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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Something to consider about how amenable the EU27 might be to

Ipsos MORI have undertaken some research and they find
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R.I.P. the 8 British servicemen who died in Afghanistan, 10th July 2009
DiqawtaH
Just kidding, TSE.
That's strange, we're forever being told how deluded we are.......
via The Irish Times
http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/brexit-now-resembles-a-mash-up-of-father-ted-1.3146815
So there has to be a period after 2019 which yields enough time to negotiate a final settlement. This is where it gets interesting.
Headbanger Brexiteers will cry foul but so will the EU – unless the transition deal changes absolutely nothing. Freedom of movement, the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice and all the rest must be preserved or the EU will not agree to an open-ended transition.
That’s a clearly established red line. In this scenario, the UK leaves the EU and then absolutely nothing happens. Nothing changes at all except for the absence of the UK during any EU decision making process. The scriptwriters of Father Ted, or any other comedy show, couldn’t make it up.
Its also interesting that while Canada/Australia clearly lead in global perceptions, (net +62, +58) there's a step change to Europe, with Germany leading (+34), then another step down to France (+18), UK (+14), EU (+14).
I can understand UK 'US poodle' getting a bad rap, but France? Also in what way has Germany been (in recent history) materially different to Canada/Australia?
Any road up....so much for 'global laughing stock'......
My fairly mainstream Conservative uncle on the Isle of Wight has posted this on FB.
Signs of a real move to make JRM the PM?
Feck! Drink!
Though it would add to the gaiety of the nation.
A typical basket of ingredients for a family breakfast could rise by almost 13% from £23.59 to £26.61 according to a report by KPMG.
The accountancy firm warned households would face above-inflation price rises for imported breakfast classics such as olive oil, bacon and orange juice if Britain left the EU without a deal and defaulted to the World Trade Organisation’s (WTO) customs rules.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/jul/10/hard-brexit-english-breakfast-hard-luck-fry-up-fans?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Methinks the authors have a tenuous grasp on the cooking of most fry up breakfasts.....
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3982901/seamus-milne-mystery-blonde-east-london-hotel/
I have to say, I don't have a high opinion of Canada. They gave us Mark Carney.
Though under PM JRM the choice would be porridge, kippers or grouse, served by nanny in the nursery.
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/2017-06/global-advisor-global-influence-2017.pdf
Is it because he was a 'Remainer'?
So the concept of freedom of choice is alien to KPMG wonks.
Germany has certainly turned its scores around in the last 70 years.
"Samantha, what do you think the oiks use for their fry up breakfast?"
"EVO obs...."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoke_point
I'll be glad if Danish (And Dutch) bacon heads north in price, and virgin olive oil on a fry up ???
It really is hilarious that KPMG in seeking to condescend to the 'average voter' thinks they use olive oil in their fry-ups.....
Rape seed oil is used in the Rentool kitchen. Or butter.
Oh, and what does Father Jack think of Brexit? That would be an Ecumenical Matter.
British butter £1.18 for 250 g vs KPMG's 500g for £4.36....
Where on earth is KPMG buying this crap from ?
brexitbreakfast!Neither feature in my rabbit food diet. I have lost 10 kilos in 2 months though. BMI now down to 25. Another 10 to go...
I was inspired by my blood pressure getting a bit borderline, wanted to try lifestyle before pills.
Can I refer her to the Labour manifesto, and suggest she gets on with it.
Or better still, asks us to get on with it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/IpsosMORI/status/884291094845861888
spot the budget saving
we might even try training some doctors for a change
EU ranking of European cities:
London: 49
Zurich: 43
Paris: 40
Rome: 37
Berin: 31
Madrid: 23
Brussels: 14
https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/ipsos-top-cities-2017
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/corbyn-ally-angela-rayner-passionately-10763442
So New York and Abu Dhabi are the top two, except nobody would want to live there or visit there. Great survey!
Those are the times we live in.
Also, to be fair, he's one of the few Tory MPs who give an intellectually confident defence of Conservativism.
F1: post-race analysis is up here:
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2017/07/austria-post-race-analysis-2017.html
To expand on the Bottas thinking, I do believe the 17 on him for the title is simply too long. It's a three horse race, and, whilst he's third, he's in the running.
Corbyn as PM would be an even bigger disaster.
Still can't fathom why the Tories are going for this drawn out, painful leadership contest.
Like everyone in the UK I haven't spent much time considering JRM for PM, or anything else for that matter. But he is a very bright guy, a constitutionalist, unencumbered by a need for self-enrichment, is probably more "down with the kids" (I know, I know, nanny canvassing) than many Cons MPs, and who knows.
Negatives? Obduracy (can be good/bad we're seeing how it can backfire with Tezza, obvs). One particular faith-driven might cause problems.
I mean that we're having this discussion in itself is the most telling element.
What do you suggest?
Final nail in the coffin of BAU centrist politics.
An unappetising choice.
Hanging on never works. You may fear Corbyn, but you will only gain a few months at the cost of your party by dragging this out.
The other's the real thing
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-40447950
There are good reasons for funding reform, but whatever we do should be carefully considered, rather than brought in by May in a desperate attempt to salvage her popularity... or Corbyn in a ferment of social justice enthusiasm.
So their lying very probably cost the Cons their OM and that surely is actionable.
(IANAL, obvs)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DohRa9lsx0Q
One of the most dishonest contributions to the whole debate was from Lord Adonis yesterday. The Great Architect of Tuition Fees now thinks they should be dismantled because:
"They were a sensible idea wrecked by David Cameron and Nick Clegg’s decision to treble them overnight, and by the greed and complacency of vice-chancellors who thought they were a licence to print money"
Nick Clegg and David Cameron followed the recommendation of the Browne Review (set up by New Labour).
There is no greed behind this. The money universities receive per student has not increased dramatically. What has happened is that the source of the money has changed from the State to the student.
Whilst Vice Chancellors' pay has increased to ridiculous levels, the same phenomenon exists at the top of the BBC or trade unions or local government. I am not defending it, but to suggest, as Adonis does, that this is behind the tripling of fees is wicked nonsense.
Lord Adonis -- a walking embodiment of all that was wrong with New Labour. Dishonest then, and dishonest now.
Bloody Tory party. Never ever bloody learn.
Since Corbyn and McDonnell don't particularly care for representative democracy, they don't view what goes into it as particularly relevant, so long as it gains them Office.
You won't be able to leave one cohort treated blatantly unfairly.
Just as -- when you establish the National Care Service -- and dementia treatment is free, families like mine will demand the return of the money we spent looking after our sick parents.