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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review (Final Part
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review (Final Part)
This is it. We’re at the point of no return, there’s no going back now. We’re had numerous articles, interviews, political shows, polls and retirements. The only stage left now is the official results!
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What a nail biter!
Anyone would think the soldiers were paid to shoot at his supporting cast...
As they were eatiing their starters, Kirk Douglas came through and was invited to join them. Places were set and, as she reported back to her incredulous mother,
"I've just had dinner sat between Spartacus and Ben Hur...."
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225286636302471170
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225299339720974336
What an absolute clusterf..., the only winners are Mike Bloomberg and Donald Trump.
It would be nice to see that "recovered" number start catching up with the "confirmed cases". 28,89 confirmed cases, just 1,219 recovered. Obviously it is going to lag, but for how long gives some idea of the strain it is going to put on health services - and the level of effective care they can offer.
Four More Years.....sigh.
A better opportunity for him, one would think, would be if there had been errors in reporting, such as we saw earlier today where Sanders votes had been attributed to Street.
What do you think the Finance Secretary is going to say?
But if he had any sense, he wouldn’t have done what he did.
Now Vice News has got hold of a copy of it, so that researchers (and nosey journalists) can take a look for themselves. Sadly the web server back end is now switched off and the counting is being done manually.
https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/z3b3g9/here-is-a-link-to-the-shadow-inc-app-that-blew-up-the-iowa-caucus
I don't watch much news nowadays, but how much coverage has this been getting? Suspect that Trump's still dominating foreign news.
I've no problem with rewarding people for public service, but keeping them on as legislators, frankly, make the country look somewhat ridiculous.
Pause.
I’ll get my coat.
While I am doing that, let us consider this unfortunately all too prescient HIGNFY clip form about four years ago:
https://youtu.be/Y3kqYyezeTY
Have a good morning.
https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1225312942125613056?s=20
An unfortunate clique in the upper echelons of SNP at present.
I imagine the wrist brace manufacturers will be seeing a surge in sales to compete with the face mask guys, particularly among the migrant yoon community.
Are there any reciprocal deals in place for sharing 2nd preferences with other parties also standing only one candidate?
Why is it that SF are Billy No Mates south of the border, yet in government on the north side?
Is it just the threat to FF and FG of being squeezed out?
What are the constitutional obstacles North and South to a unification poll?
Hard to see this not being a hundred times worse even if not a crime.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/feb/06/economists-warning-boris-johnson-election-pledge-output
Has anyone who's posted actually read it?
What does the "7" in the web address of this site mean or indicate?
Last man standing will be the one who just writes letters.
Likely to be a leftover from an old Wordpress load-balancing system, from the days when all the comments were in-house on the Wordpress page and poor Robert the admin had a nightmare keeping it running as the site became more popular.
It would take Boris Johnson two full terms as prime minister to fulfil his pledge to “level up” the British economy, according to one of the UK’s leading economic thinktanks.
If there was genuine levelling up of the economy over a ten year period wouldn't that be a success on just about every metric imaginable?
Who would actually stand against that as a policy, and for what reason?
I would have thought it was pretty obvious that it isn't something that can be done sustainably in a couple of years. Quick fixes have a reputation for quick collapses.
It's the bit like the French Resistance; quite a lot were Communists, but by no means all, and there was, IIRC, somewhat of a 'disagreement' between the various wings after the Liberation.
I've no idea how this one will end up and just hope the market doesn't get voided.
The real question is why did things change so quickly since the 2019 Euros, when Fine Gael were polling nearly double all their competitors.
I have no insights into Irish politics, but it is clear that Leo took a winning position and changed it into a losing one.
Does. Not. Compute.......
(There were no doubt some heads exploding when Boris pulled Sir David Attenborough out his magician's hat. Wait until he really runs with the green agenda. He's going to turn Extinction Rebellion into the Young Conservatives...)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirk_Douglas#/media/File:Douglas_-_Bacall_-_Horn_1950.jpg
1) Everything a Tory government does is wrong
2) While we stand for change and progress all actual change and progress is to be opposed
3) We assume our readers are people living mostly miserable and pathetic lives and are looking for someone to blame
4) Inspiring them with hope would be bad for our market position
5) Our motto is 'Maximally benefiting from the misery of others'
6) Our masthead reads 'Your life is rubbish and it is someone else's fault.'
When you read the Guardian in such a light it starts to make sense.
How else do journalists get to send their kids to posh schools and become Masters of Oxford colleges?
But yes, post Sindy, the SNP will most likely split into a right and left wing faction, and the Unionist parties become much diminished.
As an outsider, the Democratic party seem to have the problem. First, they put up a supremely incompetent candidate in Hillary whose main selling point is her hubby was President and she has a vagina. She managed to lose to Trump - a man who is barely sentient.
Then they try impeachment to produce a spectacle that they hope will do l politically. American presidents of both stripes have had interesting back-stories and Trump's naked politicking in office hardly compares. Trump' main crime is that he's uncouth, but he generally does what he says he will - barmy though it may be.
All the Democrats can offer is efficiency and that's going well. An Iowa caucus from out of the Bash Street kids, and an impeachment process which failed (as it was bound to do) cost a fortune, and looked the farce it was.
Are they trying to win?
It does rather have a ring of Gordon Brown's end of boom and bust about it.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/02/05/theresa-may-allies-say-has-stature-head-un-climate-change-conference/
FWIW - I think she’d be able to do anything on this but chair it. She doesn’t have the people skills.
Presumably all the papers are already printed, and the next however many days of Parliamentary time set aside to debate it?
SF have not got enough candidates to take advantage of their surge I suspect.
https://twitter.com/gremisch/status/1225192942962380802?s=20