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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Kamala Harris looks set have a bigger role in this White House
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Kamala Harris looks set have a bigger role in this White House campaign than previous VP picks
One of the undoubted weaknesses of the Democrats as we go into the next phase of the White House Race is the age of Joe Biden and that he can often appear to be old. If he won he’d be 78 on Inauguration Day.
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I will not be putting money on the winner of this contest. Biden SHOULD win. However....
Boris Johnson will launch a major drive to get Britain back to the office as ministers warn working from home will make people more “vulnerable” to being sacked.
A publicity campaign to begin next week will extol the virtues of returning to the workplace, making the “emotional case” for mixing with colleagues and highlighting the benefits to mental health.
We've been told that those informal chats whilst making tea/coffee are very much banned when the office reopens.
I get that the government can see serious trouble coming, but they need to accept it rather than fight it.
The guy has dementia. Ask yourself this: would you trust him with your pension? If the answer to that is no...then scale up to the nuclear codes. I just think that is the ultimate answer Americans may well give in November. Hell, they don't want Trump. But the Dems have given them a truly unpalatable choice.
For the Dems to lose the election in 2016 was unforgivable. To lose it in 2020 would be unfathomable.
Many people have romantic ideas of moving to nice places like Devon, the Cotswolds, the Hebrides or rural France, and working from home there. While this is certainly going to happen in the short term (the Scottish rural property market is red-hot), in the long-term most are gonna be screwed by more productive foreign workers.
Biden 1.91
Dem 1.86
Trump 2.12
Rep 2.14
You must be confusing me with someone else.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-53524486
I certainly would trust a pension company with any of that family of grifters, liars and sociopaths on the board.
Our property market on the island is also hot at the moment with stories of some properties selling unseen.
Offshoring is only going to be attractive for roles where not only the cost of employing somebody overseas is lower, but also the quality of service provided is as good as that which can be offered by a UK-based employee and their physical presence is never required. You'd have thought that WFH would make it easier to identify such roles, but that we'd probably be talking about thousands or tens of thousands rather than millions.
Now they're still finishing work at 5, but only spending 5 minutes in getting back to the bosom of their families! And by 7 or so they're ready to be active outside the house.
Government functions as an institution, Trump has and is sabotaging that; Biden would not.
In the imperfect analogy, Trump is the equivalent of Bernie Madoff.
Letting folks naturally drift back at a slower rate seems better economically to me.
Some businesses are going to use WFH as an excuse to jettison expensive office space altogether, but in most cases what we're most likely going to end up with is a part office-based, part home-working hybrid model with a great deal more flexibility built in. That should be to the overwhelming net benefit of employees.
"can"
Not
"will"
https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/1299222952190369792?s=20
I think it may have been the BBC just yesterday that released a survey of 50 leading UK employers with large cohorts of office based staff, none of which expressed an intention to get everyone back to the office. I seem to recall that nearly half of those had no plans to call any workers back at all.
This Government is barely capable of putting one foot in front of another without tripping over its own legs. It certainly can't reverse the flow of time and put us all back to the start of the year. That is, of course, impossible.
It's an interesting one. We're happy for our incumbent PM to use Downing Street for political speeches. Perhaps we should ban them.
It's perhaps interesting that there's an advert at the moment with what appears to be a call centre worker working from home.
On the other side, younger son, has reached a stage in negotiations over a 'significant' contract where he really feels he ought to be talking around issues with his customer, in a face-to-face environment, and he can't.
https://twitter.com/ParkerMolloy/status/1299174942882365441?s=19
There’s a huge opportunity here to reverse the decline in the average High Street, as people move to wanting services close to where they live.
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1299172865896525824
That might still be the case but despite every media outlet painting Trump in such a bad light (over here) the Americans clearly see it differently. I don't follow the US enough to make a judgement, my point is the view where it counts is nowhere near as negative as the view from here.
