politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB MP in ultra-marginal seat charged with perverting the cour

Crikey. https://t.co/yoTYmTtTv4 pic.twitter.com/U0EaupGTOl
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Labour's 2017 new intake continues to shine.0
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Obviously innocent until proven guilty.0
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Will TMay block Stewart Jackson from standing again?0
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Of course Stewart Jackson providentially has just been released from his previous job. One wonders whether he retains an interest in the seat.0
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Theresa May's cunning plan to call a snap GE and then screw up the campaign, so Labour would have a load of unvetted new MPs, starts to swing into action....0
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Obviously. However, I see the Twitter outrage bus is already revving its engine.TheScreamingEagles said:Obviously innocent until proven guilty.
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Very limited details from Mail and Sun beyond perverting the course of justice, perhaps something might emerge on August 12th.0
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In the circumstances, he would surely be the best candidate. The Chequers deal clearly isn't popular (compromises usually aren't) but it would be very awkward to have a by-election candidate who didn't support the PM's policy. Unless, of course, they were the previous MP.williamglenn said:Will TMay block Stewart Jackson from standing again?
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How many Conservative & Labour MPs have currently had the whip withdrawn at the moment, and is it currently two Labour MPs who are now sitting as independents?0
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The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.0
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Odd its taken the media 12 days to report this considering she was charged and appeared in Westminster magistrates court - not locally in her constituency.TheScreamingEagles said:Obviously innocent until proven guilty.
Presumably she only has to step down if convicted and any trial could be months away.0 -
Amazing how this has just emerged from nowhere. All very curious.
Worst case scenario is life in prison for those convicted of this sort of offence. More likely 4 - 36 months.
Either way, end of career IF found guilty.0 -
Lab Hold methinks.0
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BYE-1
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Jared O'Mara and John Woodcock are sitting as independents.fitalass said:How many Conservative & Labour MPs have currently had the whip withdrawn at the moment, and is it currently two Labour MPs who are now sitting as independents?
Kelvin Hopkins and Ivan Lewis are currently without the whip.
On the blue side I think it is just Charlie Elphicke without the whip.
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The Tories did very well here in May's local elections, which may indeed suggest there was a vote against the former MP.ydoethur said:
In that case it's vital if there is a by-election that he stands again so the Tories lose.AndyJS said:The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.
Remember what happened the last time they gained a seat from Labour!0 -
The Tories would probably select a new candidate.ydoethur said:
In that case it's vital if there is a by-election that he stands again so the Tories lose.AndyJS said:The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.
Remember what happened the last time they gained a seat from Labour!0 -
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She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?0
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There maybe reporting restrictions in place.AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
Remember when Chris Huhne was awaiting trial there was a restriction in place about Constance Briscoe.0 -
I suspect some sort of reporting restriction. Can't think why - but then that would normally be reported alongside the revelation of the charging itself.AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
Normally even the arrest of any MP makes a huge splash. Why did that slip under the radar?0 -
Yes, but I'm channelling my inner Brenda from Bristol. We can't afford another Copeland.Sean_F said:
The Tories did very well here in May's local elections, which may indeed suggest there was a vote against the former MP.ydoethur said:
In that case it's vital if there is a by-election that he stands again so the Tories lose.AndyJS said:The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.
Remember what happened the last time they gained a seat from Labour!0 -
A reporting restriction could well be related to whichever case she is accused of perverting the course of justice of...oxfordsimon said:
I suspect some sort of reporting restriction. Can't think why - but then that would normally be reported alongside the revelation of the charging itself.AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
Normally even the arrest of any MP makes a huge splash. Why did that slip under the radar?0 -
I read somewhere recently that the standard and scope of court reporting is not what it used to be.fitalass said:
That was my first thought too, how did this story manage to remain under the media radar for so long?AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
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For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?0
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All a bit hush hush. Hopefully we’ll be allowed to know more after the next court date.dr_spyn said:0 -
As I said a few mins ago - longest possible sentence is life. More likely 4 to 36 months - sometimes with a fine (or sometimes just a fine)ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
Either way, enough to be career ending - IF convicted0 -
Media turning a blind eye to Labour misconduct as always.oxfordsimon said:
I suspect some sort of reporting restriction. Can't think why - but then that would normally be reported alongside the revelation of the charging itself.AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
Normally even the arrest of any MP makes a huge splash. Why did that slip under the radar?0 -
Thanks Eagles, much appreciated.TheScreamingEagles said:
Jared O'Mara and John Woodcock are sitting as independents.fitalass said:How many Conservative & Labour MPs have currently had the whip withdrawn at the moment, and is it currently two Labour MPs who are now sitting as independents?
