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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Road from Glencassley – the last horse to win a UK race
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Road from Glencassley – the last horse to win a UK race
As we all know, Glen Cassley is about eight miles west of Lairg in the Highlands. Glencassley is also the name of the horse that won the 5.25 at Wetherby on March 17th, the last horse race run in the United Kingdom.
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https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/05/COVID-19-daily-announced-deaths-5-May-2020.xlsx
It's like watching cross country races from random amateur running clubs all round the country. Non elite, non-standard course length, competitors you've never heard of, variable standard, not even timed. What's the point?
Like taking an interest in a random golf club handicap competition, but with a chance to lose money as well if that;s your thing. zzzzz
sorry!
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8288295/Wearing-masks-curb-spread-coronavirus-Governments-chief-scientist-says.html
By next month it will be everybody needs to wear a mask, but we don't have enough of them....
Lewis Hamilton.
Eddie Irvine.
Stirling Moss.
Ayr Town Centre.
At this rate (not that I expect that) this wave will be over by the end of next week.
https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1257660868449439746?s=20
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-rival-states-targeted-uk-and-us-coronavirus-labs-with-malicious-cyber-campaigns-11983517
My quick 10-minute design for a small-scale test prior to IoW rollout.
Venue: closed mall or cinema, 100% CCTV coverage.
Number of volunteers: 50, none having had any prior involvement in the project
Supervisors: 10, not involved in dev or QA roles but with an understanding of how the app should work to an end user.
Instructions to volunteers: Bring a book. You will be in this area for several hours, every half an hour or so you'll go for a walk around and find a new place to sit down. Sometimes you'll sit close to someone else, or stop and talk to someone while walking. Don't touch the phone we give you, but put it where you'd normally put your phone. Write down your encounters with others on paper.
CCTV room operators noting every interaction between people, and database engineers in same room noting DB hits (this is a centralised solution). Note all the positives, negatives, false positives and false negatives.
Morning session - we provide the phones, all the phone apps, central web app, comms server and database are in QA/debug mode.
Afternoon session - everything in 'production' mode, participants are given the app on their own phones and told to use them normally while repeating the experiment.
End of day, take feedback from users about encounters and their own phone. Note things like battery life.
Next day, review all CCTV, encounter notes and DB logs in real time replay, looking for things missed. Note from CCTV actual times and distances between people, and compare to values for same stored in DB. Set one phone to "COVID-mode" and test all phone responses.
Refine time and distance scales to refine responses and alerts as required, repeat experiment as required.
I could spend all day putting in more details, but there's a good starting point for discussion.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8288599/Sweden-probably-Covid-19-cases-NOVEMBER-countrys-virus-chief-claims.html
Anyway, Lewis is an island
The over 35s football team I play for were top of the league and in the semi final of the cup before lockdown. Very disappointing
https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1257634407881596929?s=20
https://twitter.com/kirsty11e/status/1257619634913714176?s=20
Tack could be a vector and so could horse hair same as any other surface.
The biggest risk at our yard when following guidelines, I always considered to be the shared tap.
We mucked out our friends horses after they immediately realised they had the virus for a week or so, just stuck to three rules.
i) Don't touch your face at the yard.
ii) Wash hands after you're done, particularly after using the tap.
iii) Socially distance from others.
No transmission during the "in" (Lasts Nov to May) period at the stables. Didn't bother with a mask at any point as you're outdoors.
Massive negative effect if the public start hoarding them while there's a supply shortage for medical workers though.
https://twitter.com/BrianCathcart/status/1257606684144480257?s=20
https://twitter.com/AlexInAir/status/1257644081024466944?s=20
This is like the 1973 oil crisis - many until then still viable passenger liners started making one way trips to the breakers and the trans Atlantic liner service was left with one ship sailing (which survived another 30 years...) - the QE2.
You’ll be telling me memes aren’t facts next.
Which is why your analysts devising tests should be working from the approved written spec of the product, and not talking to the dev team!
