA is a pretty tough organisation.
    Her comments are nonsense.
    And designed to distract from their vaccine contracts debacle.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Good to see the EU taking a firm line against anyone trying to mess with the Irish border. .....
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,317
    edited February 2021
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    MENSA is a measure of intelligence, not mental health. What are you on about?
    Yes - I thought that - though some of the actual members.............
  • Completely agree with the header - not sure why it is even a serious consideration to give vaccines away.
  • I see that the EU, having completed the theory part of An Introduction to Irish Politics, is now getting a crash course on the practical part.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789
    edited February 2021
    GIN1138 said:

    Nice piece again Cycle. :)

    In good time we should be generous with out vaccines (especially with Ireland poorer nations) but only when we've vaccinated enough of our own people to significantly drive down the infection rate and ease the pressure on the NHS.

    By about May we should be in a position to start sharing our vaccines hopefully.

    This is what I'm saying. The alternative vision - no diversion until we have done everyone and have full domestic normality with near zero covid here and our borders closed to the world - does not appeal to me.
  • MaxPB said:

    HYFUD, err, stands to attention.
    I think Malc has replied to this one:

    https://twitter.com/UKGovScotland/status/1356573083155324931?s=20
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    Puts SKS in a bit of a bind. "Would you withdraw the UK from the CP-TPP Agreement?"
    Does it? We can ask the EU to join as one of the conditions of the future Europa-British Union agreement.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221
    The UK looks to be a real centre of excellence for vaccine research, development and manufacture - including the sequencing and so forth. We're also a reliable exporter, unlike some have been in this pandemic. Looks to me like we're the ideal place for truly global production.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,680
    This is interesting.

    UK variant has mutated again, scientists say
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55900625
    ...Tests on some samples show a mutation, called E484K, already seen in the South Africa and Brazil variants that are of concern.
    Although this change may affect vaccine effectiveness, the current ones in use should still work, say experts...


    Suggests that some parallel evolution is going on - which might mean that the useful mutations available to the virus in terms of evading our immune response are constrained in some way.
  • Because the 2017 solution was even worse. The NI Protocol subjugating NI to rules they don't vote for is bad and the solution is to find a way out of that mess for NI.

    Instead the 2017 solution was to apply the bad protocol for NI to the entire UK simultaneously. That's worse.

    That's like saying the solution for one person being sick is to make everyone sick.

    GB is out of the Protocol now, good, so now we need to find a way to extract NI out of it too.
    And how do we do that? We're back to either invent the world's first digital customs border, or the GFA collapses and potentially the peace. The Intra-Irish border was always the unsquareable circle. If UK was to diverge from the EU and the Irish border must remain open, then NI could no longer be a full part of the UK.
  • Nigelb said:

    All the best to both of you, Big_G.
    Thank you

  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,674
    HYUFD said:
    I'd not heard of Robin Swann, but that's a stratospheric rating. Are the UUP generally reviving or is it just his personality?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited February 2021
    Michelle O'Neill on -33% and Michael Martin on -21%.

    The highest rating is +63% for Health Minister and former UUP leader Robin Swann, Sturgeon's rating is largely irrelevant as she is Scottish not Northern Irish and not part of either the UK or Irish governments
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    Here in Saffa COVID central, we've been invaded by the media. :angry:
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Nigelb said:

    This is interesting.

    UK variant has mutated again, scientists say
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55900625
    ...Tests on some samples show a mutation, called E484K, already seen in the South Africa and Brazil variants that are of concern.
    Although this change may affect vaccine effectiveness, the current ones in use should still work, say experts...


    Suggests that some parallel evolution is going on - which might mean that the useful mutations available to the virus in terms of evading our immune response are constrained in some way.

    As someone who knows about this stuff, I was wondering if you had any views on the straight up and down again arrowhead shaped graph of cases in SA that eerily (to my untrained eye and mind) mimics our own?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,795

    I don't have any knowledge on what CPTPP changes in regards to services to be honest. Care to explain?

