politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Oh Jeremy Corbyn
Comments
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How do you market a near 80-year old guy, whose onset of dementia at least has one benefit - that of people forgetting how creepy he used to be?williamglenn said:
https://twitter.com/donwinslow/status/1299836495092527105?s=21rottenborough said:Dems starting to panic about complacency factor.
Way to go Dems - you are going to inflict 4 more years of Trump on the planet.1 -
Thought experiment: imagine advancing that argument in Cambodia in 1976, Rwanda in 1994, China in 1960, ...Malmesbury said:
I'm not sure that you comprehend the levels of progress that human society have made. The homeless on the street have better medical care and life expectancy than Kings of England in the range of dates above.IshmaelZ said:
Not much of an argument, though. For one thing, we've all had the misfortune to be born before the elimination of cancer, or for that matter covid-19. Neither fact keeps me awake at night. For another, "is going to shit" doesn't imply that we have got there yet. Since the second world war tens of millions of people at least have lived in conditions where, yes, flipping back to any of the dates you mention couldn't have made things worse. How do you know we aren't headed that way?Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?
Have you ever seen the following?
https://ourworldindata.org/exports/GDP-per-capita-in-the-uk-since-1270_v6_850x600.svg1 -
So Major sacked no MPs?Philip_Thompson said:
Rupert Allason was the only one who abstained when it was a confidence vote (and he was overseas) and he had the whip removed for a year as a result. No other MPs rebelled in that vote and none at all voted with the opposition.DecrepiterJohnL said:
Who are we talking about then? A number of Maastricht rebels had the whip withdrawn but were back in time for the election.Philip_Thompson said:
It is true.DecrepiterJohnL said:
It is not actually true, is it?Charles said:
Cyclefree agreed with MajorPhilip_Thompson said:
Major expelled everyone who didn't vote for Maastricht. How is that any different at all to Boris expelling those who didn't vote for his deal in the last Parliament?Cyclefree said:
They sacked them. They didn’t expel them from the party.DAlexander said:
This is pretty standard behaviour for politicians isn't it?TheScreamingEagles said:
I'm talking about being petulant towards people who disagree with them, for example Julian Lewis.DAlexander said:"this is the sort of behaviour you’d expect from Boris Johnson and Dominic Cummings"
Not really, since those two seem pretty good at winning elections.
May got rid of Osborne when she got in and Gordon Brown wasn't exactly shy of getting rid of people he didn't like.
It was pure spite by the PM. Contrast it with how he defends others who break the rules - https://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/07/16/spotting-the-difference-what-really-matters-to-johnson-when-deciding-who-is-in-or-out/.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maastricht_Rebels#Rebels_who_had_whip_withdrawn
The 20 or so who voted with the opposition when Boris repeated Major's trick were more extreme than even the likes of Bill Cash etc who with Maastricht refused to rebel at that point.0 -
It seems a bit partial to target him in particular.dr_spyn said:https://twitter.com/DailyMirror/status/1300163270003896321
tears for Piers.0 -
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I'm not being silly. Regardless of the situation, it is foolish to invest time and attention on a perceived unhappy state of affairs that you cannot control.Cyclefree said:
Don’t be silly. Learning that your actions have consequences for you is essential to becoming a functioning adult.Luckyguy1983 said:
You might be happier if you didn't spend so much of your time wishing misfortune on an individual or set of individuals.Scott_xP said:
I anticipate with relish the day BoZo reaps the consequences of "getting what he wanted"...Charles said:You are saying he should have got what he wanted with no consequences.
Having a 55-year old man with the moral maturity of a 5-year old as our PM is our misfortune not his.
At this point I’d take 2015 and pray like mad that various actors here, in Europe and in the US took different decisions.....Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?0 -
Looks like the kite flying mission is going fully to plan. Get all the moaning and complaining out in the open; see which bits don't get the full double barrel; count the malcontents and size up the Commons majority.Scott_xP said:2 -
I'm sure his brother can do another crowdfund campaign.Andy_JS said:
It seems a bit partial to target him in particular.dr_spyn said:https://twitter.com/DailyMirror/status/1300163270003896321
tears for Piers.0 -
Will The Met use that fixed Penalty Notice and that section of legislation for Extinction Rebellion's next London stunt?
