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Next UK General Election: The great graduate/non-graduate divide – politicalbetting.com
Next UK General Election: The great graduate/non-graduate divide – politicalbetting.com
Following on from the latest Ipsos-MORI voting poll we now have the full dataset which highlights what looks like being a big divide in public opinion – the choice of those who are graduates against those who are not.
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What about Anthony Wiener, he was way badder than Spitzer or Cuomo?
Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and the MyPillow Guy Are in Huge Trouble
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2021/08/rudy-giuliani-mike-lindell-dominion-lawsuit.html
On Wednesday, a Trump-appointed judge spanked three Trump boosters for spreading Trump’s lies in a ruling that could cost them hundreds of millions of dollars in damages. District Judge Carl J. Nichols crafted a blistering opinion allowing three defamation lawsuits filed by Dominion Voting Systems against MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell and Trump’s lawyers, Sidney Powell and Rudy Giuliani, to move forward to trial.
Nichols’ opinion sets forth the false claims peddled by each of the three defendants, then picks apart the evidence they used to support it. The resulting decision—which suggests that Dominion might satisfy even the high bar set for defamation claims from public figures about political contests—is a beatdown. It was a small wonder on Thursday that Alan Dershowitz, appearing at Lindell’s MyPillow Symposium, denounced the Dominion suit as the “new McCarthyism.” If you are not free to lie brazenly about everything, always, causing untold financial and institutional ruin, what liberty can possibly remain?…
But if we’re looking at it rationally, we need to consider whole populations.
So how many Democrats voted for Trump ?
There is, admittedly, the inconvenient counter example of Corbyn.
Perhaps Sturgeon’s Law applies to smarts and ethics, too ?
Mike merely pointed out some possibly inconvenient facts. Which are of undeniable interest to political punters.
The numbers for Hartlepool and C&A are striking.
You might alternately conclude that the Lib Dem’s appeal is so esoteric that it requires a degree to understand, I suppose.
It may have an effect in the margins of the next GE but I doubt it will be any more than that
And in another good news story for the UK has this been posted yet
BBC News - Lord of the Rings: Amazon moves show to UK from New Zealand
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58196473
The relationship does hold, independent of age, although the age effect compounds it.
The 1994 number is convenient for popular age banding. It is fair to say that the number of graduates under 50 is far and away greater than those over 50, because most of those who graduated in 1994 are ~48/49 now.
The competition was, of course, rather different back then.
Either way Netflix invested in a few big names not just one. We'll see if Amazon can do the same.
https://twitter.com/williamnhutton/status/1425946743984857093
Ultimately it is either going to have to change the Tory party quite a lot to hold onto the Hartlepools, or they won't do so. Brexitism and hosing money at client groups can go a long way.
But yes, it could easily be a super-expensive flop.
Everything else followed.
https://www.theguardian.com/media-network/media-network-blog/2015/feb/27/house-cards-netflix-internet-video-kings
https://variety.com/2018/tv/columns/house-of-cards-season-6-streaming-era-1203017193/
They will throw enough money at every aspect of the production to ensure at least the first season is not a “flop”. Once it has its own legs and fan base they’ll build from there.
A WoT TV series has supposedly been getting made and been dragging on since before Game of Thrones was aired so my expectations for it right now are pretty low sadly but I hope to be proved wrong.
One could argue the direction of the arrow of cause->effect but we need a other 30 years or so until we will have compelling evidence that University education trumps Age. And that will, almost by definition, be when I've left this mortal coil. (I'm 48.)
Netflix used them both as their original Netflix Original series for advertising for years.
My point was they had, and probably needed, more than just a single big title.
https://twitter.com/neilhwilliams/status/1425543574007996417?s=21
https://twitter.com/ashtonpittman/status/1425949682782588931?s=19
Personally, I think that Boris will take that trade. And 11% is a hell of a lead for the government to have midterm, having staggered through a pandemic with many still going on about Brexit. The only thing I can remember that was remotely similar was Blair during his first term. And his second election was pretty much a repeat of the first.
