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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory turmoil continues as another Cabinet exit appears to

Yesterday morning the odds on the International Development Secretary, Priti Patel, being the next cabinet exit were 5/1 with TMay’s deputy, her long standing friend from Oxford, Damian Green the 6/4 favourite.
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Probably a mistake - but seemed like May doesn’t want to pull the trigger.
And there are other Cabinet members making a decent case to be fired!
Kwarteng isn’t even in govt so to immediately promote to Cabinet would presume annoy others. Same for Rees Mogg who might even decline a job like Dfid.
No interest in government, or just too arrogant ?
That said, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to hear that the government sent a plane to Uganda to collect Ms Patel and bring her back to London. If I were her boss I wouldn’t trust her to meet with anyone.
Surely her perceived knifing of Fallon has seen to that?
Once again, May stands still and all around her potential replacements fall on each other.....
1. Muzzles him on Brexit in theory. He’s disagreed with govt on approach and may want to push for a particular sort of deal.
2. Dfid is a bad job for a Tory wanting to be leader.
3. Policy issues with dfid supporting family planning around the world.
You don't get to go into government on your own terms ....unless you expect, absurdly, to go straight to PM.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/07/brexit-eu-warns-uk-it-has-less-than-a-month-to-make-concessions
We could quite conceivably end up with a no deal Brexit as each side wrongly expects the other to make concessions while each (wrongly) believing that they are behaving reasonably....
This is becoming like Trump and Russia. In her case, it's Israel.
Why does the SoS for DfID need to meet Israelis so often ? Future election funds ? Did she start to believe some of the hype herself ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-41908302
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-07/leaked-secret-israeli-cable-confirms-israeli-saudi-coordination-lebanon
If there is an opposite to "talk softly but carry a big stick," it's us.
A little worrying, living as I am next door to all this!
The damage that she can do to international relations if she goes off-piste abroad, is orders of magnitude more than the cost of flying her home. Bill her department for the cost if it’s that important, they can’t spend their whole budget anyway.
I'm sure she'd see the funny side.
But I don't understand why we would want to pick sides between Saudi and Iran.
We are a laughing stock.
You just know she’d be expecting the VIP Voyager, would be well worth sending a C130 just to see the look on her face. Especially when the Captain handed her a letter from the PM relieving her of her position, before throwing her in the back of the plane for a noisy 20-ish hour trip back to Northolt. Maybe they could do it unpressurised with everyone on O2, just
to make it more funas a training exercise.It's a government of chaos. May needs to start getting a grip, and she can start by sacking Patel. Johnson too, probably, although I think that's less clear-cut.
How the State of Israel has behaved since is a different matter.
I expect when she does leave the Cabinet it will be to launch a leadership challenge.
Now it looks like even in her apology Patel lied (why!?) and that might be what does for her.
Can moderators ban the H word quick.
Background hint; my parents were Telegraph readers, so that was where I started reading about politics.
Didn’t start reading the Daily Worker until about 1953/4.
@bbclaurak: And if May doesn’t sack her now it’s an ongoing sore that smacks of weakness
She is in the wrong Constituency and doesn't own gumboots
How do you propose the UK should have "snuffed out" the nascent Israeli state in 1946?
https://mobile.twitter.com/nicktolhurst/status/927856249269620736
lol
Bono "distressed" on tax dodging
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/bono-tells-of-distress-after-paradise-papers-reveal-malta-venture-36300005.html
you couldnt make it up
David Prescott, the son of former deputy Prime Minister John Prescott, was suspended “in the last few days”, according to the Daily Mirror.
When asked about the circumstances around Mr Prescott’s suspension, a spokesman for Labour told the paper they would not "comment on staffing matters".
However they added: “The party takes all complaints of sexual harassment, abuse and discrimination extremely seriously.
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/news/90430/jeremy-corbyn-aide-david-prescott-suspended-amid
The fact that she must have gone "off grid" to make the arrangements is particularly telling.
https://twitter.com/nicktolhurst/status/927857443786326017
Nairobi airport has some quite good lounges too. One of my favourites.
Both sides in the seventy year old conflict have legitimate claims, but the arguments haven't really changed in the decades since I can first remember them being debated.
I once did BAH-RMS in the back of a KC-130 Tango. It seemed to take a very, very long time.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/King_David_Hotel_bombing
https://twitter.com/mrjamesob/status/928166301956296704
Maybe the RAF are picking her up?
I was wondering what the site's view was on Boris' blunder. The media focus does seem to be on Patel, which is giving the Foreign Secretary some respite from what should be relentless condemnation. Is Patel's error in judgement genuinely worse than Boris'?
Edited extra bit: Brazil, as usual, has qualifying and the race start at 4pm.
Boris should apologise and work to remedy the situation.
If unsuccessful he should consider his position.
Patel should never come near a govt job again.
So not its fishing industry.
The only way to have preserved the 1948 UN partition settlement would have been to impose it by force. That would have required British troops (in even greater numbers that 100k) keeping both sides apart and suffering significant casualties from both for years, with no guarantee of success, even if they'd stayed another 20 years.
Patel looks increasingly guilty of insubordination, and is pretty much toast if Mrs May wants to keep her own job.