politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show: The fight for Lond

If Labour is to have any chance of getting a good result in the May 5th elections then London is the place where it has most hopes. A victory by Sadiq Khan to re-take the Mayoralty for the party would provide a massive boost and maybe offset expected disappointments elsewhere. But will it happen.
Comments
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First like leave.0
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Third, though I'd prefer HOLYWELL to win on Saturday.
I've backed him each way at 20/1 with a bookie (Jennings) who is paying quarter the odds six places.0 -
I was driving to work today listening to radio 4 , when an author was discussing his new book,about members of the world war 2 war cabinet that have been overlooked and forgotten by many today.
I can not seem to find it , is anyone aware of the book ?0 -
Quinnipiac Pennsylvania
GOP
Trump 39
Cruz 30
Kasich 24
Dems
Clinton 50
Sanders 44
General Election
Clinton 45
Trump 42
Clinton 43
Cruz 43
Clinton 35
Kasich 51
Sanders 48
Trump 40
Sanders 46
Cruz 38
Sanders 40
Kasich 46
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf0 -
Haven't had the chance to go back through the threads but has this been mentioned? I mean Jeeez this is beyond appalling and crass what was she thinking?
The stupid woman can't even relate that the victims were buried on the moors. It's the nickname luv that gives you the fecking clue.
"SNP election agent is condemned as 'a disgrace' after comparing David Cameron and Boris Johnson to child killers Ian Brady and Myra Hindley
Photo doctored to make Cameron and Johnson look like Moors murderers "
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526743/SNP-election-agent-condemned-disgrace-comparing-David-Cameron-Boris-Johnson-child-killers-Ian-Brady-Myra-Hindley.html#ixzz454trBRRG
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I think the only GE polling that is relevant is one that asks about a 3rd option, not just Trump and Cruz vs Hillary.HYUFD said:Quinnipiac Pennsylvania
GOP
Trump 39
Cruz 30
Kasich 24
Dems
Clinton 50
Sanders 44
General Election
Clinton 45
Trump 42
Clinton 43
Cruz 43
Clinton 35
Kasich 51
Sanders 48
Trump 40
Sanders 46
Cruz 38
Sanders 40
Kasich 46
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf
Because if either Trump or Cruz are the nominee then one of them is going to bolt out and run as an independent or support an independent.
So it's fine if Cruz is level with Hillary on his own, but what happens if Trump runs as an independent in Pennsylvania ?0 -
The results page is here:MP_SE said:Second like Remain.
Up yours Brussels:
https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/717797350345936899
http://app.nos.nl/datavisualisatie/referendum-2016/
EU fatigue has risen again in the Netherlands.0 -
I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.0
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You are right thereSpeedy said:
I think the only GE polling that is relevant is one that asks about a 3rd option, not just Trump and Cruz vs Hillary.HYUFD said:Quinnipiac Pennsylvania
GOP
Trump 39
Cruz 30
Kasich 24
Dems
Clinton 50
Sanders 44
General Election
Clinton 45
Trump 42
Clinton 43
Cruz 43
Clinton 35
Kasich 51
Sanders 48
Trump 40
Sanders 46
Cruz 38
Sanders 40
Kasich 46
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf
Because if either Trump or Cruz are the nominee then one of them is going to bolt out and run as an independent or support an independent.
So it's fine if Cruz is level with Hillary on his own, but what happens if Trump runs as an independent in Pennsylvania ?0 -
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.0 -
I think it will be used as yet another example of the democratic deficit which exists as a result of EU membership. That is presuming the Dutch people are ignored, which I suspect they will be.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
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You could put your last fiver on it.MP_SE said:
I think it will be used as yet another example of the democratic deficit which exists as a result of EU membership. That is presuming the Dutch people are ignored, which I suspect they will be.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
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Is that Groningen voting in favour in the north-east?Speedy said:
The results page is here:MP_SE said:Second like Remain.
Up yours Brussels:
https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/717797350345936899
http://app.nos.nl/datavisualisatie/referendum-2016/
EU fatigue has risen again in the Netherlands.0 -
Grrr, curse of the new thread: @Yorkcity
Roger Hermiston, author of All Behind You, Winston: Churchill's Great Coalition 1940-45, and Sonia Purnell, author of First Lady: The Life and Wars of Clementine Churchill.Yorkcity said:I was driving to work today listening to radio 4 , when an author was discussing his new book,about members of the world war 2 war cabinet that have been overlooked and forgotten by many today.
I can not seem to find it , is anyone aware of the book ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b075qflr
Sounds interesting. Years ago I did a lot of work on Sir John Anderson, who would surely be one of them. One of two career civil servants to subsequently become a Cabinet Minister (I forget who the other was).0 -
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?0 -
Another thick, and unattractive Scot. Does Donnachie post here as Malcolmg or Scotslass?Moses_ said:Haven't had the chance to go back through the threads but has this been mentioned? I mean Jeeez this is beyond appalling and crass what was she thinking?
The stupid woman can't even relate that the victims were buried on the moors. It's the nickname luv that gives you the fecking clue.
