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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LAB selectorate polls don’t always get it right – remem

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  • Miss Plato, glad that got thrown out. Sinister policing.
  • I am sure Dickin' Bill is more interested in what bimbos are in the motorcade than what medical facilities are available.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    edited September 2016
    Alistair said:

    Scan's 3XS systems are superb, can highly, highly recommend them

    https://www.scan.co.uk/3xs

    Look at customizing one of their Value Gaming range rather than Custom Pro Gaming computers as the Pro Gaming range come with unnecessary bollocks like fancy cases and LED lighting
    I would recommend

    www.cyberpowersystem.co.uk


    Who have supplied my last three PCs. Good service; no complaints. They claim to be UK's no.1 gaming PC supplier. They offer bundles but you can also effectively build your own, by choosing all the components separately and they will build it for you.
  • rcs1000 said:

    You can only get an NI number if in possession of a written job offer of more than £40k. At the one year mark, if you're still in possession of that job (or another paying £40k+), the NI number is extended for a further period. After five years, assuming you've had a £40k+ job for 85% of the time, it's made permanent.

    Doesn't seem to be that complicated.
    Furthermore it should not just apply to Europe but be a global standard. If an Australian or an American gets offered a £50,000 pa job why should they be leaping through hoops that a continental on minimum wage did not?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    It's Talk Like a Pirate Day!

    "Aharrr Jim lad. A vast behind!"

    - sorry, it's just one of the Kardashian girls.......
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    .

    Miss Plato, glad that got thrown out. Sinister policing.

    I watched the full video, and it was baseless charging/harassment.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,673
    edited September 2016
    See this is what happens when crappy android based phones try and outdo Apple's iPhone.

    It never ends well because you can never outdo Apple's brilliance.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-18/samsung-crisis-began-in-rush-to-capitalize-on-uninspiring-iphone
  • MTimT said:

    Latest twitter storm on Hillary's health, re ambulance in her motorcade

    If she were Trump she'd make a show of it and have an armed guard carry her around in a lectica.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    WTH?

    The son of an imam who was murdered for his moderate beliefs has warned that Islamic State supporters are posing as charity workers to radicalise young people in Rochdale.

    Saleh al-Arif said that some members of the town’s Muslim community are concerned the Islamic terror group has many supporters among Bengalis in Rochdale. Mr. al-Arif spoke out after Islamic State sympathiser Mohammed Syeedy was given a 24 year jail sentence for his part in the murder of Jalal Uddin, which took place in February this year.

    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/09/19/islamic-state-fans-posing-charity-workers/
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,517
    edited September 2016
    Corbyn has declared himself “totally anti-sugar” in his answer to a question about his favourite biscuit

    What does he make his jam with?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    FF43 said:

    I think this is common sense. Brexit is not going to be a comfortable experience. The government will be very exposed when a company who has been doing business here for decades pulls out or when they have to make difficult spending choices on a reduced taxbase. A half built royal yacht on which to sign all the wonderful Brexit deals that aren't materialising would be hubris on a comic scale, when you are struggling for answers on the most basic questions.
    This is basically Boris and the water cannons all over again - he is incapable of making decisions based on common sense and value for money, always being swayed by the symbolism of things. Hence why we have a cable car to nowhere swinging above East London and million pound buses on the streets with a rear platform that is never open, because employing conductors is unaffordable.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I get the feeling she's quite enjoying publicly shooting down her cabinet ministers. She's done it with several of them now. A power play to show who's boss. Same reason Osborne's sacking was so public.
    She's certainly more of a CEO than Cameron, who was more like an Executive Chairman as PM. Will be interesting to see how that plays out over time, but she's clearly notbafraid to publicly criticise ministers.

    We all would have told Osborne to leave by the back door, if we were in May's position that first evening.
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    See this is what happens when crappy android based phones try and outdo Apple's iPhone.

    It never ends well because you can never outdo Apple's brilliance.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-18/samsung-crisis-began-in-rush-to-capitalize-on-uninspiring-iphone

    I have an android phone, and an ipod. ios is android for stupid people.

