"Just look at the remain parties votes combined" followed by "give away a former heartland seat" - wondered if this meant PC + LD + Green for a minute. But then realised "remain parties" supposedly included Labour. And this was Labour heartland, not "Remainia" heartland. Perhaps a clue in there somewhere.
This is going o be a bloodbath. Could it be a 100+ majority?
It could, they've got a lot of seats very close. I suppose it could be a bit below the projection, but probably not below a 60-70 majority in any case. The results we've had so far are very close to what the exit poll was showing.
Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
Help, massively. This is what I said about them standing in red seats - the Leavers who could stomach voting for the Tories did so. Those who could never vote Tory under any circumstances went BXP instead of Labour.
Had BXP stood down those votes would have gone back to Labour.
Did the Brexit Party help or hinder the Tories in Blyth Valley?
Help, massively. This is what I said about them standing in red seats - the Leavers who could stomach voting for the Tories did so. Those who could never vote Tory under any circumstances went BXP instead of Labour.
Had BXP stood down those votes would have gone back to Labour.
The Brexit Party proving to be the, ahem, Tories' backstop....
It's still early, but it's only worth staying up much longer if one's in it for the long haul, and I won't be (had kind of planned for that, but I do need to do some work tomorrow).
Anyway, hope you all have fun celebrating/drowning your sorrows.
Comments
Fantastic prediction.
This is going o be a bloodbath. Could it be a 100+ majority?
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205269431385034753?s=20
Majority of 104 with UNS.
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1205245084050083840
Deep, deep joy
Still uncertainty in London might be bad, Wales could be good, Scotland * knows
MAJ unlikely to be below 40 could be 100
Had BXP stood down those votes would have gone back to Labour.
Curtice saying the exit poll borne out so far.
The Tories better deliver for those Labour Leave areas .
http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative
I've bet on all the wrong Tory holds and I fear won't be on the right gains.
Might only be up a tiny smidgen!
Nevertheless Curtice on the BBC now explaining the weakness of the seat predictions. In particular the sampling points in Scotland are fewer.
Loving it.
I took it they have less coverage.
Tonight would have been impossible without their hard work. Thank you!
Houghton and Sunderland South 35.9% boomer.
National average is 31.7%
Newcastle Central is 22.1% boomer.
I think this is why we are seeing differential swings between these seats.
John Harris knew what was coming.
YOU KNOW WHAT THIS MEANS?
NEVER FUCK WITH THE BRITISH PEOPLE
IF THEY SAY LEAVE, THEY REALLY MEAN LEAVE
SO IF THEY SAY DO IT, THEY MEAN DO IT, SO YOU JUST FUCKING GET IT DONE
Why on earth would they need to do that . The EU can’t ratify until January anyway .
Anyway, hope you all have fun celebrating/drowning your sorrows.
I didn’t have a f...ing clue, and I was wondering where on earth you were getting your intelligence from.