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  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    Trump after Sanders voters with his speech tonight.
    Clearly a GE pitch.

    It's pretty much his standard stump speech Speedy.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    AndyJS said:

    Tim_B said:

    Trump has apparently carried every county in PA, which effectively means he has won every congressional district.

    Looks pretty much like it, although I'm not sure what's going on in Columbia County where apparently Rubio is on 3,455 votes and Trump zero:

    http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ENR_New/Home/CountyBreakDownResults?officeId=1&districtId=1&ElectionID=undefined&ElectionType=undefined&IsActive=undefined
    It's rigged ;)
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Harry Enten — "One thing that has to greatly worry the anti-Trump forces is that Trump is now exceeding his poll averages. Since New York, Trump has performed at least 6.5 percentage points better in every state than the average of polls taken within 21 days of the election. Before that, Trump tended to hit his polling average and win no undecideds. Now, he’s winning his fair share of undecideds and then some. That’s very bad news for his opponents, given that Trump is already ahead in Indiana, a must-win state for Cruz."

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/april-26-primaries-presidential-election-2016/
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/725146768699195393
  • Plato_Says
    Plato_Says Posts: 11,822
    AndyJS said:

    Harry Enten — "One thing that has to greatly worry the anti-Trump forces is that Trump is now exceeding his poll averages. Since New York, Trump has performed at least 6.5 percentage points better in every state than the average of polls taken within 21 days of the election. Before that, Trump tended to hit his polling average and win no undecideds. Now, he’s winning his fair share of undecideds and then some. That’s very bad news for his opponents, given that Trump is already ahead in Indiana, a must-win state for Cruz."

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/april-26-primaries-presidential-election-2016/

    All the guff about him being unable to break 50% too.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    And it's official, Trump gains all 38 MD delegates:
    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/725146768699195393

    Trump looks like the GOP nominee tonight, the Cruz-Kasich alliance seems to have backfired with Trump doing better than the last polls said.

    Goodnight.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    Trump's Top!
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited April 2016
    Popular votes cast so far during the primary season:

    Clinton 11.6m
    Trump 9.6m
    Sanders 8.6
    Cruz 6.7m

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_vote_count.html
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_vote_count.html
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Betfair odds, nomination:

    Clinton — 95.2%
    Trump — 74.6%

    https://electionbettingodds.com/
  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,611
    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    I guess it is his name according to law?
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    edited April 2016
    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
  • peter_from_putney
    peter_from_putney Posts: 6,956
    Pulpstar certainly wasn't wrong yesterday in suggesting that Trump's POTUS odds of 6.2 with Betfair (actually I got 6.4 simply by asking) represented a decent trading opportunity, particularly ahead of last night's N.E. Primaries. Following his further successes in those States his price has since shortened to 5.5.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    Gordon Brown's first name is James.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    peter_from_putney said:

    Pulpstar certainly wasn't wrong yesterday in suggesting that Trump's POTUS odds of 6.2 with Betfair (actually I got 6.4 simply by asking) represented a decent trading opportunity, particularly ahead of last night's N.E. Primaries. Following his further successes in those States his price has since shortened to 5.5.

    If he wins Indiana the race is basically over, unless the polls in California and New Jersey are out by an enormous degree.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    His great-grandfather was a "Bertie", not a "George" :)
  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    RobD said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    I guess it is his name according to law?
    Is it? We must ask the lawyers when they wake up but I'd have thought his (or anyone's) name is whatever he is called or uses as his name.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited April 2016
    It looks increasingly as though Trump has won every county in all 5 states contested today.

    The Trump folks thought 80-90 delegates would be a blow out. They are closing in on 110.

    It is a quite remarkable performance.

    I suspect all 5 will go Democrat in the fall though.

    He is giving a serious foreign policy speech in DC tomorrow morning, with teleprompter, then off to Indiana to defuse Cruz.
  • peter_from_putney
    peter_from_putney Posts: 6,956
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    His great-grandfather was a "Bertie", not a "George" :)
    On his succession, Charles has apparently let it be known that he is thereafter to be referred to as King George VII ..... some chance Chuck!
  • Indigo
    Indigo Posts: 9,966
    DecrepitJohnL said:

    RobD said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    I guess it is his name according to law?
    Is it? We must ask the lawyers when they wake up but I'd have thought his (or anyone's) name is whatever he is called or uses as his name.
    If you decided to change your name to Boris, and applied for a passport on that basis I suspect you might have a certain amount of difficulty ;) You can decide to use any name you want, but if you are going to be applying for official documents and you are not using the name on your birth certificate, you need to apply for a deed poll.

    https://www.gov.uk/change-name-deed-poll/overview
  • JohnLoony
    JohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    DecrepitJohnL said:

    RobD said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    I guess it is his name according to law?
    Is it? We must ask the lawyers when they wake up but I'd have thought his (or anyone's) name is whatever he is called or uses as his name.
    I wasn't even referring to his "real" name or his "legal" name (whatever that is) but even just the name on his birth certificate. If his parents decided to give him that name, and to write it on his birth certificate as such, why did they not even bother to tell him that that was the name he had been given?

