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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the 2nd anniversary of TMay calling GE2017 fewer are predicting an early election now
https://betdata.io/no-deal-brexit“>Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange
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You've never watched "Yes Minister" or "Star Trek"???
And only Star Wars (once) out of that series of films, never watched Superman either. I don’t like sci fi at all really.
A GE is not in the interests of any mainstream party other than arguably the Labour party and SNP for divergent reasons. TIG are not ready for one, the Lib Dems still stumble along under a clapped out leader and the Tories have abandoned any competence and are a liability to the economy.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-14/pete-buttigieg-poised-to-formally-enter-2020-democratic-field
https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1117535823346524162
Wow.
https://twitter.com/LordCFalconer/status/1117550729449832449
Still, it's funny how the polling collapse from the Tories might save them, for a time, by showing them what will happen to them. It's worth noting when May was at least potentially able to pass her deal on time their polling was doing just fine, though it's not a direct correlation.
New Yorker magazine.
What the bloody heck do they think she has been trying to do?! She even promised to go once it was done, and even that did not unlock the votes needed.
If so, then I foresee a VONC in May after the locals, a minority Labour government in July, a second referendum in October, and revoke before 31 October.
His boldness has to be admired.
I kid, she is a major problem not that this plotting is frontpage worthy news, but it is amusing how she got zero credit for them being in the lead against Labour, but I bet they think it all her fault now they are behind.
https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/1117492201364176896
If the Brexit Party wins the Euro elections, as is very possible, I also highly doubt MPs are going to vote for a second referendum or revoke
I suspect the Brexit Party will only be sustained beyond the Euro elections though if we still have not left the EU by the next general election or Brexit has been revoked, someone like Boris as Tory leader could easily win Brexit Party voters back to the Tories
Clearly the Tories are slowly working out that the party of home ownership won't be a party of government much longer if most people rent!
Of course the devil will be in the detail - landlords will still be able to evict if they can 'provide a good reason' (e.g. the property is up for sale).
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/apr/15/short-notice-evictions-face-axe-in-tenant-rights-victory?CMP=share_btn_link
https://twitter.com/andrewhmackay
It must suck when you've worked out easy ways to solve all the problems but nobody will listen to you.
If you look at places with really strong tenant protections, what you see are shitty landlords. The rental sector doesn't stop existing - but bad landlords drive out good.
It's the classic law of unintended consequences.
"What does Barney the Brexit Dog say?" "Voting against Brexit means that Brexit doesn't happen"
Mark Francois' single brain cell then starts whirring into life.
"Oh right. Now I get it."
Both "Germany" and the "United Kingdom" contain "e", "m" and "n".
Also, in both cases the Head of State is getting on a bit. And their spouses probably shouldn't be driving.
There have been interesting struggles between the Executive and the Legislature too. Although there's not been any rush to give Mrs May emergency powers yet.
Why does renting apparently work so well in Germany (for example) but not so well here?
Is there anyone, anywhere in the world, who had a good experience with a rent controlled apartment landlord?
The answer is... err... no. Because good landlords sell to bad landlords, who attempt to get rid of their tenants via unscrupulous methods. Now, this legislation isn't so severe. But it's heading in that direction. Landlords will now use rent increases to get rid of tenants they don't want. So, there will be legislation enacted to limit landlords flexibility to raise rents.
The cycle only ends when people (eventually) realise that getting in the way of willing buyer, willing seller only makes things worse.
Try again.
They don’t have the courage to explain why the current system is superior so they just give ground.
One likely consequence is that private sector landlords will withdraw from the market when there is more regulation. As there is less supply, this will put rents up.
May’s Brexit means Brexit.
Fixed it for you.
F1: post-race analysis of China up here:
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2019/04/china-post-race-analysis-2019.html
Ironic that there's all the PR tosh about the thousandth race, yet it was far less interesting than the 999th was or the 1001st is likely to be.
Very hard to sell at the moment.
For some reason, that doesn't seem like a very good thing.
However, it clearly doesn't make sense that people can be evicted at 1 or even 2 months notice. Most European countries I know have 6 months or a year on long term contracts. If you have kids and they are attending local schools etc, their lives can be usurped at 2 months notice.
Meanwhile despite all the talk of his new outfit topping the poll, it has yet to establish itself as the principal challenger and is still below ukip in most polls. I doubt they have much of a ground campaign given no organisation and a support base that tends toward the elderly. Not everyone watches politics programmes avidly on television. So they have just over a month to achieve rather a lot.
Mummy Brexit didn't like this so she got Daddy Brexit to drive a little white van around the village with a big sign saying 'Go away neigbours you aren't wanted here'.
Daddy Brexit had left school when he was very young so he wasn't very clever and everybody called him 'thicko'. He loved driving this van because it was so very very white......
One day Billy was walking to school
The government is rightly trying to re-balance this through changing tax reliefs, banning tenants fees and now removing/limiting no fault evictions.
The changes on tenants fees and the proposal for removing no fault evictions are clearly a step in the right direction.
The root cause is under supply of rental properties and overpriced properties for sale.
As an aside, it remains the case that patronising people and starting a persuasion attempt with "Listen, stupid person who has been behaving idiotically..." is unlikely to convince them you're right. [Regardless of whether you are right or not].
If we do have another referendum it'd be madness, and may happen, for Remain After All to focus on "You were fooled, dummies. Listen to the wisdom we generously pour upon thee!"
For young people that % will be higher as they naturally tend to live in cities, especially those where there are more and better jobs.