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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First results from Iowa have Buttgieg in the lead
This appears to be based on the proportion of delegates that were elected. These are provisional and there are others results still to come
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Comments
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First like Mayor Pete.
Told you all to lay the old dudes in this race.
I am Nostradamus reincarnated.0 -
Buttigieg narrowly ahead of Sanders on state delegates so far, note not the same as the percentage of the vote https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1224816239803092992?s=200
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CNN have the map - Pete's support very broad, right across the state. He's played an absolute blinder here.0
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Not that I'm getting ahead of myself but I'm trying to work out the odds of Liverpool achieving the following this season
1) Completing the PL, CL, and FA Cup, treble
2) Getting over 100 points
3) Going unbeaten in the PL
If all three happen then I will be positively unbearable*.
*More so than usual.2 -
Doesn't that make you a very old dude?TheScreamingEagles said:First like Mayor Pete.
Told you all to lay the old dudes in this race.
I am Nostradamus reincarnated.2 -
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We don't know who won.
Because we don't know where that 38% remaining is from.0 -
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:1 -
Worth remembering that this means that Sanders needs to be six percentage points ahead in the remaining 39% to win.HYUFD said:Buttigieg narrowly ahead of Sanders on state delegates, note not the same as the percentage of the vote https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1224816239803092992?s=20
That's possible. But difficult.1 -
Klobuchar seems to have done pretty well, also. Her and Pete seems like a good ticket, although it would make more sense with her leading it.1
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Second alignment.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/iowa0 -
WaPo seems to think it's final alignment.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/election-results/iowa/0 -
Good point [Edit: But wrong!]TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?0 -
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?0 -
Yes, thanks everyone.Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point [Edit: But wrong!]TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Warren doing a little better than expected, then compared to last night.0 -
This surely puts Biden in the last chance saloon, and possibly out the door altogether. If he isn’t a winner what’s the point? He has absolutely nothing else to offer.1
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Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?0 -
Made almost as much money in the ten seconds between CNN updating their website API and their coverage as the whole of last night and beforehand...0
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MSNBC banging on about all the connections between Mayor Pete campaign and the app developer. Awks.0
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South Carolina is his target, because it tests his support with African-AmericansFoxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?0 -
UhhhFoxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?0 -
Surely he'd have wanted this headline yesterday!!FrancisUrquhart said:MSNBC banging on about all the connections between Mayor Pete campaign and the app developer. Awks.
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So have the Dems retrieved the mess of last night - or compounded it?0
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Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?2 -
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Knowing how to fix elections?FrancisUrquhart said:MSNBC banging on about all the connections between Mayor Pete campaign and the app developer. Awks.
Dems need that man...0 -
Sanders will win New Hampshire. Has a good shot at Nevada on the 22nd. If he doesn't do badly in South Carolina on the 29th, that sets him up well for the big day on 3 March.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?1 -
I make it less than that. There are 760 SDEs left up for grabs, Sanders trails by 25. That's 3.3%.rcs1000 said:
Worth remembering that this means that Sanders needs to be six percentage points ahead in the remaining 39% to win.HYUFD said:Buttigieg narrowly ahead of Sanders on state delegates, note not the same as the percentage of the vote https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1224816239803092992?s=20
That's possible. But difficult.1 -
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Backed Pete earlier today in Iowa. Now laid it off for a profit.
Pete was being way, way, way, waaaay too confident for someone who didn't have a chance and 3.1 was a great price.0 -
And when do when get the other 30%?0
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Apparently not. He obviously should have spent more time chatting to his friend from the Office of Transition Initiatives.Foxy said:
Knowing how to fix elections?FrancisUrquhart said:MSNBC banging on about all the connections between Mayor Pete campaign and the app developer. Awks.