Kelvin Hopkins and Ivan Lewis are currently without the whip.
On the blue side I think it is just Charlie Elphicke without the whip.0 -
It can be a life sentence but it is circa around 6-12 months.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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IANAL, but CPS guidelines are 4-36 months. It has a huge range (up to life), given that the nature of the particular course of justice one is perverting is so crucial.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.0
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When you are a law-maker (as MP), even the hint of you perverting the course of justice seems worse.Tissue_Price said:
IANAL, but CPS guidelines are 4-36 months. It has a huge range (up to life), given that the nature of the particular course of justice one is perverting is so crucial.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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She is a qualified solicitor too. All very curious.oxfordsimon said:
When you are a law-maker (as MP), even the hint of you perverting the course of justice seems worse.Tissue_Price said:
IANAL, but CPS guidelines are 4-36 months. It has a huge range (up to life), given that the nature of the particular course of justice one is perverting is so crucial.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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I'd prefer a new and more centrist candidate if a by-election ensues. Jackson's failure to hold the seat last time says all you need to know.Tissue_Price said:
In the circumstances, he would surely be the best candidate. The Chequers deal clearly isn't popular (compromises usually aren't) but it would be very awkward to have a by-election candidate who didn't support the PM's policy. Unless, of course, they were the previous MP.williamglenn said:Will TMay block Stewart Jackson from standing again?
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ydoethur said:
Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
I suspect the Chris Huhne precedent would kick in 'Lawmakers cannot be lawbreakers'
There's also the potential for recall.0 -
Naught but Tory propaganda!TheScreamingEagles said:Labour's 2017 new intake continues to shine.
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Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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Constance Briscoe was a Recorder and she was found guilty of something similar in the Huhne trial.Tissue_Price said:
She is a qualified solicitor too. All very curious.oxfordsimon said:
When you are a law-maker (as MP), even the hint of you perverting the course of justice seems worse.Tissue_Price said:
IANAL, but CPS guidelines are 4-36 months. It has a huge range (up to life), given that the nature of the particular course of justice one is perverting is so crucial.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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Think Labour are safe, frankly.0
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She's a commercial property solicitor...0
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They may well be - but it is a bit early to speculate on that. Much could well depend on the nature of the allegations and how tarnished the party ends up being as a result.Morris_Dancer said:Think Labour are safe, frankly.
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The key word was 'automatically.'Tissue_Price said:
Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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Ah yes, my apologies. Either way, I think anyone being convicted of anything is pretty much toast these days.ydoethur said:
The key word was 'automatically.'Tissue_Price said:
Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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Lawyers, eh?TheScreamingEagles said:
Constance Briscoe was a Recorder and she was found guilty of something similar in the Huhne trial.Tissue_Price said:
She is a qualified solicitor too. All very curious.oxfordsimon said:
When you are a law-maker (as MP), even the hint of you perverting the course of justice seems worse.Tissue_Price said:
IANAL, but CPS guidelines are 4-36 months. It has a huge range (up to life), given that the nature of the particular course of justice one is perverting is so crucial.ydoethur said:For our lawyers, on a more serious note, what sort of penalty might be imposed IF she is found guilty? Is it one with a wide range of sentences or does the judge have a tight set of guidelines?
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Oh hello..
"The Mirror has learned the case is being prosecuted by the Special Crime and Counter Terrorism Division of the Crown Prosecution Service."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-labour-mp-appears-court-129795500 -
Bloody hell. We really do have a shower of MP's don't we? Regardless of this ones guilt or not.0
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BBC have the story - hidden away in the "local" news section:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-449578960 -
Well, perhaps they should be. But in the current Labour Party, I wouldn't like to bet on it. Much would depend on the case.Tissue_Price said:
Ah yes, my apologies. Either way, I think anyone being convicted of anything is pretty much toast these days.ydoethur said:
The key word was 'automatically.'Tissue_Price said:
Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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The tweet has unfortunate implications - it will presumably be the Special Crime part of it, one of whose responsibilities is "cases involving high profile individuals such as MPs".TGOHF said:Oh hello..
