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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn plummets to record low in latest Ipsos-MORI leader sati
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn plummets to record low in latest Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings
With all the focus on the CON leadership we haven’t looked at the official opposition for a while. Well the latest Ipsos-MORI polling gives us a peg.
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It's hard to see how politics recovers.
The real question may well end up being whether Corbyn can hold off Swinson and the LDs for second place, at least in voteshare I think the LDs could overtake Labour if Labour continues like this
Cause and effect?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TalNLg07Xp4
For those who think No Deal will be ok......
And what will Johnson be seeking from his FTA, and what will he offer the EU in return?
2) My other half will toast my nuptials if I get married to someone else.
http://www.mansfield.gov.uk/CHttpHandler.ashx?id=10778&p=0
Twitter will attach a special label to tweets by major political figures if their content violates the site’s rules but the deleting them is not in the public interest, the company said Thursday.
Tweets affected by the new measure will remain on the site, but will not appear in searches or be recommended to users through any of Twitter’s algorithmic channels. When they do appear in a user’s timeline, they will be hidden behind an interstitial reading: “The Twitter Rules about abusive behavior apply to this Tweet. However, Twitter has determined that it may be in the public’s interest for the Tweet to remain available.” Users can then click through to view the tweet if they desire.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/jun/27/twitter-warning-labels-tweets-violate-site-rules
Did I miss any scurrilous gossip / fake news / ill informed idle press speculation ?
Fecking clown
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/news/104900/excl-keith-vaz-says-decision-let-chris-williamson
What have we done to deserve Corbyn & Boris!
We seem to be embarking on assured destruction of the UK and its economy.
An elected politician should be able to say what they want and the voters judge them accordingly
(I have other friends to do that with .....
Oh, not you too. You'll be putting bloody chocolate in your coffee next.....
So, moving forwards (or backwards), Johnson takes over on the afternoon of July 24th and at present the Commons rises for the summer recess the following day so would a VoNC be possible - presumably but would it have enough votes ? I'm less convinced.
Johnson's first problem won't be constructing a new Cabinet but trying to sell the new line given we know there are at least a dozen MPs prepared to vote against their own Government to prevent a No Deal Brexit.
Parliament is due to return on September 5th and it's possible if the polls looks promising Johnson could go for an election on say October 3rd or 10th. The problem for me isn't getting the house to support the idea (unless Labour decides to rebel en bloc against Corbyn) but the central message which presumably would be "the UK leaves the EU on 31/10" - fine, no problem there but if he won a majority would Boris use the majority to pass May's WA which would enable him to press ahead with a PD including the much vaunted FTA.
I can see Farage and the TBP attacking that both on grounds of credibility and because they would see leaving without a WA as preferable to leaving with May's WA. Meanwhile what of Labour which has plenty of its own problems not least the unelectability of its leader or the confusion over its own Brexit position.
If the polls don't look good in September, what then? There will come a point when it's too late and Johnson will either have to pivot fully to No Deal or seek a further extension which signs the death warrant arguably of the Conservative Party. He'll have to take No Deal even if some of his own MPs resign the whip or defect.
Then we have the VoNC in mid October which would then pass and the endgame would begin.
“They want to stop you reading my tweets. All cos I tell you the truth. They can’t handle the truth!”
I REGRET NOTHING.
The ultras on both sides will continue to froth, but the prize will be a great diminution in the salience of Brexit as an issue - the great majority will be relieved that the years of going round in circles are over. This is in Labour's best interest too.
The obvious electoral threat to the Tories comes from the Brexit party; but there is also a leaking of moderate votes to the LibDems, representing the business, professional and middle class part of a Tory winning coalition. Today's polling bears this out.
Boris will need to deliver Brexit and then draw both of these strands together more effectively tha Corbyn might do for Labour. But as champion of hard Brexit, fishing in a pool of around a third of the electorate, he is doomed.
I suppose if a government e-petition got as far as being debated in Parliament it would be voted down, though.
Good evening, everyone.
Did it have Spam on it? That’s a key foodstuff in Oahu. History has a great deal to answer for.
But that is like saying somebody is more honest than Fiona Onasanya.
A sitting President cannot be charged with a crime by the police, FBI etc.
First it's bloody Brexit. Then Corbyn. And Johnson.
But the absolute limit is people putting bits of syrupy fruit on a pizza, a dish which should only be eaten in Naples, freshly cooked with proper buffalo mozzarella and San Marzano tomatoes and olive oil and, if we're going for capitals, NOTHING ELSE.
Followed by a strong espresso and a small limoncello from Caffe Gambrinus. And a walk by the sea with a loved one.
How can that not be more tempting than whatever cheesy cardboard offering you were chomping?
Actually it’s a very good pizza made in the type of oven I’m confident you’d approve of. Though not, admittedly, in Naples.
The day before I started my month without meat I didn't have a steak, I had Pek.
BTW, nearly finished a month without carbonated soft drinks. The Fentimans dandelion and burdock awaits...
Trump can say whatever he wants. Its up to Twitter to choose if they want him to use their platform or not, or to have a disclaimer or not. Twitter is a private company.
Moreover I am a strong believer that there are times when the public and the private interest collide. This is one of them.
Twitter has Terms of Service, if you don't want to abide by the Terms of Service you are free to post elsewhere.
OGH can do what he wants as, in the scheme of things, this is a niche website
What did you think of the 3 years for the UBS compliance executive?
" ........Why? Because the previous Prime Minister kicked off the negotiation process with two speeches – at the 2016 Party Conference and at Lancaster House in January 2017, which I think frankly were two of the most ill-advised speeches given by a British Prime Minister since the War.............."
The sentence is similar to that given to another UBS employee in the print room trial in 2012. See here - https://barry-walsh.co.uk/case-studies/#1516794115898-7462a6b9-11a7.
I was involved in this case from the start so don't feel able to comment publicly as I know stuff that has not been made public.
My general view is that sentences for these sorts of, IMO, very grave breaches of trust are in general far too light in this country.
My view on why this is so is set out here - https://barry-walsh.co.uk/2018/11/.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/27/tory-veteran-mp-ken-clarke-im-minded-to-step-down-now
on our way
It normally makes it in at around number 5 on "best pizza in USA" lists.