    Language is a red herring though. Almost every European professional speaks English enough to do business.
    Very basically I believe it opens up the services markets of the member countries to services businesses from other member countries. More than that I don't know. Yes, they speak beautiful English in Europe so it's not a big issue but I still think it makes it a bit easier if letters and documents and stuff don't require translation.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221
    Interesting video here, particularly with err half the woman's shadow disappearing....
    Daily Mail falls for Fake news.
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9213551/Myanmar-coup-Woman-performs-exercise-video-without-noticing-troops-her.html
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,531

    As I keep repeating, the rejoin question is not about the EU, its about the EEA. The EU ship has sailed, and I can't see how any serious politician will be able to muster mass support for joining fully the EU and all the things we'd opted out of like the Euro.

    The EEA? That's different. We need to be able to trade, and its clear that the CTA shat that particular bed. With a comprehensive lack of viable solutions other than "set up abroad" we're going to have to renegotiate sooner or later. OK later, as we know Shagger does nothing that might make him unpopular until he absolutely can't avoid it.
    "the rejoin question is not about the EU, its about the EEA. The EU ship has sailed"

    Getting there - in stages. I think many Remainers haven't quite travelled that far yet.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited February 2021

    I'd not heard of Robin Swann, but that's a stratospheric rating. Are the UUP generally reviving or is it just his personality?
    It seems a mainly personal vote but the UUP should probably make him leader again rather than Steve Aiken
  • It takes a long time, so it looks like a marathon, but the key difference between a marathon and a sprint for the purposes of this analogy is not length. It's pacing.

    For a marathon a runner has to hold themselves back from going too fast early on, otherwise they will tire themselves out, and may not be able to complete.

    For Covid this doesn't really apply unless you take things to ridiculous extremes. So, for example, we shouldn't expect individual vaccinators to attempt to work 16 hour days, because they will quickly become burned out and make mistakes.

    But as a country as a whole we can simply have more individuals working 8 hour days, and we can sprint vaccinations as fast as possible. There's no downside. No requirement to pace ourselves.
    If it is a marathon have we enough tin foil at the end of it? Better order it before the pesky EU lot do.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544
    HYUFD said:
    NI politicians needing to dial down their rhetoric? I guess Brexit really hasn't changed anything.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817

    Very basically I believe it opens up the services markets of the member countries to services businesses from other member countries. More than that I don't know. Yes, they speak beautiful English in Europe so it's not a big issue but I still think it makes it a bit easier if letters and documents and stuff don't require translation.
    For specific services including digital, but not banking though I think the UK might put that on the table.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Sorry to hear that. Best wishes to him and you.
    Thank you

    We both seem to have family health issues at present
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,781
    One thing I never see mentioned about all the global trade stuff is the impact on the government's Green agenda. With CPTTP and all the other global trade deals, presumably a higher proportion of our goods than currently are going to be imported/exported from/to much further afield. I assume that will increase our consumption of global resources, carbon footprint etc. Whereas the more goods we import/export from closer to home, the lower our impact on the environment. Or have I just go this wrong? I write this out of curiosity, rather than as a pro-European trade fan.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544
    It is pretty remarkable. I wouldn't expect anyone to rate that high even if they were popular and competent.

    I just don't see how these internal ructions could threaten her given those sorts of numbers.
  • kinabalu said:

    This is what I'm saying. The alternative vision - no diversion until we have done everyone and have full domestic normality with near zero covid here and our borders closed to the world - does not appeal to me.
    Why not?

    Given the world needs billions of doses, not millions of doses; given that getting full normality here means we can send more hundreds of millions of doses to the rest of the world rather than just a couple of million to the rest of the world . . .

