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On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20% – politicalbetting.com
On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20% – politicalbetting.com
Several developments on the Trump impeachment move which has already been backed by the House. This of course is the biggest current political betting market where the move has been further to Trump not being convicted by the necessary two thirds majority of Senators present when it comes to the vote.
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Tempted to repost the Channel 4 First Date clip, because it turns out to be a gloriously "London" ("I don't drink tap water") aid to my Red Wall Tory MP.
But perhaps not.
We'll soon find out for sure from Israel. They're doing us all a massive favour.
Cases have started to trend down but not at an incredibly fast rate thus far. I'm unsure about the current level of social distancing etc in Israel. If cases are trending down without draconian restrictions that would be very good news indeed.
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1352549339579736064?s=20
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-55764673
Biden should leave this to the criminal courts and the bankruptcy courts. They will sort out Trump soon enough.
Don't know the details there, but if so then that's a problem, probably, leaving aside the ethics. Wonder how that works, who has responsibility for vaccination in Palestinian areas? Will Palestinians take an Israeli provided vaccination? Are Israel offering? Do the Palestinian authority have money and infrastructure to deliver it themselves?
The overall case numbers don't tell you much, because as you say they're affected by restrictions as well as the vaccines.
Vaccinated vs unvaccinated case numbers are more interesting, although even there changes in behaviour after being vaccinated can affect the numbers.
£24 available at that price, mind, so this is not another wall of insane Trumpite millions up for grabs.
Can McConnell still drive the schedule as minority leader?
Yorkshire's allocation this week is 13 per cent,' he tweeted. 'Next week it is 13 per cent.
'We have less vaccine because supply remains a challenge.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9175447/Covid-vaccine-minister-Nadhim-Zahawi-denies-jabs-diverted-North.html
That's no good news if supply is being restricted by the amount reported everywhere next week. No way we see 500k+/day
https://twitter.com/i/status/1352278160444956676
*polishes nails*
In fairness it was on a thread that @Scott_xP had linked to so hat tip to him.
My suspicion is that McConnell is going to dangle the prospect of Republican votes to convict in exchange for a lengthy trial with the real objective of delaying and ultimately preventing the Democrats from achieving their policy agenda.
Plenty of over-80 national treasures like Ian McKellen & David Attenborough.
What could change things is some dramatic revelation about links between the riot and senior politicians, coming out of the FBI investigation
Obviously, the sooner the likes of the hyper-partisan McConnell (and Pelosi on the other side) retires, the better for America.
https://twitter.com/btharris93/status/1352559242872553472
https://twitter.com/jonworth/status/1352554618904051713
hopefully comedy will recover in due course.
As I’ve said before, there’s almost nothing more likely to spark civil unrest in the next few months, than people being seen to use influence or wealth to jump the queue while severe restrictions remain in place.
There’s actually going to be a very delicate situation by about April, where a couple of incidents could cause serious behavioural issues among the population.
At the risk of entering a shark-infested custard, AIUI Israel will obvs do all of Israel, which includes Palestinian citizens, and annexed Jerusalem. Palestinian Authority will do West Bank, who have responsibility for healthcare aiui. Gaza would be done by the Hamas 'Government', similarly. Israel covering settlements.
The last I heard the Palestinian Authority was in COVAX, and they have a deal with AZ, and others.
I have seen various stories on some outlets about "Israel excludes Palestinians" from where they would be expected eg Electronic Intifada, but I am not aware that PA and HG have asked to be "included".
Things may have moved since.
Environment Secretary George Eustice has also been on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, where he was asked about whether the government is considering introducing “quarantine hotels”, where arrivals to the UK would be asked to self-isolate.
He told the programme: “We have considered these matters last week and the judgement was, that for now, the right thing to do is to require pre-travel testing."
It's going to 1993 all over again.
I need to get my mind out of the gutter.
I mean, how is anyone meant to top this?
Long queues for both, and while I’d probably prefer the Pfizer I’ll be in the Chinese queue if it means being done a few months earlier.
IMO at this stage any vaccine is better than no vaccine (although Sinovac has the lowest efficacy of all approved vaccines to date).
It was fear of the shark infested custard (plus fear of exposing my own woeful lack of knowledge on the shark infested custard) that led me to use 'Palestinian areas'
If they are vaccinated last, won't be an issue.
The "perfect" little economy of New Zealand
https://youtu.be/TlhUMFOBZHU
Blast and damn. 59 and carrying a few extra pounds.
Locally, the doctors are already vaccinating people in priority group 4 (having done everyone in the higher risk categories already) and the GP just told me that they would be moving to priority groups 5 & 6 (where I am) next week if they had more vaccine. But they have been told that there will be a delay in getting more.
Not for long, I hope.
US politics seems somehow irrelevant right now.
Fuck it. I'm off for a walk.
Son is having a really bad time of it. The idea that the young don't suffer if they get it is for the birds. And we don't yet know what long-term damage they get.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/york-university-academics-see-the-evil-of-racism-in-three-wise-monkeys-5khx0jwc7
(And has anyone seen the actual question used to measure reluctance to accept a hypothetical vaccine? I could not find it on Yougov's site. Does uptake match the polls?)
A near certainty I'd have thought!
Meanwhile, the my sister's asymptomatic colleague (revealed by lateral flow test) has infected at least 10 more of my sister's colleagues, which has to be at least partially attributable to the school's lack of policy on mask wearing.
Sunderland! Sunderland!
Meanwhile the EU's vaccination stats....
Its getting embarrassing now now Scott. Every single plank of your argument has collapsed utterly.
Yep, I'm verbing 'woke' there, in the new sense of the word, rather than the original in which it is of course a verb. Bite me
Sparkling?
Not so much.
So for all Patel's fine words, in practice we can see that they're making no difference and flouting of the rules is still being allowed to happen. Even if it were 10 people getting off scot free I'd be pissed off, let alone 400 in a North London superspreader event.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-55764673
and that was before lock down.
Closer to half a trillion deficit than GBP400bn when all is said and done....???
One senior source says the idea was drawn up by officials but never made it near the prime minister.
It is understood there are fears in government that such a payment system could create perverse incentives.
BBC News - Covid-19: Government sources downplay £500 self-isolation payment idea
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55760467
My first instinct on finding out that someone was offended by something, would be to do some research on thing in question.
(This is different to arrivals into the country, who need to be put into hotel quarantine at their own expense).