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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Was Theresa May on manoeuvres and did it cost her SPAD her job?
The row exposed deep rifts within the cabinet. Two cabinet ministers accused May of running a “tiresome” and “obvious” leadership campaign, picking a fight with Gove to boost her hopes of succeeding Cameron if he fails to win the next election.
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Rats in a sack.
Edit: We need Marf!
Lab 1/20
LD 7/1
UKIP 50/1
Con 80/1
I believe that South Thanet is the only constituency to date which has ever had UKIP priced as FAV, but it only lasted a couple of days.
PP
Con 6/5 (from 6/4)
UKIP 11/8 (from 11/10)
Lab 5/2
LD 100/1
Another bad 2010 VI split for LDs; LAB:35; LD:28; Con:1; UKIP:10; Green:10; NATS:4
Green support coming mainly from LDs and voters aged 18-24 and then 25-39
On who should succeed DC: Boris; 25; May 19; DK: 48
Just 42% of those polled interested in football.
The Scottish Environment Protection Agency is Scotland’s environmental regulator.
Natural Resources Wales is Wales' environmental regulator.
The Northern Ireland Environment Agency is NI’s environmental regulator.
Planning is a devolved issue.
If the Conservatives have a one-party majority then there will be lots of currently Lib Dem cabinet and ministerial posts to fill. Even if Cameron continues to lead a Coalition, likely Lib Dem seat losses will change the balance of power within the Coalition.
It's sad because I think 40 years ago there were actually a few MPs who went into politics for less self-centred reasons. Tam Dalyell comes to mind but I can't think of many others in recent memory?
Good point still by TSE. If we do see a lot more of this you could well be right. Major's 1992-7 Gov't was probably the classic indicator of what was coming.
LD 2010 VI split should read: LAB:35; LD28; Con:12; UKIP:10;Green:10; NATS:4
Vanilla not allowing EDIT again
Jeepers creepers. We only got 2.3% at the last UK general election in 2010 (SNP 1.7% + PC 0.6%).
Can't wait to see the next full-sample Scottish poll. Looks like UKIP's advance may have put rocket fuel in the SNP's booster.
I don't suppose we'll hear a peep from the usual sub-sample detractors. Wonder why?
1. May and Gove are positioning themselves for a post-election leadership campaign, in which either or both expect / hope to be candidates.
2. May and Gove are positioning themselves for a post- (or pre-?) election re-shuffle in which there may well be substantial changes.
3. May and Gove have genuine differences of opinion as to how extremism in schools has / should have been handled, which has escalated, and/or acted as a conducting rod for, an already poor relationship, and each has sought to power-grab the issue wholly into their department.
The options are not mutually exclusive.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/tennis/andy-murray-reveals-didnt-like-3661317
And propaganda videos by that muppet who made Gasland don't count.
SouthamObserver is clearly incapable of seeing the gaping holes in his own argument. But what I find most amusing is seeing him teaming up with right wing fruitcakes in his attempts to attack posters in favour of self-government. A sign of the times I'm afraid.
It is no coincidence that SCON poster DavidL noted with approval on the same thread that SLAB had been out campaigning against Scottish self-government in central Dundee. Funny how it took them over two years to organise a wee bit of street campaigning. Cameron's little SLAB helpers are an enthusiastic bunch.
It will all be football and tennis and exhibitionists on Big Brother until then.
Mind you I couldnt resist Shadsys 6/1 on Dave Cameron being seen in a pub during a world cup match.
Sunday Times taking its cue from the wise words of Morris Dancer, I see.
I'd also add that Cameron has been leader for a long time now. If he wins the General Election and stayed a full term it'd be 15 years. Even if he wins he might well decide to go a couple of years into the next Parliament.
May's being bloody stupid, blowing the surprisingly good Conservative unity to try and bolster her own prospects (which, ironically, may be harming them as blues with marginal seats won't be best pleased at a completely unnecessary Cabinet divide).
So, now everybody who reads this blog is compelled to like a cartoonist? I'm a big fan of good cartoonists, and am actually a bit of an aficionado. That does not mean I have to like all cartoonists. Quite the opposite in fact: I am choosy. I don't rate Marf one bit.
Writing and drawing cartoons is a job. Just like writing a blog article, driving a taxi or being a Lib Dem ramper. Just because Marf chooses to spend her time doing what she does does not oblige everybody else on the planet to think she is good at it.
David, you are a clever chap. Puhrleese tell us that you don't really believe in Straight Line Politics. Because, if you did, in 1997 you would have predicted the Scottish Conservatives at -216% by now.
Unless of course the word "England" has become too politically incorrect in the country of its birth?
Planning is a devolved issue in England too, de facto but not de jure.
But you cannot blame us SNP types for that constitutional dog's breakfast. After all, we want English people to rule England just as we want Scottish people to rule Scotland. Then the lines of responsibility are nice and clear.
Now, we must look up that list of Scottish MPs who imposed foundation hospitals and student tuition fees on England, despite English MPs voting against both measures.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WLQ
Which is an explicit admission that your "10 years offset" argument was foundationless.
Thank you.
Secret Labour plans for a multi-billion-pound package of new ‘property wealth taxes’ to hammer London and the well-to-do counties of southern England were leaked last night.
The Tories claim the proposals fly in the face of Ed Miliband’s claim to be a ‘one-nation’ leader and would only exacerbate the so-called ‘cost of living crisis’.
Tellingly, the report commissioned by Mr Miliband which contains details of the ‘triple tax whammy’ is marked ‘very sensitive’. It would mean that if he wins power in next year’s General Election:
All shop owners would be forced to pay a new ‘property owner’s tax’ separate from existing business rates – and on top of existing income tax.