    . . . why do you want to hurt the rest of the world by not finishing the job here?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    kinabalu said:

    This is what I'm saying. The alternative vision - no diversion until we have done everyone and have full domestic normality with near zero covid here and our borders closed to the world - does not appeal to me.
    Thankfully you are not in charge of vaccine disposition
  • Thank you

    Very sorry to read this news. Best of luck to the lad. Sounds like he is getting good treatment.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    Your last sentence is disgusting

    Using mental health to make an argument is so low but then why am I surprised

    And when the US joins TPP this group of countries will see a huge increase in tariff free trade
    G , your appetite for chlorinated chicken and hormone full beef surprises me?

    I'm sure you can google like anyone else - I'm not your data service. Yes, the death numbers in England are worse - for many reasons, some of which will be government (in)action, others will not.

    The point is "where we are today" and "what we could do better". Which you don't want to engage with. Lets hope the new "super centres" in Aberdeen & Edinburgh pick up the pace, but there's a lot of pace to pick up.
    Yes you only want to discuss selected data , we know you of old. I prefer to look at all the data and do not pick the small part that is good for my point. For sure I am certain you will never post anything positive about Scotland. I will continue to view your data in with that in mind, knowing it will at best be partial and slanted.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,795
    kinabalu said:

    This is what I'm saying. The alternative vision - no diversion until we have done everyone and have full domestic normality with near zero covid here and our borders closed to the world - does not appeal to me.
    I don't think we need 'everyone done' first either - that's a waste of time that would leave doses stockpiled. But we do need a full vaccination -secured- for every person in the UK. Once that's locked in, let's have at Covid worldwide.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, the EU has decided it wants to have more slices of one pizza, the US and UK have decided to simply order more pizzas.

    The contrast of those approaches is why the EU programme is stuck at 2-3% in similarly sized countries while we're at 14% and the US is at 9%.
    Bearing in mind that our per capita vaccine investment is similar to the US, the difference between their 9% and our 14% is interesting.

    Some combination of the advantage of a centralised NHS for the task of mass vaccination and not having a disruptive political transition, perhaps. Be interesting to see to what extent, if any, the US manages to close the gap as the effects from the transition fade.
  • Nigelb said:

    This is interesting.

    UK variant has mutated again, scientists say
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55900625
    ...Tests on some samples show a mutation, called E484K, already seen in the South Africa and Brazil variants that are of concern.
    Although this change may affect vaccine effectiveness, the current ones in use should still work, say experts...


    Suggests that some parallel evolution is going on - which might mean that the useful mutations available to the virus in terms of evading our immune response are constrained in some way.

    It did strike me that some of the "South African" variant found in the UK may well be home grown, rather than imported.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    I think we may be looking at the first SNP expulsion, for indiscriminate use of shit hyperbolic comparisons if nothing else.

    https://twitter.com/chrismceleny/status/1356556011868459008?s=21

    "one of the countries/parties most talented MPs" is an absolute giveaway phrase that the astroturf accounts love to use.

    They can't help themselves.
  • One thing I never see mentioned about all the global trade stuff is the impact on the government's Green agenda. With CPTTP and all the other global trade deals, presumably a higher proportion of our goods than currently are going to be imported/exported from/to much further afield. I assume that will increase our consumption of global resources, carbon footprint etc. Whereas the more goods we import/export from closer to home, the lower our impact on the environment. Or have I just go this wrong? I write this out of curiosity, rather than as a pro-European trade fan.

    Yes you're wrong.

    Science and technology, not abstinence, is the key to eliminating emissions.

    Aviation emissions won't be eliminated by us refusing to fly, or not trading with others. Aviation emissions will be eliminated by developing clean technologies. In the words of the Prime Minister we need to achieve "Jet Zero".

    Some "Environmentalists" wanted to stop emissions from cars by stopping people from driving. Serious environmentalists wanted to stop emissions from cars by developing clean car technology.

    Money is being invested into developing clean aviation. Once that is rolled out, then it won't matter whether trade is local or the other side of the world.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,531

    Hardly. Since the benefits of any the CPTPP Agreement, if we even get to join it, will be absolutely negligible, and no-one will have heard of it anyway, it's not exactly going to be the dominant issue of the next election.