The obvious bit I missed was that one area of the test building should be a dead spot for mobile reception, to test queuing of data packet transmission in both directions.
And I was told, nay, PROMISED on here that it was just them asking questions that the government didn't want to answer.
LOLies.
Also of the English ice cricket team.
Large amounts of neutral views on the press in Malta
"Dig for victory"......
https://twitter.com/PostPolls/status/1257636660189245447?s=20
Modelling shows that even a masks that are only 20% effective in filtering out virus significantly lower the rate of transmission (and most are better than that).
Unless you think puppets are going to object.
Turns out it was the other ECB, the cricket one.
I think most of us on here are the types that would research how to use stuff with which we are not familiar, forgetting that the vast majority of the rest of the public are unlikely to do so.
Interesting that the Feench test positive case on Dec 27th had no history of travel or connection with China. I presume they have excluded a false positive, but it does muddy the waters considerably.
https://twitter.com/SirSocks/status/1257631759514173441?s=20
The Swedish claim doesn't seem to be based on much beyond his opinion.
The old fleet are unlikely to survive this, the Queens of the Skies now all heading for scrappers and cargo conversions.
I was on the QE2 only a couple of months ago, as it happens. She's now a floating hotel in Dubai
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.28.20075788v1
...In this observational case series, patient-level data were extracted from electronic medical records for 28,336 patients tested for SARS-CoV-2 at the Mount Sinai Health System from 2/24/ to 4/15/2020, including 6,158 laboratory-confirmed cases. Exposures: Confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis by RT-PCR assay from nasal swabs. Main Outcomes and Measures: Effects of race on positive test rates and mortality were assessed. Among positive cases admitted to the hospital (N = 3,273), effects of patient demographics, hospital site and unit, social behavior, vital signs, lab results, and disease comorbidities on discharge and death were estimated. Results: Hispanics (29%) and African Americans (25%) had disproportionately high positive case rates relative to population base rates (p< 2e-16); however, no differences in mortality rates were observed in the hospital. Outcome differed significantly between hospitals (Gray's T=248.9; p< 2e-16), reflecting differences in average baseline age and underlying comorbidities. Significant risk factors for mortality included age (HR=1.05 [95% CI, 1.04-1.06]; p=1.15e-32), oxygen saturation (HR=0.985 [95% CI, 0.982-0.988]; p=1.57e-17), care in ICU areas (HR=1.58 [95% CI, 1.29-1.92]; p=7.81e-6), and elevated creatinine (HR=1.75 [95% CI, 1.47-2.10]; p=7.48e-10), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (HR=1.002, [95% CI 1.001-1.003]; p=8.86e-5) and body-mass index (BMI) (HR=1.02, [95% CI 1.00-1.03]; p=1.09e-2). Asthma (HR=0.78 [95% CI, 0.62-0.98]; p=0.031) was significantly associated with increased length of hospital stay, but not mortality. Deceased patients were more likely to have elevated markers of inflammation. Baseline age, BMI, oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, white blood cell (WBC) count, creatinine, and ALT were significant prognostic indicators of mortality. Conclusions and Relevance: While race was associated with higher risk of infection, we did not find a racial disparity in inpatient mortality suggesting that outcomes in a single tertiary care health system are comparable across races. We identified clinical features associated with reduced mortality and discharge. These findings could help to identify which COVID-19 patients are at greatest risk and evaluate the impact on survival....
usual caveats about the last few days will change
We need to find things with only a dozen people required in a room, including competitors, officials and media. Maybe some well spread-out outdoor sports too.
We know all the international touring sports are out, and professional football, cricket, rugby and motorsport all need a cast of hundreds for a competitive televised event. Also out is anything that relies too much on public attendance for revenue.
So what are we left with? Some local golf and tennis, darts, snooker?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/05/why-has-eastern-europe-suffered-less-from-coronavirus-than-the-west
I think it misses that central and eastern Europe are both emptier and less connected than western Europe, but the point about early lockdown is a fair one.