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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mrs. May’s new PM ratings honeymoon is bigger than Thatcher

With a lot of the non-LAB leadership politics discussion being on May’s polling honeymoon I thought I’d look back at the old MORI ratings to see how other new PM’s were doing at this stage in their occupancy of Number 10.
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Oh er Missus ....
I was hoping for Ladies pairs shackled synchronized massage from the 10m high board. Might have happened, might not .... can't bloody remember.
One can but dream ....
In some ways, May has begun well. She exudes an air of competent control. The extent to which that is representative of the reality will be told in time. Much the same was said of Brown, and while those who'd been watching closely knew that it wasn't the case with him, there's less evidence either way with May. We can't really as yet unpick sensible reconsideration of policy from an inclination to micromanage.
May of course has only been responsible for the Home Office so won't be in the habit of bossing other ministers around. The question is whether she will want to meddle now she has the power, or whether she will allow her ministers more freedom in implementing agreed policy. That's what we can't be sure of yet.
Theresa May's polling is best compared with John Major's and Gordon Brown's.
Certainly the case here.
If anything he was more likely to become PM from his position than Thatcher from hers.
The fact her initial approval rating is closer to Major than that of Brown suggests she should be able to win at least one general election especially given the weakness of Labour
However, she was also the last party leader to win an election while behind in the 'best PM' ratings.
My main problem with the comparison of leadership ratings is that they do not exist in isolation; all are relative. And are often used to explain situations after the fact than rather than as hooks on which to hang predictions before things happen.
Also, check your Vanilla inbox.
They've been a somewhat irritating presence on the nation's TV screens for almost two decades, and show no sign of disappearing.
Excluding 1970 when the polls were wrong, David Cameron is the only PM to resign whilst leading in the polls, I reckon Mrs May's ratings is the cherry on the parfait that is Cameron's polling legacy.
"Mr. Royale, that's true. I always feel sympathy when watching the North Korean athletes too. Can't imagine their training regimes, and lives generally, are other than brutal"
Huff post view from 2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/03/north-korea-olympics-team_n_1737181.html
Is regurgitated quinoa something Gwyeth Paltrow sources from ethically sourced seagulls?
Should you have trouble telling John and Edward of Jedward apart, the same is true of John also.
https://youtu.be/c2mVtSyRcA8
He forgot he was a Tory. Lib Dem Prime Minister is what he will be remembered as.
I have genuinely no idea what Gordon Brown's ratings would have been in 1997 if he had been leader of the Labour party. Not as good as Tony Blair's I imagine, but he would have been a much more confident, much less bitter man than he was in 2007. So I really wouldn't like to guess.
Smith - I'd negotiate with ISIS.
Corbyn - OK then, I will raise you not defending a NATO member invaded by Russia. Your move...
Read Lord Ashcroft's wake up and smell the coffee report from 2005.
https://twitter.com/scottynational/status/766395080987054080
Ukip Youth Group Trade Islamophobic, Anti-Semitic And Homophobic Slurs In Secret Facebook Group
‘Some of the most racist, hurtful and pathetic comments I have ever seen.’
http://m.huffpost.com/uk/entry/uk_57b5db59e4b026af7c4cf56a
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-37118850
A man cleared of a rape charge is now not eligible for benefits, legal aid and police measures mean he can't apply for most jobs. He's now sleeping rough.
I missed out on a 12/1 shotAdam Gemili missed out on a Bronze medal by 0.004 secondsHer Maycavity act is better than Brown's.
The reason people believe otherwise is because Brown is such a narcissist he came to genuinely believe that he had been magnanimous to pull out and let Blair win. It is why he became so vicious to all potential rivals and later to his own ministers, because he thought they were acting on Blair's bidding to thwart him again. History, in this case is written not by the victor but by a man who is in every sense of the word a loser.
