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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a terrible week for the White House Trump drops to just
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a terrible week for the White House Trump drops to just a 61% chance in the WH2020 nomination betting
While we have been almost totally focused on Brexit in the UK in Washington things are getting even worse for the president who is facing a whole series of probes relating to the 2016 campaign.
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Must be all that gammon....
You just know Trump couldn't resist.
I think it is the stuff that makes food taste so damned good that is carcinogenic. Methuselah probably lived off a diet of tofu.
https://twitter.com/goodwinmj/status/1073996080759623680?s=21
Call them Waterloo Sprouts.....
I'm feeling more confident of his demise these days but I'd feel a little more relaxed, to be honest, if we could be sure that a 'big beautiful' US recession was just around the corner.
This week’s ‘events’ don’t seem to have hurt the Blues.
Let's face it, the polls over most of the last year seem to have been entirely immune to the news.
I think Trump's reaction will prompt the implementation of Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
Maybe, maybe antipathy to Corbyn.
Stacey is strong favourite for Strictly but I think Faye at 16s is value.
DYOR (watch it!!)
Joe's supporters might swing it for him.
Am laying Ashley, she's been in the dance off for the last three week.
We don't like ringers.
His sister is Zoella btw. All betting inside info from my 14 yo!
Probably just turns out to be nothing criminal, rather just that he has less money now than he inherited.
Beans of all kinds, however... Yuk.
If the Tories ditch May their ratings will plummet
Food of the gods.
The YouGov survey of 5,000 voters, commissioned by the People’s Vote campaign, shows that support for Labour could fall from 36% to 22% if they helped the Tories to pass a compromise deal with Brussels like the one advocated by Theresa May.
Under those circumstances, the Lib Dems would soar from 10% to 26% — their highest rating in any poll since they entered coalition government with the Tories in 2010.
The poll shows that Labour’s supporters want a People’s Vote by a margin of almost three to one — and an even bigger proportion would stay in the European Union if they were given the chance.
Those who voted Labour last year and remain the year before say they are more likely to switch to the Liberal Democrats (49%) than stay with Labour (41%). The survey suggests no compensating boost among those who voted leave in the referendum. In fact, it would be the Conservatives who would benefit if both main parties backed Brexit. Their support among leave voters would rise from 62% to 69%. Labour support among leave voters would slip from 21% to 19%.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/labour-remainers-to-abandon-corbyn-if-he-passes-brexit-deal-6zfjgnm5w
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/09/03/why-you-should-be-wary-of-hypothetical-polling/
‘...throughout the last couple of years there has periodically been the crunching sound of this or that Brexit fantasy encountering the lethal force of reality.’
https://twitter.com/chrisgreybrexit/status/1073972477355794432?s=21
If Trump takes a Pounding, Pence has no chance.
Honestly, some people are not the full shilling, or certainly not up to the mark...
Indeed, it is a rich irony that the stubborn refusal of Brexiters to engage seriously with the realities of Brexit may just end up with its being reversed.
Last night I was out for a dinner with a client and contacts. The subject came up. Despite this client being based in one of the less glamorous shires, there was a strikingly confident assumption, without having any particular advance information, by three of those present that everyone else would definitely have voted Remain. And they were right (at least in what people professed to have voted).
I find it extremely useful to have an outlet here, where I can talk politics with people of all different persuasions and be reasonably assured of an entertaining, informed, respectful debate.
I more or less block/delete/mute anyone who talks about politics on social media. Sometimes you feel as if the world has gone mad. It as if your niche, weird, nerdy sport has suddenly become more popular than the football overnight. Once upon a time, politics was derided by your friends as a weird obsessive hobby, but now they all have a favourite team (which they are extremely vocal about), and they seem to believe that the rules of the game are who shouts loudest wins.
I'm only in my mid thirties and I must say it feels strange for so many people to be interested in politics. Older posters - have there been other instances where politics feels as visceral and as mainstream as now? What was it like?
Start with two million and set up a restaurant.
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Start with a very large one.
A. Start as an airline billionaire
- Stelios Haji-ioannou
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMpDn9VIDLM