“One individual has been reported under the new legislation, and that a fixed penalty notice would be issued for £10,000 for the offence of holding a gathering of more than 30 people in an outdoor public place contrary to regulations 5B(1), (2)(b)(iii) and 8(1) and (4) of the Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (No.2) (England) Regulations 2020."
Daily Mirror0 -
Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over0 -
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It seems very vindictive. Not impressed.dr_spyn said:Will The Met use that fixed Penalty Notice and that section of legislation for Extinction Rebellion's next London stunt?
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https://twitter.com/BBCHelena/status/1300172604490371079rottenborough said:Looks like the kite flying mission is going fully to plan. Get all the moaning and complaining out in the open; see which bits don't get the full double barrel; count the malcontents and size up the Commons majority.
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There is £120K sat waiting for Trump at 1.471
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I doubt any of the people who benefit from the 40% tax relief on pensions contributions read the Daily Express, outside the Editorial Suite.....Scott_xP said:
https://twitter.com/BBCHelena/status/1300172604490371079rottenborough said:Looks like the kite flying mission is going fully to plan. Get all the moaning and complaining out in the open; see which bits don't get the full double barrel; count the malcontents and size up the Commons majority.
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Getting boring this pension rate thing. We had this kite only a few months ago and a load of outrage at the thought of the well off being hit by a rationalisation of the rebate.Scott_xP said:
https://twitter.com/BBCHelena/status/1300172604490371079rottenborough said:Looks like the kite flying mission is going fully to plan. Get all the moaning and complaining out in the open; see which bits don't get the full double barrel; count the malcontents and size up the Commons majority.
Has Sunak finally grown a pair on this perennial?
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I see the narrative of blaming both Biden & 4 more years of Trump on the left is well under way. I note none of you lads are taking any responsibility for Trump in the first place.MarqueeMark said:
How do you market a near 80-year old guy, whose onset of dementia at least has one benefit - that of people forgetting how creepy he used to be?williamglenn said:
https://twitter.com/donwinslow/status/1299836495092527105?s=21rottenborough said:Dems starting to panic about complacency factor.
Way to go Dems - you are going to inflict 4 more years of Trump on the planet.0 -
Well, that’s the Take Back Control slogan buggered then.Luckyguy1983 said:
I'm not being silly. Regardless of the situation, it is foolish to invest time and attention on a perceived unhappy state of affairs that you cannot control.Cyclefree said:
Don’t be silly. Learning that your actions have consequences for you is essential to becoming a functioning adult.Luckyguy1983 said:
You might be happier if you didn't spend so much of your time wishing misfortune on an individual or set of individuals.Scott_xP said:
I anticipate with relish the day BoZo reaps the consequences of "getting what he wanted"...Charles said:You are saying he should have got what he wanted with no consequences.
Having a 55-year old man with the moral maturity of a 5-year old as our PM is our misfortune not his.
At this point I’d take 2015 and pray like mad that various actors here, in Europe and in the US took different decisions.....Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?
We do have a whole series of mechanisms to hold the PM to account and in a democracy we have every right to hold him accountable.
What you should be bothered about is not those who try to do this but the PM who thinks that he should not be held responsible for anything and should be able to avoid the consequences of his actions.0 -
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V. true. Labor Day is traditionally when the voters actually start to tune in.Scott_xP said:0 -
Out of interest - what are the specifics of the threatened 'pension raid' - is it reducing the annual allowance again or something more radical / harder to implement?0
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""We've dressed up in our best and are prepared to go down like gentlemen." - Benjamin Guggenheim, April 15, 1912.CarlottaVance said:1 -
Bonkers.rottenborough said:Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over
I thought the 2.5 I got on the Dems Was nuts back a whole. Ago but this!0 -
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Does anyone remember 2012 when Mitt Romney inexplicably came close to matching Obama in the betting stakes?rottenborough said:Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over0 -
Rumours of making 30% the rate for offset against income tax. So basic rates peeps gain and higher rates lose.Scrapheap_as_was said:Out of interest - what are the specifics of the threatened 'pension raid' - is it reducing the annual allowance again or something more radical / harder to implement?
The latter is a set which overlaps considerably with journalists and editors.0 -
https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1300164706007740416?s=19
But why won't he condemn the violence?
