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If Starmer goes Reeves is by far the best alternative – politicalbetting.com
If Starmer goes Reeves is by far the best alternative – politicalbetting.com
One thing I’ve been looking for in the coverage of the Labour conference is who would be the runners if for whatever reason Starmer ceases to be leader. With the pandemic totally dominating everything since the general election it has been a struggle for opposition politicians to get a look in.
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Yvette Cooper, PPE from Oxford, MSc in economics from LSE.
While checking that, I found a bet for Emma Raducanu for SPotY at 4/1. I really do not remember placing this bet which was probably a mistake when I was comparing US Open and SPotY prices and must have clicked the wrong window, though she's about 1/25 now so no harm done. First world problems!)
Not very subtle, but in fairness to him it worked the first time.
(*) If my bleary-eyed early-morning maths is correct.
(I.e. it's about the only way he'll get a job in Number 10. I fear the Labour left will prevent any chance of him winning the next election. I would not be surprised if he's not even leader then. This conference has turned into a farce.
I’m biased towards her as a member of New College, but she simply doesn’t have the charisma to make it to the top rank. Too technocratic.
Going round breaking clocks only deals with the symptoms not the causes
Johnson is preparing to deploy hundreds of soldiers to help address the fuel crisis, the Financial Times reported on Monday. The troops would be used to drive trucks, the newspaper said, under contingency planning known as "Operation Escalin."
The grim prophecies of #operationYellowhammer at a glance.. https://twitter.com/Matthew_Wright/status/1442399299900518401/photo/1
The British government has put the military on alert to cooperate in fuel transport operations in light of the crisis that sees gasoline in the country. "A limited number of military tank truck drivers will be alerted and deployed if necessary to further stabilize the fuel supply chain," the Energy Department said in a statement.
Surely with a clown in charge, they can provide a higher magnitude of entertainment?
BoZo could top that by sacking Grant Shapps
https://mobile.twitter.com/infofoundationx/status/1441738825575768069
(20-tweet thread, worth reading)
TL:DR There’s a lot of problems in the industry, Ts and Cs are crap and companies treat you badly, most won’t sponsor people for training and testing, and many won’t hire the young and inexperienced.
The UK has been struggling for weeks with the lack of truck drivers in the country. There are always no deliveries, from drinks at McDonald’s to meat for the catering trade to individual products in the supermarkets. At the end of last week, the problem reached petrol stations.
The scarce fuel is now also endangering health care, warned Chaand Nagpaul, President of the British Medical Association. "There is a real danger that NHS employees will no longer be able to do their jobs," he said, referring to the national health service.
After weeks of urging from hauliers and associations, Johnson and his ministers admitted late last week that they would make an exception to the strict immigration rules for truck drivers, among other things. 5000 short-term visas are supposed to help attract drivers from abroad. In addition, there are another 5,500 entry permits for workers in the food industry. "It's like trying to put out a campfire with a thimble full of water," said Ruby McGregor-Smith, President of the British Chamber of Commerce. Those concerned agree that there are far too few visas, they would arrive far too late.
In the meantime, pharmacies are also concerned about the timely delivery of medicines. There, too, occasional deliveries have failed to materialize. The association is pushing for clear statements from the government as to how supplies can be ensured in an emergency.
The Christmas roast is also far from guaranteed in view of the many delivery and personnel problems. "There will be fewer turkeys on supermarket shelves this year than usual," warned Kate Martin of the Traditional Farm Fresh Turkey Association.
This is not only due to the drivers, but also to the lack of strength in meat processing. "The big processors can already see that they will not be able to process all meat."
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-09-24/inflation-and-supply-shortages-mean-a-return-of-empty-shelves-and-panic-buying
”Walk around a supermarket in the U.S. or Europe and you will see some empty shelves once more. This isn’t due to people panic-buying toilet paper, as they did early on in the pandemic; rather it’s because supply chains are clogged at almost every stage between Asian factories and grocery stock rooms.