"SNP election agent is condemned as 'a disgrace' after comparing David Cameron and Boris Johnson to child killers Ian Brady and Myra Hindley
Photo doctored to make Cameron and Johnson look like Moors murderers "
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526743/SNP-election-agent-condemned-disgrace-comparing-David-Cameron-Boris-Johnson-child-killers-Ian-Brady-Myra-Hindley.html#ixzz454trBRRG
Still, at 54, the vile creature will soon be breaking Scottish records for longevity.0 -
Racism ?foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?0 -
@kevverage:
nothing to see hear, move on
nothing to see hear, move on
nothing to see hear, move on
https://t.co/OLTV3WPh2d https://t.co/ZeNx2p318k0 -
Last time I looked, Ukrainians were White.surbiton said:
Racism ?foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?0 -
@DanHannanMEP: Greece - NO
Denmark - NO
Netherlands - NO
All referendums in the past 12 months have gone against Brussels.0 -
Ukraine is too close to Russia to ever be closer to the EU.foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?
Only EU bureaucrats seem to not understand this basic reality of European/Russian geopolitics.
Yet it is possible to oppose Putin as well as opposing further EU/Ukraine involvement.
I expect Alastair Meeks to come along shortly and suggest that this is an embarrassingly self serving comment.0 -
Looks the picture of health.watford30 said:
Another thick, and unattractive Scot. Does Donnachie post here as Malcolmg or Scotslass?Moses_ said:Haven't had the chance to go back through the threads but has this been mentioned? I mean Jeeez this is beyond appalling and crass what was she thinking?
The stupid woman can't even relate that the victims were buried on the moors. It's the nickname luv that gives you the fecking clue.
"SNP election agent is condemned as 'a disgrace' after comparing David Cameron and Boris Johnson to child killers Ian Brady and Myra Hindley
Photo doctored to make Cameron and Johnson look like Moors murderers "
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526743/SNP-election-agent-condemned-disgrace-comparing-David-Cameron-Boris-Johnson-child-killers-Ian-Brady-Myra-Hindley.html#ixzz454trBRRG
Still, at 54, the vile creature will soon be breaking Scottish records for longevity.0 -
I see the Dutch have decisively rejected the new cold warmongers, we aren't all useful idiots of the neocons and arms industry. Huzzah, a great victory for Europe!
Apt that it should be the Dutch given the shooting down of MH17 over the Ukraine.0 -
And a significant portion of Ukranians, apparently.Mortimer said:
Ukraine is too close to Russia to ever be closer to the EU.foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?
Only EU bureaucrats seem to not understand this basic reality of European/Russian geopolitics.
.
It might well have been easier for all concerned if they didn't feel so, and there's no obligation for the EU to entice them further, but the main problem appears to be division over its future in Ukraine itself, not that two sides in Russia and the EU are making offers.0 -
The EU's meddling in the Ukraine came perilously close to starting a major conflict. Ashton was extraordinarily lucky.Mortimer said:
Ukraine is too close to Russia to ever be closer to the EU.foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?
Only EU bureaucrats seem to not understand this basic reality of European/Russian geopolitics.
Yet it is possible to oppose Putin as well as opposing further EU/Ukraine involvement.
I expect Alastair Meeks to come along shortly and suggest that this is an embarrassingly self serving comment.0 -
And Slavic. Anti-Slavic ideas have a long history in Europe. There was a small Austrian with a daft moustache and a thing for his niece who did not like them, for one.Sean_F said:
Last time I looked, Ukrainians were White.surbiton said:
Racism ?foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?
(Incidentally, I'm not saying that's why the Dutch referendum has gone against it. I suspect it would have gone that way had the Irish or the Germans been the country in question as well. This looks more like a mighty two-fingered salute to the EU. It's a bit unfortunate that they've picked a rare case of the EU doing something rather sensible - trying to help sort out the mess that Russia's meddling has left Ukraine in - rather than something stupid - like the Euro - to make the gesture though.)0 -
Thanks much appreciatedydoethur said:Grrr, curse of the new thread: @Yorkcity
Roger Hermiston, author of All Behind You, Winston: Churchill's Great Coalition 1940-45, and Sonia Purnell, author of First Lady: The Life and Wars of Clementine Churchill.Yorkcity said:I was driving to work today listening to radio 4 , when an author was discussing his new book,about members of the world war 2 war cabinet that have been overlooked and forgotten by many today.
I can not seem to find it , is anyone aware of the book ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b075qflr
Sounds interesting. Years ago I did a lot of work on Sir John Anderson, who would surely be one of them. One of two career civil servants to subsequently become a Cabinet Minister (I forget who the other was).0 -
If I was a Russian I don't think I'd like the idea of a German dominated bloc sitting on my doorstep.foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?
Ukraine is the doorstep, and Ukrainian nationalism/collaboration has form where Germany/Russia is concerned.
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Of course the EFTA free trade deal with Ukraine was ratified without a single referendum on any EFTA countryMP_SE said:
I think it will be used as yet another example of the democratic deficit which exists as a result of EU membership. That is presuming the Dutch people are ignored, which I suspect they will be.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
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Trade deals generally are. If one nation had a referendum that rejected it then signed anyway that'd be newsworthy.rcs1000 said:
Of course the EFTA free trade deal with Ukraine was ratified without a single referendum on any EFTA countryMP_SE said:
I think it will be used as yet another example of the democratic deficit which exists as a result of EU membership. That is presuming the Dutch people are ignored, which I suspect they will be.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
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... by a Russian missile launcher.LondonBob said:I see the Dutch have decisively rejected the new cold warmongers, we aren't all useful idiots of the neocons and arms industry. Huzzah, a great victory for Europe!