    There is a wider and much more important point here, which is what the UK should do about the catastrophic mess Boris has got us into, when we do eventually get a sane government again. I'm mulling an article on this question, which really hasn't received much attention. Watch this space!

    Spoiler: I won't be recommending Rejoin.
    Something of a hostage to fortune. Now, if Biden should have the US rejoin CPTPP.... A tricky ask for sure, but it could prove a handy bulwark against China.
  • Pulpstar said:

    The UK looks to be a real centre of excellence for vaccine research, development and manufacture - including the sequencing and so forth. We're also a reliable exporter, unlike some have been in this pandemic. Looks to me like we're the ideal place for truly global production.

    Yep, although we weren't very big on vaccine production until the Vaccine Task Force (and some work before them) helped build the capacity.

    It's not just about Covid-19 either; one thing the pandemic has done in no uncertain terms is raise global awareness of the importance of vaccines. It has also served as a major spur to innovation, rather as WWII did. We're going to be in a good position to be a global leader in this.

    For once, state intervention in the UK has produced something very worthwhile. That's probably because it was focussed on the actual problem in hand, rather than the kind of secondary political considerations which generally bedevil state intervention.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,795
    MaxPB said:

    For specific services including digital, but not banking though I think the UK might put that on the table.
    There seems to be quite a lot of flexibility within the group, with countries deciding what to liberalise or not. That's a good thing I think. Hopefully our accession is swift - I think it could be very powerful.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    kle4 said:

    It is pretty remarkable. I wouldn't expect anyone to rate that high even if they were popular and competent.

    I just don't see how these internal ructions could threaten her given those sorts of numbers.
    That was a poll of NI voters, this is today's poll of Scottish voters

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1356554942954303494?s=20

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1356554947664429056?s=20
  • malcolmg said:

    G , your appetite for chlorinated chicken and hormone full beef surprises me? Yes you only want to discuss selected data , we know you of old. I prefer to look at all the data and do not pick the small part that is good for my point. For sure I am certain you will never post anything positive about Scotland. I will continue to view your data in with that in mind, knowing it will at best be partial and slanted.
    It's not about you or me - its about how well the SNP government is doing at rolling out vaccines.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    kle4 said:

    It is pretty remarkable. I wouldn't expect anyone to rate that high even if they were popular and competent.

    I just don't see how these internal ructions could threaten her given those sorts of numbers.
    You are assuming that the internal ruction aren't coming from total morons.
  • Alistair said:

    "one of the countries/parties most talented MPs" is an absolute giveaway phrase that the astroturf accounts love to use.

    They can't help themselves.
    Its like how any time there's ever anything embarrassing comes out it is always a "senior" MP or "senior backbencher" that is saying it or has made the mess. Even when most of us politics geeks might then have to Google who this obscure MP is to find out who they are.

    To be fair Joanna Cherry probably was the second most famous SNP MP after Blackford himself (and easily the best IMHO) but even if she was an unheard of nobody they would still say it.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    HYUFD said:

    Michelle O'Neill on -33% and Michael Martin on -21%.

    The highest rating is +63% for Health Minister and former UUP leader Robin Swann, Sturgeon's rating is largely irrelevant as she is Scottish not Northern Irish and not part of either the UK or Irish governments
    "Scotland is irrelevant to Northern Island" is the kind of hard hitting, clear headed political analysis I come here for.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544
    Alistair said:

    You are assuming that the internal ruction aren't coming from total morons.
    On the contrary, that's the most common source of ructions.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited February 2021
    Alistair said:

    "Scotland is irrelevant to Northern Island" is the kind of hard hitting, clear headed political analysis I come here for.
    Scotland isn't, obviously most of the Unionists in Northern Ireland originally came from Scotland as settlers from the early 17th century on. Hence the Orange Order has a bigger presence in Glasgow than in London.

    However Sturgeon is
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    Bearing in mind that our per capita vaccine investment is similar to the US, the difference between their 9% and our 14% is interesting.

