Undefined discussion subject.

As the results come in, maybe it's time to remind folks that a contested convention and a brokered convention are not the same thing.

Speedy said:

Everyone projects Trump wins.

Hillary is projected to win Maryland.

Hillary will win all today's states in the general.

CNN Maryland exit poll

GOP
Trump 53
Kasich 24
Cruz 21
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/md/Rep

Dems
Clinton 63
Sanders 34
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/md/Dem

Plato_Says said:

https://twitter.com/247razz/status/724048566478475264

Perfect.

Tim Stanley
And finally, again, exit poll shows Trump winning every single demographic in Maryland https://t.co/BkbvgB2aJ9

Ditto Connecticut and Penn

CNN is incredible, Trump is at 64% in RI with 4% in and they still wont call it.

Speedy said:

CNN is incredible, Trump is at 64% in RI with 4% in and they still wont call it.

He's projected to win on their website? Maybe it just changed.

Edit -- oops, looking at CT.

RobD said:

Speedy said:

CNN is incredible, Trump is at 64% in RI with 4% in and they still wont call it.

He's projected to win on their website? Maybe it just changed.

Wolf will be "ready to make a projection" any minute now

Rod's spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHRYdL8Lw3L6OXiHnKZHi1vo6vUblQhuKg7FPDFuuQ0/edit#gid=0

Predicts Trump to finish on 946 delegates after tonight.

AndyJS said:

Rod's spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHRYdL8Lw3L6OXiHnKZHi1vo6vUblQhuKg7FPDFuuQ0/edit#gid=0

Predicts Trump to finish on 946 delegates after tonight.

Is the "Auto" tab Rod's predictions?

CNN Delaware

GOP (19% in)
Trump 60 (projected winner)
Kasich 20
Cruz 16
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/de/Rep

Dems (14% in)
Clinton 59
Sanders 40
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/de/Dem

New Haven looks very Democratic !

RobD said:

AndyJS said:

Rod's spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHRYdL8Lw3L6OXiHnKZHi1vo6vUblQhuKg7FPDFuuQ0/edit#gid=0

Predicts Trump to finish on 946 delegates after tonight.

Is the "Auto" tab Rod's predictions?

No, polling data as the explanation further down on the left says.

AndyJS said:

RobD said:

AndyJS said:

Rod's spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHRYdL8Lw3L6OXiHnKZHi1vo6vUblQhuKg7FPDFuuQ0/edit#gid=0

Predicts Trump to finish on 946 delegates after tonight.

Is the "Auto" tab Rod's predictions?

No, polling data as the explanation further down on the left says.

Hm, the "Custom" tab appears to be editable by anyone, at least that's what the caption says.

Trump probably will get more that 60% in DE and RI, might make over 60 in CT.

Conneticut will be very tight (D) but I think Hillary will make it with her big reservoirs of votes in the main city regions.

Currently -3£ HRC/+£38 Sanders there

Trump's lead in Connecticut's 5 districts for now: +27% (CD1), +33% (CD2), +34% (CD3), +31% (CD4), +31% (CD5).

Trump sweep of delegates in CT.

Speedy said:

Trump probably will get more that 60% in DE and RI, might make over 60 in CT.

The Kasich free zone of Indiana looms ever larger.

So we know so far:

28 CT
16 DE
17 PA
12 RI

Tim_B said:

Speedy said:

Trump probably will get more that 60% in DE and RI, might make over 60 in CT.

The Kasich free zone of Indiana looms ever larger.

I don't think that people liked the Kasich-Cruz deal, Trump seems to have beaten the polls again.

Trump needs another 310 delegates to win. California and New Jersey have 223 based on winner takes all with Trump ahead in the polls in both. Indiana has 57.

Whilst we're waiting, spare a thought for the RNC...

https://twitter.com/PlatoSays/status/725123903237009408

Trump clean sweep tonight, 5 crushing victories and the fat lady is beginning to sing and will get even louder if he wins Indiana. Hillary looks likely to have won 4/5 tonight, so still looks well on the way to the nomination too even if Sanders gained a consolation win in Rhode Island. Goodnight!

I'm calling RI for Sanders.

PA CD11:

MORELLI, RICHARD Trump/CD winner
MCELWEE, DAVID J Trump
SHECKTOR, ANDREW Trump

Ahead

RobD said:

Danny565 said:

YouGov Poll

Who do you blame for the doctors' strike?
53% The Government
9% The BMA
27% Both equally

Well, obviously. If the government hadn't pushed for reforms there wouldn't have been any strike.