"The Mirror has learned the case is being prosecuted by the Special Crime and Counter Terrorism Division of the Crown Prosecution Service."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-labour-mp-appears-court-129795500 -
Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/10221587325900185600 -
I must 'fess up to having never heard of Fiona till this afternoon. At least she's achieving some kind of name recognition...0
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That doesn't really tell us anything: "cases involving high profile individuals such as MPs" are treated as a Special Crime for this purpose.
EDIT I see @Tissue_Price made the same point first.0 -
Yup, I forgot to add my explainer.AlastairMeeks said:That doesn't really tell us anything: "cases involving high profile individuals such as MPs" are treated as a Special Crime for this purpose.
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A suggestion she was remanded in custody; unlikely?0
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*IF* it escalates as far as a by-election then the main thing to look out for will be evidence for Ukip rising from the grave - as if we didn't have enough problems already...oxfordsimon said:
They may well be - but it is a bit early to speculate on that. Much could well depend on the nature of the allegations and how tarnished the party ends up being as a result.Morris_Dancer said:Think Labour are safe, frankly.
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This came out of nowhere0
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That's fake news.IanB2 said:A suggestion she was remanded in custody; unlikely?
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What wing of Labour is she from ?
Corbynite-deathtoIsrael or yellerremainerMiliband ?0 -
I must have taken my eye off the ball because I didn't know the 10% recall proposal had passed into law.Tissue_Price said:
Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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A cursory glance at her twitter account seems to show this is not someone who has been remanded.
https://twitter.com/FionaOnasanyaMP/with_replies0 -
This made me laugh; a candidate's vote mught depend on their popularity - no shit!?AndyJS said:The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.
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I dunno, I kind of miss Ed MilibandTGOHF said:What wing of Labour is she from ?
Corbynite-deathtoIsrael or yellerremainerMiliband ?0 -
There's talk of it being used in North Antrim on Ian Paisley Jr., based on his 30-day suspension from the Commons.AndyJS said:
I must have taken my eye off the ball because I didn't know the 10% recall proposal had passed into law.Tissue_Price said:
Any custodial sentence would allow electors to petition for her recall under the Recall of MPs Act 2015. 10% of the electorate signing the petition would trigger a by-election, in which she could stand (unless sentenced for more than a year).ydoethur said:Thanks for the replies. So even if she is found guilty, there is a strong possibility she wouldn't automatically forfeit her seat.
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Usually people vote for the party, not the candidate. But if the candidate is particularly poor, it can affect their performance sometimes.Benpointer said:
This made me laugh; a candidate's vote mught depend on their popularity - no shit!?AndyJS said:The Tory vote in Peterborough may be understated due to the previous MP's possible unpopularity.
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Since she's spoken in the Commons recently, clearly soTheScreamingEagles said:
That's fake news.IanB2 said:A suggestion she was remanded in custody; unlikely?
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I think Andrew Griffiths, the sexting MP for Burton who resigned as a Minister last week, is also suspended.0
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Just saying.
Chris Huhne was charged in February 2012 and his trial started a year later.0 -
BBC on the case:
"It is not known when the alleged offence took place. The BBC has contacted the office of Ms Onasanya, who previously worked as a solicitor."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-449578960 -
Why on earth would Tory-supporting newspapers turn a blind eye to alleged Labour misconduct?MaxPB said:
Media turning a blind eye to Labour misconduct as always.oxfordsimon said:
I suspect some sort of reporting restriction. Can't think why - but then that would normally be reported alongside the revelation of the charging itself.AndyJS said:She appeared in court at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 12th July, nearly two weeks ago. Why has this taken so long to be reported?
Normally even the arrest of any MP makes a huge splash. Why did that slip under the radar?0 -
Didn't he eventually plead guilty, or have imagined that? I suspect you're right though, these things take along time to come to court. Just look at Thanet South.TheScreamingEagles said:Just saying.