    Sorry, but there it is.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    See this is what happens when crappy android based phones try and outdo Apple's iPhone.

    It never ends well because you can never outdo Apple's brilliance.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-18/samsung-crisis-began-in-rush-to-capitalize-on-uninspiring-iphone

    Well not so much speed, but hubris. The Chinese Note 7 has used the Amperex battery mentioned in the article from the start because the Chinese regulator wouldn't approve the SDI batter for safe use. Instead of going back and sourcing their batteries from Panasonic, Amperex and Sony as they normally do, they ploughed ahead with the battery from their own division.

    It's a classic case of chaebol culture, and it afflicts all of Korean industry.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are effectively tied in Florida, according to a new poll released Monday.

    Clinton has the support of 41 percent of likely voters in the New York Times Upshot/Siena College Research poll. Trump is backed by 40 percent.

    Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has 9 percent support and Green Party nominee Jill Stein has 2 percent.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/in-florida-clinton-and-trump-are-running-neck-and-neck/article/2602164?custom_click=rss
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are effectively tied in Florida, according to a new poll released Monday.

    Clinton has the support of 41 percent of likely voters in the New York Times Upshot/Siena College Research poll. Trump is backed by 40 percent.

    Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has 9 percent support and Green Party nominee Jill Stein has 2 percent.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/in-florida-clinton-and-trump-are-running-neck-and-neck/article/2602164?custom_click=rss

    Nate Silver has Trump winning Florida 51:49 and it's been like that for a while.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    PlatoSaid said:

    That Corbyn apptd a single peer - who happened to be Shami is most impressive chutzpah :wink:
    Shami is the sort of person we would want in the Lords as currently constituted. But the way it was done was absolutely terrible.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    IanB2 said:

    This is basically Boris and the water cannons all over again - he is incapable of making decisions based on common sense and value for money, always being swayed by the symbolism of things. Hence why we have a cable car to nowhere swinging above East London and million pound buses on the streets with a rear platform that is never open, because employing conductors is unaffordable.
    Boris isn't sticking to the script, which makes him interesting of course. His Foreign Minister job is supposed to be a sinecure. In exchange for which, he is due to lend his considerable PR skills to selling whatever transpires from Brexit as great government success. Instead he hatches unwelcome schemes to do with royal yachts and plots against his own government through the Change Britain organisation.
  • Minnesota mall knifeman was student, says father

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-37387362

    Usual fear the backlash....one thing...Do you call somebody who he hadn't been enrolled in college for over 6 months a student...I would call them perhaps unemployed?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MTimT said:

    Latest twitter storm on Hillary's health, re ambulance in her motorcade:

    http://www.ksdk.com/news/politics/is-it-normal-for-clinton-to-have-an-ambulance/319630667

    Apparently, it's standard procedure for those with a Secret Service detail, but not for those without, which is why Trump has no ambulance in his motorcade.

    Be interesting to see if former Presidents, such as Bill, who do have Secret Service details, have ambulances in their motorcades.

    If it were quite the standard, there would surely have been one with her the other week in New York - so why did her security bundle her into her own van, rather than the medically equipped one?
  • Farah was granted a therapeutic use exemption – for the corticosteroid triamcinolone in October 2008 and in July 2014 when he was placed on a morphine drip after collapsing following a training run. Farah said in 2015, during the uproar surrounding his coach, Alberto Salazar, in the wake of allegations in a BBC Panorama documentary over his methods, that he had only ever had one TUE.

    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/sep/19/mo-farah-named-fancy-bears-leak
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    BBC South East
    .@ukhomeoffice to pay £80m for new contract to provide security at #Calais, #Dunkirk & #Coquelles, 10 times the value of current deal.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MaxPB said:

    Well not so much speed, but hubris. The Chinese Note 7 has used the Amperex battery mentioned in the article from the start because the Chinese regulator wouldn't approve the SDI batter for safe use. Instead of going back and sourcing their batteries from Panasonic, Amperex and Sony as they normally do, they ploughed ahead with the battery from their own division.