Apt that it should be the Dutch given the shooting down of MH17 over the Ukraine.0 -
Ah the Anderson shelter man. Built incedibly quickly; believe my grandfather, a former miner, built his in a few days. They could take for ever to get rid of after the way, though!ydoethur said:Grrr, curse of the new thread: @Yorkcity
Roger Hermiston, author of All Behind You, Winston: Churchill's Great Coalition 1940-45, and Sonia Purnell, author of First Lady: The Life and Wars of Clementine Churchill.Yorkcity said:I was driving to work today listening to radio 4 , when an author was discussing his new book,about members of the world war 2 war cabinet that have been overlooked and forgotten by many today.
I can not seem to find it , is anyone aware of the book ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b075qflr
Sounds interesting. Years ago I did a lot of work on Sir John Anderson, who would surely be one of them. One of two career civil servants to subsequently become a Cabinet Minister (I forget who the other was).
We had a Morrison.0 -
There is an awful lot of ignorance in Western Europe about Russia and the Ukraine. To sum up the key points:chestnut said:If I was a Russian I don't think I'd like the idea of a German dominated bloc sitting on my doorstep.
1) The Russians think of Ukraine as a province of Russia. It was, indeed, the place where Russia was created (the Duchy of Rus was first based in Kiev). They would see it joining the EU as the equivalent of Hampshire declaring independence and joining France.
2) They therefore have enormous difficulty thinking of the Ukrainians as a separate people and entitled to make their separate decisions about what to do.
3) They are also unnerved at the thought of a country next door to them, in the middle of a big, flat, grassy plain that runs pretty well all the way to Moscow, being controlled by someone else.
Unfortunately, the Ukrainians do not quite see it that way:
1) They are a separate people, with a separate language and therefore do not think of themselves as Russian;
2) They hate the Russians with a passion, largely as a result of the Stalin era (collectivization) and the Second World War (when their country was devastated by the Russians, the Germans and then the Russians again);
3) They believe that Russia only wants to run them as a sort of colonial outpost and food/raw materials depot. They also feel they are treated as inferiors by the Russians. Even in the USSR, only one Ukrainian ever rose to the top of the Communist party. Even Georgia had more senior Politburo members than they did.
4) The whole thing is somewhat complicated by the huge numbers of Russians - as distinct from Ukrainians - who live in the Crimea, the Donetsk and Donbass, the latter regions the descendants of dispossessed peasants who went to work in the coal mines and factories under the Tsars. Who see things as Russians - i.e. 1-3 above - and not Ukrainians - 1-3 below. The result, of course, is a civil war. Forget the official ideologies - it's naked or at best scantily-clad nationalism.
There is an argument that the EU should not twist Russia's tale by helping Ukraine. I don't think that's a tenable argument. If national self-determination is to be applied, Ukraine has the right to make trade agreements and treaties with whomever it wants. Putin is bullying it into making agreements only with him and has not proven shy about using torture, murder and corruption on a grand scale to do it. The EU as a bloc is in a better position to help Ukraine stand up to this than France/Britain/Germany or even NATO would be singly, via helpful trade terms and modernisation of their constitution (which was rigged to favour Russia).
Therefore, in standing up for their independence on an issue that does not affect them directly Dutch voters are potentially damaging the Ukraine's own chances of remaining independent. That is a sad paradox.
A thought to leave you with for tonight. Good night.0 -
Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?0
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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.0 -
Thanks Philip.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
It's times like this I really wish Socrates was on the site.0 -
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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Literally less than a minute of searching on twatter.FrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.0
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Not that I am that in to celeb tittle tattle, but I can see why the papers wanted to print it.MaxPB said:
Literally less than a minute of searching on twatter.FrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
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Yes that is fair enough, though if someone looks askance at Ukrainian corruption specifically while ignoring other nations corruption then I'd wonder why the difference.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
But if the reason is to appease or avoid conflict with Russia then that is dreadful.0 -
Knew the stroman was coming.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
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If Ukraine wants to trade with us then that should be none of Russia's business as far as we are concerned. Russia may be pissed off but understanding Russian feeling and going ahead with the trade anyway is one thing. Understanding Russian feeling and cancelling the trade deal due to that is appeasement.chestnut said:
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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Ted Cruz in Madam's Black Book? That's the real storyFrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
A helpful summary! Two depressing statistics about the Ukraine: 1) GDP per capita is $2,100 (worse than Sudan) and 2) highest HIV prevalence in Europe at more than 1% of the adult population.ydoethur said:
There is an awful lot of ignorance in Western Europe about Russia and the Ukraine. To sum up the key points:chestnut said:If I was a Russian I don't think I'd like the idea of a German dominated bloc sitting on my doorstep.
1) The Russians think of Ukraine as a province of Russia. It was, indeed, the place where Russia was created (the Duchy of Rus was first based in Kiev). They would see it joining the EU as the equivalent of Hampshire declaring independence and joining France.
2) They therefore have enormous difficulty thinking of the Ukrainians as a separate people and entitled to make their separate decisions about what to do.
3) They are also unnerved at the thought of a country next door to them, in the middle of a big, flat, grassy plain that runs pretty well all the way to Moscow, being controlled by someone else.