Chris Huhne was charged in February 2012 and his trial started a year later.0 -
He did, he changed his plea on the first day of trial.tlg86 said:
Didn't he eventually plead guilty, or have imagined that? I suspect you're right though, these things take along time to come to court. Just look at Thanet South.TheScreamingEagles said:Just saying.
Chris Huhne was charged in February 2012 and his trial started a year later.0 -
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/10221587325900185600 -
No - he means 'they were all investigated by the SCCTD.'MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
Basically he's saying don't assume she's a terrorist just because of the police unit involved.
(If she were a Corbynista now...)0 -
Did I say they were charged? No.MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
I was trying to put TGOHF's 'Hello' into context.0 -
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Isn't that what Huhne did?0
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You were adding to a piece which says "Labour MP to stand trial after being charged..."TheScreamingEagles said:
Did I say they were charged? No.MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
I was trying to put TGOHF's 'Hello' into context.0 -
Yup.RobD said:Isn't that what Huhne did?
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Boring.Tissue_Price said:
Why couldn't she have done something interesting, like perjured herself in a case over an anti-Jewish terrorist?
We've already had one of these.0 -
As someone who has accumulated 21 points on his licence at various stages can I say anyone who tries to dodge speeding points are lower than Mark Reckless in my eyes.
You want stress? Try driving for 8 months whilst on 9 points.0 -
right.TheScreamingEagles said:
Did I say they were charged? No.MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
I was trying to put TGOHF's 'Hello' into context.
well.MarqueeMark said:
You were adding to a piece which says "Labour MP to stand trial after being charged..."TheScreamingEagles said:
Did I say they were charged? No.MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
I was trying to put TGOHF's 'Hello' into context.
quite.
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When we didn't know what it related to and people were focussing onMarqueeMark said:
You were adding to a piece which says "Labour MP to stand trial after being charged..."TheScreamingEagles said:
Did I say they were charged? No.MarqueeMark said:
You are seriously wrong here: "all those Tory MPs" were not charged: only the one. Please correct this.TheScreamingEagles said:Don't read too much into this, so were all those Tory MPs and their election expenses
https://twitter.com/andrewgregory/status/1022158732590018560
I was trying to put TGOHF's 'Hello' into context.
The Mirror understands the case is being handled by the Special Crime and Counter Terrorism Division of the Crown Prosecution Service0 -
Lol.ydoethur said:
Boring.Tissue_Price said:
Why couldn't she have done something interesting, like perjured herself in a case over an anti-Jewish terrorist?
We've already had one of these.0 -
Sounds as though it was a much less stressful time for all the other drivers in West Yorkshire though TSE if you're that careless a driver.TheScreamingEagles said:As someone who has accumulated 21 points on his licence at various stages can I say anyone who tries to dodge speeding points are lower than Mark Reckless in my eyes.
You want stress? Try driving for 8 months whilst on 9 points.0 -
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As suspected0
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If Jackson doesn't stand, UKIP will need to give Tory voters a proper anti-May option.0
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If convicted, it is hard to see how she can return to her former career let alone her present one.0
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Has anyone ever received a sentence of 12 months or more for trying to get someone else to take their speeding points?0
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I was driving 30,000 miles a year in those years.ydoethur said:
Sounds as though it was a much less stressful time for all the other drivers in West Yorkshire though TSE if you're that careless a driver.TheScreamingEagles said:As someone who has accumulated 21 points on his licence at various stages can I say anyone who tries to dodge speeding points are lower than Mark Reckless in my eyes.
You want stress? Try driving for 8 months whilst on 9 points.
The E class Merc and the ML I had were very quiet, you could be doing 85mph and it sounded so quiet.
I've been driving for 23 years and I've not been involved in fault accident yet.
I'm one of the safest drivers on the road.
Plus the speed cameras on the Stocksbridge bypass really didn't like me.0 -
I've read a lot of criticism on here of certain Tory MPs. Stewart Jackson is one, Andrew Bridgen is another. I know little about either, other than what I read in All Out War about the latter. But it is interesting to see how the Tories have fared in Peterborough and North West Leicestershire.
Jackson lost Peterborough last year having had a 4,800 majority in 2010. Andrew Bridgen recorded a 13,000 majority last year having gained the seat with a 7,500 majority in 2010. Both seats voted leave by over 20 pp in the referendum.0