    Some combination of the advantage of a centralised NHS for the task of mass vaccination and not having a disruptive political transition, perhaps. Be interesting to see to what extent, if any, the US manages to close the gap as the effects from the transition fade.
    The US program is rather chaotic - you have the Federal/State split, plus Trump, plus high levels of demented anti-vax.

    So the US ordered lots of vaccine. They have a very large, but disorganised and fragmented medical system - so lots and lots of people at the front end to give vaccinations.

    From what I've been able to gather, the Federal part is a mess, but delivering vaccine. The State end is a mess, but generally getting the vaccine to people. The result is very very uneven.

    A properly organised program would be able to do much more.
  • Looking forward to Spiked's contrarian take on this

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1356574293447090178?s=20
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789

    Except it is illogical, false, immoral, unreasonable and bad for the entire world.

    The world doesn't need a couple of million extra doses of vaccine from us. The world needs billions of doses of vaccine.

    The UK is funding vaccinations for the rest of the world as a parallel track to our own vaccinations but that doesn't mean stopping our own vaccination scheme. Our own vaccines are for ourselves first and the only logical way to use them is domestically.

    The simple fact of the matter is that the pandemic is costing us economically about £6 billion per week. If we could end the pandemic one week sooner in the UK then we would generate a saving of £6 billion for that week. Money that could go towards buying more vaccines for the entire world.

    If you want two ways of looking at it then the choices are:
    1. Stop vaccinating Brits, keep restrictions, keep economic support going for Brits, have low taxes due to a lack of domestic trade, continue to have deaths, send a few million vaccines overseas.
    2. Finish vaccinating Brits, lift restrictions, gain taxes due to trade resurging, stop having deaths, have a Treasury billions of pounds per week better off, spend billions procuring hundreds of millions of vaccines overseas.
    It is literally a no-brainer. One of those options is a win/win/win/win for everyone including the third world.
    I clarified at length and with precision the scenario I'm talking about but alas to no avail. You again misunderstand - and it's not even a different misunderstanding it's the same one - and then off the back of that misunderstanding launch yet another stream of simplistic rhetoric restating exactly the same narrow ultra nationalistic view as you did in the previous post. I'm a busy man, Philip. I have an egg to boil and toast to make for soldiers.
  • Alistair said:

    "Scotland is irrelevant to Northern Island" is the kind of hard hitting, clear headed political analysis I come here for.
    On Friday when after Article 16 was revoked and before the European Commission retreated, when it was roundly criticised by the British Government, the Irish Government, the NI First Minister, Tories, Labour Party, the Liberal Democrats, Irish parties, DUP, Sinn Fein, SDLP and Alliance . . . did the SNP have anything to say on the matter?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544

    Looking forward to Spiked's contrarian take on this

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1356574293447090178?s=20

    Those leaflets were masterpieces (microchips, David Icke, holocaust etc). Deadly masterpieces.

    Why are people picking on this gentle creature?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616

    On Friday when after Article 16 was revoked and before the European Commission retreated, when it was roundly criticised by the British Government, the Irish Government, the NI First Minister, Tories, Labour Party, the Liberal Democrats, Irish parties, DUP, Sinn Fein, SDLP and Alliance . . . did the SNP have anything to say on the matter?
    Yes, they did actually.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221
    Tonnes of snow about north of Nottingham, could drop the numbers a touch.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544
    edited February 2021
    It just makes no rational sense - the same decision was reached in the end for christ's sake. I thought she was smart, she has a doctorate after all...
  • strange things the brits obsess about in the last two years or so

    Chlorinated Chicken
    Fish
    Being too successful about vaccine procurement and start to worry about giving it away (FFS!)
    Whether one football team wins a match when nobody is watching at least live.
    Strange new ways to impose more restrictions on people (like outdoor mask wearing ) when covid-19 is reducing
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited February 2021
    kinabalu said:

    I clarified at length and with precision the scenario I'm talking about but alas to no avail. You again misunderstand - and it's not even a different misunderstanding it's the same one - and then off the back of that misunderstanding launch yet another stream of simplistic rhetoric restating exactly the same narrow ultra nationalistic view as you did in the previous post. I'm a busy man, Philip. I have an egg to boil and toast to make for soldiers.
    Its not ultra-nationalistic to want the UK vaccinated and to want the UK funding hundreds of millions of doses for around the world.

