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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium finds a net 13% drop in two weeks in government’s “Cor
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium finds a net 13% drop in two weeks in government’s “Coronavirus Handling” approval rating
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Fieldwork prior to the Carlaw sacking, but still.
With the SLDs on a dire 1% (fairly typical in recent polls), the SCons have totally cornered the British nationalist vote.
https://www.opinium.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/VI-30-07-2020-Data-Tables-1.xlsx
There's usually a ten to fourteen day gap between infection and diagnosis.
Add to this the fact that people are most infectious before they show symptoms, and you have a recipe for decision making (and judging) that happens with eyes fixed firmly on the rear view mirror.
What was that about disgraced national security risks again?
If people want to take a holiday then I'm sure there's UK destinations that could do with the customers!
Is it any surprise a man called Boris might not have the best interest of Le Royaume-Uni at heart.
In all likelihood something will come along - perhaps they end up being the lockdown-sceptics.
Note the huge gap at the end, from the weekend reporting shadow.... Tomorrow, expect a big headline number as the lawyer with the kimono and the baseball bat comes off weekend break.
TimT said:
» show previous quotes
"That would bump me up the list, so perhaps I should agree.
"Seriously, Redfield's comment about it needing to be seen to be fair and equitable, not just efficient and effective, is a key point."
geoffw said
"Sorry to differ with you about that. It is easy to agree on the words "fair and equitable" but also easy to dispute any particular notion of what that entails in practice. I think the sole aim is to control the epidemic, both the severity and the spread. A corollary could be that if it threatens to rage in poor countries with deficient health systems, then they should perhaps be prioritised."
At some point lack of 'fair and equitable' impairs the performance of 'efficient and effective'.
One of those odd seats that survived the 2015 cull but not 2017 to boot.
The headline number is reporting date and is generally not worth bothering with.
Seems like a marvelous opportunity to launch a scheme to get everyone to go to restaurants and eat for half price
TORY FIASCO
If so is it down, flat or rising?
Using the headline number is for Piers Morgan.
If cases are rising, will Eat out to help out make matters significantly worse or have little impact in your opinion?
But remember this rule of thumb: 14 days between infection and diagnosis, seven days between diagnosis and hospitalisation, and 14 days between hospitalisation and death. (Herman Cain having pretty much nailed that timetable, assuming he got his CV19 at Trump's Tulsa rally.)
That being said, the current age profile of infections (i.e. younger people) suggests that we won't see that much in the way of hospitalisations and deaths, at least initially. The problem occurs when Junior passes CV19 onto dad (who still feels fine and is presymptomatic), who then goes to see granddad.
There's a great heatmap for Florida showing how infection went from being all about 16-24 year olds a month ago, and are slowly but surely rising up the age brackets.
So it's a case of what might have been and when contemplating this disastrous combination of Covid pandemic and PM "Boris" that's the word that tends to spring to my mind - Hunt.
They go to nightclubs and bars and socialise with their friends and have a great time, and suddenly you country doesn't have 1,000 people with CV19, it has 25,000.
But it's almost impossible to keep age groups truly separated. On Sunday, Junior comes home for dinner with his parents. Junior is presymptomatic and feels fine, but he might be highly contagious. He gives it to his 50 year old parents, who while also presymptomatic go and visit Granddad.
Result - Granddad gets it.
A commercial premises with actual distancing is probably safer.
8000+ new cases this w/e not counting Madrid, Catalonia and Navarra as they 'don't have those figures yet'!
Forget the second wave we may be on the second tide!
Do not assume they are coming back by an ineluctable swing of the pendulum from this collapse. They don't have the chapel vote to fall back on now - very few chapels survive at all in Wales - and the students and lecturers in Cardiff Central and Ceredigion have abandoned them.
Now it may well be that this is the right way to go about it. But some part of me thinks it is not a mode of government that I feel particularly happy or comfortable with.
Even vaccines don;t prevent all deaths, old and vulnerable people still pass away in winter from flu and will from COVID.
We;re doomed to repeat this cycle until the economy collapses to such an extent that granny never gets to die of COVID, because she dies of undiagnosed cancer ten years earlier, or some other disease the health service of that country can no longer afford to treat because private sector revenues have evaporated.
https://www.toledoblade.com/local/politics/2020/08/03/2020-election-ohio-poll-trump-biden-voters-concerns/stories/20200728120
Friday afternoon. 4 members of staff visible, all concessions except pick and mix open. No bookings at all except me. I was only customer in foyer and only one in the screening. When i came out one of staff told me 5 films that afternoon 4 customers in total.
This afternoon There were 3 advance bookings according to their booking screen. Nobody except me in the foyer which i sat in for 10 mins None of the other 2 who booked for unhinged turned up attended.
Have now been twice, not seen another customer perhaps its me that is "unhinged"
Oh and why on earth are Cineworld not participants in help out to eat out? Are they eligible?
RIP Cineworld.
Tomorrow our bubble has a table for 4 at our local HOTO Restaurant. We are 50/50 about cancelling tonight to give them chance to re sell the table. Or will it be empty like the Cinema?
I'm not a big nanny state type of person, however, in this instance the individual doesn't know best and the state does, even this one.
In practice, I don't think our philosophical difference in approach would actually turn out that different in who gets it when.
I'm sure if the government pursue this strategy reams of paper and petabytes of internet traffic will be dedicated to how callous the approach is and how the government are abandoning vulnerable people but with a limited supply the economy takes priority.