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Newcastle upon Tyne Central: Lab HOLD
Comments
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I never thought I would see the day that Blyth Valley voted for a Tory0
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First like Boris - I thought I was. Well done numbertwelve0
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LDs will be super excited to have retained their deposits.1
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turns out calling people racists and fools for three and half years isn't a vote winner.8
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First time evernumbertwelve said:I never thought I would see the day that Blyth Valley voted for a Tory
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Massive.0
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Can someone check on Owen Jones?0
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As mentioned, the collected results so far look strong, but not like an 80 majority. There could be huge regional swings and variations, though.0
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Congrats to Robert Smithson.
Fantastic prediction.0 -
Blyth Valley is seismic.
This is going o be a bloodbath. Could it be a 100+ majority?2 -
How did Sky miss Blyth Valley being declared?0
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Hail to thee, Blyth Valley!0
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Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?0
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HelpKentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blythe?
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Tory/Brexit party alliance causing havoc for remoaners - shame I can t enjoy yet cuz of snp exit poll number0
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Average swing after 3 results, 7%.
Majority of 104 with UNS.0 -
This is extraordinary. Surely Hemsworth is in trouble too?0
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John Bercow describes early results as "catastrophic for Labour"0
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Any more seats expected shortly?0
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My prediction wasn't far off.Casino_Royale said:Congrats to Robert Smithson.
Fantastic prediction.0 -
Marr saying Lords may sit between Xmas and New Years!0
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"Just look at the remain parties votes combined" followed by "give away a former heartland seat" - wondered if this meant PC + LD + Green for a minute. But then realised "remain parties" supposedly included Labour. And this was Labour heartland, not "Remainia" heartland. Perhaps a clue in there somewhere.0
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Remember how the "reverse-Farrage" would be more beneficial to the Tories...KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
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Let us reiterate: Labour since 1910.ydoethur said:This is extraordinary. Surely Hemsworth is in trouble too?
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Not sounding too good.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Can someone check on Owen Jones?
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/12052450840500838400 -
It could, they've got a lot of seats very close. I suppose it could be a bit below the projection, but probably not below a 60-70 majority in any case. The results we've had so far are very close to what the exit poll was showing.RobinWiggs said:Blyth Valley is seismic.
This is going o be a bloodbath. Could it be a 100+ majority?0 -
Labour's vote share catastrophic. A fearful and bloody slaughter on the cards.1
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They helped, of course.KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
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If Lord Pannick can talk for 5 years the Tories will hold all these seats0
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Probably helped reduce the Labour vote that wouldn’t transfer to Con.KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
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Nothing to suggest exit poll wrong - say Sky news
Deep, deep joy0 -
I would proffer that they helped.KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
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It can't be over emphasised how BAD the Blyth Valley and Houghton results are for LAB. They are brain meltingly bad!!!
Still uncertainty in London might be bad, Wales could be good, Scotland * knows
MAJ unlikely to be below 40 could be 1000 -
Help, massively. This is what I said about them standing in red seats - the Leavers who could stomach voting for the Tories did so. Those who could never vote Tory under any circumstances went BXP instead of Labour.KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
Had BXP stood down those votes would have gone back to Labour.2 -
Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?2
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Looks about 50-60 so far, but could be even better or worse than the exit poll, depending on crazy regional swings.Jason said:Labour's vote share catastrophic. A fearful and bloody slaughter on the cards.
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Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
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OOOPS - ‘Brexit Poll’ - brilliant Freudian slip by Edwards!
Curtice saying the exit poll borne out so far.0 -
That Blyth result must exceed even the exit poll. Amazing result.0
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Arise, Lord Curtice!2
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Blyth surely suggests a Conservative landslide?1
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Anyone got a link to the November YouGov MRP pdf?0
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Looks like the BP might in many seats take enough from the Labour Party even if the Tories don’t increase their vote much to allow them through .
The Tories better deliver for those Labour Leave areas .0 -
We need some Remain seats as wellspeedy2 said:Average swing after 3 results, 7%.
Majority of 104 with UNS.0 -
Blyth Valley was number 116 on the Tory target list:
http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative0 -
The Brexit Party proving to be the, ahem, Tories' backstop....Philip_Thompson said:
Help, massively. This is what I said about them standing in red seats - the Leavers who could stomach voting for the Tories did so. Those who could never vote Tory under any circumstances went BXP instead of Labour.KentRising said:Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
Had BXP stood down those votes would have gone back to Labour.0 -
She's probably crying. Again. Hehnumbertwelve said:
Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
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The Curtice has been activated....2
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This is a lot of fun PB Tories. I hope in particular Francis AKA Tweek is feeling better about things!1
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Jones is a fool.rottenborough said:
Not sounding too good.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Can someone check on Owen Jones?
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/12052450840500838402 -
Majority of 200?Andy_JS said:Blyth Valley was number 116 on the Tory target list:
http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative
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I seem to have made some really shitty bets this election.
I've bet on all the wrong Tory holds and I fear won't be on the right gains.
Might only be up a tiny smidgen!0 -
One of her tweets has already been featured on the Beeb. Lashing out, upset.Byronic said:
She's probably crying. Again. Hehnumbertwelve said:
Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
Loving it.0 -
The comments under his tweets are stupendously funny. Half yes it was Brexit, half no it was Corbyn you twat. I'm with the latter half.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Can someone check on Owen Jones?
