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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How the Tories are using the the appointment of the new Home S

The big news of the day has been the appointment by Theresa May of Sajid Javid as the new Home Secretary – the first time a member of the BAME communities has been appointed to one of the main officers of state.
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And I agree that it seems a highly effective poster.
Is Boris Heseltine, Corbyn Kinnock, May Thatcher and Javid Major? If so Labour will need another Blair!
He looks a bit like the Mekon.
Would a working class kid from Rochdale have had the same opportunities if he had been born a generation later ?
I wonder if changes in lifestyle and work mean some men age slower than the traditional image.
Or maybe against Corbyn.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/21/sajid-javid-accused-misleading-mps-business-rate-rises/
I agree he has a great back story - but what exactly has he achieved in government. Although I accept for the current Cabinet it's not a high bar.
They make him Prime Minister, or Chancellor of the Exchequer, or Foreign Secretary"
Also for bald men some carry it very differently to others. Hair can be a big give away to age as can baldness but he doesn't look bald it suits him. Not sure why but it does. There's a general political rule of thumb globally that the follically challenged lose elections but I'm not sure if it would work in his case as he doesn't strike me as bald despite being so.
Does that make any sense?
2.....
If he can move the agenda on then I think she will.
Do the first two have much more appeal than Chuka? He oozes far more political charm and smooth smug self belief, which isn't very appealing. The first two seem more genuine and are getting a great trial run in very senior posts.
The money must now be on SJ or SK to be the first BME PM. I would suggest Chukka is toast.
http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-43947959
You look at Iain Duncan Smith and he looks bald. The fact he's still got tufts of grey hair amongst his baldness just accentuates it.
Javid with such a smooth head just looks like hair doesn't belong there rather than striking as missing hair.
Only in America.....
But he didn't achieve a lot when at Business in terms of "cutting red tape". Pretty much uncle Vince levels of activity. And he hasn't been exactly prominent in building new housing either.
OTOH facing up to Abbott would make most people look good.
https://twitter.com/MarcusFysh/status/991054798693765121
https://twitter.com/MarcusFysh/status/991065837275635713
What next - doing Karaoke is also Japanese cultural appropriation?
There are things to worry about in rhe world - and there is a Utah high school prom dress.
CON 43 (=)
LAB 38 (=)
LD 8 (=)
UKIP 3 (=)
GRN 3 (=)
SNP 4 (=)
https://twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/991066535019057152
IMO, shares in housebuilders are screaming value IF you think these two problems are over-stated. I'm uncertain, but tentatively buying.
(This is not investment advice, DYOR, you might lose your shirt etc etc).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugLbotr1RuQ
FPT. The news out of Israel should have many mirrors held up to it. Bibi is running interference for Trump, undoubtedly. Western countries, however, know all too well that Iran has been stretching the living crap out of its obligations under the Agreement but why rock that boat? There was nothing new today at all.
Israel always takes care of its interests and it is not willing to just accept the Iranians, who control Assad more than he controls them on his own soil, setting up shop on their border. Never mind the PowerPoint, watch the Knesset, watch the convoys and watch the air activity. Netanyahu's generals are not quite as gung-ho as the boss but they will do as necessary.
The broad picture hasn't changed much - the two parties remain neck-and-neck, although there has been a small fall-off in Jeremy Corbyn's ratings and a small drop in Labour's position over the last couple of months or so. The Conservatives seem now to be a smidgen ahead, but it's not a very solid lead.
https://www.tripadvisor.co.uk/Restaurant_Review-d2550961?m=19905
I think investing in housebuilders is quite brave. We have very high multiples of average salary, very slowly increasing wages, low inflation and gradually increasing interest rates. Doesn’t look like an ideal scenario to me.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3486895/Come-clean-bank-bonus-scheme-Javid-told-Labour-Business-Secretary-accused-showing-contempt-taxpayers-deal-dodge-tax.html
Okay its only eleven months and we don't know what the local election results will be but even so things haven't gone according to plan for the government.
For that matter has a government ever had four forced cabinet resignations in a year ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015
https://www.portsmouth.co.uk/news/politics/labour-election-candidate-resigns-from-portsmouth-party-after-anti-semitism-row-and-says-politics-is-poison-1-8478116
I really wonder what Kwasi has done wrong.
But Corbyn's ratings have sharply reversed from back just after the GE. If the Tories were to chose the right man or woman to succeed May, they could yet crucify Labour at the next GE.
May's satisfaction rating amongst Tory voters is only 38%. Not that different.
People don't want media performers any more - they are looking for politicians with genuine convictions. Which is why JRM is clear favourite amongst Con members.
Javid may be able to get into the frame IF he can show he really believes in anything, but I am not holding my breath....
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/30/us/politics/questions-mueller-wants-to-ask-trump-russia.html
Con: 31
Lab: 22
SNP: 35
On a more serious note....
Best PM by 2017 Vote - among own voters (current VI)
May: 84 (93)
Corbyn: 58 (73)
And among Tory voters the most important issues are:
#1 Brexit (70)
#2 Immigration (43)
#3 = Health (34), Economy (33) Defence (33)
While Labour voters have very different concerns - apart from Brexit:
#1 Brexit (54)
#2 Health (51)
#3 Housing (30)