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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And now the Tory Brecon bar chart to try to beat off the Brexi

From a Tory campaign AD Brecon & Radnorshire by-election
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That was of course the year Mark Williams gained the seat from Plaid...
Bridlington North (East Riding of Yorkshire) result:
LDEM: 42.7% (+42.7)
CON: 26.6% (-44.5)
YORK: 11.4% (+11.4)
UKIP: 6.4% (+6.4)
LAB: 4.4% (-24.5)
IND (Dixon): 4.1% (+4.1)
IND (Robson): 2.5% (+2.5)
IND (Milns): 1.9% (+1.9)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
.....what?
Brother: I'm not going to say .... I've signed the Official Secrets' Act.
Dad: I've signed it too.
Brother: But that doesn't mean that we can tell each other what we know.
Both had jobs that in 1979 or so were still in the public sector, and I find it laughable that they had to sign the OFA. I doubt my Dad was aware of any secret more important than the serial numbers for the transistors in the design of the latest telephones.
But as others have said, if the will is there, the perpetrator is probably looking at a lengthy stretch inside.
The Tories should be ashamed of themselves for such a weak effort ....
Jo Churchill, the MP for Bury St Edmunds does not appear on the division lists for the vote - with colleagues saying she had forgotten to vote. Ms Churchill had been acting as a proxy for Norwich North MP Chloe Smith and it is presumed that she forgot to cast her own vote alongside.
Pictures from the chamber show Ms Churchill reacting in horror as the result of the vote was announced.
I don't understand why Oakeshott/the Mail aren't getting more scrutiny for their actions. They were not obliged to publish, and it was doing so that caused all the damage.
But this cannot be right, Hyufd tells us Boris is going to achieve a majority.
I warned him yesterday that Boris is no Messiah
Of course, for HYUFD it only works one way - apparently all the new "Tories under Boris" voters are just holding themselves back until the very moment of his elevation, whereas the "Tories without Johnson" voters have already noticed he's going to win and have left already.
2) I'm quite sure that Ambassador despatches are classified information.
BTW I'm a bit confused by this conversation about emails being marked "official - sensitive". I'm not sure that what was leaked were emails marked in such a way. More likely that they were leaked via email that was marked as "official - sensitive".
ie. it was a classification put on by the leaker, not a classication of the leaks.
Will HY tack to follow Portillo again?
See also announcing plans for future negotiations with the EU in the press and thinking the EU will not notice.
Nationally it will be better anyone even a lying incompetent twat than Jeremy Corbyn. And it will have traction.
https://tinyurl.com/y593fj7v
British officials hope to influence Donald Trump by exploiting his character and inexperience in office, a secret memo reportedly from the UK’s top diplomat in the US suggests.
The memo, seen by The Sunday Times, said: “The president-elect is above all an outsider and unknown quantity, whose campaign pronouncements may reveal his instincts, but will surely evolve and, particularly, be open to outside influence if pitched right.
“Having, we believe, built better relationships with his team than have the rest of Washington diplomatic corps, we should be well placed to do this.”
Downing Street said it did not comment on leaked documents.
For me its simple - he was convicted, and should be kicked out. Past convictions when standing is fine, but he committed an offence in office. Call it minor or a mistake, he was still convicted and even mistakes mean people should go sometimes.
It is time to recognise the wheels have come off the Brexit Bus with its lies and spin.
No deal will destroy jobs and industry but look on the bright side, Blue Passports.
He and other ERG members are going to be very angry when the HOC and public opinion rejects his extreme no deal armageddon
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politics/welsh-mp-been-ordered-repay-13723428
It's a shame he wasn't picked up on the glaring contradiction
Really sad that she is using personal health to deflect from addressing the serious issues labour are facing
There was no overspend and hence there was no enrichment. He could have claimed the entire amount from the Office Costs budget which had more than enough remaining to cover it. Or he could have got the photographer to create two invoices, one for the Office Costs budget and one for the Start Up budget. This was not fraud as is clear from the fact that he was not charged with fraud. He was convicted under the Section 10 of the Parliamentary Standards Act which is a much less serious offence.
The conviction was not appalling. If he had been convicted of fraud that would have been wrong on the facts. But he was correctly convicted on one count of providing false or misleading information for allowances claims and one count of attempting to do so.
I also think that many labour voters now turning to the Lib Dems will be moving permanently as they turn their backs on the toxic leadership of the labour party
Boris is not even beating Hunt in the preferred PM stakes with voters and this weeks disasterous PR for Boris over the Ambassador shows he cannot think on his feet
He is not the Messiah and is a very long way from a majority
And just to be clear, prorogue gets Parliament in late October will guarantee no deal, not your fantasy “deal or no deal Brexit”
And as to Ydoethur's earlier assertion that Ystradgynlais may be a hotbed of Faragistas, I am not convinced. It has a welsh language comprehensive school for goodness sake! Notional Labourites if they don't stay will go PC or LD, and for this by-election they will almost all go LD.
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1148312432768684032?s=20
Last nights Lib Dem victory would turn into a national landslide for them
Having delivered Brexit even with No Deal and out of the EU orbit we can then start negotiating for a Canada style FTA with the EU and FTAs with the rest of the world until they are willing to do so
The people democratically voted for this. Are you suggesting they didn't know what they were voting for?