“But rising prices and patchy availability mean it’s only a matter of time before shoppers start purchasing in bulk again — this time to avoid future sticker shock.
“Supply lines are struggling as producers such as Vietnam, responsible for making everything from sneakers to coffee, are hurt by Covid restrictions. Surging virus cases and consumer demand are leading to congested ports. Shipping containers are in the wrong place. Sea freight costs are up tenfold. If goods do arrive at the destined ports, there are too few truck drivers to transport them to retailers. Shortages of workers to harvest and prepare foods are also adding to the pressures.”
Sounds like long-distance lorry driving and long-distance walking are identical. Although left-over sausage rolls would be nice occasionally ...
That's a really good thread, thanks.
Today I filled up my (@Dura_Ace approved) car with petrol, without problems.
My gut - and it's just a gut - is that there is a post Covid demand boom, that is causing supply crunches everywhere. But it's most acute in the UK, simply because Covid hit almost immediately following Brexit. It meant that those who could drive could earn great money in less stressful food delivery jobs, and the normal steady flow people through training was disrupted.
And you know what, that's OK.
No-one is going to starve. Things will adjust. The cost of trucking stuff around will probably increase. And yes, that will have an impact on the price we pay for things.
(Obviously not fuel tankers, but others delivering other stuff)
He's called McDonald too which is the same as a big employer. Big opportunity for Starmer to shift the narrative away frm cervixes.
OH....
To protect taxpayers’ interests and passengers I have ordered the Operator of Last Resort to urgently take over the running of rail services in the South East.
https://twitter.com/grantshapps/status/1442731050468270080?s=20
R4 - SFO being called in
Boris Johnson and his team were accused of being “asleep at the wheel” as mile-long queues for fuel developed and fights broke out at petrol stations.
the Petrol Retailers Association said troops will not be a magic “lever” to fix the problem and the chaos could yet last weeks.
ISTR that the lanes lorries use at some petrol stations have special high-speed pumps, to allow them to fill quicker - but I think the nozzles are the same, as I used to use them to fill my Landy.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-takes-over-running-of-lser-services-in-response-to-over-25-million-breach-of-franchise-agreement
Mr. 1000, that's not very panicky of you.
As an aside, booted up my PS2 the other day. Remarkable that it's smaller, quieter, and has quicker load times than its successors (graphics way worse though, it was the last console before HDMI cables replaced SCART).
Sounds a bit harsh to send in the OLR just for not posting or emailling a remittance advice ?
Talking about the Labour Party, I'm confused. In the resplendently perfect 2019 manifesto, it was His will that the minimum wage be £10 an hour. So how come a few years later Andy McWazzock quits in protest that its not £15 an hour and gets a cheering ovation from the Trotbune fringe meeting?
Its almost as if the purpose in his flounce was only to try and damage the Labour Party.
What is far more important is the unproductive get paid far more than they are worth.
https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1194204454448500738
He inherited a poisonous party, to be fair. The Corbyn years were atrocious and that's a good reason why Labour cannot win an outright majority in one bound next time. I get it that he felt he needed to clean up Labour's act in order to be more presentable to voters.
However, the way in which Sir Keir has set about the rebuilding is extremely clumsy. That's about as polite as I could be.
And all the while he is out of touch with the very people he most needs to win back: his Red Wall deserters.
Not disastrous. Not quite. But not far off.
How can the party present itself as a serious party of government when they have such a movement of people buried in the party. More than a quarter of conference delegates voted for anti-semitism. The unions and the lunatics demanding a £15 minimum wage.
Ironically I liked one of @SouthamObserver 's tweets last night (celebrating the removal of the far left from the Shadow Cabinet) and one of my Labour friends started baiting me about me "coming home". Errrr no. I don't understand the party at all any more. And I think there are significant numbers of Tory voting ex Labour voters who feel the same.
Until a few months ago my five year old was saying that when she grows up she wants to be a butterfly.
