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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With just over six months to go until Brexit day YouGov looks where the public stands
1/ Public opinion has drifted slightly against Brexit. On average this year there has been a 3 point lead of those who think Britain was wrong to vote for Brexit over those who think Britain was right to do so https://t.co/3SXfJa1bAf pic.twitter.com/yaBm2gLrEP
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Mrs May might just be as remarkable a survivor as Corbyn: perhaps more so, given she actually has power and all the problems that brings.
He said when challenged that Jesus advises you should have a thirst after righteousness.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2018/09/singapore-post-race-analysis-2018.html
I know many of us think Trump is an utter disaster and tearing the US apart, but when you look at the state of thinks over there in late 1960s, then he is a long way from causing the sort of schisms that that war and the civil rights issue did. Assassinations, riots, students being shot on campus by the home guard etc etc.
You never would have guessed it from the constant posts of the remainiacs on here.
https://twitter.com/Glinner/status/1041291048943845377
https://twitter.com/hashtag/EPOP2018?src=hash
I Enjoyed all of it but the oral history from combatants of both sides was very moving and humbling
Brilliant riposte. I use it when teaching about the argument from religious experience. Much safer than the unforgettable time a fourteen year old girl told me it wasn't a valid argument 'because you can't get inside me, sir.'
As for your puns, they're unbeerable.
Its far too easy to give powerful multi millionaire sports people a free pass. Her opponent last weekend was a woman of mixed African American and Japanese origin - the difference was she has no history of being a sore loser and disrespecting officials. And her deserved first Slam victory was totally overshadowed by her opponents actions.
https://youtu.be/vCL8may1Hes
No deal (-34) isn't better than a bad deal (-22).
However, a 'no deal' deal would appear to be the most popular Brexit option. Public opinion , eh?
It's frankly remarkable in the circumstances that anyone wants to be PM.
Though it does remind me of the dyslexic fellow who got in trouble when he walked into a bra.
http://www.twitter.com/doublefault28/status/1034489290447900672
However, that's all separate to the debate about that cartoon in Australia, which I think did caricature her (especially facially) in a racist way.
Even that wouldn't be quite as lame as Corbyn's excuse for his racism.
...Oh wait, I forgot, he lives in Australia.
(Says a man who lives in Los Angeles.)
But I’m sure you know this...
http://www.lotuscortinainfo.com/?page_id=2172
Surgeons tend to cut fewer people in their off-work hours too.
From what you have seen or heard, do you support or oppose the approach that [Leader] is taking towards Brexit? (Net among 2017 vote)
May: +5
Corbyn: -16
While a majority of all 3 main party supporters believe Mrs May 's replacement would not get a better deal, this view is most strongly held among Lab & Lib Dem
Imagine Theresa May resigned and was replaced with a different Conservative leader, do you think... Replacement get better real/Not get better Deal (2017 Vote):
Con: 27 / 56
Lab; 18 / 58
LibD: 7 / 72
Whether people's expectations are borne out by the reality of a "No Deal" Brexit is another matter - but I think it does mean that a second referendum is not going to get much public traction before Brexit happens, because I think at this point people would see it as just a whole lot of palaver over something which might be regrettable but doesn't, in the end, mean all that much.
Net
June: -25
Sep: -40
Agree to withdraw to "transition" by end 2019 : 80%. I think.it more likely we won't have left at all than we will still be in No Deal.
Agree end state : 10% Either EU membership or full SM+CU+VAT+ECJ. Neither very likely at that point but Vassal State more likely longer term. Anything else takes longer.
Nobody gets their first choice, indeed it is an AV Brexit, where nobody gets their bottom choice either.
May's advantage is that the only thing that needs a vote is the WA, not Chequers.
And it was you.
Congratulations.
An ordinary dinner party, the sort of occasion we all enjoy. The LEAVERs are exchanging witty stories. And look at the REMAINERs; aren’t they pretty? Look at the way they laugh, they’re delightful. But now the conversation turns to more serious matters.
LEAVER 1:
“I wonder if the Government should stay out of the EU Customs Union”
LEAVER 2:
“I think it should.”
LEAVER 1:
“Good. Then we’re all agreed.”
But oh dear, what’s this? One of the REMAINERs is about to embarrass us all…
REMAINER:
“I think the Government should stay in the Customs Union, so that the Pound can reach a level that would keep our exports competitive.”
The REMAINER has foolishly attempted to join the conversation with a wild and dangerous opinion of his own! What half-baked drivel! See how the LEAVERS look at him with utter contempt!