Unfortunately, the Ukrainians do not quite see it that way:
1) They are a separate people, with a separate language and therefore do not think of themselves as Russian;
2) They hate the Russians with a passion, largely as a result of the Stalin era (collectivization) and the Second World War (when their country was devastated by the Russians, the Germans and then the Russians again);
3) They believe that Russia only wants to run them as a sort of colonial outpost and food/raw materials depot. They also feel they are treated as inferiors by the Russians. Even in the USSR, only one Ukrainian ever rose to the top of the Communist party. Even Georgia had more senior Politburo members than they did.
There is an argument that the EU should not twist Russia's tale by helping Ukraine. I don't think that's a tenable argument. If national self-determination is to be applied, Ukraine has the right to make trade agreements and treaties with whomever it wants. Putin is bullying it into making agreements only with him and has not proven shy about using torture, murder and corruption on a grand scale to do it. The EU as a bloc is in a better position to help Ukraine stand up to this than France/Britain/Germany or even NATO would be singly, via helpful trade terms and modernisation of their constitution (which was rigged to favour Russia).
Therefore, in standing up for their independence on an issue that does not affect them directly Dutch voters are potentially damaging the Ukraine's own chances of remaining independent. That is a sad paradox.
A thought to leave you with for tonight. Good night.
The people in charge since 'independence' have looted the country.0 -
Maurice Hankey, Cabinet Secretary is the other.Yorkcity said:
Thanks much appreciatedydoethur said:Grrr, curse of the new thread: @Yorkcity
Roger Hermiston, author of All Behind You, Winston: Churchill's Great Coalition 1940-45, and Sonia Purnell, author of First Lady: The Life and Wars of Clementine Churchill.Yorkcity said:I was driving to work today listening to radio 4 , when an author was discussing his new book,about members of the world war 2 war cabinet that have been overlooked and forgotten by many today.
I can not seem to find it , is anyone aware of the book ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b075qflr
Sounds interesting. Years ago I did a lot of work on Sir John Anderson, who would surely be one of them. One of two career civil servants to subsequently become a Cabinet Minister (I forget who the other was).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maurice_Hankey,_1st_Baron_Hankey0 -
Re Ukraine
Ukraine is deeply split on a broadly east-west axis, in terms of its attitudes to Russia. This relates not just to Russian immigration in the last century but also to the fact that Ukraine's current (somewhat artificial) borders bring together areas that in the west, were historically parts of Poland (and later Austria-Hungary) and in the east areas that were part of Russia from the 17th century (and with an emotional attachment to Russians that goes back to the Dark Ages).
The result of this is that to push Ukraine either entirely into the Russian or entirely into the western orbit risks destabilising the country, as well as infuriating the Russians. Against this background, the EU's attempt to expand into Ukraine were very unwise. The Russian response is of course unacceptable but was also predictable - and entirely avoidable.0 -
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.
0 -
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
0 -
I think an even more helpful summary is that Ukraine is simply Russia if Boris Yeltsin was still in charge.RoyalBlue said:
A helpful summary! Two depressing statistics about the Ukraine: 1) GDP per capita is $2,100 (worse than Sudan) and 2) highest HIV prevalence in Europe at more than 1% of the adult population.ydoethur said:
There is an awful lot of ignorance in Western Europe about Russia and the Ukraine. To sum up the key points:chestnut said:.
1) The Russians think of Ukraine as a province of Russia. It was, indeed, the place where Russia was created (the Duchy of Rus was first based in Kiev). They would see it joining the EU as the equivalent of Hampshire declaring independence and joining France.
2) They therefore have enormous difficulty thinking of the Ukrainians as a separate people and entitled to make their separate decisions about what to do.
3) They are also unnerved at the thought of a country next door to them, in the middle of a big, flat, grassy plain that runs pretty well all the way to Moscow, being controlled by someone else.
Unfortunately, the Ukrainians do not quite see it that way:
1) They are a separate people, with a separate language and therefore do not think of themselves as Russian;
2) They hate the Russians with a passion, largely as a result of the Stalin era (collectivization) and the Second World War (when their country was devastated by the Russians, the Germans and then the Russians again);
3) They believe that Russia only wants to run them as a sort of colonial outpost and food/raw materials depot. They also feel they are treated as inferiors by the Russians. Even in the USSR, only one Ukrainian ever rose to the top of the Communist party. Even Georgia had more senior Politburo members than they did.
There is an argument that the EU should not twist Russia's tale by helping Ukraine. I don't think that's a tenable argument. If national self-determination is to be applied, Ukraine has the right to make trade agreements and treaties with whomever it wants. Putin is bullying it into making agreements only with him and has not proven shy about using torture, murder and corruption on a grand scale to do it. The EU as a bloc is in a better position to help Ukraine stand up to this than France/Britain/Germany or even NATO would be singly, via helpful trade terms and modernisation of their constitution (which was rigged to favour Russia).
Therefore, in standing up for their independence on an issue that does not affect them directly Dutch voters are potentially damaging the Ukraine's own chances of remaining independent. That is a sad paradox.
A thought to leave you with for tonight. Good night.
