politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa’s Tories still being hit by the GE2017 branding gamble

It was noticing the photograph above of the Conservative battle bus at the general election that reminded me what a huge gamble the blue team made at the last election by putting everything on Theresa May.
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You have sat too long here for any good you have been doing. Depart, I say, and let us have done with you. In the name of God, go.
As always in politics, never say never - but realistically, no.
Is it the same bus?
Worst of all she lost the Tory majority against an IRA condoning Trot.
She should be forced to do the walk of shame in Manchester next month.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/05/theresa-mays-recycled-battle-bus/
Although I suppose a rump is an arse, and that could be a point of similarity.
(And yes, I know you were referring to Amery and Chamberlain.)
Slogans are all well and good (long term economic plan), but they have to bear some relation to reality.
Although many of her woes are self-inflicted, it's also the case that the media like to knock down those that they have built up. Before the election, she was getting an over-favourable press, and a correction was inevitable. What was surprising was the speed and ferocity of that correction.
Jeremy Corbyn has arguably followed the reverse trajectory, but Labour shouldn't kid themselves that the fundamentals have changed.
If she has another Grenfell then you might as well give Corbyn the keys to Number 10 now.
Hope he gets back to UK asap.
It is the Blackadder Goes Forth strategy of wearing your underpants on your head, sticking pencils up your nose and going "wibble, wibble".
Regarding Grenfell, first of all let's hope there isn't another one. Numerous blocks have failed and are undergoing hurried repairs but the only ones to have been forcibly evacuated (and evacuated in a bungled fashion that would have disgraced a fairly competent six year old, at that) were by a Labour council.
Incidentally, am I the only person wondering why Emma Dent Coad appears so desperate for the Grenfell enquiry not to go ahead?
However, in this case there is fairly ample evidence that he does indeed have a serious problem.
Blair, Cameron, Thatcher et al managed it.
If she didn't know him to be mentally ill then it was inappropriate to tweet.
Who else uses them apart from politicians?
A propos I read this chap's book a while ago and it was very interesting.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiroo_Onoda
He is the Japanese soldier in the Philippines who did not surrender in 1972. How he persuaded himself that the war was not over, despite ample evidence to the contrary, is really quite illuminating. And he's not unique. There was another who didn't surrender till 1974 and others may well have held out longer and died later.
What on earth is she doing?
You lack patience for a 5 year game.
Pakistan's team coach is the same vehicle as infamous Brexit bus pledging to fund NHS
Mickey Arthur's side face the Proteas in Birmingham today looking for their first win of the competition after their opening defeat against arch-rivals India.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/cricket/pakistans-team-coach-same-vehicle-10578711
Although interestingly he is also the only one who won every non-constituency vote he was responsible for.
Now he is relying on Boris "lock him up" Johnson to get him out of Greece.. karma
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/17/theresa-may-seeks-david-camerons-advice-prime-minister-prepares/
https://twitter.com/helenlewis/status/897562893440372736
Yes I'm afraid you are probably right. But as any Leaver will tell you, there was no manifesto for Leave, it is up to the government, so there is no reason she couldn't.
Plus, thinking about it - she is funnily enough safer than she has ever been. What are they going to do? Throw her out? There would have to be a GE and even bonkers Brexiters don't want one of those.
https://twitter.com/James08209590/status/899596617422168064
The guy is losing it, I suggest we all leave him to it. The British Embassy in Athens will know about him and deal with whatever needs doing.
It's a bit much you calling me stupid when you were the one touting James Chapman as the new great hope for the continuity Remainers!
Finnish plod not slouches either. About time our boys in blue got firearms as a routine.
She said if she lost six seats she'd lose the election. She lost more than six.
That is the key issue.
If there was a statutory election, she fought and won, then well done her. But this was entirely to increase her existing majority, was not needed, and she failed in the only thing she held the election for. Hence I think it fair to say she failed, although of course "won" the election (in quote marks because she didn't win the election as in win an overall majority allowing her party to make decisions unilaterally win the election).
A lot of people would certainly get liquidated, but rather too many would be Brazilian electricians.
Looks like the police didn't have time to enter into this theological discussion.
Being powerful is like being a lady.
If you have to tell people you are, you ain't.....
https://twitter.com/itsRamel/status/899643533048635392
London is unusual in having armed cops minutes away. When the Whitehaven shootings happened it took an hour for armed cops to get there.
Though voters fell out of love with Cameron following Coulson and the pasty tax but he got them back for the next general election organically.
She was never 'popular' as a warm personality, but for being 'strong and stable' and ' A safe pair of hands'. She has lost that, and I can't see how she can ever get that back again.
Eventually, she will make a big mistake or circumstances will make it look like she has, her popularity will plummet even more and she will be given a chance to retire with grace and make way for someone else.
I doubt it personally.
I don't buy this 'Corbyn was given an easy time' argument I keep seeing
She transparently doesn't have it, which was fine when the perception was we need a harsh taskmistress to get us through Brexit. But this no longer applies now either - you can't be a harsh taskmistress if no one needs to listen to you and your threats.
She now just has to soldier on.
She won.
That's she's perceived by some as not having done so is a fine example of the fact that she's now being treated unfairly unfavourably, in contrast to the period before the election when she was being over-praised.
Where else might she start a war?
Admiral Akbar?
Though we might have to give up sovereignty of The Rock to get a good Brexit deal.
Not sure I'd go that far..
http://commentcentral.co.uk/brexit-negotiations-the-davis-poker-face/