    It's a classic case of chaebol culture, and it afflicts all of Korean industry.
    Ah, so the faulty battery was Samsung's own new design, rather than from an established player?
    Sounds awfully like the Boeing 787 and its own dodgy battery problems.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,517
    edited September 2016
    Sandpit said:

    If it were quite the standard, there would surely have been one with her the other week in New York - so why did her security bundle her into her own van, rather than the medically equipped one?
    I believe there was also some issue about taking her to the ER or not. I am going to guess they thought the apartment was more secure option.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,517
    edited September 2016
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    Sandpit said:

    Ah, so the faulty battery was Samsung's own new design, rather than from an established player?
    Sounds awfully like the Boeing 787 and its own dodgy battery problems.
    Yes, it was from their own Samsung SDI subsidiary, rather than from Panasonic or Sony who have around 50% market share between them for gadget batteries. SDI make good batteries as well, and as rhe article mentions, they make them for Apple, but Samsung used an untested type of battery for their own flagship unit because they'd kept the technology in reserve. The Chinese Note 7 has a lower battery rating for this reason, but it doesnt explode.

    The damning part for me is that they went ahead with the SDI batter for the global version despite being told by the Chinese that it was not safe and that the only way to release it in China was to use a different supplier. The speculation at the time of the refusal was that the Chinese government wanted Samsung to use a Chinese brand of battery to boost their fledgling chemicals industry. Clearly that wasn't the case given they used a Japanese sourced one and it was a legitimate safety concern for rejecting the original Note 7.
  • I believe there was also some issue about taking her to the ER or not. I am going to guess they thought the apartment was more secure option.
    Where they took her is not the issue. The point is that if she had an ambulance in her motorcade as standard, why was she not put into that? An ambulance would have proper equipment to help with respiratory issues and have the right chair/trolley to keep her safe during the transit to apartment or hospital.

    Where was the ambulance in her motorcade on 9/11/16...?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    I believe there was also some issue about taking her to the ER or not. I am going to guess they thought the apartment was more secure option.
    Secret Service protocol says head to the nearest ER - which they have already scoped out. Hillary over-ruled this because she didn't want to risk any medical information becoming public. Another example of her pathological urge for secrecy and lying hurting her, and feeding into the whole meme of her dishonesty and lack of trustworthiness.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Good article from Steve Hilton:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/18/we-can-cut-immigration-levels-by-making-every-briton-employable/
    "...rip up the dysfunctional visa system and build one incorporating the best technological tools available. Decisions on visas and work permits should be made in hours, not months."
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,395
    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    2. Did Diane James really say that - alongside Churchill and Thatcher - Putin was one of her heroes?

    * OK, maybe foolish, rather than a fool.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    PlatoSaid said:

    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are effectively tied in Florida, according to a new poll released Monday.

    Clinton has the support of 41 percent of likely voters in the New York Times Upshot/Siena College Research poll. Trump is backed by 40 percent.

    Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has 9 percent support and Green Party nominee Jill Stein has 2 percent.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/in-florida-clinton-and-trump-are-running-neck-and-neck/article/2602164?custom_click=rss

    All will start to become clear a week today - the first debate.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited September 2016
    rcs1000 said:


    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*..

    Like most smartphones, it's too big, if you want a phone that can go in your pocket rather than a pseudo-tablet.
  • @rcs1000

    2. Uh-huh.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    2. Did Diane James really say that - alongside Churchill and Thatcher - Putin was one of her heroes?

    * OK, maybe foolish, rather than a fool.