Dems need that man...0 -
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.1 -
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
Makes up for the fact I laid Pete for the Nom down to zero a little while ago.0
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seanT has reinvented himself again......HYUFD said:
3 -
My Girl The Big Liz still in this thing.0
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Hardly, Sanders has just won the popular vote in Iowa and is ahead in New Hampshire and was closing in on Biden in SC with Buttigieg under 10%Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1224731934510714881?s=20
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1223957648107851777?s=200 -
Amy Klobuchar hasn't done too badly on these results: 12.6% of delegates is pretty respectable when the three leaders are on 18% to 27%. Enough to stay in the race? Maybe, if Joe decides this isn't going anywhere for him.0
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This partial result is going to dominate the news cycle and potentially influence subsequent primaries, too.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
NPR has SDEs. That is the state delegates isn't it? It's all a bit confusing after a couple of glasses of wine.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
And that's why I locked in the profit on Mayor Pete.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
I have greened out. Sanders was far too short earlier today.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.
I am not at all convinced by these state polls.0 -
So I best get learning how to properly pronounce Buttigieg.2
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Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
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Klobuchar running for Veep nomination at this point. And is strongly ahead.0
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He drops of very precipitously very fast. I've seen some focus group results that suggest he is strong with African Americans because they believe in his electabilty more than anything else and his strength with African Americans adds to his aura of electibilty to other groups.DavidL said:This surely puts Biden in the last chance saloon, and possibly out the door altogether. If he isn’t a winner what’s the point? He has absolutely nothing else to offer.
One crack and that all goes. He could be ceasing campaigning within days.0 -
Likewise.Alistair said:
And that's why I locked in the profit on Mayor Pete.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.
Not a bad evening's work. Friday curry paid for.0 -
He won't mind the race becoming Bernie v Pete too much. Warren did a little too well in Iowa though for his likingtyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
Sanders-Klobuchar would be a very strong ticket, has both wings of the party.Kevin_McCandless said:Klobuchar running for Veep nomination at this point. And is strongly ahead.
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Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
But it's a giant mess, so any result will be diminished in importance because no one will believe that they are accurate.Stereotomy said:
This partial result is going to dominate the news cycle and potentially influence subsequent primaries, too.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
Klobuchar too much of an opponent off healthcare reform, I thinkPulpstar said:
Sanders-Klobuchar would be a very strong ticket, has both wings of the party.Kevin_McCandless said:Klobuchar running for Veep nomination at this point. And is strongly ahead.
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Buttigieg had his field ops in places no one had ever heard of iirc.
Looks like the rural votes have come in, judging by the maps. But I'm no expert on Iowa countryside.0 -
Yes, which also damages the actual winner, compared to the results just coming out as they were supposed to.speedy2 said:
But it's a giant mess, so any result will be diminished in importance because no one will believe that they are accurate.Stereotomy said:
This partial result is going to dominate the news cycle and potentially influence subsequent primaries, too.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
Sanders-Klobuchar is a losing ticket. Why would someone who might win saddle herself to a loser?TheWhiteRabbit said:
Klobuchar too much of an opponent off healthcare reform, I thinkPulpstar said:
Sanders-Klobuchar would be a very strong ticket, has both wings of the party.Kevin_McCandless said:Klobuchar running for Veep nomination at this point. And is strongly ahead.
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2 & 3 , I fancy them.TheScreamingEagles said:Not that I'm getting ahead of myself but I'm trying to work out the odds of Liverpool achieving the following this season
1) Completing the PL, CL, and FA Cup, treble
2) Getting over 100 points
3) Going unbeaten in the PL
If all three happen then I will be positively unbearable*.
*More so than usual.
1, not so much.0 -
Momentum is what matters in first two states.Foxy said:
Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
Just say " Buttplug" in a confident way, and see how many people follow you in...TheScreamingEagles said:So I best get learning how to properly pronounce Buttigieg.
