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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets punters are becoming LESS convinced that there’ll be a 2019 General Election
From Betdata.io – the last month on Betfair GE year market
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Also, what's with these end of year markets? What are you supposed to do about xmas presents? Sorry, you'll get them in the new year when betfair pays me? Not very practicable.
All very disheartening.
Tottenham 8.6
Draw 5.4
I'm definitely avoiding this one.
Were you with your people today?
https://twitter.com/meljomur/status/1162717909401182209?s=20
Deleted - he edited in a reference.
So, no.
https://twitter.com/ringwodian/status/1162706438223011841
Defenders of the Union.
ProudScotsbuts.
Patriotsnotnationalists.
Though the lead singer being a Holocaust denier would give anyone pause before appearing beside him.
Y'know, the laughably named "Civic Nationalists"
https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1162700438069813248
https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1162715960543010816
True Scots, unionists, whatever you want to call us ; don't need marches.
And yes, Root's better at 4.
"Sanders and Warren offer contrasting visions for how to defeat Trump — one that hinges on mobilizing some of the 100 million disenchanted voters who sat out the 2016 election. Biden is trying to win back middle-of-the-road voters who flipped from Barack Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-17/warren-chips-away-at-biden-s-strength-as-the-one-who-beats-trump?srnd=politics-vp
How difficult is that?
I’m laying Ken Clarke for next PM assiduously. I managed to lay some at 13 this afternoon. Ridiculous.
Joseph Kennedy III Said to Be Eying Edward Markey’s Massachusetts Senate Seat
So they got a few counter-protesters. Good for the counter-protesters I say. I'll be happy when rubber bullets are getting fired on the Yessers.
https://twitter.com/bellacaledonia/status/1162754009196847108?s=20
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/08/16/hey_dems_--_if_you_tank_biden_who_else_wins_the_middle_141024.html
I wonder what the odds are on Rory Burns as the next England captain?
https://twitter.com/Live1819/status/1162718218609451008
A couple of seasons ago I would have suggested Browne and Lawrence from Essex (an opener and a three or four) but they were passed over and it seems their chance has gone.
2020 I’m much less confident about.
It's the playing of silly beggars with the timetable; red ball cricket in April, July and September, 50 over in June and July and t20 in July and August that wrecks young players.
I usually go the other way and assume that if you've managed to get on Radio 4 despite sounding working class then I can probably add about 20 points to your IQ, and if you talk with the same old home counties public school accent as everyone else on the radio then you're probably just another well spoken mediocrity.
In relation to the first two, there was clearly never going to be immediate agreement on who should lead the temporary government, or even on the breadth of its goals. But the public conversation with each relevant party (Labour, Lib Dems, SNP, Change UK and Conservative rebels) setting out their starting positions was a necessary first step - and it's better that it's occurred during the August recess, rather than when the clock is ticking after the VONC.
The good news is that Corbyn, Swinson and Sturgeon seem to be in agreement that the caretaker government should be temporary; to extend Article 50 and have an election, rather than having longer-term aims such as getting a new deal or having a second referendum. That seems sensible: the wider the scope of the interim government, the more MPs its goals will object to some part of it.
What has to happen next is the opening of dialogue between all MPs opposed to no deal Brexit to find a way forward. Both Corbyn and Swinson were correct in their initial challenges: Corbyn that he is bringing the vast majority of MPs needed for the vote; Swinson that there are a meaningful number of opponents to no deal that will not allow Corbyn to be PM (even if he had her support).
Perhaps the best approach is for neither side to get their first choice; to choose someone who is neither Corbyn nor a respected backbencher. Would a less divisive pro-Corbyn figure (Thornberry? Starmer? Long-Bailey?) be acceptable to both sides? Corbyn gets the benefit of having a PM that will openly say they want to be replaced by him after the election; the Lib Dems and Conservatives can at least say they didn't facilitate Corbyn as PM.
Browne was collateral damage in the Keaton Jennings nonsense. They didn't pick KJ when he was in form, then they did when he was out of form in a dysfunctional Durham team. In order to do so, they ignored the much stronger claims of Browne and Stoneman. When it eventually became obvious even to the Selectors that Jennings' nerve had gone they eventually replaced him with Stoneman, but by then we were up against the relatively soporific W Indies attack and he never got a real test against quality international bowling until it was too late. But at least he got a chance. Browne never did, and lost form next season and is now out of the picture.
Lawrence was a precocious talent and should have been given his Test chance early (like Jennings) but I wouldn't want to see him picked now. He hasn't developed sufficiently.
If it were just on form, Bopara would have a claim, but of course he's had many previous chances. Then again, so have many others who they do like to give repeated chances to.
There's no figuring the England Selectors.
FTR - Unionists don't disapprove of Scottish accents.
If no-body else has noticed this phenomenon I withdraw.
But I'm not and I did live in England for over 5 years so my accent softened. Ms Brisk went to private school in Aberdeen so also has a somewhat softened accent so we make the perfect couple
You have to want to lose it, sheena Eastonesque
I would like to see Denly opening in the next Test. He's practically been doing that anyway, and he and Burns have put on some useful partnerships and soaked away the shine on the new ball. If they did that without England being two down for not many it would be helpful.
And let's face it, he couldn't do worse than the likes of Jennings or Lyth.
Though I wonder if we might have done rather better playing the top four as Burns, Denly, Roy, Root, rather than the current order.
Couldn’t have been much worse.
And Stokes should always bat ahead of Buttler (except in the rare and unlikely event we’re well on top).
1946-1959 debuts - 9
1960-1969 debuts - 6
1970-1979 debuts - 3
1980-1989 debuts - 1
1990-1999 debuts - 2
2000-2009 debuts - 8
2010-2019 debuts - 1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_England_Test_cricketers
If we include batsman who have averaged over 35 in at least 10 Tests:
1946-1959 debuts - 11
1960-1969 debuts - 9
1970-1979 debuts - 5
1980-1989 debuts - 6
1990-1999 debuts - 4
2000-2009 debuts - 8
2010-2019 debuts - 3
Perhaps we were a bit spoilt by the batting depth of a decade ago and what we are seeing is a reversion to the normal mediocrity.
My accent is what it is. (probably not Scottish enough for your tastes)