Why? Why?0 -
The issue with tax rises is not whether they should be done. At some point, all this spending is going to have be paid for. But whether now is the time to do them.0
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In Cambodia, Rwanda and China the people in power, quite deliberately*, turned the clock back.IshmaelZ said:
Thought experiment: imagine advancing that argument in Cambodia in 1976, Rwanda in 1994, China in 1960, ...Malmesbury said:
I'm not sure that you comprehend the levels of progress that human society have made. The homeless on the street have better medical care and life expectancy than Kings of England in the range of dates above.IshmaelZ said:
Not much of an argument, though. For one thing, we've all had the misfortune to be born before the elimination of cancer, or for that matter covid-19. Neither fact keeps me awake at night. For another, "is going to shit" doesn't imply that we have got there yet. Since the second world war tens of millions of people at least have lived in conditions where, yes, flipping back to any of the dates you mention couldn't have made things worse. How do you know we aren't headed that way?Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?
Have you ever seen the following?
https://ourworldindata.org/exports/GDP-per-capita-in-the-uk-since-1270_v6_850x600.svg
Even so, they merely managed to recreate the horror of the Middle Ages**. Which was really, really horrible for nearly everyone.
*You can argue about intention with China
**1/3rd of the population dies, or is slaughter by lunatics. This is what in the Middle Ages, we called an Interesting Episode....0 -
Boy do I ever. Absolute genuine nonsense odds.Andy_JS said:
Does anyone remember 2012 when Mitt Romney inexplicably came close to matching Obama in the betting stakes?rottenborough said:Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over0 -
Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.1281514410 -
Here we go.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Trump campaign trying to bend the market to their man??0 -
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https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1300175360080969729Alistair said:But why won't he condemn the violence?
Why? Why?0 -
Of course the ironic thing is that this type of betting is illegal in the US — (I think, unless they've changed the law recently).rottenborough said:
Here we go.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Trump campaign trying to bend the market to their man??0 -
A well worn tactic is to brief a load of eye watering hits on the rich and middle classes and then everyone relaxes on Budget Day when most of it doesn't happen and the stuff the Treasury really want gets nodded through.Cyclefree said:The issue with tax rises is not whether they should be done. At some point, all this spending is going to have be paid for. But whether now is the time to do them.
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I'm not sure legality is a factor that weighs too heavily in Trump world.Andy_JS said:
Of course the ironic thing is that this type of betting is illegal in the US — (I think, unless they've changed the law recently).rottenborough said:
Here we go.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Trump campaign trying to bend the market to their man??1 -
September 10, 2001 would do me.Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?
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I said once before that my hope for getting rid of Trump is placed on Term Limits rather than the Dems.MarqueeMark said:Way to go Dems - you are going to inflict 4 more years of Trump on the planet.
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I remember the hatred Corbyn got for proposing to increase corporation tax lol0
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Alistair said:
Are these odds on Trump nonsense?Andy_JS said:
Does anyone remember 2012 when Mitt Romney inexplicably came close to matching Obama in the betting stakes?rottenborough said:Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over0 -
They will turn on Sunak if he tries to take their money away from them. They needs to polish the precious....CorrectHorseBattery said:I remember the hatred Corbyn got for proposing to increase corporation tax lol
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And even that has risks....Beibheirli_C said:
I said once before that my hope for getting rid of Trump is placed on Term Limits rather than the Dems.MarqueeMark said:Way to go Dems - you are going to inflict 4 more years of Trump on the planet.
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ivanka says 'hi'MarqueeMark said:
And even that has risks....Beibheirli_C said:
I said once before that my hope for getting rid of Trump is placed on Term Limits rather than the Dems.MarqueeMark said:Way to go Dems - you are going to inflict 4 more years of Trump on the planet.
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Seems like the license fee really may well be on the way out0
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What will PB Tories complain about then???0
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interesting primary going on in Mass.
Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) on Sunday endorsed his former colleague, Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D-Mass.) in his primary challenge to Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.).
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/514351-orourke-endorses-kennedy-for-senate-a-champion-for-the-values-were-most-proud0 -
Prisons should be for dangerous people, I agree. What about decriminalising cannabis next or is that somehow going to be ignored0
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“One in 12 magistrates court cases are for non-payment of TV licences"CorrectHorseBattery said:Seems like the license fee really may well be on the way out
Telegraph.
