politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though it is fighting fewer seats and had no MPs the BBC
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though it is fighting fewer seats and had no MPs the BBC is favouring UKIP over the Greens in its GE2017 specials
This morning the BBC announced it’s lineup of General Election specials. They are listed in the table above. Surprisingly UKIP, which has 377 seats is being given an Andrew Neil interview but the Greens, with 468 candidates, are not
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Did what they set out to achieve, now they can retire.
Oh...
OT Blimey, just seem just how many seats the LDs held in the SW in 2010, and how unlikely they are to make inroads this time. Rough times.
How is that justifiable? I guess by standing still, edging up barely, they have proportionally gone up due to UKIP cratering.
After waffling on about NHS IT Rudd went on to the latest brainwave about the young having a right to erase their past from social media. It's almost as though the government are completely aware that funny/provocative/stupid stuff that gets posted on social media doesn't stay on those services alone for very long. There are forums, image hosts, websites, and services that are full of stuff scraped from social media. Instead of wasting time and money on an impractical "right to delete" they might spend the same effort on educating people to be more careful about what they post and create in the first place. The basic rule though is that you can't delete stuff from the internet.
Good Corbynism there though.
Not that I am particularly complaining about this years amount of UKIP coverage. It was the 2015 debacle that was wrong
But then the LDs were swept away and the Tory majority in 2015 was 20,268!
How do you feel about companies? Google, for instance, is notorious for not paying a huge amount in tax, and so by your definition not a wealth creator, but it has utterly transformed the average persons access to information. I often tell classes that the iPad they have on their desk gives them access in a much easier way to more information than I had available to me when I was at university with a copyright library across the road. Similarly Apple with iTunes U. Surely that is adding a huge amount of value?
Pile on Lab Gain Leeds North West. Best chance of a Labour gain I would say, just ahead of East Lothian, Brighton Kemptown and Cardiff North.
I recall reading CCHQ asked Annunziata if she could go by Nancy instead, and she said no. I hope that story is true.
https://twitter.com/PM4EastRen/status/863335684664426497
SNP 45, Con 28, Lab 16, LD 6, Gr 2, UKIP 1
This would give with UNS:
SNP 53, Con 4, Lab 1, LD 1
Probably not many people there at the moment who are really serious supporters of either main party...? Not since they got rid of Paul Mason :-)
For Labour to win 30% or so means very little if the Conservatives are close to 50%.
I think he’ll hold easily.
I'm sure there is a metaphor in there somewhere...
The rules have changed a bit since so you are required to give due prominence taking into account both measures of past and current support. UKIP can point to the last General Election in terms of past support - although it was one where they got a lot of votes but just one MP. In terms of present support, they have nothing to say. The last electoral test, the local elections, were an unmitigated disaster. Most people in the UK won't even have the opportunity to vote for a UKIP candidate in the unlikely event they wanted to. And it's a near certainty that they will have fewer MPs than the Greens in the next Parliament (i.e. nil).
(hell, it might be for all I know, although I picture it as a quintessential Toryish Shire)
Meanwhile...
https://twitter.com/ElectionsEtc/status/863057807154831360
"By the way - I assume people would agree that NHS fat cats who chose to spend zero on cyber protection notwithstanding past attacks and several warnings should be sacked."
Maybe, they should however I don't suppose that they are unusual in not planning for the worst. A few years ago I was involved in an initiative to try and get organisations, especially SMEs, to actively consider "disaster" planning. To consider what would happen if they were hit by a critical incident which involved the loss of access to data, premises, key staff or damage to their reputation (most SMEs hit by such an incident are out of business inside 18 months). It was an utter waste of time.
Most executives we spoke to, including some in pretty large companies, would accept that there was a risk but it wouldn't happen to them. Anyway there were more important things to think about and money spent on planning to cope with something that, probably, wouldn't happen was money wasted.
I expect the NHS executives who failed were just in the same category of managers as those we spoke - too busy to actually do their jobs. I should love to get a look at the risk registers of those NHS trusts who were hit by this attack. Indeed I wonder if, to pick a name at random from the list of affected trusts, the London North West Healthcare Trust even has an up to date risk register.
I'm going to stop here because I've realised that I've forgotten what it is we are supposed to be arguing about: I suspect that we agree on more than we differ.
But, it's like Quintin Hogg wearing a cloth cap to appeal to Northern voters.
the one year you havent given us a drought warning, there's a drought. :-)
I can't remember anyone at PB.com *cough* complaining about the over-representation on TV of the LibDems compared with the two major parties.
On the other hand, Leeds North West actually does have an incredibly high number of students, which is why I think that's a better chance of a Labour gain.
Young people are remarkably good at dealing with life as it is rather than how their elders think it should be. Certainly the level of fees is not an issue for my son and his friends (though they have things to say about value for money, but that is a different issue). I think TwistedFireStopper, gent of this parish, posted on here last month that he has two sons at Uni neither of whom are concerned about fees.
I wonder if too much is being made about a subject by people who are not actually affected by it.
I know Corbynites would say Jezmania is sweeping the campuses... but I'm not sure the evidence on that is terribly compelling (esp post Brexit).
You said it doesn't mean you are recommending a bet...
There's a lot of anecdotal evidence that young people's voter registration is going through the roof this time. That isn't going to help Labour that much under FPTP since they already hold most seats with high concentrations of young people (outside of Scotland) anyway, but Leeds NW is one of the exceptions.