Nothing can beat EdM's fake interest in popular TV - he'd a crib.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ed-miliband/11163473/Ed-Miliband-researching-popular-TV-shows-like-EastEnders-online-as-election-approaches.html
" Mr Miliband met EastEnders star Danny Dyer at a London awards ceremony for gay magazine Attitude on Monday night, according to The Sun.
Discussing the show, Mr Miliband revealed he knew the character of Ben Mitchell had been played by five different actors while Martin Fowler had been portrayed by three.
However when asked if he watched the show, Mr Miliband reportedly said: "No, I don’t have time any more but I’ve been doing a lot of research about it online.”
A Labour source told the paper: “It might have felt a bit awkward but Ed was just making a genuine effort to brush up on his TV knowledge."
"I was hoping for Ladies pairs shackled synchronized massage from the 10m high board."
I'm shocked, truly shocked. You are clearly as shallow as wot I is.
I'd have thought about 370 seats and a majority of 80ish.
However the nobility do depravity with so much more style and elegance ..
Doing research about it online is a bit sad.
Doing research about it online even though you don't watch it is so weird that it's actually rather worrying.
But then, this is Ed 'I'm a normal person so I get it' Miliband we're talking about...
Back to work. Have a good morning everyone!
Shadow Justice Secretary and fervent Jeremy Corbyn supporter is heading to Scotland next week to address a rally organised by Momentum.
He's obviously very excited about it, judging by his tweets publicising the event and encouraging as many socialists as possible to attend.
Just one snag, though. Cambridge graduate Mr Burgon has been encouraging them to turn up at the wrong place.
Keen-eyed observers will notice that the event is taking place at Port Glasgow Town Hall. The Labour MP for East Leeds, however, is imploring his followers to go to Glasgow - some 23 miles away....
...One Scottish Labour source told Dot: "Richard Burgon is a moron. He's simply demonstrating just how in touch with Scotland they are."
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/dot-commons-diary/78240/oops-shadow-minister-richard-has-bur
1) You will go down.
2) Once you go down, you stay down.
The only people in recent years to buck the trends were Blair (didn't go down) and Cameron (only went down because of the hype of the Brown bounce).
For people looking to reduce glucose load from carbs as part of a diet, especially if pre-diabetic, then it is excellent replacement for pasta or rice.
No idea about regurgitation aspect. We don't do that in my part of the Midlands.
Thank you Ant or Dec
He then went on to say 'Kids - don't buy drugs - become a rock star and you're given them free!'....
George Osborne spotted firing machine gun on holiday in Vietnam
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/aug/19/george-osborne-spotted-firing-machine-gun-on-holiday-in-vietnam?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
The guy was found not guilty by a jury of his peers, his treatment is the sort of disgrace that would make us go mad if it were happening in another country.
Owen Smith
"Isambard Kingdom Brunel wld look at our trains and he'd recognise them because they haven't changed since he built them- we need to invest"
Has Mr Smith got a train design in his back pocket that doesn't look like a train?
How will he make it fit the Roman gauge?
Owen: "I'll start with lets go soft on ISIS"
Jez: "Won't bother with enacting NATO art 5"
Owen: "Trains haven't changed since 1850s"
http://tinyurl.com/jpresu4
The Stadler trains are going to be articulated which I think means coaches sharing bogies.
"In response, a spokesman for the Department of Work and Pensions said: "We don't recognise this account of events but would urge Mr O'Neill to contact us as soon as possible if he does want our help to get back into work." "
That suggests to me that there is a different interpretation of the facts out there.
Friends who retired & moved from Yorkshire back to London (hubbie was born in London) are ecstatic at the higher quality of the public transport system and have got rid of their car. Despite being almost of bus pass age, I couldn't consider that.
Incidentally, every time Jeremy Corbyn now opens his mouth it seems to be a gaffe. Even I could have framed a hypothetical question-type response to the Russia question. Either he's not very bright, or he's awful at thinking on his feet, or both. Even John McDonnell could do better.