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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes make Sturgeon going his year an 11/10 bet

With rumours swelling that Scotland’s First Minister is to resign, the bookies make Sturgeon 11/10 to have left her post before the end of 2020, however it is odds-on at 4/6 she is still in charge.
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https://twitter.com/bea_johanssen/status/1231670297478254593
Still eleven league games to go.
Worse even than Weinstein were the shocking allegations made by his daughter against Australian Labor politician Bob Hawke.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-50704179
When raped by another Labor politician, his daughter was told by Bob "You can’t [go to the police]. I can’t have any controversies right now. I am sorry but I am challenging for the leadership of the Labor Party.”
"Populism isn’t about class
Why do liberal-Left commentators want to believe Brexit was a 'middle-class civil war'?
BY MATTHEW GOODWIN"
https://unherd.com/2020/02/populism-isnt-about-class/
So the media lost interest
Apologies for the crudity
Her hopes and dreams were for getting and winning a second referendum but following last years election she now knows she can't possibly get one. That potentially plays into the SNP's favour in the long term as it stokes up resentment but for her she's got nothing left to play for, she simply can't get what she wants.
So now that her allies are turning on her getting ready to fight to replace her, what has she got to fight on for? The domestic agenda that she's not that bothered by frankly? Just dragging time out trying to stoke resentment?
She's got nothing much left to do. She may as well go now.
I'm so old I can remember when the phone hacking trials were going to end David Cameron's Premiership.
I'm 52 and weigh the same as I did when I was 21. I highly doubt that would be the case if I were subscribing to the morally bankrupt religion of carnism.
However, it does seem that UK Labour are as incurious as Australian Labor on this particular matter.
Weinstein was’t good-looking or particularly simpatico.
If the allegations had been made against a popular, youngish, good-looking actor, would they have been taken as seriously and would people have been so unanimously on the side of the women?
Random news paper fantasises that Sturgeon is in trouble.
SNP figures rubbish the claim, the fact that they rubbish the claim is to be hen used as evidence that Sturgeon is in trouble.
Sturgeon does Marr interview and Marr ask if she's quitting. Sturgeon saying No is then used as evidence that Sturgeon is in trouble (WTF?)
How we have a piece by Tom Harris as evidence that Sturgeon is in trouble?
What next? Tweets by EffieDeans show Sturgeon is about to go?
The one argument that gives me pause for thought over FOM is that it denies people from poorer EU countries the chance to get rich quick over here. I'd be all for that if it were the rich Brits who paid for it, but while they were earning out of it at the expense of British low paid workers, I struggle to see how anyone vaguely left wing over 40 could swallow it - the greatest capitalist invention ever, only possible because Thatcher destroyed the Trade Unions.
Mike Tyson was popular, young and good looking in the early 90s I guess?
His personal circumstances (his wife has a very serious health condition) would probably mean he wasn't up for another go.
By.
Boris.
Fortunately for the SNP, Richard Leonard is in charge.
Still a long haul for Nicola though. May next year for the election, then the inevitable haggling, then the campaign. If the SNP win I think it will be in 2022 or 2023. Of course without Nicola they might find it a lot harder to win that majority. Without it its just not happening.
The SNP aren't prepared to UDI or hold an illegal referendum and the generation quote gives him a figleaf to say no and move on.
Sage Kelly New York Post
Of course this might be wrong but if so may explain if her enthusiasm could be waning. Lifestyle changes can diminish political enthusiasm, most recently shown by Ruth Davidson and Tom Watson.
The SNP are impotent during this Parliament. But with banging a drum of their grievance about London blocking Scotland's destiny, they deprive Labour of the oxygen to mount any meaningful recovery.
https://twitter.com/mark_mclaughlin/status/1231994517731102723?s=20
https://twitter.com/k_vijayendra8/status/1231944349644050433?s=20
And he just surrendered Florida:
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/24/florida-dems-uproar-sanders-cuba-comments-117213
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/24/blackpac-poll-democrats-117243
That will be playing 24/7 on Florida tv ad breaks come the GE. The Cuban population of Florida will be as repulsed as the Jews here about Corbyn, it will be absolutely toxic.
I would certainly not venture to guess how far the SNP would go in pursuit of their dream of an independent panacea.
At the VERY minimum they could; test out the case for ref 2 in court (who knows what would happen), win Hollyrood 2021 (likely), withdraw all their MPs and MSPs triggering a constitutional crisis as Scotland wouldn't have a government, use mass resignations and by election's as a perfectly legal 'indicatory' referendum.
And that's just off the top of my head. We're in for a bumpy ride.
In all, 53 of the city state’s 90 cases have ‘fully recovered from the infection’ and been discharged from hospital, the Health Ministry said in a statement
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/3052150/coronavirus-singapore-recovery-rate-outpaces-infections
SCOTTISH SUN SAYS Having an X-rated drag queen called Flowjob visit Scots schoolkids doesn’t normalise LGBT life
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-news/5319080/drag-queen-flowjob-paisley-school-lgbt/
Market still 10% under-round.
Sanders 43
Buttigieg 26
Biden 13
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
So Sanders has 44% of delegates - not that far off 50%.
(4 more delegates still to be awarded in Nevada).
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/primaries-and-caucuses
Buttigieg 26
Biden 15
Once they're all in.
No delegates for Buttigieg from South Carolina methinks
The reality continues to be that, unless we see multiple moderates leave the race between now and Super Tuesday, then Sanders is the nominee.
And of course that applies just as much to (for example) Venezuelan ex pats.
Younger second or third generation Cuban Americans might well not care as much as you describe, but it will have an effect.
The increasing global spread of the coronavirus has increased the risk of greater economic disruption for longer resulting in say a 20% fall in share markets. However, our base case of containment is that Chinese, global and hence Australian growth will rebound in the June quarter (avoiding recession in Australia’s case) although the risk of a delay is significant. Against this background share markets, commodity prices and the $A remain at high risk of more downside in the short-term, but assuming some containment and a growth rebound in the June quarter markets should rebound by then. Easier than otherwise monetary and fiscal policies - with ever more stimulus measures announced in China and more monetary and fiscal easing globally - would add to this. The key things to watch for remain a further downtrend in the daily number of new cases globally and a peak in new cases in developed countries....
And most vegans don't stay that way. They go back to a balanced diet. Due to (err) health reasons.
Thanks for your answer last night.
Very informative.
https://twitter.com/Grouse_Beater/status/1232070779224895490/photo/1