politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron quits the Commons sparking off the first by-electio

Cameron has announced this afternoon that he’s going to follow Tony Blair – the last former successful general election winner to stand down as an MP shortly after stepping down as party leader and PM.
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I for one will remember David Cameron very fondly.
I wonder what odds you could get on a labour lost deposit....??
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/775354495907794944
Well is about as sensible as thinking she has a double however good fun that is.
I just wished he'd had been able to get a better deal from the EU.
I always supported David Cameron who was an excellent PM and I hope he goes on to a succesfull second career, he is only 49.
How about head of NATO
Its a devolved power in Wales too.
As for Whitney just thank the turncoat Shaun Woodford for defecting or Cameron might not have entered Parliament when he did.
So what is May up to here? Is it virtue signalling, or a casus electionis?
It would be good to set an example that being a politician is not just about reaching the heights and that you can achieve and contribute even after being at the top table. It seems to me to be a pity that those with experience are so unwilling to pass it on and share it, often viewing it only as something to be monetized for their own benefit. Even if he disagrees with May there are plenty of things he can do for his constituents without making his disagreements public.
Ah well...
You clearly know your stuff Mr Capitano, but I venture to suggest that a labour candidate who despises his own leader and what he stands for is a difficult person to vote for.
In March 2001, he was said to be the only Labour MP with a butler.
Since 1945, west Oxfordshire has been represented by Sir Douglas Dodds-Parker, who parachuted into France in the 1940s; by Neil Marten, who served with the special forces during the war before embarking on a long and distinguished ministerial career; and by Douglas Hurd, now Lord Hurd, who was an outstanding Foreign Secretary. This brings me neatly to the hon. Member for St. Helens, South (Mr. Woodward).
I know that it is traditional to pay tribute to one's immediate predecessor, and I have no hesitation in saying that I agreed with almost everything that he said in the first half of the previous Parliament, when he was a trenchant critic of the Government. It was only when he moved to the Labour Benches and supported that Government that our views started to diverge. I know that he worked hard for people in west Oxfordshire and must have felt strongly to leave such a magnificent constituency with such friendly and welcoming people. However, he remains a constituent, and a not insignificant local employer--not least in the area of domestic service. We are, in fact, quite close neighbours. On a clear day, from the hill behind my cottage, I can almost see some of the glittering spires of his great house.
As Mike says, Grammar schools are for Mrs May what plans to ban fox hunting was for Tony Blair.
Perhaps he feels that May is unravelling some of his policies, and he can't back her as she changes tack.
The other thing I have noticed is that the state education sector is the only place where violence is not only condoned, but the perpetrators continually protected as 'victims' and the real victims largely told that they have to 'toughen up' to such things. Education needs a complete change of ethos.
But you weren't the problem. The 'problem' is the ~15-20% of children who are leaving school functionally illiterate and/or innumerate, and their consequent lack of opportunities.
This is where public education policy needs to be concentrating.
I'm not against grammar schools, but they need to be part of a system where more, not less, political effort and public money is spent on the kids who need help. This policy is not that, and just makes more of a mess of an already-messy education system.
http://www.literacytrust.org.uk/adult_literacy/illiterate_adults_in_england
https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/775363508053487616
Christ, I was so proud when Gove said this.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2016/01/26/michael-gove-tells-tory-mp-his-christianity-informs-prison-policy-i-believe-in-redemption_n_9076940.html
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2011/dec/17/gove-private-school-academies-selection
Really, no-one really questions the benefits of grouping together the able in classes within the same school, or without for music and sport, and glosses over that in the private sector, so I think this debate is rather more nuanced than is made out.
The litmus test for me is whether the reforms would widen merit and access to smart, poorer pupils who are currently locked out, and lead to a better educated populace overall.
That probably doesn't mean an exact return to the old system and that is not what is on offer anyway.
The government should have a major rethink of education. I outlined in a post early last week what I think we should have, I'll try and find it, there was wide approval!
If he now tries to make a fortune out of his time as PM, as did Blair, I shall know, beyond doubt or argument, that my opinion of Cameron was correct all along.
Whilst Labour should be odds on in the betting for who comes second, the odds on the LibDems, whilst very long, should not be as long as Labour's odds for actually winning there.
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/trump-campaign-announces-amb.-r.-james-woolsey-as-a-senior-advisor1
- The appointments of DD and Liam Fox, apparently without any minders
- The gratuitous insult to the Chinese over Hinckley Point (the manner of it, not the substance of the decision)
- The gratuitous rudeness to Osborne
- Grammar schools, where the parliamentary arithmetic simply doesn't work
- The possible squandering of political capital whilst she still has lot of it; Heathrow being the obvious example where delay is just going to make any decision even harder.
Now, maybe these will all turn out OK, but they look like unnecessary hostages to fortune. Making unecessary enemies is rarely clever.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/07/liz-truss-shelves-michael-goves-flagship-prison-reform-bill/
But I don't know how you can support this new grammar school policy without the rest of the system in place, because it just makes it more likely that the necessary reform will never happen.
But there is worryingly little meat on this.
Alongside that we have backing away from the prison reforms, withdrawl of the devolution offer to the NE (admittedly because of local non co-operation, but the response from the govt was OK, go do one), the refusal to put the National Infrastructure Board on a statutory basis...
...the early signs are not great.