    What is so good about the OnePlus 3? I know little about it, other than they had some viral marketing campaign.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,395

    Like most smartphobnes, it's too big, if you want a phone that can go in your pocket rather than a pseudo-tablet.
    It feels pretty compact to me. In terms of footprint, it's barely larger than the iPhone 6, albeit thanks to much better screen to case ratio.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Ishmael_X said:

    Those questioned by Ashcroft were expressly offered immigration as a "main reason"; 33% chose it, against 49% who chose decision making. What do you mean "immigration remains the top political issue", and how do you know?
    He doesn't but it's a great nasty tag and easily attached despite it being complete utter bollocks.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    2. Did Diane James really say that - alongside Churchill and Thatcher - Putin was one of her heroes?

    * OK, maybe foolish, rather than a fool.

    It looks like she did:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/18/new-ukip-leader-diane-james-says-vladimir-putin-is-one-of-her-he/
    What is it with right wing populists?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    rcs1000 said:

    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    2. Did Diane James really say that - alongside Churchill and Thatcher - Putin was one of her heroes?

    * OK, maybe foolish, rather than a fool.

    I've ordered the Xperia XZ. Not a huge fan of the 1+1 which I currently use. For £550 including sellable headphones it's a pretty good deal. Plus I've used it and it is pretty amazing. The fingerprint scanner in the standby button looks great and the camera should be very good once the better camera software is made compatible.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I believe there was also some issue about taking her to the ER or not. I am going to guess they thought the apartment was more secure option.
    Which is bollocks, and just adds to the conspiracy theories. If the 'medical event' was a one off, they would have had her in the nearest hospital in no time at all.

    That they went to a private apartment some distance away, suggests that her team saw this as something of a routine event. *That* is what is worrying to the public when deciding if she's fit to lead the Nation.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited September 2016
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, it was from their own Samsung SDI subsidiary, rather than from Panasonic or Sony who have around 50% market share between them for gadget batteries. SDI make good batteries as well, and as rhe article mentions, they make them for Apple, but Samsung used an untested type of battery for their own flagship unit because they'd kept the technology in reserve. The Chinese Note 7 has a lower battery rating for this reason, but it doesnt explode.

    The damning part for me is that they went ahead with the SDI batter for the global version despite being told by the Chinese that it was not safe and that the only way to release it in China was to use a different supplier. The speculation at the time of the refusal was that the Chinese government wanted Samsung to use a Chinese brand of battery to boost their fledgling chemicals industry. Clearly that wasn't the case given they used a Japanese sourced one and it was a legitimate safety concern for rejecting the original Note 7.
    Good background which I hadn't understood. Thanks.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,395

    What is so good about the OnePlus 3? I know little about it, other than they had some viral marketing campaign.
    1. Fabulous build quality. It really feels as good as an iPhone in terms of how it's made, really premium.

    2. It's got a clean Android build, with no bloat. And it has 7mb of RAM, so it absolutely flies. It's the only Android phone I know that makes my iPhone feel slow.

    3. It's £320. That's half the price of an iPhone or a Samsung or an HTC.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Weird - we have two National Polls on 538

    Poll 1 : Trump +7 (LV)
    Poll 2: Clinton +9 (AV)

    Is this a record divergence?

    (And a Pennsylvania - Trump +1)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Tim_B said:

    All will start to become clear a week today - the first debate.
    At what time is the debate? I fear it will be an all nighter for those of us in a weird middle time zone.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    2. Did Diane James really say that - alongside Churchill and Thatcher - Putin was one of her heroes?

    * OK, maybe foolish, rather than a fool.

    Yes - she must be a Russian spy surely - isn't that the conclusion one leaps to about anyone who doesn't share the orthodox view of Uncle Vlad?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    rcs1000 said:

    1. Fabulous build quality. It really feels as good as an iPhone in terms of how it's made, really premium.

    2. It's got a clean Android build, with no bloat. And it has 7mb of RAM, so it absolutely flies. It's the only Android phone I know that makes my iPhone feel slow.

    3. It's £320. That's half the price of an iPhone or a Samsung or an HTC.
    But it looks like an off brand HTC. 6gb of RAM no? 7mb would be pretty crazy!
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    FF43 said:

    The Britannia required 250 crew to serve one or two Important People. That's enough to man two of the new frigates and those sailors are supposed to fight.
    Nope

    The Britannia was an important business venue that could move internationally with brilliant pageantry.