The people in charge since 'independence' have looted the country.0 -
Which ever way they turn they will be condemned to an authoritarian dictator.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
0 -
You clearly need to get out more if you think the EU is equivalent to Putins kleptocracy!nigel4england said:
Which ever way they turn they will be condemned to an authoritarian dictator.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
0 -
You might think its a load of bo**ocks Perdix, but some people like myself are relentless in getting to the bottom of things and the truth about the squalid goings on amongst the establishment. Too bad that you're offended by such concerns.perdix said:
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.0 -
That's actually quite a worrying comment. It appears that you think you can only suffer racism if you are any colour other than white. Perhaps you didn't mean it the way it reads ?Sean_F said:
Last time I looked, Ukrainians were White.surbiton said:
Racism ?foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?0 -
Still, it stops Hunchman posting about loopy chartist theories and the nutty fraudster cum antique coin salesman.perdix said:
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.0 -
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.0 -
I think he is implying that he sees Ukrainians as the same race as White Britons.Moses_ said:
That's actually quite a worrying comment. It appears that you think you can only suffer racism if you are any colour other than white. Perhaps you didn't mean it the way it reads ?Sean_F said:
Last time I looked, Ukrainians were White.surbiton said:
Racism ?foxinsoxuk said:
I pity the poor Ukraine, getting pushed into Putins orbit because of a Euro-tantrum.chestnut said:
99% of the population are probably unaware of it's existence,but if the BBC/ITV etc publicise it that may change a little.taffys said:I'm not sure that Dutch referendum cuts much ice here, but the reaction of the government and the EU in general might.
One thing it could conceivably do is tie into a theme of democratic insurgency.
The Greeks last year, the Dutch this....and then us?
There is a sense that there is something wrong about the EU.
Kippers certainly have some very strange bedfellows! What is wrong with an EU freetrade agreement with Ukraine tied to measures to improve good government?0 -
The most troubling thing about that post is that you might actually believe it.nigel4england said:
Which ever way they turn they will be condemned to an authoritarian dictator.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
0 -
I just spent a good 5 minutes searching and am none the wiserMaxPB said:
Literally less than a minute of searching on twatter.FrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
Well done to the Dutch people today, again no coverage in the mainstream about this, surprise surprise.runnymede said:Re Ukraine
Ukraine is deeply split on a broadly east-west axis, in terms of its attitudes to Russia. This relates not just to Russian immigration in the last century but also to the fact that Ukraine's current (somewhat artificial) borders bring together areas that in the west, were historically parts of Poland (and later Austria-Hungary) and in the east areas that were part of Russia from the 17th century (and with an emotional attachment to Russians that goes back to the Dark Ages).
The result of this is that to push Ukraine either entirely into the Russian or entirely into the western orbit risks destabilising the country, as well as infuriating the Russians. Against this background, the EU's attempt to expand into Ukraine were very unwise. The Russian response is of course unacceptable but was also predictable - and entirely avoidable.
On another note, the leaflet coming to me next week from HM Government will be going straight into the bin. This is a scandalous waste of £9m of taxpayers money - we the people are quite capable of making our own minds up. Any literature from both sides should be privately financed by both sides. I didn't want 15p of my own money telling me a load of bull****, and instead maybe could have gone towards a better settlement for the junior doctors.0 -
You should stop using Bing ;-)Danny565 said:
I just spent a good 5 minutes searching and am none the wiserMaxPB said:
Literally less than a minute of searching on twatter.FrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
https://twitter.com/GregLinaman/status/717721977570467840foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
This is very simple, chronic EU fatigue is the cause behind this, people simply disagree with the direction the EU is going since 1992.
The EU hasn't won a referendum since they forced the Irish to vote twice on the Nice treaty in 2001.
Goodnight.0 -
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?0 -
Too bad again that you have such a closed mindset on the way the world works, and don't want to learn. I'm sure you'll want to read this article on Mossack Fonseca from the forecaster's forecaster, who's got more talent in his little finger than anything you posess:watford30 said:
Still, it stops Hunchman posting about loopy chartist theories and the nutty fraudster cum antique coin salesman.perdix said:
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/icijs-political-agenda-may-backfire/0 -
Creeping colonialism.......AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
0 -
So, EFTA signing a free trade deal with the Ukraine is OK. But the EU doing it is not?runnymede said:Re Ukraine
Ukraine is deeply split on a broadly east-west axis, in terms of its attitudes to Russia. This relates not just to Russian immigration in the last century but also to the fact that Ukraine's current (somewhat artificial) borders bring together areas that in the west, were historically parts of Poland (and later Austria-Hungary) and in the east areas that were part of Russia from the 17th century (and with an emotional attachment to Russians that goes back to the Dark Ages).
The result of this is that to push Ukraine either entirely into the Russian or entirely into the western orbit risks destabilising the country, as well as infuriating the Russians. Against this background, the EU's attempt to expand into Ukraine were very unwise. The Russian response is of course unacceptable but was also predictable - and entirely avoidable.0 -
The fact that is fails to appreciate basic geopolitics.foxinsoxuk said:
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?0 -
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
0 -
Even if you exclude the second Irish Lisbon referendum then what about both the Spanish and Luxembourg EU Constitution referendums?Speedy said:
https://twitter.com/GregLinaman/status/717721977570467840foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
This is very simple, chronic EU fatigue is the cause behind this, people simply disagree with the direction the EU is going since 1992.