LEAVER 2:
“Alastair, we’re going home!!”
REMAINERS - KNOW YOUR LIMITS!
Look at the effect of education on a LEAVER and a REMAINER’s mind. Education passes into the mind of a LEAVER. See how the information is evenly and tidily stored.
Now see the same thing on a REMAINER. At first we see a similar result. But now look. Still at a reasonably low level of education his brain suddenly overloads. He can't take in complicated information. He becomes frantically and absurdly deranged.
Look at these venomous harridans. They went to university. Hard to believe they are all under 25. Yes, over-education leads to ugliness, premature aging and beard growth. And ranting on online political betting fora.
Now, let’s see the proper way.
LEAVER 1:
“Good. So we’re all agreed. We should stay out of the Customs Union.”
REMAINER:
“Oh, I don’t know anything about the Northern Ireland Backstop, I’m afraid, but I do love little kittens! They’re so soft, and furry.”
LEAVER 2:
“What a delightful thought, you dear, sweet, fragile little thing! I adore you, Alastair!”
REMAINERS - KNOW YOUR LIMITS. In thought, be plain and simple, and let your natural sweetness shine through!
Shaun Bailey and Joy Morrissey were also pressing the flash as this is the final weekend before London Tories vote on their Mayoral candidate
I'll get my coat...
More seriously, I think they're doing a lot of this for show. They are no longer one of the world's top powers, but rather one of a half dozen in the second rank along with India, France, Pakistan, us, Brazil etc. So I think they're trying to put in a show to say they're still big and dangerous and important.
It would be pathetic if it weren't so serious.
It has so much wasted potential.
Caricature is what cartoonists do.
Although Russia is currently in the doldrums I wouldn't write it off yet. It went from being weaker than Poland under Lenin to being one of the world's two superpowers and arguably briefly the most technologically advanced of the two in a mere forty years. It might do it again.
However. One important calculation you must make if you are going to risk your own money on The betting markets is:
Many lifelong Tory voters, such as myself, will NEVER vote for a government that gave us chequers.
There is zero possibility that I will care much about Project Korbyn Fear. So when that comes, I will remain unmoved. And unwilling to add my vote to the tory tally.
Bear in mind, that vote and the tens of thousands of similar ones, gave old Thesa Greyjoyess the benfit of the doubt last time. And even with our support, she failed.
She can kiss all those kippers goodbye too. 5-15% of her borrowed vote won’t turn up next time.
And another similar amount of her own core won’t either.
Saying Boris and give are so inept they cannot organise an election and will gift if to Korbyn might be true.
But it is a certainty that Tess or anyone of her Remainer wing taking over instead, will lose.
And the Korbyn coalition of chaos and free stuff will take over.
And I’m fine with that. Because we probably have to relearn the historical lessons of both communism and Appeasement before we can move on.
And Jez will probably take over just as the next, overdue, recession hits. So a buckets of cash, don’t worry about debt, government, might be quite handy to have around.
(PS 'Russia' is entirely in Europe - if your remark is about the Russian Federation, as mine was using lazy shorthand, then it's clearly wrong.)
Canada is taking very active steps to increase its population through immigration at the moment, and it has the space for them as well.
That said, Putin makes even Trump look almost sane.
On the subject of his being a great man, does anyone else suspect the root of the problem is he has a small one?
I'd remind you a Tory wet won a majority whilst UKIP polled 13% in a general election.
He was the only Tory to win a majority in the last quarter of a century.
Most of Canada's tundra is not very inhabitable and unless it has an open border policy for the next decade which even Trudeau is not proposing it is not going to double its population anytime soon
It is the final thread before Mike's holiday ends.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/jeffrey-archer-id-vote-for-jeremy-corbyn-in-the-north-8nr8xzhts
https://www.wiltshire999s.co.uk/breaking-part-of-salisbury-on-lockdown-as-two-taken-ill-at-restaurant/
Let's hope it isn't related
“We don't need your stinking vote.
I'd remind you a Tory wet won a majority whilst UKIP polled 13% in a general election.”
Well that’s good news. Because you won’t get it.
And if you read what I said, you’d realise, your WE Is me and you. I’m not now, and never have been a kipper. But have always been, since 1987,a tory. And campaigned for Useless last time out.
So, I shall take my “stinking blue vote” that you do not need, and it will remain unused.
Along with thousands and thousands of other tory votes.
You can disbelieve all you like. But wilful ignorance didn’t do Clegg much good when his party effectively ceased to exist after he carried out his own ‘great betrayal.’