Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By-election punters should check the form before risking their

There have only been five Westminster by-elections which have been contested by the main parties since the Brexit referendum and the average party changes are shown in the chart above.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Because it’s a taxpayer funded, military aircraft Mr Johnson.
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/boris-johnson-claims-raf-voyager-transport-aircraft-often-unavailable-claims-he-probably-needs-own-plane/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/05/23/britain-follow-eu-data-rules-full-brexitin-bid-save-trade-ties
Britain will mirror the European Union’s data protection rules in British law in full, UK negotiators have said in a bid to convince Brussels to preserve intelligence-sharing and the lucrative free flow of data after Brexit.
She was given, and it’s in her passport, indefinite leave to remain when she married and moved here in 1979.
What on earth is the Home Office doing?
https://twitter.com/ellbretland/status/998952675357184000?s=21
https://twitter.com/stephenbarrow/status/999160506022793216?s=21
Gosh, how exciting. Mr. Pulpstar versus Mr. Smithson, who will be right? The latter favours the bookies' assessment, so greater glory for Mr. Pulpstar if he gets it right, I think.
My wife was in almost exactly the same position, and ended up (successfully) applying for citizenship, as they kept making the rules for maintaining leave to remain more onerous.
ComRes:
HoL should be abolished:
Con: 29
Lab: 17
LD: 13
Green 23
UKIP: 49
Jeremy going after the Tory-Green-UKIP voter....
http://www.comresglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/22052018-We-The-People-Tables-MAY-2018.pdf
Lewisham East is very different from Witney or Richmond Park.
1a. It's Labour, not the Tories defending.
1b. It's the opposition, not the government defending.
1c. The defending candidate is strongly pro-Remain; the Lib Dems cannot easily harvest the Remain vote.
2. It's a snap poll; there's not been months of preparation time waiting for an anticipated resignation.
3. There is no particularly strong LD base in the constituency, unlike Witney and, especially, Richmond.
Add to which Pulpstar's comments, which is that there's a solid Tory vote and - overlapping - a solid Leave vote, which presumably the Tories can target without too much opposition.
Put simply, what is the Lib Dem message here? What are they for? 'Stop Labour' seems a fairly inadequate message when the local elections there indicate the public are quite happy with Labour as long as the candidate isn't a liability - which she isn't.
FPTP with the HoL (and majority of 100) = elected dictatorship
FPTP without the HoL = elected tyranny.
Does any country have FPTP without any further checks and balances?
New Zealand did but moved to PR.
Sweden and Denmark have no 2nd chamber but have the protection of PR and a written constitution.
"Bad news for Dems: Trump’s rating is rising where it counts in California"
https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/Bad-news-for-Dems-Trump-s-rating-is-rising-12932492.php
Early positioning for some kind of coalition?
The Tories, the SNP and Respect have all gained seats off Labour with Labour in opposition than the Lib Dems have.
HoL should be abolished:
18-24: 14
25-34: 14
35-44: 23
45-54: 30
55-64: 31
65+ :28
How many has he fought now?
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/999272894784995338
Largely contains people with valuable life experience and skills: 21%
Contains too many political cronies and retired or failed politicians: 79%
Even Bahrain has an equal number in each.
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/999261074598891520
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/02/magazine/women-pilots-military.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2015/05/07/politics/first-woman-f-35-pilot/index.html
Thus, 44% of 650 (House of Commons) would mean a hypothetical elected Upper House of 286 seats.
Rewriting history, deliberately obfuscating the truth to impose modern norms upon the past, is demented.
Lily Litvyak was the top female ace, with a reported 12 kills, though was unfortunately shot down over Kursk in 1943.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lydia_Litvyak
While I think there are issues with his argument, it isn't super extreme. However it can lead one down a path to more extreme stuff, because people see hey the mainstream guys are lying about historical fact.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/07/night-witches-the-female-fighter-pilots-of-world-war-ii/277779/
There is no help for people like this writer. Their indoctrination has taken set.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_abolished_upper_houses
Beef up the Select Committees and off we go!
Now at some point he’s got to tell her that Daddy lied about something!
Its kind of like the nonsensical thinking of inserting ethnic minority actors into historical film / tv drama to ensure some sort of token nod to modern day "balance".
https://twitter.com/politicshome/status/999285068362338304
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howling_Laud_Hope
I actually used to know him quite well, when he’s not being a Loony was a pub manager in the area where my parents used to live - one of the leafier parts of Aldershot constituency.
Looking at the dross in Parliament, does anyone trust the lower house to “do its job properly”?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-5761867/Ryanair-change-luggage-policy-passengers-checking-bags.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lydia_Litvyak
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yekaterina_Budanova
a) the ministry remains responsible to the lower house only
b) money bills not to need its consent, so it cannot deny supply
c) joint sittings in the case of non-money bills that can't pass both houses (this would need to be tied to the upper house being quite a lot smaller than the Commons)
An elected upper house done correctly could be a real boon - it should make for better conceived and drafted legislation and be a check against the government-controlled Commons' tendency towards elected dictatorship.
Dr. Foxy, well, yes and no. Better for women on the piloting front, but worse on the politically motivated genocide front.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/18/style/jordan-peterson-12-rules-for-life.html
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/motor-sport/event/28727864/market?marketId=1.143847969
https://www.theverge.com/2018/5/22/17379508/microsoft-xiaoice-chat-bot-phone-call-demo
https://twitter.com/DavidHughesPA/status/999287251266953217
One of her great-grandaughters, who never actually met her, wrote a school project on how proud she was of what her ancestor did. Two at least of her granddaughters used her as a life example!
Far, far better to have told the girl that women in 40’s Britain weren’t allowed to fly in combat although they are now!