    It is idiotic and innumerate to want the opposite. There is no justification for it. You keep retreating on the scenario because what you're trying to propose is so moronic everyone regardless of politics is calling it out. The solution isn't fewer vaccines for everyone, the solution is more vaccines for everyone and there is only one path to get there: vaccinate everyone and fully fund production and distribution of vaccines globally.

    If you can't put your hands up and admit you've called this one wrong then that's on you.

    The UK should be fully vaccinated and pay to help fully vaccinate the world, the two goals are complimentary not going against each other.

    Your twisted logic is like saying doctors should be denied a vaccine to give it to patients instead. You vaccinate the doctors because that is in the best interests of the patients - if the UK is being medic to the globe, funding, producing and distributing hundreds of millions of vaccines globally then the UK being vaccinated is in the globe's best interests.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,781
    edited February 2021

    Yes you're wrong.

    Science and technology, not abstinence, is the key to eliminating emissions.

    Aviation emissions won't be eliminated by us refusing to fly, or not trading with others. Aviation emissions will be eliminated by developing clean technologies. In the words of the Prime Minister we need to achieve "Jet Zero".

    Some "Environmentalists" wanted to stop emissions from cars by stopping people from driving. Serious environmentalists wanted to stop emissions from cars by developing clean car technology.

    Money is being invested into developing clean aviation. Once that is rolled out, then it won't matter whether trade is local or the other side of the world.
    Thanks for the reply, especially the bluntness of "you're wrong". I do wish I had both the breadth of your knowledge and the depth of your self-righteous certainty on all matters, but I haven't. Maybe because I prefer humility over arrogance.

    PS: I'm not at all sure that you provide proof that I'm wrong in the present rather than in the future.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    MattW said:

    Yes, they did actually.
    I think a lot of us missed that - what did they say and also when did they say it?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789

    Mr. NorthWales, my sympathies. I hope your son can make a full recovery.

    Me too, BigG.
  • On Friday when after Article 16 was revoked and before the European Commission retreated, when it was roundly criticised by the British Government, the Irish Government, the NI First Minister, Tories, Labour Party, the Liberal Democrats, Irish parties, DUP, Sinn Fein, SDLP and Alliance . . . did the SNP have anything to say on the matter?
    Err...what?

    'Let me interject some chalk into this cheese talk.'
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087
    felix said:

    Yes - I thought that - though some of the actual members.............
    MENSA is a measurement of bollox
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    Michelle O'Neill on -33% and Michael Martin on -21%.

    The highest rating is +63% for Health Minister and former UUP leader Robin Swann, Sturgeon's rating is largely irrelevant as she is Scottish not Northern Irish and not part of either the UK or Irish governments
    But what happens in Scotland has a hell of an impact on NI, both in zeitgeist and in terms of a successful indyref.
  • Thanks for the reply, especially the bluntness of "you're wrong". I do wish I had both the breadth of your knowledge and the depth of your self-righteous certainty on all matters, but I haven't. Maybe because I prefer humility over arrogance.

    PS: I'm not at all sure that you provide proof that I'm wrong in the present rather than in the future.
    If you don't want people to respond bluntly saying "you're wrong" then maybe not ask the blunt question "Or have I just go this wrong?"

    You asked a blunt yes or no question and I answered your question and gave you the logic as to why.

    I have given proof. The only way to eliminate emissions is to develop clean technologies, since we can't and won't globally eliminate travel. The UK could eliminate all its own air travel overnight and it would make no meaningful difference on global emissions because other countries won't follow us - but if we can help develop clean, zero-emission jet technology which we are investing in, then other countries can and will adopt that. In the same way as clean cars are displacing emitting cars.

