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The Electoral College Vote goes to Biden who, as expected, secures 306 votes – politicalbetting.com
The Electoral College Vote goes to Biden who, as expected, secures 306 votes – politicalbetting.com
What has been by far the biggest political betting market ever was finally resolved overnight when the Electoral College met and Biden is now officially the President-elect.
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I agree with Mike (as usual) about Betfair. I'm not too impressed with how they delayed on this which was several weeks too long and totally unnecessary as well as arguably unethical.
At any rate, I hope they hold their nerve. Legal action is an empty threat at this stage. An injunction even if granted (which dick waving from the DfE aside seems pretty unlikely) couldn’t come into force before Friday, which for practical purpose would be too late.
The only way I can think of is if they had embezzled the money.
Perhaps the new administration might like to try and understand why it takes 39 days from the election, for the results to be officially declared.
If only for his persistence in being awful ?
And can’t it be a public letter ?
Good to see the back of Trump officially confirmed now.
But if they make it in a public letter, he might sue for libel.
Edit - possibly yes. Just as Spielmann is as well. They have been around for years and never once have they got anything right, nor have they learned a single thing from their vast number of mistakes.
But I would have thought they could do so without troubling the bounds of truth. Calling him a goat molester just seems unnecessary.
https://twitter.com/MeidasTouch/status/1337866527798747136
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/19/boris-johnson-wins-most-offensive-erdogan-poem-competition
https://twitter.com/OwenWntr/status/1338519194506309634
25th officially invoked at last?
Apparently Johnson and Johnson now closed theirs to new applicants after getting 40k enrolled and already got significant numbers of positive cases among the cohort.
Will know probably early new year if it works.
Although it is hardly as if we didn’t know already.
In most other countries the coast is highly sought after; retirement towns for the wealthy old etc
Quite hard to see much, if any, growth in Q4.
Even in the middle of a pandemic this summer, many people preferred getting on a plane to taking a break in a seaside town.
Dr. Foxy, on the other hand, you have a pastime you enjoy that actually leaves you better off rather than being a net cost.
It also contains a fair few seats that the LDs held, up until the coalition.
Just search Twitter for "@betfaircs trump" and it's wall to wall this
Channel your inner Mike Basset everyone
We're better than the Middlesbrough
We're better than the Middlesbrough
Though I would expect a map of the lower 25% to still include many of the coastal constituencies on the east and south coasts.
The CMO was commenting that the UK has made by far the biggest contribution to the WHO genome data base on the virus. Hancock claimed that this was because we had been investing in genome technology for a decade but the role of our disproportionately high number of complete idiots cannot be underestimated.
A fool and his money are easily parted. Congratulations to whomever took his money off him.
We are testing arriving here though, so hopefully it won’t be as bad as the European travellers returning in the summer.
Looking at their profiles, the second one purports to be a Welshman who emigrated to Australia. Loves dogs and conspiracy theories. Thinks Corona is a plot to control us all. Only joined Twitter in September, presumably for the election.
The first one is anonymous and could easily be a bot. No signs of life in the feed, mostly RTs. Probably the Russians trying to stir the pot.
People were disputing the results, so waiting until they're officially declared seems reasonable to me. Free money for anyone sane who took it.
Just reading the ppl who have been tweeting @betfaircs
They live in a completely different reality....
It’s because the Sanger Institute is a miracle of modern scientific endeavour
Closing the borders but keeping people's liberties here is better than having a few schmucks go on holiday, reimport the virus then closing everyone's businesses here and telling everyone to stay at home here.
https://variety.com/2020/music/news/kiss-new-years-eve-concert-livestream-dubai-1234836704/
https://www.thenationalnews.com/arts-culture/music/clean-bandit-and-anne-marie-to-perform-in-the-uae-as-part-of-dubai-shopping-festival-1.1128395
They’re mostly going to get a real shock though - mask wearing is compulsory everywhere except your own hotel room, and social distancing is taken very seriously, even at tourist attractions.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HqKcJtZ_yM8
It would take a heart of stone not to feel sorry for them.