The EU hasn't won a referendum since they forced the Irish to vote twice on the Nice treaty in 2001.
Goodnight.0 -
Basic politics being that small countries next to big ones shouldn't be allowed to sign trade treaties?Mortimer said:
The fact that is fails to appreciate basic geopolitics.foxinsoxuk said:
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?0 -
Good, reason to vote leave then.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
0 -
Well I wouldn't. As I have said, I also oppose any notion of a free trade deal with China and oppose Chinese investments in UK infrastructure. I would also sever trade ties with pretty much all of the Gulf nations. The west is too willing to turn a blind eye to corruption and human rights abuses when it suits us (Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, China) but scream bloody murder when it doesn't (Russia/Putin, Iran, Venezuela). This double standard should be eradicated.Philip_Thompson said:
Yes that is fair enough, though if someone looks askance at Ukrainian corruption specifically while ignoring other nations corruption then I'd wonder why the difference.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
But if the reason is to appease or avoid conflict with Russia then that is dreadful.0 -
The interesting thing is the Russians clearly don't see EFTA as a threat, but they do see the EU as a threat. Which is of course because they correctly perceive that the EU is not really about trade, but empire building.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
0 -
I would post the name of the publication but I fear for Mike's legal bill!Danny565 said:
I just spent a good 5 minutes searching and am none the wiserMaxPB said:
Literally less than a minute of searching on twatter.FrancisUrquhart said:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3526916/American-publication-goes-UK-injunction-report-known-celebrity-extra-marital-threesome.html
I see injunctions are back in vogue. Took 2 seconds to find out.0 -
Which geopolitical fact should we appreciate? That Russia does not respect the independence or sovereignty of its neighbours?Mortimer said:
The fact that is fails to appreciate basic geopolitics.foxinsoxuk said:
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?0 -
No they aren't, although to my mind we do see too much blame apportioned to the EU, an organization I want to leave, in the Ukraine situation on the grounds that of course this would happen due to EU ambitions being too high. Which may well be the case, and it would have been simpler all around if many Ukranians did not want a path which would upset Russia, but ultimately they can choose to try to join if they want, how much the EU is wrong to encourage that is really pretty irrelevant in how Russia has responded.chestnut said:
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
0 -
China too.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
0 -
That's not strictly true, they've won two Swiss referendum (and lost one). In 2012, the Croatians voted to join the EU. There was also the Irish referendum in 2012 or 2013 on ratifying the EU fiscal compact. And there may be some others I've forgotten about.Speedy said:
https://twitter.com/GregLinaman/status/717721977570467840foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
This is very simple, chronic EU fatigue is the cause behind this, people simply disagree with the direction the EU is going since 1992.
The EU hasn't won a referendum since they forced the Irish to vote twice on the Nice treaty in 2001.
Goodnight.0 -
I object to the fact that the EU along with the Americans encouraged regime change in Ukraine, whilst deliberately provoking Putin and Russia. We promised Russia after the end of the cold war that we wouldn't extend Nato to its own borders, let alone try to extend the EU up to the Russian border as well. You should know your recent history a bit better and how this plays amongst other countries outside the Eurocracy before commenting on such matters. It would have been far better for all concerned if the eastern part of Ukraine had been ceded to Russia, and have a western facing smaller Ukraine. The Ukraine on its current borders with the inevitable historic divisions and tensions was never going to be a viable thriving state long term.foxinsoxuk said:
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?
The Mossack Fonseca coverage in our mainstream press has been typical in poking a stick at Russia (and China) instead of sorting out our own grubby affairs at home. Britain with its disgraceful corruption is in no position to lecture the rest of the world on tax affairs, particularly when the whole world finally finds out what has been going on at 788 790 Finchley Road and all of the interconnected boiler room operations.0 -
Another case of the UK being heard loud and clear within the EU:
https://twitter.com/stewartwood/status/7178242887038238730 -
The Russians want a fragmented Europe. It is in their interests to be the dominant power on Europe. No EU, no NATO, and them as r dominant energy supplier to the continent would be geopolitical mana from heaven for them.runnymede said:
The interesting thing is the Russians clearly don't see EFTA as a threat, but they do see the EU as a threat. Which is of course because they correctly perceive that the EU is not really about trade, but empire building.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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The fact that Ukraine borders Russia, and that an expansionist Russia led by someone increasingly backed into a corner might well overreact further to interference from foreign capitals.foxinsoxuk said:
Which geopolitical fact should we appreciate? That Russia does not respect the independence or sovereignty of its neighbours?Mortimer said:
The fact that is fails to appreciate basic geopolitics.foxinsoxuk said:
I mean phobe as an irrational fear.Mortimer said:
And there we have it. I can't stand the way someone who disagrees with something is now a phobe. It is derogatory and suggests overreaction.foxinsoxuk said:
And the PBers looked from man to pig, from Russiantroll to Europhobe, but could no longer see any difference.AlastairMeeks said:Tonight we see the nihilism of so many Leave campaigners: exulting in condemning 50 million people to creeping colonialism by an authoritarian dictator because the alternative involved the EU.
I am not scared of European elites - they're laughable. But I imagine they might soon be scared of the people; Holland has suggested as much.
Dan Hannan on Newsnight just volunteered that he had voted in favour of the EU -Ukraine treaty.
What is it about this treaty that you object to? Apart from the fact that it was negotiated by the EU?