No it isn't. If you lived here you'd realise that it really, really, isn't. We have horrendous multiple crises going on in the UK at the moment. You may not be a fan of the NHS, for instance, but the situation is absolutely dire. I know several people who have had cancer diagnoses missed during the past 18 months and are now in real trouble. Try getting a face to face appointment with a GP and it's nigh-impossible.
And there are people who ARE on the bread line, especially with the cut in universal credit.
I could go on but please don't post aloof messages from sunny LA trying to tell us it's all fine. That's as bad as the Metropolitan Elite Remainers who never, ever, got the issue in the ghost towns of the north and east of England.
If I say it's offensive you'll accuse me of being woke but yes it is offensive.
https://twitter.com/Motorsport/status/1442480069553754115
This is as much about their inherent political skills as the reality of the coalitions they will lead: made up of parties new to power, and — at the federal level — to each other. Internal friction and domestic politics will subtract from the chancellery’s focus and agency in Europe.
To make matters worse, while it is no surprise that Chancellor Angela Merkel’s departure was going to impact the bloc’s leadership and coherence, her departure coincides with the run-up to French President Emmanuel Macron’s own elections next year.
https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-leadership-gap-olaf-scholz-chancellor-race/
I'd suggest you look elsewhere. We are not uniquely struggling. Things will improve. My guess is the fuel 'crisis' will be over by the weekend.
And it will have the effect of making the private schools that remain even more elitist as only the very rich can afford to send their kids there.
There were several issues like that in her speech, simplistic nonsense which assumes that there is no reaction to the changes in policy and no adverse consequences. There was also some dishonesty. So a person who trades in stocks and shares does not pay 20% CGT but IT because they are in business. But in fairness there were also some things I agreed with such as the elimination of business rates for shops etc and an increase in the digital tax.
I disagree with several of her ideas but at least she had some. It was almost the first time that you got a clear idea what a Labour government might want to do.
You should read our debate last night if you want to see what a rational and respectful debate on trans issues looks like.
I see that SKS is being excoriated by his far left for not keeping a promise on a "£15 per hour" minimum wage.
Where was this promise? I can't find it.
And does setting a minimum wage at basically Median Wage level work?
Median wage = £585 per hour. (1st Google answer)
£15 per hour = £585 for 39 hour week.
I told a (true) story about how my daughter said she wants to be a butterfly when she grows up - and a joke was told in reply. Anyone who's had kids has probably had similar experiences, is that not something to talk about or joke about?
I will jut say this:
I have known a fair few trans people. Two in particular were friends: one pre-transition, one post-transition. I see comments made about trans people on here, especially about how they're somehow a 'danger', and then think of those friends, and the bullying and sh*t they suffered just because they were, in some way, different.
Having seen maybe ten minutes of the Conference or news about it Rachel Reeves might just be Labour's best kept secret. The header is the first time I've seen her in action and she looks impressive. Modern and with presence. It doesn't speak well for Starmer's judgement that he thought Anneliese Dodds was the answer to his most important first appointment when he had a genuine talent to call on.
Nonetheless I've still got hopes for Starmer. With a better team around him he'll start to look the part. But if the proverbial bus does arrive she's got a couple of advantages he doesn't have......
Firstly the contrast with the lumbering Johnson couldn't be sharper and she could do what Angela Raynor tried but with the guile and wit not to sound like a fishwife and secondly Len McClusky would resign
We all know it isn’t a joke - its just an opportunity for some bigotry.
I think that you need to be very careful with policies such as the NMW so as not to overdo it and cause unnecessary unemployment but you should also take advantage of situations such as we have right now. Doing so will transfer more of the burden of financing the low paid from in work benefits to where it belongs, on those that employ them. It is an opportunity to reduce inequality and reduce government spending. I am not sure about £15 but an increase substantially beyond inflation and well over £10 makes sense.
Women don't have cocks. I think that's a pretty uncontroversial statement of biological fact. That you're contorting yourself into a position where the phrase "her dick" becomes a reality shows just how far off kilter you are and just how much reality you've had to suspend ti support this belief.