I must have a heart of stone.
https://twitter.com/IainRowan/status/1338123434241486852
I am deeply uncomfortable with Australia banning their citizens from leaving the country. But mandatory quarantine on the way back is fine.
The absence of coaches struggling up the main road has been one of the side effects of this unusual year. I only really saw a few toward the end of the summer. Last winter was quiet, as usual, although I am lucky to live somewhere with a year-round community. The first lockdown saw an influx of SeanT types fleeing the plague capital, opening up their second homes that are normally dark and shuttered in March. The summer was very busy, with tons of Brits foregoing their foreign holiday, to the point where local media was full of people complaining about the risk from all the visitors. Above average visitor rates continued through the autumn, until the second lockdown, which saw another influx of second homers although not as many as in March. All the signs are that we are going to be well visited over Christmas.
Given that the only similar example I can think of is Clement Freud with his 33/1 odds on the by-election he won I'm going for the total idiot.
Does make me glad that, despite really liking The Witcher 3, future dystopia isn't my thing so I didn't pre-order.
I was at a virtual dinner party last night and was surprised that one of the participants said that there was no evidence that the vaccines stopped people from infecting others as opposed to not getting seriously ill themselves. My understanding from here was that there was such evidence albeit it was preliminary. Have there been any developments on this?
A sense of perspective would be good. The government is advising people to do the minimum but not criminalising them, people need to use their own sense; it would be good if for once in this long year the media could concentrate on what people should do rather than pushing the boundaries of the law on what people can legally do without being criminals.
I've picked Cancun for some winter sun this year. Then up to the US for a business trip.
There is no real climate difference between Hastings and Sandbanks, Ostend, Deauville to give three examples.
I only got my Cornwall trip in because I booked it in January.
@FrancisUrquhart I get because I'm thinking that he lives on his own, perhaps older, perhaps comfortably off, perhaps large house ( @FrancisUrquhart if this is not the case then apols but that is def a PB pro-lockdown type) so understandably wants the rest of the country to be imprisoned to protect him.
But self-confessed libertarians (lolz) like @Philip_Thompson?
Mad, I tell you.
I don't have too much trouble with keeping betting as a hobby. I have known some real addicts
Some interesting pairings next season, at Red Bull, Ferrari, and McLaren. Right now, if Albon goes, Bottas is looking like the weakest link.
Sorry for doubting you 😀
No evidence is not evidence that it doesn't though, and I suspect that it does.
If this had been the policy and strategy from say September to say this then I would agree. Particularly if the emphasise was on "strongly advise against".
But it hasn't been. We have had weeks in mid autumn of someone briefing newspapers from No 10 about plans and schemes and ideas to "save xmas at all costs" etc etc. They knew this would make front page headlines and it did.
It has been a comms disaster.
Now we are in this situation.
Also worth noting that if the LibDems had carried on in their traditional role as the challenger in poorer rural areas rather than Krug socialism there was plenty of scope.
Say what you like about Boris (I think he is very weak) he has managed to unite the economic traditionalists with the social traditionalists and while that maintains to the Tories will win.
Deals with all those issues. And as you say, the trials didn't test for onward transmission (nor efficacy of single dose). So they simply don't know (so the "get vaccinated not to kill granny" is wholly spurious).
You’re not going to put the genie back in the bottle.
Nice bit of understatement there, Mike!
Personally I wouldn't touch them with a shitty stick. I suppose I should be grateful that I've learned something about them whilst getting my money out eventually. They're a bunch of kids playing a game they don't understand.
Betdaq and Sporting Index will do just fine when the need arises, and of course the traditional bookies with whom I have never had a serious problem in a lifetime of punting.
My point was that if you're not having a total libertarian free for all (and no country in the entire world is doing then) then I would prefer to put security restrictions on the international border while keeping maximum liberalism within the country.
What part of that do you disagree with?
(Edit: Unless St Leonards-on-Sea has renamed itself Sandbanks - I wouldn't be surprised, it always has had delusions of grandeur.)
Wins on Dems in PA and GA.
Loss on Trump's overall EVC.