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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on who will win the US Presidential race in 2020

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  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    tyson said:

    @Malmesbury
    Jeez...if I'm lionising someone (Hillary) whom I called tainted, tired and tarnished (albeit one and three are quite similar), I'd hate to think what I'd say about someone I disliked.

    GOP needs to win the election fighting on policy and drawing together a sufficiently electoral coalition that can deliver it 270 EV's...that was my point. The Clinton email stuff is a massive diversion from the dismal electoral appeal of the present day Republicans.

    Tainted and tarnished are in no way similar.

    Tainted comes from the concerto of "boat taint" and is a foul degradation of the underlying meat.

    Tarnish is just a surface panita and can easily be wiped clean (aka "acid bath")
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    tyson said:

    Do you really think the two are equivalent...one are random allegations that are brought up by randomers; the other is raised by a public official against the advice of the AG? Both may be damaging, but there is an etiquette that public offices stay out of elections.
    Hmm - what department was it that put pressure on the FBI to drop the matter?

    Does that count as "staying out"?
  • Floater said:



    And no, I am not a fan of Trump.

    Could this go on the list?
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited October 2016
    weejonnie said:

    With all the overnight Florida votes in:

    By Mail: Republicans + 65400 (about 3.3%)
    In Person: Democrats + 42000 (about 2.6%)

    Compared to archives on the website, these are NOT good for the Republicans.

    2014 was relatively low turnout compared to a presidential election year, so the early vote then should be at the high end for Republicans. Look at the split between the numbers voting by mail and the numbers voting in-person in 2014, it won't be that mail-dominated in a presidential year.

    The Republican lead in mail is inching its way back up, but the Democrats aren't benefiting from the increased turnout in in-person voting as you would expect them to.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,678

    Haven't scrolled so not sure if it's been covered, but the final results of the Icelandic general election show that opinion polls there are as dodgy as they are here. The Pirate party finished a long way from power:

    http://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2016/

    Yes - it's a pro-EU surge (main policy of Regeneration)!
This discussion has been closed.