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BF - sanders 3; Buttigieg 1.40
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If Biden's collapse continues, and if Bernie does end up winning the first three states, South Carolina will be an interesting one.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
That is Sanders problem. The ideal result for him would be Sanders-Buttigieg-Biden as it would keep two moderates in the race, and drop Warren out.TheWhiteRabbit said:
He won't mind the race becoming Bernie v Pete too much. Warren did a little too well in Iowa though for his likingtyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
But Buttigieg-Sanders-Warren is harder because there is the risk that Biden (who has no money) ends up dropping out. In which case you have one moderate (Buttigieg) and two left wingers.0 -
I agree on the sentiment- but Bernie stands a better chance of winning if he comes through on the sidelines rather than a frontman...Foxy said:
Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.0 -
Anyone know when we get the result of the results? Not worth staying up much longer.0
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Or just keep him as Booty-gig.TheScreamingEagles said:So I best get learning how to properly pronounce Buttigieg.
"It's the Booty-gig economy, stupid....."0 -
Looks like you called 'too old' Biden right Mike. But bigger states to come.MikeSmithson said:0 -
Bernie won't win Iowa.Stereotomy said:
If Biden's collapse continues, and if Bernie does end up winning the first three states, South Carolina will be an interesting one.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
There are too many precincts in Buttigieg friendly rural districts.0 -
Now would be a terrible time to go over the message archives and pick out what people were saying about who was 100% definetly
guaranteed to win (or not win) the nomination.
I think I have a bad Sanders prediction in there.0 -
Don't agree. The winner (or winner presumptive) is going to be constantly in the news between now and New Hampshire next Tuesday. And Pete is already drawing fire from Trump, which makes him look even better. This might be even better for Pete than if they'd just announced him the winner last night and then moved on.speedy2 said:
But it's a giant mess, so any result will be diminished in importance because no one will believe that they are accurate.Stereotomy said:
This partial result is going to dominate the news cycle and potentially influence subsequent primaries, too.speedy2 said:
I'm so annoyed about everyone calling it for Buttigieg on State Delegates on a lead of less than 2% on State Delegates when we don't know what that 38% of votes left is from.rottenborough said:
I'm not calling the race and no one should until we know where that vote is from.0 -
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Not necessarilyFoxy said:
Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1224463798054129664?s=20
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1223311559625019392?s=200 -
“Minorities hare him” is not exactly a factual statement...rcs1000 said:0 -
Yep, and his record in that role is one big reason they hate him.rcs1000 said:0 -
We have precinct data.
Half of the vote is outstanding in Des Moine.1 -
Though very active on drug pricing, particularly insulin and related items. Amy is more of a gradualist on health care, I can see that playing well in Middle America.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Klobuchar too much of an opponent off healthcare reform, I thinkPulpstar said:
Sanders-Klobuchar would be a very strong ticket, has both wings of the party.Kevin_McCandless said:Klobuchar running for Veep nomination at this point. And is strongly ahead.
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Biden will likely win South Carolina regardless and stay in the racercs1000 said:
That is Sanders problem. The ideal result for him would be Sanders-Buttigieg-Biden as it would keep two moderates in the race, and drop Warren out.TheWhiteRabbit said:
He won't mind the race becoming Bernie v Pete too much. Warren did a little too well in Iowa though for his likingtyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
But Buttigieg-Sanders-Warren is harder because there is the risk that Biden (who has no money) ends up dropping out. In which case you have one moderate (Buttigieg) and two left wingers.0 -
Exactly. The AA vote loves Biden because Obama. That feeling won't survive contact with reality going into South Carolina, unless Biden improves drastically in the next few contests. So their votes are all up for grabs.rcs1000 said:0 -
Labour CLPs nominations at the end of the night...deadline is Feb 14th
https://twitter.com/CLPNominations/status/1224822439835664385?s=20
Thornberry picked Brentwood & Ongar and Vale of Glamorgan tonight.
