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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Well this is turning into quite the volte-facemasks from Boris

TELEGRAPH: Next stop, masks in offices #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/bPNId86Blr
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Rosebay willowherb. Remember the name. Rosebay willowherb.
It is a beautiful wild flower that sprouted, unexpectedly, in bomb sites, after the Blitz
Rosebay willowherb
https://www.wildlifetrusts.org/wildlife-explorer/wildflowers/rosebay-willowherb
https://twitter.com/nicolesganga/status/1283136594346680322?s=21
Everyone is getting hung up about the fact this is a bad disaster, but not thinking about what comes next. After the Spanish Flu disaster came the roaring twenties. A decade after WWII was "you've never had it so good".
Yes there will be a recession this year. Yes it will be bad. Yes a lot of people are going to lose their jobs, their livelihoods, their businesses and that is awful. But the silver lining is I expect over the next decade post-COVID and post-Brexit to see a period of high economic growth the likes of which we have not seen in decades.
https://twitter.com/rolebuild/status/1283146267250524163?s=20
I see it's been removed.
However, the price will be a tragically fucked economy
Stay at home don't stay at home.
Wear a mask don't wear a mask.
Use your good old fashioned British Common Sense and follow the clear and simple guidance
Incidentally as Shagger was days ago insistent that we all go back to the office and preferrably spend £12 a day on a twatty coffee and a crap salad, I have a simple solution to "and wear a mask".
We know that its Not Safe. To be indoors without a mask unless someone wants to make money from you in which case its not only very safe its patriotically safe. Simply enforce everyone going back to the office, and then hold a mandatory away day in a bijou eatery struggling to survive. That way you don't need to wear a mask and will be very safe.
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1283152869676515328?s=20
Today I went to Homebase and was surprised how many people were wearing them. Maybe as many as 10% of the customers were doing so . . . which is unprecedentedly high around here!
But were she to theoretically succumb I think the GOP would want to get her replaced ASAP. If Biden got to nominate I think it would be nice if Merrick Garland got the job !
100,000 dead from this September to next June is far from outlandish
And they are not mandated here in Wales as of now
Next year is possible
These things can change quick
Half the country doesn't trust or believe a word they say. The other half love them.
But you can't resurrect an economy on half the population.
And confidence won't return until a coherent, thought through strategy emerges that is not obviously motivated by short term advantage.
Not holding my breath.
The obvious one is that everyone can videoconference from home now. We might not want to do it all day every day, but it'll improve productivity as we learn how to use it long-term.
I'd hope that we remember to be better about hygiene, because frankly we've been decadent for ages. Less winter bugs, less peaky pressure on the health service.
If property prices in London fall, that's probably good for the productive bits of the economy, if bad for whoever actually owns the West End. And whilst I'll miss aspects of London as was, parts of it were held up by people putting up with poorish pay and highish living costs with the profits siphoned off by property owners. That's needed fixing for a while, even if this is a pretty brutal way of doing it.
But mainly, I wanted to say that Rosebay Willowherb almost feels like a good name for an alter ego, if one were in the market for such a thing. She's seen a lot. Not in her prime, but still has it.
Believe it when I see it but lol
So it's definitely going to be WTO terms with maximum tariffs.
It will become the norm quicker than most expect and without police prosecutions
The biggest one of all, but unspoken, is IF we get a working vaccine
I am skeptical we will have one by "September". It would be the fastest vaccine approval in history by a massive margin
Fair to say his tenure made IDS's spell as Tory leader look like a triumph:
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2020/07/the-mishaps-that-led-national-party-leader-todd-muller-to-quit-after-just-53-days.html
The new leader is Judith Collins who had stood against Simon Bridges when he won the National leadership in 2018 and is, to follow the analogy, more of the "Michael Howard" character.
New Zealand votes in September and current polls (pre Muller's departure) give Jacinda Ardern's Labor Party a huge lead.
Went down for mandatory election observer training; need to attend a session every 2 years in order to observe on behalf of either King Co Democrats or King Co Republicans. At this 2-hour training, there were five places allocated for each food group: 5 Dems signed up & showed up; 2 Reps signed up but only 1 showed. BTW, for session scheduled for Thursday, 5 Ds signed up, 0 Rs.
After orientation & questions, our group toured KCE ballot processing setup, which takes up one floor of a big 2-story building outside of Seattle. Not many working there right now, but then only 1k or so ballots for Aug 4 primary have been returned by "submarine" voters: active-duty military stationed overseas, or in the case of Trident sub crews, underseas.
Bulk of active registered voters - over 1.3 million currently in King Co - will receive their ballots via mail later this week. Returned ballots are accepted for counting IF returned or postmarked by Aug 4 AND voter signature is verified by comparison with voter sig on file at election office.
KCE is working hard to protect permanent and many temporary staff needed to process, tabulate and account for returned ballots. At the height of activity just before & after Primary Day - and Election Day this fall - place is like Santa's Workshop with lots of different things happening, but all designed for one purpose - to accurately count the votes and canvass the returns.
First thing yours truly had to do when I arrived at KCE was have my temperature checked - I failed the test! Because I had walked the last mile & a half there, and arrived overheated. Since I was way early, I sat down, read a book, and re-took the test after I'd cooled down - passed with flying colors.
BTW, only people on buses I took to & from KCE who were NOT wearing masks were two fucking idiots - which I pointed out to them & the driver as nicely as needed.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/face-masks-and-coverings-to-be-worn-by-all-nhs-hospital-staff-and-visitors
How long before we get there?
Polls in all three states close today, July 14 at 8pm Eastern Daylight Time, in just under two hours.