    My ship was tied up on the same quay as her for over a week and we saw many business leaders and deals being done. All of these were Aided and abetted by the special circumstances and setting. She was far more than just "two people" trouble is lefties could never see that.....or didn't want to.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Sandpit said:

    At what time is the debate? I fear it will be an all nighter for those of us in a weird middle time zone.

    TV Channels – Each debate will be broadcast live on C-SPAN, ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC, as well as all cable news channels including CNN, Fox News and MSNBC among others.

    Full Videos – Click the “Watch Full Video Link” below on each debate to watch the entire debate video.

    Time – The debates will air from 9pm to 10:30pm ET (8pm – 9:30pm CT, 7pm – 8:30pm MT, 6pm – 7:30pm PT)

    Isn't that sort of 2 - 3.30am UK time?

    Read more at http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-debate-schedule/2016-presidential-debate-schedule/#biDgYGdT3gU6driP.99
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Sandpit said:

    At what time is the debate? I fear it will be an all nighter for those of us in a weird middle time zone.
    Monday, September 26, 2016
    First presidential debate
    Moderator: Lester Holt, Anchor, NBC Nightly News
    Location: Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY

    The first debate will be divided into six time segments of approximately 15 minutes each on major topics to be selected by the moderator and announced at least one week before the debate. The moderator will open each segment with a question, after which each candidate will have two minutes to respond. Candidates will then have an opportunity to respond to each other. The moderator will use the balance of the time in the segment for a deeper discussion of the topic.
    Read more at http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-debate-schedule/2016-presidential-debate-schedule/#BKqxPDjmDQx0jV8f.99

    Time is 9pm-10.30pm ET
  • UkUncut.

    Well, that's spelt wrong for a start.

    .....spelt wrongly......
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    rcs1000 said:

    Two quick discussion points:

    1. Anyone buying an Android phone that's not the new OnePlus 3 is a fool*.

    Not necessarily

    https://www.silentcircle.com/products-and-solutions/devices/
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    weejonnie said:

    Weird - we have two National Polls on 538

    Poll 1 : Trump +7 (LV)
    Poll 2: Clinton +9 (AV)

    Is this a record divergence?

    (And a Pennsylvania - Trump +1)

    I'm totally not seeing any of these polls on 538, could you link?
  • rcs1000 said:

    1. Fabulous build quality. It really feels as good as an iPhone in terms of how it's made, really premium.

    2. It's got a clean Android build, with no bloat. And it has 7mb of RAM, so it absolutely flies. It's the only Android phone I know that makes my iPhone feel slow.

    3. It's £320. That's half the price of an iPhone or a Samsung or an HTC.
    I've had a OnePlus 3 for a month and it is as sensational as people say. It is the only smartphone to have 6GB RAM which makes it amazingly fast. Everything just works instantly.

    Its Dash charging system outperforms by a big margin other fast chargers..

    Its lovely to hold and the screen is a gem. Fantastic.

  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    weejonnie said:


    TV Channels – Each debate will be broadcast live on C-SPAN, ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC, as well as all cable news channels including CNN, Fox News and MSNBC among others.

    Full Videos – Click the “Watch Full Video Link” below on each debate to watch the entire debate video.

    Time – The debates will air from 9pm to 10:30pm ET (8pm – 9:30pm CT, 7pm – 8:30pm MT, 6pm – 7:30pm PT)

    Isn't that sort of 2 - 3.30am UK time?

    Read more at http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-debate-schedule/2016-presidential-debate-schedule/#biDgYGdT3gU6driP.99
    Isn't that sort of 2 - 3.30am UK time?

