politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP has suffered most in real elections in LEAVE areas since
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that is how a lot will think0
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Have you received any knocks (thumping) on the front door in the wee hours of the morning yet?Floater said:
When you search for what? lolnunu said:
As an aside there is a LOT of child porn out there. When I search for "Teen fucked" or something along those lines you come across thumbnails that looks like children they try to get away with it by labelling it as "young teen" or "twink" or whatever but they are so young looking. It's shocking how much and how easy it is to access. Or am I being naive? Probably, but I don't see what they can do about it?Y0kel said:
If the child porn rumour about this one is correct it could be a rather oblique piece in the evidence chain. You'd be surprised how much of certain types of pornography is found on many an IS sympathiser's seized computer. There are some who consider it a small part of the profiling template.SeanT said:
Just done some digging. Sounds like you're right. Lived within walking distance of the only mosque in Alaska. Known to FBI for ISIS ravings.Y0kel said:0 -
That simply is not true.Pulpstar said:
Alot of people always vote for the incumbent government despite what they tell pollsters. Makes the runes look even worse for Corbyn if anything.isam said:
Strange things do happen. Cameron couldn't get a majority vs Brown after the worst financial crash in living memoryPulpstar said:
May has Carte Blanche, all the models point to overwhelming wins at the next GE right now. If Labour didn't have Corbyn it might be different, but they do. So it isn't.TheScreamingEagles said:
You mean Prime Ministers have never based/changed policy on what donors wish it to be?RobD said:
And how good would it look if she changed her policy based on what a few rich donors wanted?TheScreamingEagles said:
No, it forces pressure on Mrs May, Labour via the Unions are well funded, does Mrs May really want to go down in history as the Tory leader that didn't win a majority against Corbyn.SeanT said:
What's he gonna do, stop funding the Tories so Corbyn's Labour has a better chance of winning?TheScreamingEagles said:
*Buffs Nails*Scott_P said:twitter.com/hendopolis/status/817482097350811648
I posted exactly that after the Tory conference and a few PBers pooh-poohed it.
See my sources were right, Brexit has the potential to lead to a donors' strike it.
Exactly. He has nowhere to go.
Why give you money to someone who ruins your business.0 -
If Barack Obama is still in office on 20th January, there will have been three consecutive POTUSes who have served two full terms each. The last time that happened was in 1801-1825.0
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It was 18 F this morning in sunny Damascus (MD, not Syria). Our news coverage went bonkers about the dusting of snow we got last night, but people (at least in these rural parts) do not really fuss until it is over 2' in one dump.rpjs said:
Well, we in New York also make disparaging remarks about Southerners not coping with trivial amounts of snow, but we would fall over with the sort of snow North Dakota regularly gets. It's simply not worth investing in the necessary infrastructure to cope with snow falls you might only get once a twice a winter, and sometimes not at all.Tim_B said:The state of emergency is now in effect -they said the rain would start at 2pm and it did. Temperature are dropping and will reach freezing in an hour or so, so it will switch to sleet and freezing rain before turning to snow overnight. We're expecting about 4 inches.
Local TV stations have suspended regular programming and have wall to wall weather coverage. They have correspondents all over the ATL metro, for example WSB "Severe Storm Team 2" and Action News folks are breathlessly reporting every flurry and sleet report, and traffic jams. HD Radar, interactive traffic flow maps - you name it they have it.
The Weather Channel, a nationwide channel has reporters all over Atlanta, and shows all the various models showing projected snowfall etc. (The Weather Channel studios are in Atlanta).
One has to wonder how viewers in Fargo, Bismarck or International Falls view this saturation coverage of a 4 inch snow storm, (which will shut the place down for 2 to 3 days) compared to what they regularly get. I suspect either a wry smile or just outright contempt for southern wusses.
It is almost mesmeric to watch though - an enjoyable slow motion train wreck
But friends in Ottawa find that risible. They regularly have 10' piles of snow by the end of the winter because, unlike here, the snow does not melt away between snowfalls but stays all winter. I would find that really tough. That's my inner snowbird calling out.0 -
HYUFD said:
But a lot of those UKIP voters are ex-Labour voters more likely to support Labour than the Tories.foxinsoxuk said:
The combined Tory and UKIP vote in Copeland was 52% at the last election, Labour got 42%. Even if the Labour vote remained unchanged ( and it is down in the national polls) if the Tories squeeze the UKIP vote enough they could winrottenborough said:
Definitely a local candidate for local issues. I think Labour is going to win and is value still. This is not a place where May's party will thrive.foxinsoxuk said:
Labour runs and riders in Nukeland:HYUFD said:
Sellafield are the biggest employer there, with quite a lot of well paid jobs.foxinsoxuk said:HYUFD said:
Try selling that on the doorsteps of Copeland.foxinsoxuk said:
/blockquote>Sean_F said:
I think May will do alright.isam said:Reading the Runes it seems the Cameroons think if May is a failure, and obviously they are desperately trying to create a narrative that she is destined to be, it will be back to one of their own...
I bet Blairites thought the same after EdM
Ending final salary pensions and replacing them with contributory ones is simply what every sane organisation in the private sector is doing
The proposed change is not until 2018 and those whoHYUFD said:
Ending final salary pensions and replacing them with contributory ones is simply what every sane organisation in the private sector is doingfoxinsoxuk said:
Another factor in Copeland?Sean_F said:
I think May will do alright.isam said:Reading the Runes it seems the Cameroons think if May is a failure, and obviously they are desperately trying to create a narrative that she is destined to be, it will be back to one of their own...