If that is correct, seems a tad crazy to be chasing people and blocking courts like this.1 -
The Conservatives didn't have a 26% lead when May was forced out.rottenborough said:0 -
MarqueeMark said:
If you think the polls are remotely accurate then these odds are absurd even if the polls tighten by 3 points.Alistair said:
Are these odds on Trump nonsense?Andy_JS said:
Does anyone remember 2012 when Mitt Romney inexplicably came close to matching Obama in the betting stakes?rottenborough said:Biden: 2.
Trump: 2.02
Close to switch over0 -
I don't see how the BBC wins over Leavers. Unless it starts saying bad news is good news, how is it supposed to win?0
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Betfair exchange has a "Will Next President Lose the popular vote" market and I am trying to work out the correct implied odds given the candidate odds and my brain isn't working.0
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The 2001 as predicted in the film looked quite good as well.No_Offence_Alan said:
September 10, 2001 would do me.Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?
What we have now is neither as good as we hoped nor as bad as we feared.0 -
0
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Easy. They report on the booming sales of concrete suppliers in the Kent area, as the lorry parks get built.CorrectHorseBattery said:I don't see how the BBC wins over Leavers. Unless it starts saying bad news is good news, how is it supposed to win?
Or, the number of apprentice customs agents.
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Yet the Biden premium remains.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Biden 2
Dem 1.96
Trump 2.02
Rep 2.021 -
Biden can only win while also winning the popular vote. Their is no way for him to win otherwise. So any deviation for the candidate odds comes from trump.
So what is Trump's odds of winning whilst also winning the popular vote?0 -
That's not a great day to pick. Too late to stop 9/11, that's for sure.No_Offence_Alan said:
September 10, 2001 would do me.Peter_the_Punter said:
When someone tells you the world is going to shit, it's fun to ask them what year they would like to be transported back to. Maybe they would have been happier before the end of rationing, or the elimination of smallpox, or the discovery of penicillin. Or maybe they would have liked 1919, or 1649, or maybe the fun and laughter of 1347 ? Presumably longer life, modern medicine, travel and education mean little besides the warm comfort of 'the good old days'.Luckyguy1983 said:The
I don't agree that it's going to shit at all - it's moving forward as it always has done.Black_Rook said:
I was doing my usual browse through the latest reports of doom and disaster in the newspapers earlier this week, and chanced upon an article about Stoicism and the writings of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius. I've now ordered a copy of the Meditations and an accompanying analysis.kle4 said:I must say that the imminent american election, with all the bitterness and dodgy dealing, suddenly felt like the wrong time for me to have read a trilogy set during the fall of the Roman Republic. Far too tempting to see signs of terminal decline in institutions as a result.
If the world is going to shit (well, we know it's going to shit, it's merely a question of how badly) then thinking about how to endure disasters that are almost entirely out of one's own control would seem wise.
So come on folks, what year would you *really* like to be living in?0 -
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Interesting in a theoretical sense. Practically speaking you'd have to place a huge amount of money to make any significant profits from the difference.DecrepiterJohnL said:
Yet the Biden premium remains.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Biden 2
Dem 1.96
Trump 2.02
Rep 2.020 -
You can currently lay Hilary Clinton as the popular vote winner.
This fucking election man, what even.1 -
New thread.0
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The market might soon be deciding that if people are working from home they can be working from home in lower cost areas and lower cost countries.CorrectHorseBattery said:0 -
People will bet huge amounts if this 4- or 5-basis points Biden premium is still there at the beginning of November. In-running punters play at 1.04 and shorter in every horse race. We saw the same thing happen with Trump, Biden and Pence in the nomination markets.Andy_JS said:
Interesting in a theoretical sense. Practically speaking you'd have to place a huge amount of money to make any significant profits from the difference.DecrepiterJohnL said:
Yet the Biden premium remains.Andy_JS said:Both candidates are now 2.02 / 2.04.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441
Biden 2
Dem 1.96
Trump 2.02
Rep 2.02
The point is, this premium implies there is a chance Biden will pull out before the election (and possibly some weeks before, since it will take time to print ballot papers with his replacement). Tbh I doubt "the market" knows anything but then, nor do I.0 -
Jones is broadly correct that Labour and Conservatives were neck and neck.CorrectHorseBattery said:https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1300047605754482689
Oh Owen, you silly sausage
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_United_Kingdom_general_election1