    Nope - it's EXACTLY 2-3.30am UK time.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Location of New York bomb exactly the same location as in plot for video game

    http://imgur.com/a/AxOoG

    Your job is to calculate the chance of this happening given the volume of tv, films, computer games and books that have bombs exploding in New York.
  • Mr. Alistair, an astute comment.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    MTimT said:


    Only fair, given that every successful Canadian broadcaster and entertainer ends up in the US.
    Canada's in NATO though and the bits worth living in would be in the way of the fall-out plumes from the prairie missile silo fields. We're planning to head to Ireland if Trump gets in as at least it's neutral, plus herself has an Irish passport and as a Brit I'd get CTA privs to live there (unless Brexit buggers that up too). Personally I'd prefer New Zealand for safety, but we haven't figured out if we could qualify for immigration there yet.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Alistair said:

    I'm totally not seeing any of these polls on 538, could you link?
    They are on RCP. The Trump +7 is LA Times who are either going to look like geniuses or complete idiots when this is over.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,517
    edited September 2016
    Alistair said:

    Location of New York bomb exactly the same location as in plot for video game

    http://imgur.com/a/AxOoG

    Your job is to calculate the chance of this happening given the volume of tv, films, computer games and books that have bombs exploding in New York.

    Even within The Division, doesn't s##t go down in every part of the map at some point or another?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Tim_B said:

    Isn't that sort of 2 - 3.30am UK time?

    Nope - it's EXACTLY 2-3.30am UK time.
    Depends if you are in Bristol or not

    In Britain, the coaching companies published schedules providing details of the corrections required ... Leeds time was six minutes behind London, whilst Bristol was ten minutes behind; sunrise for towns to the east such as Norwich occurred several minutes ahead of London.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railway_time
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Alistair said:

    I'm totally not seeing any of these polls on 538, could you link?
    You have to refresh the 'updates page http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/ the top 3 are Monday 10.30 EDT (3.30pm)
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Charles said:

    Depends if you are in Bristol or not

    In Britain, the coaching companies published schedules providing details of the corrections required ... Leeds time was six minutes behind London, whilst Bristol was ten minutes behind; sunrise for towns to the east such as Norwich occurred several minutes ahead of London.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railway_time
    So how do they start the Today Program accurately after the time signal in these various places?
  • I've had a OnePlus 3 for a month and it is as sensational as people say. It is the only smartphone to have 6GB RAM which makes it amazingly fast. Everything just works instantly.

    Its Dash charging system outperforms by a big margin other fast chargers..

    Its lovely to hold and the screen is a gem. Fantastic.

    Does it hiss?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited September 2016
    DavidL said:

    They are on RCP. The Trump +7 is LA Times who are either going to look like geniuses or complete idiots when this is over.
    They are the only pollster who's picked up a 15 percentage point surge in Trump's African American vote.

    They are either the best or worst pollster at this very moment in time.
  • This thread bought to you in association with the official phone of PB.com....OnePlus 3....
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Tim_B said:

    So how do they start the Today Program accurately after the time signal in these various places?
    https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=tin+foil+hats&safe=strict&espv=2&biw=1536&bih=764&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjXlOuc2ZvPAhWHI8AKHV7CDycQsAQIJw
  • Yes - she must be a Russian spy surely - isn't that the conclusion one leaps to about anyone who doesn't share the orthodox view of Uncle Vlad?
    Or more likely that she has bad judgement.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I know I've mentioned it before but RealClearPolitics random sampling period for the LA Times tracker is infuriating. It makes if f'ing impossible to go through their historical poll data and get useful info out of it easily, especially as they randomly sprinkle the LA Times tracker around the results (so September polls appear in the middle of July data etc).

    Why they aren't including it on a fixed weekly schedule is a total mystery.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    This thread bought to you in association with the official phone of PB.com....OnePlus 3....

    I have a burning desire for a Galaxy Note 7.....
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Alistair said:

    They are the only pollster who's picked up a 15 percentage point surge in Trump's African American vote.

    They are either the best or worst pollster at this very moment in time.
    If I had to put money on it...