    If you don't think science and technology are the solution then how do you suggest the world is going to eliminate aviation emissions?
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,632
    kinabalu said:

    This is what I'm saying. The alternative vision - no diversion until we have done everyone and have full domestic normality with near zero covid here and our borders closed to the world - does not appeal to me.
    Thankfully that alternative vision isn't going to happen (although the govt has played a blinder if they've managed to convince their supporters that they really are doing the UK first).

    COVAX is attempting to make vaccine distribution more equitable, and will mean that some vaccines at least hit the developing world before rich countries like the UK are done. 50m available for delivery for Africa by April they forecast.

    We could do better though if we held off vaccinating the least vulnerable in the UK, US, Europe etc. and shipped those doses to the more vulnerable. Plausibly save >1m lives.

    But I can see that isn't feasible politically. At least we are doing better than just vaccinating rich countries first.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789
    Dura_Ace said:


    I, for one, am greatly looking forwrd to frictionless ebay trading in Porsche parts with Vietnam and Chile. A bright future awaits us all if only we are fucking stupid enough to believe in it.
    Does seem odd. Why are we pretending to be a Pacific Rim country?

    Is it to escape the weather?
  • Looking forward to Spiked's contrarian take on this

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1356574293447090178?s=20

    Wacko conspiracy theories have only become legitimized because Remoaners banged on about Russia influencing the Brexit result for years.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    Floater said:

    I think a lot of us missed that - what did they say and also when did they say it?
    Bugger. Got to go and find it now.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    edited February 2021

    The US program is rather chaotic - you have the Federal/State split, plus Trump, plus high levels of demented anti-vax.

    So the US ordered lots of vaccine. They have a very large, but disorganised and fragmented medical system - so lots and lots of people at the front end to give vaccinations.

    From what I've been able to gather, the Federal part is a mess, but delivering vaccine. The State end is a mess, but generally getting the vaccine to people. The result is very very uneven.

    A properly organised program would be able to do much more.
    The state that appears to have sorted itself out best is, remarkably, West Virgina.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    strange things the brits obsess about in the last two years or so

    Chlorinated Chicken
    Fish
    Being too successful about vaccine procurement and start to worry about giving it away (FFS!)
    Whether one football team wins a match when nobody is watching at least live.
    Strange new ways to impose more restrictions on people (like outdoor mask wearing ) when covid-19 is reducing

    strange the way brits ignore all the important things, especially like staying alive
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789

    Yes, one of the most (!) frequent PB contributors is a complex melange of Global Britain and Britain First, I rather think.
    :smile: - Certainly is. We're getting a jolly good dose of it today too.
  • rkrkrk said:

    Thankfully that alternative vision isn't going to happen (although the govt has played a blinder if they've managed to convince their supporters that they really are doing the UK first).

    COVAX is attempting to make vaccine distribution more equitable, and will mean that some vaccines at least hit the developing world before rich countries like the UK are done. 50m available for delivery for Africa by April they forecast.

    We could do better though if we held off vaccinating the least vulnerable in the UK, US, Europe etc. and shipped those doses to the more vulnerable. Plausibly save >1m lives.

    But I can see that isn't feasible politically. At least we are doing better than just vaccinating rich countries first.
    No we could not, that would cost more lives globally not save lives.

    Not vaccinating the least vulnerable in the UK would mean how many doses going to the rest of the world in your eyes? And how would that save >1m lives? And how much damage will that do to the economy and how many fewer doses would we be able to send overseas as a result of that damage?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,622
    So what new evidence did the EMA have that the MHRA didn't? Or is she just talking utter bollocks?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352

    So what new evidence did the EMA have that the MHRA didn't? Or is she just talking utter bollocks?
    Do you even have to ask?
  • Floater said:
    They have completely lost their marbles. Got to be Brexit Derangement Syndrome.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449

    Wacko conspiracy theories have only become legitimized because Remoaners banged on about Russia influencing the Brexit result for years.
    Yes, we should ignore clear evidence of actual meddling in our democratic process in case it encourages idiot conspiracies. Got it.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    Its like how any time there's ever anything embarrassing comes out it is always a "senior" MP or "senior backbencher" that is saying it or has made the mess. Even when most of us politics geeks might then have to Google who this obscure MP is to find out who they are.