I bet Blairites thought the same after EdM
Tory attacks on pensions of the 10 000 Sellafield workers in the run up to the byelection?
Doesn't sound a vote winner to me.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/dec/28/sellafield-tory-conservative-byelection-cumbria-unions-copeland
Copeland will be won by a local candidate fighting on local issues.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/corbyn-candidate-rachel-holliday-joins-race-to-be-labours-copeland-byelection-mp-2017-10 -
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MTimT said:Floater said:
Not yet, I'm not searching for them they just come up with the other free porn. A couple times I've clicked on stuff that i thought was legit then the "reciever" looked suspicously underage. I clicked out of it ofcourse.nunu said:
Have you received any knocks (thumping) on the front door in the wee hours of the morning yet?Y0kel said:
When you search for what? lolSeanT said:
As an aside there is a LOT of child porn out there. When I search for "Teen fucked" or something along those lines you come across thumbnails that looks like children they try to get away with it by labelling it as "young teen" or "twink" or whatever but they are so young looking. It's shocking how much and how easy it is to access. Or am I being naive? Probably, but I don't see what they can do about it?Y0kel said:0 -
justin124 said:
Not in the present Brexit climate with Corbyn backing unrestricted free movementHYUFD said:
But a lot of those UKIP voters are ex-Labour voters more likely to support Labour than the Tories.foxinsoxuk said:
The combined Tory and UKIP vote in Copeland was 52% at the last election, Labour got 42%. Even if the Labour vote remained unchanged ( and it is down in the national polls) if the Tories squeeze the UKIP vote enough they could winrottenborough said:
Definitely a local candidate for local issues. I think Labour is going to win and is value still. This is not a place where May's party will thrive.foxinsoxuk said:
Labour runs and riders in Nukeland:HYUFD said:
Sellafield are the biggest employer there, with quite a lot of well paid jobs.foxinsoxuk said:HYUFD said:
Try selling that on the doorsteps of Copeland.foxinsoxuk said:
/blockquote>Sean_F said:
I think May will do alright.isam said:Reading the Runes it seems the Cameroons think if May is a failure, and obviously they are desperately trying to create a narrative that she is destined to be, it will be back to one of their own...
I bet Blairites thought the same after EdM
Ending final salary pensions and replacing them with contributory ones is simply what every sane organisation in the private sector is doing
The proposed change is not until 2018 and those whoHYUFD said:
Ending final salary pensions and replacing them with contributory ones is simply what every sane organisation in the private sector is doingfoxinsoxuk said:
Another factor in Copeland?Sean_F said:
I think May will do alright.isam said:Reading the Runes it seems the Cameroons think if May is a failure, and obviously they are desperately trying to create a narrative that she is destined to be, it will be back to one of their own...
I bet Blairites thought the same after EdM
Tory attacks on pensions of the 10 000 Sellafield workers in the run up to the byelection?
Doesn't sound a vote winner to me.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/dec/28/sellafield-tory-conservative-byelection-cumbria-unions-copeland
Copeland will be won by a local candidate fighting on local issues.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/corbyn-candidate-rachel-holliday-joins-race-to-be-labours-copeland-byelection-mp-2017-10 -
OT Rand Paul just saved ObamaCare.
https://www.twitter.com/RandPaul/status/8175578316836085760 -
oh so thats why he was shouting "i'm not jewish", he has mental illness and was hearing voices, he must of thought some of the people in the airport were taunting him for being jewish (eventhough he isn't and no one was actually saying anything). Sad. Either that or he is a big fan of Alex Jones.williamglenn said:Not good for the FBI...
https://twitter.com/ap/status/8175331202327838720 -
While I am fiercely anti-Brexit I have to agree with Sean T on one point - i am paid in dollars and my my take home salary has risen by 18% over the year. More than 2000 gbp per month.0
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Not true. It was mainly the Blair wing that had been seeing off likely challengers (after all, Blair was the incumbent they'd be challenging). Look at Gordon Brown's cabinet which included David Miliband, James Purnell and Alan Johnson amongst other potential leaders.AnneJGP said:
Mr Brown was the only game in town then because he'd spent years seeing off any potential contenders.The_Taxman said:
They said that Brown was the only game in town in 2007, the point is many could fill her shoes. The list of potential replacements is long and broad. Whether they would want to do it now is another question. Who do I think would be interesting in the long run? Mark Harper.steve_garner said:Well Mr Taxman, you might think the PM's useless. The opinion polls seem to suggest many others disagree. You may be better waiting a while before delivering such an unequivocal verdict. If she's not the only game in town, feel free to nominate an alternative.
Similarly there are many conceivable alternatives to Theresa May, some of whom must be ruing their decisions not to throw their hats in the ring last year against the unstoppable Boris! Theresa May is prime minister because she had the guts to stand, and the good fortune to be the only remaining big beast in the contest after Michael Gove blew his own as well as Boris's bloody doors off.0 -
Sounds like Osborne is going for a new career in panto....Luckyguy1983 said:
Luckily the Cameroons are useless. Look at Osborne. When Portillo and Hague were cast out of power, they gained a new likeability and career rejuvination followed. Osborne by contrast has engaged in transparent hissy plots.isam said:Reading the Runes it seems the Cameroons think if May is a failure, and obviously they are desperately trying to create a narrative that she is destined to be, it will be back to one of their own...
I bet Blairites thought the same after EdM0 -
New thread!0
