politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB could get squeezed in Witney and end up with a single figu
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB could get squeezed in Witney and end up with a single figure vote share
Ladbrokes have new Witney market on LAB vote share. If LDs do well, as I think, then they'll be squeezed & sub 10% share possible pic.twitter.com/sY8iFmyd4M
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/299830-poll-indies-break-for-clinton-as-national-lead-widens
Sorry whether he is right or wrong, commenting on a notorious criminal case is not racist unless you use racist language or derogatory racial comments eg implying that such behaviour is only to be expected from [insert race]
If you want a bogeyword to have shock value dont dilute it to the extent a homeopathic practicioner dilutes a substance in water before administering it.
https://twitter.com/CllrRobJames/status/784326162742808577
Hmmm...
If he wasnt a knob he would be heading for a landslide not giving the dreaded Clinton woman a good chance of the prize.
French to invest in new manufacturing plant in NW England.
Potentially very big news if correct. Presumably grants the pro-Corbyn faction the power to amend the leadership election rules. Far Left would then be firmly in command even if Corbyn left office e.g. due to ill health. Last barrier to the complete takeover of the party removed?
Possibly because New York isn't a swing state? But there are many Trump supporters saying the RNC is not GOTVing for Trump.
Bad results or hits taken against the whole range of nationalists in Caerphilly, Hartlepool and Glasgow.
Added to that, they just don't exist in places like Devon and Basingstoke.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/10/07/how-badly-are-trump-and-the-gop-poisoning-their-relationship-with-minorities-heres-a-handy-list/?utm_term=.d29b1a0a9973
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/10/corby-tightens-grip/
http://www.labour.org.uk/people/filter/c/shadow-cabinet
The knock on effect of that is that he won't be able to hide behind 'plotting' MPs at the next leadership challenge and if these MPs lose faith in him over time, it'd be telling.
Leader of the Opposition – Rt. Hon. Jeremy Corbyn MP
Shadow Foreign Secretary – Emily Thornberry MP
Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer – John McDonnell MP
Shadow Home Secretary – Diane Abbott MP
Except, it's no laughing matter. God help Britain.
Except that sterling fell from $1.86 in September 08 (having been over $2 earlier that year) to $1.36 in January 2009. That's a four month 50 cent fall (70 cents if you look over a longer time period) which was a 27% fall (35% fall over a slightly longer period).
Our slight drop post-Brexit is nothing compared to what happened in 2008.
https://twitter.com/TPM/status/784443485688565761
The 15% band looks value to me.
He's Islington, Thornberry's Islington, Starmer is Kings Cross, Abbott is Hackney, McIRA is Hayes..............he won't go south of the river will he, with his new GLC?
Corbyn taking a firm grip on the party, it would seem. We are back to the situation before the coup attempt: do Labour MPs concentrate on trying to fend off deselection (and those in marginals pray that they survive the next election.) Or have they any new ideas - or any fight - left in them?
It must be obvious to these MPs that there is no shifting Corbyn until after 2020.
I think he could easily become the post Corbyn leader as a John Major like compromise acceptable to both factions. I think he is value as a result.
https://twitter.com/falklands_utd/status/784356314528919553
Or, possibly, the men in grey boiler suits will arrive in the nick of time.
Clinton 47 .. Trump 45
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/10/07/breitbartgravis-poll-clinton-and-trump-tied-in-florida-rubio-leads-murphy-in-senate-contest/
Not, however, a frequent voter.
France have gone 1-0 down to Bulgaria after 6 minutes.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/live/2016/oct/07/france-bulgaria-greece-cyprus-world-cup-2018-qualifying-live
Ashworth did back Smith, but is willing to serve in a Corbyn shadow cabinet, in what is (to Labour) a critical role. I think that puts him between or perhaps independent of factions.
It could of course be because the entire Labour Party are ignoring Brexit, or it could simply be a lack of leadership drive.
None of the other parties, apart from the SNP which isn't an option for obvious reasons, is strong, credible and therefore appealing as an alternative home for despairing Labour MPs. They are of niche interest and of strictly limited appeal to voters. I stand to be corrected by some sudden and dramatic defection to the Liberal Democrats, but really the most likely circumstances for Labour MPs resigning the whip seem to be deselection, and/or being both disillusioned with the leadership and contemplating retirement - i.e. those with nothing left to lose. And they'd be most likely simply to sit out their remaining time in Parliament as independents. For various reasons, there seems little prospect at present of an outright split in the party.
The rebels may simply be planning to sit tight and see what happens after the next election, but that may not work out very well for them. In the event of the expected drubbing, what do we think the bulk of the party membership will blame: the failings of the leader, or the troublemaking of the "Blairite" scourge?
This is a solid blue seat.
If the election takes place on schedule then this will also give plenty of time for mass reselection based on the new boundaries, shifting the centre of gravity of the prospective parliamentary candidates decisively to the Left.
Every day in the UK, between companies and the government, $1.2bn is spent in capital expenditure. This is 2% of one day's spending.
Now, it may very well be that investment is completely unaffected by Brexit, and that is what I hope.
Unfortunately, the people I talk to (and in my job as a fund manager, I meet the managements of major companies every day) are delaying decisions about the UK. Not because they think the UK has no future, and they're certainly not cancelling things or pulling out, but because they have no idea what Britain's relationship with the world will be three years from now.
Companies use models to make investment decisions, and right now their spreadsheets have lots of cells they can't fill in, because there are so many unknowns. I was asked by the CFO of a Taiwanese company what tariffs the UK would have with Taiwan post Brexit. I said I honestly had no idea. We need to make these things clear as soon as possible, because my Taiwanese friend might wait six months or even a year, but he won't wait forever.
There is a huge amount of work needed to make Brexit work well, and if we do a poor job in the next two years it could have serious implications for the next two decades.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-prepares-for-debate-rebound-but-refuses-to-be-controlled/2016/10/07/ed5a4bb8-8c8f-11e6-bf8a-3d26847eeed4_story.html
" Trump resisted suggestions from his advisers to practice exhaustively for the second debate, a town-hall-style forum that will be held Sunday night in St. Louis. He flat-out refused to participate in mock sessions, saying such playacting was annoying.
“He doesn’t like rehearsing and rehearsing,” said former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani, who has been among those coaching Trump on the debates. “The way he wants to do a test run is by doing a real test run.” "
Hillary should be 1.01 on Monday.
If anyone wants to bet on UKIP beating the LibDems, I'll offer 5-2.
'blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/10/business-usual-post-brexit-world/
French to invest in new manufacturing plant in NW England.'
That will upset some headbangers,new investment was not going to happen.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37584531
Is there evidence emanating from this part of the world to suggest a major Lib Dem revival is on the cards, or are people simply thinking "southern seat + Tory Government = Lib Dem challenge," as if we were in the mid-1990s rather than the mid-2010s, and the Coalition and Corbynmania had never happened?
Theresa May's intervention at the Tory party conference causing a run on sterling, or Jezza picking Abbott as Shadow Home Secretary?
A clue to the answer... one is meaningless nonsense, and one is destructive...and pushes the UK into the hinterland.