    To be fair Joanna Cherry probably was the second most famous SNP MP after Blackford himself (and easily the best IMHO) but even if she was an unheard of nobody they would still say it.
    Cherry was at least famous for being intelligent and doing something, Blackford is famous as a windbag.
  • Looking forward to Spiked's contrarian take on this

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1356574293447090178?s=20

    At least we understand the human identity of Davros
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    Yes, we should ignore clear evidence of actual meddling in our democratic process in case it encourages idiot conspiracies. Got it.
    Ah so in your view americans such as obama weighing in to the brexit debate was fine but russians expressing opinions is meddling....now I understand
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MaxPB said:

    For specific services including digital, but not banking though I think the UK might put that on the table.
    UK being in the CP-TPP defnitely helps that organisation talk more about trade in services.
  • So what new evidence did the EMA have that the MHRA didn't? Or is she just talking utter bollocks?
    Lets not forger the EMA were on holiday for 2 weeks of the time between authorizations and hadn't run rolling review, so claims of more in depth analysis seem unlikely.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,622
    RobD said:

    Do you even have to ask?
    Not really - the classic rhetorical question (like yours!)
  • Wacko conspiracy theories have only become legitimized because Remoaners banged on about Russia influencing the Brexit result for years.
    Aye, I'm mea culpa-ed up to my oxters.
    I feel as early adopters of the meme that the 'voting for Scottish Indy would be doing Putin's bidding' chaps should share some of the blame though.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    It's not about you or me - its about how well the SNP government is doing at rolling out vaccines.
    Well go then regale us on how well England is doing on deaths then. You only select certain items that are bad for Scotland , you ignore all the good data and do the converse for England.
    Trying to make out that your odd choice is the only topic to be considered is a pathetic attempt at hiding your hatred for Scotland.
    I will never see you ever post anything positive about Scotland. It is all about you and your bitter twisted hatred of Scotland, not good for your health all that bile and bitterness.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    malcolmg said:

    MENSA is a measurement of bollox
    How long have you been in it? :smiley:
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited February 2021

    As a diversion whilst I kartoffel, my favourite drawing of positives was over on LDV:

    "An example from the EU on what to do when you screw up"

    Very good comments, though:
    https://www.libdemvoice.org/an-example-from-the-eu-on-what-to-do-when-you-screw-up-66872.html
  • Every week of this pandemic costs the UK economy £6bn
    0.5% of GDP goes to foreign aid.
    Therefore every week the pandemic ravashes the UK costs the foreign aid budget £30m

    £30m is enough to pay for about 10-15m doses of Astrazeneca vaccine.

    So every week the UK isn't fully vaccinated costs overseas the equivalent of 10-15 million vaccine doses? Why would you want to deny that money to the rest of the world?

    The developing world is better off if we are fully vaccinated and using our strength at full capacity to vaccinate others. That will save millions of lives globally.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,680
    I don't know quite how accurate this is - though it seems entirely plausible.
    The EU delay was not about safety at all, but rather allocation liability should anything go wrong.
    There is a mismatch between a supranational body doing the negotiation, and individual states waiving manufacturers' liability and shouldering it themselves (as the UK and US did).
    There is also a parallel with the Eurozone crisis.

    https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1356573189309149185

    https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1356573194497499137

    https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1356573200621125633

    https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1356573202118492169

    https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1356573204953911296

    It's a long thread, so I've only linked a few posts, but worth reading in its entirety.
  • Floater said:
    Desperate.

    And clearly no interest whatsoever in UK rejoining as every time she opens her mouth she buries any chance even further to be honest.
This discussion has been closed.