Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting markets firm up even more on a CON majority

SportingIndex
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Looks like it! On topic, if the MRP looks positive tomorrow night then I think the Tories are going to do this. Although there'll still be a little tiny voice of nagging doubt about the dreaded robots until the results actually prove they've not been on the march.
It shouldn't matter what anyone's politics are, it's a pretty low blow when the plight of a sick 4 year old is used in an election campaign.
And voted 63% Labour last time.
If the Tories win this election, I will want to know what Seumas Milne was being paid to work for them.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7773113/Labour-activist-PUNCHES-Matt-Hancocks-adviser-Leeds-hospital.html
https://order-order.com/2019/12/09/momentum-thugs-organising-cash-reward-attack-boris-milkshakes/
He took the fight to the bedrock seats of labour and fought his corner
With the diversion of the angry set too at the hospital I expect this to be just one of those things
More important to me is the Welsh poll. We need labour to stop takimg us for granted here in Wales
And only 2 more whole days left of the campaign
And maybe, rightly so....
Here are equally improbable swings this time in America:
https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/
Biden going from +10 in Wisconsin to -10 against Trump in just 9 months.
'Polls all over the place' would be correct, surely.
If they do I haven't seen it.
I'm not saying the bettors are right, but its a 'I'll believe it when I see it' kind of thing.
I admit I'm in that camp a bit, but then I don;t have any connections in labour heartlands really.
"All lies and jests
Still a man hears what he wants to hear
And disregards the rest..."
Could be the theme tune for this Election
Are some people betting on the ICM whilst being unaware of Survation?
ICM is a poor poll for Con but surely offset by the Welsh YouGov. Wales is only 5% of the UK but has large number of marginal seats so is disproportionately important.
I assume that's to help Jon Tricket because he's a Corbinist, rather than any particular panic.
Cooper (NorPonCas), Creagh(Wakefield), Sherriff (Dewsbury) etc not pure enough to support?
A cesspit of fake news !
However - newsflash - nor does Corbyn. He just sees it as a useful propaganda opportunity.
Trump 5% ahead of Biden in Michigan, 6% ahead of Sanders, 9% ahead of Warren and 11% ahead of Biden and Buttigieg.
In Pennsylvania Trump 5% ahead of Biden, 7% ahead of Warren and 10% ahead of Sanders, 6% ahead of Buttigieg and 4% ahead of Bloomberg.
Trump getting his own Boris bounce it seems
This suggests the Tories are giving Doncaster North a real go, would be symbolic if Ed, the architect of Labour chaos were to lose his seat. I expect the extra spending the Tories have and the barrage of Facebook adverts will effect voting decisions in the final days more than anything that happens on the national stage.
Would be a shock - but less of a shock than Easington or Ashton and there are plenty of rumours about those two.
Both phonegate and punchgate were absurd over-reactions, but I don’t like how nasty it’s getting on the ground.
That’s not British.
Personally I expect a sizeable (7+) swing to BXP, smaller swing to Con, and a comfortable Labour hold.
If Labour lose Barnsley Central then I expect the SNP will be the official opposition.
It's got the NHS smack bang central news 3 days before the election. This will test Johnson's teflon coating to destruction.
I jest, but I literally haven't watched a moment of it in the last 4 years...
Outrageous behaviour by Corbyn Labour
From the video it looks like an accident. Someone is waving their arms around not looking at where they were pointing and it caught someone else. The arm wasn't stationery or at the side if this was football it would have been a foul even if it was an accident.
The person who was clipped by the person waving their arms around may have quite reasonably thought and said they were punched without realising it was an accident until the video surfaced. Don't assume conspiracy when it could be a mistake - like the guy in the video caught someone else in the face by mistake.
I believe the parents are not happy in the way their son was used in this incident
CON: 43% (+1)
LAB: 36% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
BXP: 3% (-1)
GRN: 2% (=)
Via @SavantaComRes, 6-8 Dec.
Changes w/ 2-5 Dec.
Stories that inaccurate don't come out of an honest mistake.
Waste of resources sending them to Wyoming in the first place. It's solidly GOP...
We haven't long to wait Nick
Very damaging headlines 3 days before an election is bad news no matter who you support and no matter how unfair they are.
It won’t make a massive difference to voting but this will help Labour in those Leave seats . But it was I agree a silly error . I don’t see why he didn’t just look at the phone . What was he thinking .
And that is my honest answer as a conservative member