I can't stand Russian policy towards ex USSR territories - but this is anything but a de-escalation strategy.0 -
That's the guy. Lost his marbles in prison, whilst doing time for fraud, civil contempt, and conspiracy.hunchman said:
Too bad again that you have such a closed mindset on the way the world works, and don't want to learn. I'm sure you'll want to read this article on Mossack Fonseca from the forecaster's forecaster, who's got more talent in his little finger than anything you posess:watford30 said:
Still, it stops Hunchman posting about loopy chartist theories and the nutty fraudster cum antique coin salesman.perdix said:
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/icijs-political-agenda-may-backfire/0 -
Leaving the EU won't mean leaving NATO and that's simply not going to happen. NATO matters far more than the EU.rcs1000 said:
The Russians want a fragmented Europe. It is in their interests to be the dominant power on Europe. No EU, no NATO, and them as r dominant energy supplier to the continent would be geopolitical mana from heaven for them.runnymede said:
The interesting thing is the Russians clearly don't see EFTA as a threat, but they do see the EU as a threat. Which is of course because they correctly perceive that the EU is not really about trade, but empire building.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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Amusement aside, is that actually right? It's unclear to me (but may not be unclear to others) whether EFTA's existing trade agreements would be inherited by a state which joined EFTA now.rcs1000 said:The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.
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Honestly, Russian aggression is the only thing that might swing me into the remain camp, but I would want to eject the freeloaders and obstructionists at the same time.rcs1000 said:
The Russians want a fragmented Europe. It is in their interests to be the dominant power on Europe. No EU, no NATO, and them as r dominant energy supplier to the continent would be geopolitical mana from heaven for them.runnymede said:
The interesting thing is the Russians clearly don't see EFTA as a threat, but they do see the EU as a threat. Which is of course because they correctly perceive that the EU is not really about trade, but empire building.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
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Well said Runnymede. Its staggering the lack of historical perspective and knowledge displayed by a lot of posters on here, and then they wonder why their proposed solutions end up in tears.runnymede said:Re Ukraine
Ukraine is deeply split on a broadly east-west axis, in terms of its attitudes to Russia. This relates not just to Russian immigration in the last century but also to the fact that Ukraine's current (somewhat artificial) borders bring together areas that in the west, were historically parts of Poland (and later Austria-Hungary) and in the east areas that were part of Russia from the 17th century (and with an emotional attachment to Russians that goes back to the Dark Ages).
The result of this is that to push Ukraine either entirely into the Russian or entirely into the western orbit risks destabilising the country, as well as infuriating the Russians. Against this background, the EU's attempt to expand into Ukraine were very unwise. The Russian response is of course unacceptable but was also predictable - and entirely avoidable.0 -
I think that is the case, we inherit, or at least are able to take up any existing EFTA trade deals if we join the organisation.Richard_Nabavi said:
Amusement aside, is that actually right? It's unclear to me (but may not be unclear to others) whether EFTA's existing trade agreements would be inherited by a state which joined EFTA now.rcs1000 said:The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.
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In fairness to the Dutch - it is them who are voting after all - their judgement should be in the Dutch national interest - not Ukraine's, Russia's, the EU's.kle4 said:
No they aren't, although to my mind we do see too much blame apportioned to the EU, an organization I want to leave, in the Ukraine situation on the grounds that of course this would happen due to EU ambitions being too high. Which may well be the case, and it would have been simpler all around if many Ukranians did not want a path which would upset Russia, but ultimately they can choose to try to join if they want, how much the EU is wrong to encourage that is really pretty irrelevant in how Russia has responded.chestnut said:
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
The EU is something I'm struggling to describe.
It isn't a union, whatever the name says. The Eurozone is, but the bit we're in, isn't.
The sooner we rationalise Eurozone, EU, EFTA back down to two - one a union, one a free trade area - the better.
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So you agreed with what judge Owen did then?watford30 said:
That's the guy. Lost his marbles in prison, whilst doing time for fraud, civil contempt, and conspiracy.hunchman said:
Too bad again that you have such a closed mindset on the way the world works, and don't want to learn. I'm sure you'll want to read this article on Mossack Fonseca from the forecaster's forecaster, who's got more talent in his little finger than anything you posess:watford30 said:
Still, it stops Hunchman posting about loopy chartist theories and the nutty fraudster cum antique coin salesman.perdix said:
What a load of bollocks - "David Cameron's Blairmore trust"...hunchman said:Good article on the Panama papers that is getting closer to the nub of it all. They stop short of mentioning 788 790 Finchley Road and the interlocking addresses, but it takes things a step further:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-papers-reveal-london-centre-spiders-173713142.html
One of my sources has mentioned that there was a protest march in London today with regard to the Panama papers - does anyone have any further information about this? No mention in the mainstream media about this of course!
Well we had a typical smoke and mirrors job from Cameron yesterday, not once but four times. Wes Streeting is quite right, until Cameron publishes all his tax returns going back to and including the 2010/11 tax year he has no hope of shutting this down. And depending on how quickly any inheritance disbursement from Blairmore Holdings fell into his lap, he has to publish back to 2010/11. Charles Walker was well and truly bested by Streeting and Jon Snow on Channel 4 News earlier this evening.
