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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Across all pollsters the Tories are retaining a clear lead

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  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    You'd have to ask David.
    Presumably that’s what he has just done? Consider it a kind of open letter, albeit in the internet age.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    LadyG said "Fuck this shit. The stupid mixed up feeble messaging from the elite has got Britons massively confused about masks, and done it so badly, we have the lowest usage of masks in the western world."

    That is how SeanT might have put it, I think.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,106
    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1280604390139793411?s=09

    In other news, Arsenal crowd more vocal than usual tonight...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,393
    edited July 2020
    Foxy said:

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1280604390139793411?s=09

    In other news, Arsenal crowd more vocal than usual tonight...

    I'd be wary of starting a 'on the first day I'll do X' line, as I suspect before too long his first day will be too packed to do half of them! And with arguments about which are more deserving to boot.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,075
    LadyG said:

    The saddest thing is, if they had been firm from the start about masks, Britons would have obeyed. As we have seen, the British have been very obedient under lockdown.

    We have worked from home, we have abandoned public transport, we have kept our social distance, most people have been mature and sensible.

    So if the idiot scientists and wanker politicians had possessed an ounce of common sense, they would have said from the beginning, Yes please wear a face covering, try and keep the good masks for health workers, for now.

    And then when we definitely had enough PPE for the NHS, they could have gone further and said Right, now it's time to go compulsory: always wear a mask/face covering in shops, buildings, trains etc

    Firm consistent messaging from boffins and pols, hardening over time, could have saved thousands of lives, and 5% of our economy.

    The Czech Republic managed it. They did exactly this.

    https://twitter.com/NickRiccardi/status/1278466183759454208?s=20
    There were also a few morons who didn’t stay at home but fled halfway across the country, potentially spreading the virus hither and thither.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    CatMan said:

    One problem with that:

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/jul/07/almost-one-in-six-britons-say-would-refuse-covid-19-vaccine
    84% is plenty and in reality that will rise as people start to receive it and it proves to be safe. In reality I expect just a few holdouts for a mandatory vaccine.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,035

    Looks like the Treasury is recanting the idiocy of Covid-19 tests being a BIK.

    They are going to tax nurses instead
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    kle4 said:

    I'd be wary of starting a 'on the first day I'll do X' line, as I suspect before too long his first day will be too packed to do half of them! And with arguments about which are more deserving to boot.
    Wise words. My experience of first days involves compulsorily starting an hour late so my new team can get their shit together; three hours spent being introduced to the various departmental heads in the business; then a further four hours filling out paperwork and/or signing up for various internal apps I’ll never use again. After which, it’s time to go home.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,669

    Re: the hit-and-run spook's spouse, well the traditional way to settle such matters is, what ya got to trade that we might want?

    Can any PBers think of an answer to this riddle?

    Note that in 1919, King George VI was NOT eager to lend a helping hand to his cousin and look-a-like, Czar Nicholas II. As a result, the case of Nicki & family was terminated by Soviets with extreme prejudice.

    Betcha that future King would be just as unwilling to lift a finger to assist yet another royal relative in serious jeopardy IF there is the slightest risk to the throne in so doing.

    There isn't the slightest risk to the throne.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,106

    Wise words. My experience of first days involves compulsorily starting an hour late so my new team can get their shit together; three hours spent being introduced to the various departmental heads in the business; then a further four hours filling out paperwork and/or signing up for various internal apps I’ll never use again. After which, it’s time to go home.
    Surely all that is done in the 10 weeks of transition?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,576
    edited July 2020
    RobD said:

    Great news. I hadn't realised they were testing it Brazil. I thought they were testing in the UK and were running out of the virus!
    RobD said:

    Great news. I hadn't realised they were testing it Brazil. I thought they were testing in the UK and were running out of the virus!

    Great news. I hadn't realised they were testing it Brazil. I thought they were testing in the UK and were running out of the virus!

    Not enough cases in the uk to get data.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foxy said:

    Surely all that is done in the 10 weeks of transition?
    😃 Someone in HR will still find him a pile of pointless admin on the first Monday morning. Best to avoid ambitious promises.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    That's why David Herdson and I quit the party.

    He's taken the party down a fundamentally unconservative route.

    Just look at the approach of Cummings and Francois to the armed forces and their generals.

    Brexit is the God that all else must be sacrificed for.
    The greatest Conservative Prime Ministers - Thatcher, Churchill, Peel, Disraeli - were all unconservative too.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,650
    Foxy said:

    Surely all that is done in the 10 weeks of transition?
    Wonder if there will be a transition with Trump. He didn't do one coming in.
  • Blocking Twitter sure makes this site load faster, you really need to implement lazy loading of embeds
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,264

    New thread!

  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,765

    Christ, VAR should issue a red card for that, that's a challenge worthy of Don Revie's Dirty Leeds.

    That's better, at least you're putting "Don Revie's" in front of it now, acknowledging that I was right - Bielsa's Leeds are a model of decorum.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    This one from the Lincoln Project is more effective than the Russia one.

    https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1280457599884935168

    I really dislike that.

    It’s not political campaigning

    It’s a psychological attack on a single individual. Deeply deeply unpleasant.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    eristdoof said:

    Someone (?NigelB) posted a great article written by an actuary, saying that even for the over 80s your "a bit earlier than expected" is on average 3 years.
    Most people don’t last more than 12-14 months in a care home
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    kle4 said:

    I know little of american politics, but in style alone the contrast between Trump and Reagan's speaking manner there is striking.
    Reagan was a TV star
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    MaxPB said:

    Starmer missing the wood for the trees. Surely the issue is that the care sector is for profit which siphons off money which would otherwise be spent on care.

    Complaining about cuts isn't going to work.

    Care homes used to be run by councils. They were shit. There’s a reason why they are run by the private sector now
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Talking about WFH, does anyone know I can get printer ink?

    I've looked everywhere and I cannot find any to buy.

    I'm contemplating having to buy a new printer.
    Viking
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Re: the hit-and-run spook's spouse, well the traditional way to settle such matters is, what ya got to trade that we might want?

    Can any PBers think of an answer to this riddle?

    Note that in 1919, King George VI was NOT eager to lend a helping hand to his cousin and look-a-like, Czar Nicholas II. As a result, the case of Nicki & family was terminated by Soviets with extreme prejudice.

    Betcha that future King would be just as unwilling to lift a finger to assist yet another royal relative in serious jeopardy IF there is the slightest risk to the throne in so doing.

    I hear that Harry isn’t enjoying his exile
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,717
    kinabalu said:

    This sounds exactly like some of the discourse around gays in previous times.
    I know you dont like me but here is a serious question

    Say there are for sake of argument 250,000 males self identifying as females

    How many women have to be raped by them in women only safe speaces before you think women have a point.

    I am looking for an explicit number here. Where you draw the line between
    a) women being raped in a supposed safe space
    and
    b) self identifying men having to use the same toilets they used for the last 20 years
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,277
    LadyG said:

    It is quite a spectacle.

    Take Graham Linehan. A superb comic writer - Father Ted, Big Train, etc. Yet he has basically scuppered his career and earned notoriety by having endless obsessive and highly aggressive arguments about trans rights.

    He should have come to PB.

    And done it under a series of increasingly ludicrous fake personae.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,277

    Christ, VAR should issue a red card for that, that's a challenge worthy of Don Revie's Dirty Leeds.

    We've rebranded.

    Recipients of the 2019 FIFA Fair Play Award: Leeds
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,158
    Dura_Ace said:

    And done it under a series of increasingly ludicrous fake personae.
    Transgender personae at that!
This discussion has been closed.