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Hmmm. Curtice casts doubt on SNP numbers.
I took it they have less coverage.1 -
It's almost like I said exactly this a few days ago...nico67 said:Looks like the BP might in many seats take enough from the Labour Party even if the Tories don’t increase their vote much to allow them through .
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John Curtice: less confident of the exit poll in Scotland due to fewer sampling points.1
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Blythe Valley, the new Nuneaton...0
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You were pretending to be a remainer a few months ago.Byronic said:
She's probably crying. Again. Hehnumbertwelve said:
Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
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You and Sean Fear did well.TheScreamingEagles said:
My prediction wasn't far off.Casino_Royale said:Congrats to Robert Smithson.
Fantastic prediction.2 -
Thank you so much to every Remainer MP like Soubry, Grieve and all the others who rejected Theresa May's deal.
Tonight would have been impossible without their hard work. Thank you!0 -
Does @FrancisUrquhart sheet update on its own? What do I have to do?0
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Blyth valley was as forecast on exit poll0
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On that we can agreeJonathan said:
Jones is a fool.rottenborough said:
Not sounding too good.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Can someone check on Owen Jones?
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/12052450840500838401 -
https://bit.ly/2snr4RwAlistair said:Anyone got a link to the November YouGov MRP pdf?
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Wasn't Newcastle remain?bigjohnowls said:
We need some Remain seats as wellspeedy2 said:Average swing after 3 results, 7%.
Majority of 104 with UNS.0 -
He's tinkering on the back-end. BBC changed stuff so a bit of a scramble.isam said:Does @FrancisUrquhart sheet update on its own? What do I have to do?
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Blyth Valley has an unusually old population. High boomer count. 36.5% boomersnumbertwelve said:I never thought I would see the day that Blyth Valley voted for a Tory
Houghton and Sunderland South 35.9% boomer.
National average is 31.7%
Newcastle Central is 22.1% boomer.
I think this is why we are seeing differential swings between these seats.
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Good. One of the worst of the current crop of pretendy journalists.rottenborough said:
Not sounding too good.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Can someone check on Owen Jones?
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1205245084050083840
John Harris knew what was coming.1 -
YOU KNOW WHAT?
YOU KNOW WHAT THIS MEANS?
NEVER FUCK WITH THE BRITISH PEOPLE
IF THEY SAY LEAVE, THEY REALLY MEAN LEAVE
SO IF THEY SAY DO IT, THEY MEAN DO IT, SO YOU JUST FUCKING GET IT DONE9 -
I suspected so.Time_to_Leave said:Hmmm. Curtice casts doubt on SNP numbers.
I took it they have less coverage.0 -
It's still early, but it's only worth staying up much longer if one's in it for the long haul, and I won't be (had kind of planned for that, but I do need to do some work tomorrow).
Anyway, hope you all have fun celebrating/drowning your sorrows.0 -
Leadership figures, it is always the leadership figures.Casino_Royale said:
You and Sean Fear did well.TheScreamingEagles said:
My prediction wasn't far off.Casino_Royale said:Congrats to Robert Smithson.
Fantastic prediction.0 -
he is still pretending to be someone else....EPG said:
You were pretending to be a remainer a few months ago.Byronic said:
She's probably crying. Again. Hehnumbertwelve said:
Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
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I was slightly concerned at your hung-ho confidence.Casino_Royale said:I seem to have made some really shitty bets this election.
I've bet on all the wrong Tory holds and I fear won't be on the right gains.
Might only be up a tiny smidgen!
I didn’t have a f...ing clue, and I was wondering where on earth you were getting your intelligence from.
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With about a thousand bells on.Slackbladder said:Blythe Valley, the new Nuneaton...
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dodgy stuff in Paisley it seems.0
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Have different areas gone native ?0
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Some police action in Scotland re impersonation.0
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Are you going to update your graph with tonight’s poll?RobD said:
He's tinkering on the back-end. BBC changed stuff so a bit of a scramble.isam said:Does @FrancisUrquhart sheet update on its own? What do I have to do?
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yougov mrp had con 37 lab 450
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I was up for blyth valley1
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My call of 1983 result wasn't that far off.Casino_Royale said:
You and Sean Fear did well.TheScreamingEagles said:
My prediction wasn't far off.Casino_Royale said:Congrats to Robert Smithson.
Fantastic prediction.0 -
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ry90s0oDXu6_LhDKNiI6fXaSFJsfMBaAXI6cZ8XhqQ8/edit#gid=0Alistair said:Anyone got a link to the November YouGov MRP pdf?
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There isn't enough gin in the world.....numbertwelve said:
Poor Anna. She's going to be apoplecticByronic said:Is anyone else consistently Twitter searching Ian Dunt, Jolyon Maugham, Anna Soubry. Mr Grieve, et al?
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Worked for Boris.houndtang said:turns out calling people racists and fools for three and half years isn't a vote winner.
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Interesting the Conservatives are claiming victory already on Facebook. Not waiting for the results.0
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I'm ashamed to admit it underestimated the Tory lead.Time_to_Leave said:
Are you going to update your graph with tonight’s poll?RobD said:
He's tinkering on the back-end. BBC changed stuff so a bit of a scramble.isam said:Does @FrancisUrquhart sheet update on its own? What do I have to do?
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TMI...Scrapheap_as_was said:I was up blyth valley
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