Emergency laws would impose a new ‘business tax’ on firms in every prosperous city and town in England – backdated to before the election – to fund tax handouts to less well-off areas.
And a new £500 million ‘farm tax’ would be introduced by scrapping the exemption from business rates that has applied to agricultural land and buildings since 1929.
As for Theresa May, as some have mentioned on here before, she is too powerful within the Tory party for Cameron to sack her. She can go around plotting to take over from Cameron in the belief that Cameron will not do anything about it.
Betting PostTwo bets for Canada.
Vettel for a podium, 2.3 (Betfair). Hulkenberg top 6, 3.5 (Ladbrokes). Explanations and so forth will be in the pre-race piece I'll put up shortly.
Surely increasing taxes on farms will only ultimately increase the price of food? So so far Labour are looking at raising NI thud reducing people's disposable incomes and then introducing other taxes that will push up the price of food. So their answer to a so-called cost of living crisis is to reduce peoples livings and increase their costs.
WRT Marf, her best cartoons are very good indeed. I have one in my office.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/canada-pre-race.html
Guess what ? The squabbling Tories are at it again ! Ferrets fighting in a sack !
These Tories never learn.
What can we learn ?
They have seen and read private polls over many months that they are not coming back as a majority government.
Therefore, regardless of whether the Tories are the largest party or not, Cameron will resign.
To be fair, unless he gets majority giovernment, why should he ?
May has been on maneuvers for years. Spooted by our own Carola before anyone else.
I don't buy this argument that Gove is Osborne's proxy candidate. The Minister of Silly Walks somehow thinks he too is a serious candidate.
All have been damaged.
Boris is the next leader. Given the state of the economy in 2020 [ who knows ? ] , he could yet be PM - if the Tories can ever win outright.
Of course, all this presupposes, there will be no referendum except maybe a straight in / out one.
The stated aim of this is to revive the High Street, God knows how it is supposed to do that, and its not as if High Streets in the South East are doing terribly well (we lost two more shops in our local High Street last month). One can only hope that the Mail have got it wrong. If they haven't it looks far more like another Labour let's punish Tory voting areas measure.
“BLOODBATH”…! – a tad hyperbolic me thinks, I thought a lowly spad got fired?
If Miliband's policies are accurately reported they're just crazy. The question is whether he's driven by malice or idiocy.
The 35% can be kept happy with higher public spending.
Low tops, dates from hell. Do your own jokes.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2651695/Behind-bluster-Theresa-May-Michael-Gove-battle-Tory-Party-leader.html
Some demographic groups will need to lose out to enable more favoured people to live in the style they decide they deserve.
Up to now the private sector wwc has been the group which has lost out - that's a group the PPE boys and metropolitan overclass hate.
But the private sector wwc has been squeezed pretty dry so now its the turn of the private sector middle class and rural areas.
"He was appointed CEO of Focus (DIY) on its acquisition by Cerberus Capital for £230m in June 2007, stating at the time that "Focus has the potential to be one of the most successful operators in the DIY sector". Two years later, in August 2009, Grimsey successfully sought a CVA agreement with creditors to save the business from administration. In May 2011, with Grimsey now as chairman, the company was declared insolvent and appointed Ernst & Young as administrators."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Grimsey
and Mr Grimsey's solution is just to tax successful Businesses even more and then more of us can enjoy the delights of CVA's?
UKIP want to bring down Cameron so that Eurosceptics can take over the party. The mechanism to do this is by hurting the Tories so that they cannot form a government. Miliband will support a referendum (after all he is so much more trustworthy than Cameron).
In 2020 the Tories sweep back to power in alliance with UKIP and Britain is free at last. Old men dance with young maidens in the street (Farage will be older by then). Taxi drivers will put on their uniforms with pride. All will be well with the world.
It certainly is hard to see how such a plan could fail...
This is Michael Gove getting a bit over-excited, not for the first time, on an issue he feels strongly about (and where he might well have a point). 4 out of ten might actually be overstating it, come to think of it.
Given the widespread view of EdM and EdB it should work.
If the Conservatives, led by May perhaps, become more votefriendly to women and wishywashys while UKIP hoovers up the wwc vote then definately so.
What the Conservatives, with or without UKIP, do on returning to power in 2018-2020 is another matter.
The fundamental problems the UK faces aren't going to disappear whoever's in government.
Nowadays any national poll showing a Labour lead, even a minuscule one, is likely to have been caused by a Labour-leaning sample.
It is not just the doubt over Miliband's leadership, but, after Newark, the electorate has good cause to wonder whether Labour will turn up at the contest in 2015.
Perhaps Rachel Reeves can turn things around and energise the party? She seems to be trying.
Nice to see the PB Tories have opened up a Partido Popular chapter though.
(Southam Observer look away now)
"Progressive” leftism is an indulgence of smug middle class hypocrites who have mistaken their ivory tower for the high moral ground.
Hunt was dreadful - claiming 'teachers' were against the DfE policies that they're most in favour of. He really isn't on top of the ed brief. I don't think his heart's in it tbh. He's far more fluent/convincing on other areas.
The start of the day was:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Johnston_(Colorado_legislator)
His bumbling response to questions was embarrassing.
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Ten-Cities-that-Made-Empire/dp/184614325X/ref=la_B001JS08HC_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1402218702&sr=1-1
It sounds rather more interesting than his ideas for education.
http://runt-of-the-web.com/russian-dating-site-photos
Comments please!