Now yesterday, I mentioned about the Carroll Trust. Nothing very much is really known about the demise of the Carroll Trust, but the trust set up in 1986 which had 85 companies in it, was at one stage estimated to have a net worth of £250m. The following article tells some of the story about the collapse by 1993:
http://nuclear-news.net/2013/06/23/david-cameron-tax-evasion-expose-security-service-cover-up/
Why has no one to date been brought before the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) about the alleged fraud?
What was the link between Smith Williamson Holdings and Blairmore Holdings and the Carroll Trust?
What does Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe know about this?
Why are the files in complete lockdown about this at the FBI in Washington and at Scotland Yard? I do wonder if anyone has tried to make an FOI request on these files, but I can guess what the response was.
Brought to you by a weird person.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/icijs-political-agenda-may-backfire/0 -
Agreed 100%.chestnut said:
In fairness to the Dutch - it is them who are voting after all - their judgement should be in the Dutch national interest - not Ukraine's, Russia's, the EU's.kle4 said:
No they aren't, although to my mind we do see too much blame apportioned to the EU, an organization I want to leave, in the Ukraine situation on the grounds that of course this would happen due to EU ambitions being too high. Which may well be the case, and it would have been simpler all around if many Ukranians did not want a path which would upset Russia, but ultimately they can choose to try to join if they want, how much the EU is wrong to encourage that is really pretty irrelevant in how Russia has responded.chestnut said:
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
The EU is something I'm struggling to describe.
It isn't a union, whatever the name says. The Eurozone is, but the bit we're in, isn't.
The sooner we rationalise Eurozone, EU, EFTA back down to two - one a union, one a free trade area - the better.0 -
It is pretty logical.chestnut said:
In fairness to the Dutch - it is them who are voting after all - their judgement should be in the Dutch national interest - not Ukraine's, Russia's, the EU's.kle4 said:
No they aren't, although to my mind we do see too much blame apportioned to the EU, an organization I want to leave, in the Ukraine situation on the grounds that of course this would happen due to EU ambitions being too high. Which may well be the case, and it would have been simpler all around if many Ukranians did not want a path which would upset Russia, but ultimately they can choose to try to join if they want, how much the EU is wrong to encourage that is really pretty irrelevant in how Russia has responded.chestnut said:
Understanding Russian feeling and 'appeasing' Putin are not the same thing.Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
The EU is something I'm struggling to describe.
It isn't a union, whatever the name says. The Eurozone is, but the bit we're in, isn't.
The sooner we rationalise Eurozone, EU, EFTA back down to two - one a union, one a free trade area - the better.
And yet it is the fervent Remainers who accuse others of making embarrassingly self-serving comments.0 -
Result (almost) from the Netherlands:
Turnout: 32.1% after 98.5%
38.2% Yes
61% No
No wins and the result is valid after surpassing the minimum 30% threshold. The government has to unratify(?) the EU-Ukraine trade deal.0 -
Do nations that join the EU like Croatia in 2013 get excluded from the EU's existing trade deals? Is there any reason for it to be any different for new EFTA members?Richard_Nabavi said:
Amusement aside, is that actually right? It's unclear to me (but may not be unclear to others) whether EFTA's existing trade agreements would be inherited by a state which joined EFTA now.rcs1000 said:The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.
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People on this board seem in total denial about how much trouble Russia is in. Average monthly earnings have dropped from $900 to $400 in just 18 months. Russian exports are now smaller than Belgium's, and are more than 80% commodities.MaxPB said:
Honestly, Russian aggression is the only thing that might swing me into the remain camp, but I would want to eject the freeloaders and obstructionists at the same time.rcs1000 said:
The Russians want a fragmented Europe. It is in their interests to be the dominant power on Europe. No EU, no NATO, and them as r dominant energy supplier to the continent would be geopolitical mana from heaven for them.runnymede said:
The interesting thing is the Russians clearly don't see EFTA as a threat, but they do see the EU as a threat. Which is of course because they correctly perceive that the EU is not really about trade, but empire building.rcs1000 said:
The slightly amusing bit is that if we quit the EU for EFTA, we'll find ourselves with a Ukraine free trade deal.MaxPB said:
No, but can we reject it for other reasons, such as Ukrainian corruption?Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
Just as the commodity down cycle of the 1980s did for the USSR, it is highly likely this one will do for Putin's Russia.0 -
Yet another post totally ignorant of the historical reality. Runnymede appreciates it, and so does ydoethur - I'll copy for you what he said as I agree with it in its entirety, and you could add that eastern Ukraine is around 80% ethnically Russian / Russian speaking:Philip_Thompson said:Anyone who supports rejecting the Ukrainian trade deal in order to appease Putin ought to be utterly ashamed of themselves. I suppose we should have rejected any support of Poland in order to appease Hitler?
There is an awful lot of ignorance in Western Europe about Russia and the Ukraine. To sum up the key points:
1) The Russians think of Ukraine as a province of Russia. It was, indeed, the place where Russia was created (the Duchy of Rus was first based in Kiev). They would see it joining the EU as the equivalent of Hampshire declaring independence and joining France.
2) They therefore have enormous difficulty thinking of the Ukrainians as a separate people and entitled to make their separate decisions about what to do.
3) They are also unnerved at the thought of a country next door to them, in the middle of a big, flat, grassy plain that runs pretty well all the way to Moscow, being controlled by someone else.0