But it shows that it's not enough for the Tories to point out how disruptive the strike is and how inconvenienced patients are -- if anything, that just makes the problem worse for the Tories, since the public will ask "if you think this strike is so bad, why have you caused it?"

Public frustration at the strike taking place is not the same thing AT ALL as people losing sympathy for the doctors.

PA 13th

COX, GILBERT W JR District Winner
CASPER, LAUREN ELIZABETH "My only commitment is to the voters of the 13th congressional district–not party bosses, not outside influences–and to support the candidate they choose to be our party’s nominee. I will represent the 13th District on EVERY ballot."

ELLIS, THOMAS JAY District Winner

Top 3

Trump looks to be doing ok in the PA loophole game.

17th Congressional District

VILLANO, TERESA LYNETTE Trump
SNOVER, GLORIA LEE District Winner Trump after first ballot.
BONKOSKI, CAROLYN L Signed pledge to Trump.

Top 3

Not a word from CNN on CT !!

AndyJS said:

Nate Silver on Twitter:

"Trump was at only 40% in polls of MD and PA a few weeks ago, looks like he'll get 50%+ tonight. Fairly big deal IMO."

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

Voters are getting angrier with NeverTrump's.

Delaware has finished essentially with 99% in, Trump got 61%.

Maryland is coming in, with 5% in:

Trump 57
Kasich 24
Cruz 17

I try to like Hillary, but I just can't get inspired by her AT ALL.

I mean, right down to her crappy campaign slogan..... "fighting for us"?!?!

AP
BREAKING: Bernie Sanders wins Democratic primary in Rhode Island. @AP race call at 9:11 p.m. EDT. #Election2016 #APracecall

Sanders 50.9%
Clinton 47.1%
with 29.4% reporting in the Democratic #CTprimary
Follow: https://t.co/Ix18fQmWrG https://t.co/b7G8GLwZ4c

Sanders lead in CT now down to 1.7%

Kasich says he'll fight on...

O/T

Heard about this on a Radio 4 programme yesterday:

"The Boring Conference is a one-day celebration of the mundane, the ordinary, the obvious and the overlooked; subjects often considered trivial and pointless, but when examined more closely reveal themselves to be deeply fascinating"

https://boringconference.com/about-boring/

Tim_B said:

Pulpstar said:

Kasich has played a properly filthy game in Pennsylvania. Alot of previously "uncommitted/district winner" suddenly endorsed by Kasich

2 out of 3 in the 8th looks like for him.

There are 68 days between the last 2 primaries (CA and NJ) and the convention.

There will be a lot more of this.

Endorsing the guy who came in your election last feels so right.

Tim_B said:

Pulpstar said:

Kasich has played a properly filthy game in Pennsylvania. Alot of previously "uncommitted/district winner" suddenly endorsed by Kasich

2 out of 3 in the 8th looks like for him.

There are 68 days between the last 2 primaries (CA and NJ) and the convention.

There will be a lot more of this.

Trump wins 53% of the vote in Alleghany (Pittsburgh) yet the slate is 100% Kasich guys I reckon.

5th looks better for Trump, 2 Trump + 1 CD winner ahead

Speedy said:

Tim_B said:

Pulpstar said:

Kasich has played a properly filthy game in Pennsylvania. Alot of previously "uncommitted/district winner" suddenly endorsed by Kasich

2 out of 3 in the 8th looks like for him.

There are 68 days between the last 2 primaries (CA and NJ) and the convention.

There will be a lot more of this.

Endorsing the guy who came in your election last feels so right.

On the plus side, the public has for the first time been exposed to the internal workings of the primary / caucus process of both parties, and the realization that votes can either be ignored or treated as -at best - suggestions.

Disdain and disgust describes what the public thinks of it - and they agree with Trump that it's rigged.

God alone knows what shenanigans will happen at the convention in Cleveland if Trump is more than 100 short of 1237 after the first ballot.

California might - just might - take him over the top.

Pulpstar said:

5th looks better for Trump, 2 Trump + 1 CD winner ahead

You are right:

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/725138935228325892

So 11 delegates for Trump.

Tim_B said:

Trump has apparently carried every county in PA, which effectively means he has won every congressional district.

Well there is gerrymandering, but Maryland is more crucial and extreme with that.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mPatwSu0dv8n3ZaCLm86KzJ3LUfDyJWaMpBSRukjd4w/edit#gid=984584906

Trump after Sanders voters with his speech tonight.
Clearly a GE pitch.

Trump's presser is a technical disaster so far with the sound.

I'm calling Connecticut for Hillary.
Trump might get bellow 60 there.