She needs 33 CLPs0 -
That's why he gets 0% of African Am.rcs1000 said:
His record is a lead weight.0 -
Bless! After believing the polls in Iowa...HYUFD said:
Not necessarilyFoxy said:
Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
//twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1224463798054129664?s=20
/twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1223311559625019392?s=200 -
It's a fair Kop...TheScreamingEagles said:Not that I'm getting ahead of myself but I'm trying to work out the odds of Liverpool achieving the following this season
1) Completing the PL, CL, and FA Cup, treble
2) Getting over 100 points
3) Going unbeaten in the PL
If all three happen then I will be positively unbearable*.
*More so than usual.0 -
Thanks. Probably not Pete country?speedy2 said:We have precinct data.
Half of the vote is outstanding in Des Moine.0 -
Next week’s polling will be more interesting, after this result has had a couple of days of media exposure.Foxy said:
Bless! After believing the polls in Iowa...HYUFD said:
Not necessarilyFoxy said:
Nah, the overwhelming thing for Dems is to have a candidate who can beat Trump. That isn't going to be Bernie or Joe.tyson said:
Strangely, this may well work out for the Bern......better for him to build up momentum rather than rush ahead with a huge target on his back.,....Foxy said:
Stake your money as you choose.Pulpstar said:
Writing Bernie Sanders off after this result is a hilariously bad take.Foxy said:
Yep. Biden will be out by Super Tuesday. Bernie afterwards, I reckon.rottenborough said:
If that's 1st, then it has to be Pete doesn't it?Richard_Nabavi said:
Good point.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks like the first alignment figures to meHYUFD said:
Big picture: not great for Sleepy Joe, is it?
Sanders will probably get New Hampshire, but not enough on super Tuesday.
//twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1224463798054129664?s=20/twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1223311559625019392?s=200 -
David Cameron's bodyguard sparks panic on BA flight from London to New York when passenger finds loaded Glock pistol he accidentally left in toilets of jet
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7966945/David-Camerons-bodyguard-leaves-gun-jet-toilet.html0 -
South Bend is majority African American?rcs1000 said:0 -
Situation in the Deputy race
https://twitter.com/CLPNominations/status/1224823709678161923?s=20
Murray nominated by Perthshire South and Kinross and Glasgow Pollock tonight. There should be enough Scottish CLPs left for him to reach 33
Allin-Khan got 4 CLPs tonight: Brentwood and Ongar, North Wiltshire, Wimbledon, Vale of Glamorgan1 -
Watching CNN this evening, seems like Mayor Pete is their favourite candidate. Bigging him up while barely mentioning Sanders or Warren.0
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Yet Sanders is only just ahead in Polk County. (ie, Des Moine)speedy2 said:We have precinct data.
Half of the vote is outstanding in Des Moine.0 -
Buttigieg is only two points behind Bernie in Des Moines. If that were true for all the remaining precincts (and there are a lot of rural precincts still to come), Buttigieg would still will by a percent.speedy2 said:We have precinct data.
Half of the vote is outstanding in Des Moine.
People betting on Sanders here are idiots. The real odds should be 10 or 12 to 1.1 -
In 2015 he got 80% of the vote in South Bend. Presumably at least some of the other 20% were Republicans...Stereotomy said:
Yep, and his record in that role is one big reason they hate him.rcs1000 said:
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Looks like Sanders did best in Sioux City1
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95/177 precincts in Des Moines have reported. That's 56%, barely different from the 61% reported number for state as a whole.
This implies that Sanders is unlikely to get a meaningful boost from Des Moines being so far underrepresented.0 -
He’s news, that’s why. Sanders was expected to win.FrancisUrquhart said:Watching CNN this evening, seems like Mayor Pete is their favourite candidate. Bigging him up while barely mentioning Sanders or Warren.
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The torch is passing to a new generation.FrancisUrquhart said:Watching CNN this evening, seems like Mayor Pete is their favourite candidate. Bigging him up while barely mentioning Sanders or Warren.
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Like the t shirts say, Boot Edge Edge.TheScreamingEagles said:So I best get learning how to properly pronounce Buttigieg.
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