    Damn, I did, ages ago. Hey ho.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Is the consensus view on Putin that he's a time traveller or an immortal?

    image
  • Alistair said:

    Location of New York bomb exactly the same location as in plot for video game

    http://imgur.com/a/AxOoG

    Your job is to calculate the chance of this happening given the volume of tv, films, computer games and books that have bombs exploding in New York.

    Bit like a Sandy Hook appearing on a map in the Dark Knight Rises.
  • This thread bought to you in association with the official phone of PB.com....OnePlus 3....

    In light of the Chinese regulator's prescience regarding Samsung, maybe brands like OnePlus will start to make more of a virtue of their origins.
  • Hmm. Connection's conked out twice in a short time. Happens now and then and turning off and on usually fixes it, but rare to have a recurrence (just mentioning it in case it worsens and I vanish for a little while).
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Tim_B said:

    Monday, September 26, 2016
    First presidential debate
    Moderator: Lester Holt, Anchor, NBC Nightly News
    Location: Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY

    The first debate will be divided into six time segments of approximately 15 minutes each on major topics to be selected by the moderator and announced at least one week before the debate. The moderator will open each segment with a question, after which each candidate will have two minutes to respond. Candidates will then have an opportunity to respond to each other. The moderator will use the balance of the time in the segment for a deeper discussion of the topic.
    Read more at http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-debate-schedule/2016-presidential-debate-schedule/#BKqxPDjmDQx0jV8f.99

    Time is 9pm-10.30pm ET
    That's not actually too bad. 5am start for me (GMT+4) so I'll wake early rather than stay up to watch. And boy, will it be worth watching!!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Does it hiss?

    :smile:
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    weejonnie said:

    You have to refresh the 'updates page http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/ the top 3 are Monday 10.30 EDT (3.30pm)
    The Pennsylvania one is interesting because it is by a Democratic leaning pollster who has Hillary ahead by 9 nationally. If Penn does become competitive, and there is no sign of that till now, the FOP that @JackW has been going on about is distinctly possible.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    DavidL said:

    If I had to put money on it...

    Damn, I did, ages ago. Hey ho.
    Rasmussen also have high levels of AA Trump support - but they have a Pro Republican Bias
  • Does it hiss?
    OGH one does when it gets close to Kippers....
  • Mr. Sandpit, thought you were talking about the Japanese Grand Prix for a moment :p
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,395
    Mr Max: 6gb of RAM is correct :), I mistyped
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    DavidL said:

    The Pennsylvania one is interesting because it is by a Democratic leaning pollster who has Hillary ahead by 9 nationally. If Penn does become competitive, and there is no sign of that till now, the FOP that @JackW has been going on about is distinctly possible.
    Hillary has had Obama campaigning for her in PA last week.That's a sign that PA is competitive.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    weejonnie said:

    Rasmussen also have high levels of AA Trump support - but they have a Pro Republican Bias
    Rasmussen have a lot of things, many covered in brass. Doesn't seem to bother them.
  • The second speaker grill that Apple put on the iPhone 7 in place of the headphone jack is just aesthetic and doesn't produce any sound. Now that's courage...

    https://www.ifixit.com/Teardown/iPhone+7+Teardown/67382
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,395
    Scott_P said:

    Not necessarily

    https://www.silentcircle.com/products-and-solutions/devices/
    Sadly, Silent Circle is likely to soon be (if it is not already) out of business.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Tim_B said:

    Hillary has had Obama campaigning for her in PA last week.That's a sign that PA is competitive.
    But look at the polling to date: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html

    This is either a very big move or a rogue poll.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited September 2016

    Mr. Sandpit, thought you were talking about the Japanese Grand Prix for a moment :p

    That starts at a fantastic 09:00 here in the sandpit :)
    Memories of getting up at what felt like the middle of the UK night to watch Senna and Prost crash into each other in 1989 and 1990.
  • Mr. Sandpit, not checked, but I'd guess it's a tedious 5am. May be one for the radio (if I get up, that means walking the dog, which means a rise of 4.30am give or take).