  • JohnLoony
    JohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    But we have always known that Prince Harry's name is Henry. It was explicitly and specifically announced, when he was born, that his name was Henry Charles Albert David, and that he would be known as "Harry". They were completely open about it right from the beginning. The only people who might not be aware of that fact are the tiny minority of deranged insane deviants who bizarrely and inexplicably insisted on being too young to remember the events of 1984, when Harry was born in the first place. I have always naturally assumed that we here on PB have always upheld certain standards of decency in not impertinently and provocatively being as young as that.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    JohnLoony said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    RobD said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    I guess it is his name according to law?
    Is it? We must ask the lawyers when they wake up but I'd have thought his (or anyone's) name is whatever he is called or uses as his name.
    I wasn't even referring to his "real" name or his "legal" name (whatever that is) but even just the name on his birth certificate. If his parents decided to give him that name, and to write it on his birth certificate as such, why did they not even bother to tell him that that was the name he had been given?

    It is strange. At least George Osborne was told his name was Gideon and could do something about it. p
    JohnLoony said:

    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    But we have always known that Prince Harry's name is Henry. It was explicitly and specifically announced, when he was born, that his name was Henry Charles Albert David, and that he would be known as "Harry". They were completely open about it right from the beginning. The only people who might not be aware of that fact are the tiny minority of deranged insane deviants who bizarrely and inexplicably insisted on being too young to remember the events of 1984, when Harry was born in the first place. I have always naturally assumed that we here on PB have always upheld certain standards of decency in not impertinently and provocatively being as young as that.
    My apologies for the breach of etiquette. I, and others, will have to seek not to be so provocative in future.
  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    JohnLoony said:

    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    But we have always known that Prince Harry's name is Henry. It was explicitly and specifically announced, when he was born, that his name was Henry Charles Albert David, and that he would be known as "Harry". They were completely open about it right from the beginning. The only people who might not be aware of that fact are the tiny minority of deranged insane deviants who bizarrely and inexplicably insisted on being too young to remember the events of 1984, when Harry was born in the first place. I have always naturally assumed that we here on PB have always upheld certain standards of decency in not impertinently and provocatively being as young as that.
    Where did "Wills" for Prince William come from? Is it a name the Royal Family uses, or is William too long for newspaper headlines?
  • JohnLoony
    JohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    kle4 said:

    DecrepitJohnL said:

    JohnLoony said:

    What sort of weird bonkers parent is it that doesn't bother to tell their own child what their name is? Zac Goldsmith only found out when he saw his birth certificate when he was 24.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/zac-goldsmith-london-sadiq-khan_uk_571ea2e6e4b0d6f7bed4c8ce

    If Zac did not discover his "real first name" until age 24, in what sense is it even his name?
    Legally, I'd have thought, although In That cause I'd have assumed he'd find out when applying for his passport and drivers licence.

    I've not been so thrown since discovering prince Harry is really prince Henry.
    But we have always known that Prince Harry's name is Henry. It was explicitly and specifically announced, when he was born, that his name was Henry Charles Albert David, and that he would be known as "Harry". They were completely open about it right from the beginning. The only people who might not be aware of that fact are the tiny minority of deranged insane deviants who bizarrely and inexplicably insisted on being too young to remember the events of 1984, when Harry was born in the first place. I have always naturally assumed that we here on PB have always upheld certain standards of decency in not impertinently and provocatively being as young as that.
    Where did "Wills" for Prince William come from? Is it a name the Royal Family uses, or is William too long for newspaper headlines?
    "Wills" has been used within the family since he was little.

  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Tim_B said:

    It looks increasingly as though Trump has won every county in all 5 states contested today.

    The Trump folks thought 80-90 delegates would be a blow out. They are closing in on 110.

    It is a quite remarkable performance.

    I suspect all 5 will go Democrat in the fall though.

    He is giving a serious foreign policy speech in DC tomorrow morning, with teleprompter, then off to Indiana to defuse Cruz.

    A serious foreign policy speech -- why? This looks like an unforced error waiting to happen. That Trump will use a teleprompter suggests he is aware of the risks (diplomatic as well as political) of mis-speaking, and it is not as if primary voters are staying away because they do not know where Trump stands on Chilean-Armenian trade relations.
  • MikeK
    MikeK Posts: 9,053
    Why only 17 delegates for Trump in Pennsylvania, when he's won 56.8% of the vote?
  • MikeK
    MikeK Posts: 9,053
    Addenda.

    Why only 17 out of 71 delegates for Trump in Pennsylvania, when he's won 56.8% of the vote?
  • Wanderer
    Wanderer Posts: 3,838
    MikeK said:

    Addenda.

    Why only 17 out of 71 delegates for Trump in Pennsylvania, when he's won 56.8% of the vote?

    1. New Thread

    2. Only 17 delegates are bound
  • Alistair
    Alistair Posts: 23,670
    Plato_Says said:

    David Frum
    If dinosaurs had National Committees... "I think we can work with that meteor. It will act more presidential in the general ... "

    Said the man who endorsed Romeny on the basis that he wouldn't enact any of his policy platform.
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