And who can forget this rather odd speech on 21 June 2016 (i.e. very much in purdah):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bU9Wg3AUKXw
Now they have seen the reaction
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1299234405945401344
Government by press release. Twats.
The difference now is that employees, mistakenly, believe that home-working is in their own interest.
https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/1299180668400869377?s=20
Given the idea mooted a couple of weeks ago that all over 50s should shield until proven fit, a bit of rolling back age discrimination laws might also be helpful to HMGs cause here? Imagine.
Just leave it Boris. In time, if it is advantageous, the offices will repopulate, maybe not in the exact same way, but they will. Just like people eventually repopulate the fertile soil at the base after a volcano has gone off.
A re-organisation of city centre sectors that have outlived their purpose? Come on, you're Tories - just substitute the word mines into the above and ask what you would do then? If things haven't changed, those sectors will come back and perhaps some further help is in order, if they have - well, you are adopting the look of Corbyn talking about automation.
In fact, now I come to think of it, we bought our last holiday apartment unseen, in that it hadn’t been built yet. We knew where the piece of ground was approximately, and saw the map and description, but it was really only the name of the well-respected architect that was the persuasive selling point. Turned out to be a terrific investment (another feather in the cap).
That's not a problem, I like white collar liberals, but they're completely unaware of what goes on in the lives of ordinary working people. Pret, among others, are shedding 1000s of jobs, I don't suppose there's too many baristas or sandwich makers on here.
Yeah, yeah clutch your pearls at my terribleness but the research is abundantly clear.
A huge section of poor rural white Americans will repeatedly choose options that are economically bad for them as long as it ensures equally bad if not worse outcomes for Black people.
White supremicism is a mainstream political viewpoint in America.
Betting on American politics without understanding how deeply ingrained their racism is is a sure fire way to the poor house.
https://twitter.com/GearoidReidy/status/1294138471703961603
With absolutely no financial gain on my part, the BBC meltdown should Trump get back in will be sumptuous. And further confirmation of how detached they are.
If I was an American I would vote for Biden because Trump is malevolent and malignant, apparently indifferent to the damage he has done to US institutions and institutional structures but I would do so with a heavy heart and very much reliant upon the fact that Harris seems competent and capable if not particularly sociable. An enhanced role for her has to be a part of the deal from the beginning leading to her taking over completely mid term.
The fundamental job requirement for any office working is that the candidate lives within commuting distance of the office. This requirement trumps whether the candidate is any good at the job.
Staff already in place have established their credentials so should be safe. When they look for their next job both they and prospective employers will be casting their nets wider. The net effect will be that talented people in awkward places will see their prospects improve while mediocre people in employment hotspots will be in a weaker position. Wages in those hotspots will also reduce.
36 hour week (theoretically); over eight weeks paid leave and up to 13 weeks unpaid leave available if I choose; an 18 minute commute (maybe 25 minutes if I travel at rush-hour, which is maybe 10 times a year); often home by 2 o’clock in the afternoon; cycling distance to at least five great bathing spots; free-time coming out my ears.
Although forced to work in a big office building (home working is impossible with my job), I spend a small proportion of my life in the world of work.
Why anyone chooses the London rat race has always been a mystery to me. Yes, London can be a fantastic place, but only if you have the time, money and energy to fully appreciate it.
In terms of records we're still currently on track to set a new record for warmest year in the Central England Temperature, which runs from 1659.
Including this piece of quite astonishing hypocrisy:
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1299094372718465025
I came across this this morning. Oxford vaccine out November 3rd if phase 3 trials supportive. Only €3 a dose too.
https://www.marca.com/en/lifestyle/2020/08/23/5f427b6e46163ff7878b45d6.html
Amid the radicalism of BLM – with its absurd demand to “defund” the police - Mr Trump’s strong message on law and order may win wider appeal
Right now, Joe Biden is ahead in the polls, but not by a landslide – and, as in 2016, voters could be hiding their true intentions, particularly given the sensitivity of the issues under discussion.
(Telegraph leader)