    Mr. Glenn, we can only salute their heroism.
  • DavidL said:

    But look at the polling to date: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html

    This is either a very big move or a rogue poll.

    Hang on, 538 says the fieldwork was Feb. 11-16. Presumably they've just found out about it.

    Ignore.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,517
    edited September 2016

    The second speaker grill that Apple put on the iPhone 7 in place of the headphone jack is just aesthetic and doesn't produce any sound. Now that's courage...

    https://www.ifixit.com/Teardown/iPhone+7+Teardown/67382

    Is that teardown like a Top Gear episode where Clarkson drives a car to a really remote place and then helicoptered back to the hotel for a steak and chips, while some poor sod has to go and get the car back?

    Some poor intern has been left with all the bits and the tear down video and told to have it back together and working by the morning...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Mr. Sandpit, not checked, but I'd guess it's a tedious 5am. May be one for the radio (if I get up, that means walking the dog, which means a rise of 4.30am give or take).

    Mr. Glenn, we can only salute their heroism.

    You're an hour out, should be 6am BST (5am GMT)
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    edited September 2016
    O/T - But would I be right in saying that no failed Labour leadership candidate has ever gone on to win the top job?

    I can't find any examples of someone having failed once and then succeeding. And whilst it could change in the future, it seems unlikely that anyone defeated by Corbyn could move forward and claim the leadership in the future.

    Edit - I didn't go back far enough - Wilson failed on his attempt to defeat Gaistkell in 1960. But none of the pretenders are a Wilson
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    weejonnie said:

    Rasmussen also have high levels of AA Trump support - but they have a Pro Republican Bias
    They did in one poll as far as I remember. They don't regularly release demographic information unless you are a platinum subscriber.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,359
    DavidL said:

    The Pennsylvania one is interesting because it is by a Democratic leaning pollster who has Hillary ahead by 9 nationally. If Penn does become competitive, and there is no sign of that till now, the FOP that @JackW has been going on about is distinctly possible.
    Ignore the PA one, that's from Feb but has only just been added to the list.
  • Mr. Sandpit, hmm. That's good, but does make it trickier deciding whether to bother getting up, or not.

    Mr. Urquhart, could be wrong, but I believe that 4x4, left at the top of a mountain, also had its keys locked inside by Clarkson [by mistake].
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    O/T - But would I be right in saying that no failed Labour leadership candidate has ever gone on to win the top job?

    I can't find any examples of someone having failed once and then succeeding. And whilst it could change in the future, it seems unlikely that anyone defeated by Corbyn could move forward and claim the leadership in the future.

    Brown (although I think he withdrew/didn't stand in 1994 rather than lost)
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    LOL...Brilliant for the "Tiny Trots"

    Eight children’s television programmes for the enjoyment and enlightenment of Momentum Kids

    http://www.conservativehome.com/leftwatch/2016/09/eight-childrens-television-programmes-for-the-enjoyment-and-enlightenment-of-momentum-kids.html
  • Wanted New York and New Jersey bomb suspect sued his local police claiming they PERSECUTED him for being a Muslim

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3796768/Ahmad-Rahami-sued-local-police-New-Jersey-claiming-persecuted-Muslim.html
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited September 2016

    O/T - But would I be right in saying that no failed Labour leadership candidate has ever gone on to win the top job?

    I can't find any examples of someone having failed once and then succeeding. And whilst it could change in the future, it seems unlikely that anyone defeated by Corbyn could move forward and claim the leadership in the future.

    Edit - I didn't go back far enough - Wilson failed on his attempt to defeat Gaistkell in 1960. But none of the pretenders are a Wilson

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)_leadership_election,_1976

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)_leadership_election,_1963

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)_leadership_election,_1960
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    RobD said:

    Ignore the PA one, that's from Feb but has only just been added to the list.
    So's that Clinton +9 (Mea Culpa). A New National has been added - Trump +2 And Florida Trump +1 - so the polls tighten still further.
This discussion has been closed.