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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this poll turns out to be accurate then there’s no way Corb
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this poll turns out to be accurate then there’s no way Corbyn should agree to an October election
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If it has to be a November vote lets have it for Guy Fawkes Night.
PS what would Corbyn be then?
Exactly right - and no amount of goading should make any difference.
An election, yes. But Bunter cannot be allowed to control the timetable.
The parallels with the current state are depressing
Until then, forget it!
But that's all by-the-by.
Let's put it to the voters. Let's let the people decide what the right answer is. That's democracy. And then no-one can say (as I do now), that no one voted for No Deal. Similarly, if the LDs win the election on a Referendum and Revoke platform, we would have to recognise that.
But whatever happens, the current situation is unsustainable. An election offers no certainty, but at least an opportunity to break the deadlock.
"Corbyn actually becoming Prime Minister will probably reduce the effectiveness of the expected ‘Project Fear’ the Conservatives will run about the country letting Corbyn become Prime Minister when Boris Johnson effectively allowed Corbyn to become Prime Minister."
Seriously.
I agree with the overall message though.
Concludes Phil Hammond is the obvious choice.
If there is to be an extension it should be a considerable length, or there shouldn't be one at all.
Of the TIGs.
The only way to solve that is an election and Boris is strong enough to face up to that. Corbyn is too afraid he'll lose so is running scared.
We could also see the possibility of the party winning the most seats and most votes does not take power, or indeed we could see a party committed to a No Deal winning a majority on 30% whereas parties committed to remaining win 65% of the vote.
Those are bloody messes.
If you want a clear and unequivocal decision on what to do next we need to have a referendum.
I don’t think we can read much from polls at this point. All the cards are up in the air, we have no idea where they’ll fall. So much depends on unpredictable factors.
If I were in Corbyn’s shoes I’d be worried in this wild environment about Black Swans like the Clarke scenario outlined by Philip_Thompson. Fail to take the chance at election when it’s offered, it might just slip away. My preference is still for an October election, just as long as the date can be secured and fixed prior to Oct 31.
What if the Brexit Party take off? I mean, really take off? Take seats from Con and Lab and finish up making a Con/BXP coalition viable?
In a way Remainers are once again playing Russian Roulette with the electorate just like in 2016.
All these game they're playing could easily blow up in their face just like in 2016, IMO.
The longer this drags on the better. Every week Corbyn runs scared of the voters, the more people are going to think this nonsense needs to end.
And if Parliament does force a THIRD extension after a month of running scared of the voters then Boris going into an election saying there must not be a FOURTH extension will be entirely reasonable.
What goes around comes around.
Following Jeremy Corbyn's Surrender Bill I don't see how he is going to attract any leavers.
"Brave" as Sir Humphrey might say.
If he tries that, the HoC will just pass a law taking the power of extension entirely out of his hands ….. which might suit Johnson of course.
Resigning might be easier, gets him the election he wants.
I'd write it off as the drunken ramblings of noted wino and wargamer, Dom Cummings.
Obviously his decision now is not based on fear of losing.
Your analysis and comments are worthy of the Mail or Mirror- and the people who write those comments know they are complete rubbish. What is your excuse for writing such risible nonsense?
Farage in government as DPM (and with a decent springboard further down the line to become PM) on the other hand...