Watch a movie on Prime and the 'suggested titles' titles afterwards are almost never it seems to me stuff that you have paid for via Prime or individual purchase.
It feels like watching shows in a shopping mall rather than from a service. Netflix doesn't do that.
Another bloated derivative franchise from a corporate giant. Count me out.
Apple TV+ shows you the opposite decision. They’ve got almost nothing on their app and oh my, isn’t it obvious when you scroll. Should start to slowly change, Foundation and Shantaram being two adaptations of best sellers coming to Apple.
Just shows you what a remarkable achievement it was by Reed Hastings Netflix that he started a studio from scratch that’s still embarrassing two giants.
“This means losing your houses, your dreams, your goals, your ambition... everything.”
Pashtana Durrani, executive director of an NGO for girls' education speaks to @krishgm from Kandahar in Afghanistan, a city under siege by the Taliban. https://t.co/j6qUPzDkP3
Given recent history on remakes, reboots, etc, I'm not expecting great things from the LOTR TV show. A shame, as I like The Silmarillion a lot, and the trilogy* is great.
Edited extra bit: *film trilogy, that is.
The IQ (or choose your measure) did not suddenly jump by 20 points in 1994, or whatever date you choose.
Education (hopefully) adds certain skills, and perhaps extra perspectives.
There are a lot of highly educated stupid people out there.
Nolan seems uninterested in the format which is a shame. But there will be other big names that are. Instead they throw money at people with no experience of the medium, like Obama and Mrs Sussex. Odd.
A tragedy with whatever happened at Plymouth. Time will show.
The usual lazy sensationalism has already kicked in. From the Indy:
Scores of air ambulances were filmed in the area while two were filmed taking off from a field.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/plymouth-shooting-live-keyham-today-b1901942.html
Quite where they got scores of air ambulances from is strange, as the Wiki List for the whole of England and Wales shows a total of about 36-37, and I doubt they pulled all the ones from North Wales, Cumbria and Northumberland down to Plymouth.
Likely has more female characters too, for equality worriers.
https://twitter.com/ChrisCEOHopson/status/1425418703294935040?s=19
To give an idea of what this means, in my Trust we have about 100 Covid patients, 20 on ICU/ECMO. This means cancellations of planned surgery because of lack of beds particularly post op. Patients are often being cancelled on the day for this reason.
The incident started just after 6pm in the Keyham area of Plymouth and at least three air ambulances landed in North Prospect this evening.
https://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/news/plymouth-news/air-ambulances-land-north-prospect-5780498
Exasperated judge, "Well, learned counsel, I have been listening to you all morning and I am none the wiser."
Counsel, "No my Lord, but hopefully better informed."
"...we suspect that we are going to be proved right that the cure of lockdown has been much more harmful than the disease of Covid."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/08/13/lockdown-based-faith-not-evidence/
Sunetra Gupta trigger warning.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E8pviAcX0AQ3Wvu?format=jpg&name=large
Sir Keir’s are only better than Corbyn, Foot & Hague’s
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E8pviAmXsAADNg2?format=jpg&name=large
But LotR is plodding, certainly. If he were writing today I imagine an editor would have quite a few notes.
Game of Thrones wasnt well known beyond geeks and only had a couple million viewers in its first season, and it then really took off, so I sort of see why Amazon are planning multiple seasons at high cost out of a brand with more name recognition, but as a fantasy fan and fan of LotR I think the inherent interest in Tolkien's backstory collections is not that high, so that first season has to be pretty good to hold onto the curious initial audience. As you imply production values being sky high only get you so far.
Used liberally in fantasy, I think as it seems old timey.
I think its be funny if it was just a high production Legend of Hercules/Xena from the 90s. Legend of the Seeker (based on the Sword of Truth series) was basically a repeat of those and was entertaining.
Others of his output:
‘Do not lecture me, Mr Smith. Why do you suppose I am on the Bench?’
‘It is not for me, My Lord, to fathom the inscrutable workings of providence.’
And before the Court of Appeal:
‘Do give the court credit for some intelligence.’
‘That was the mistake I made in the court below, My Lord.’
One recent series I liked which I thought I wouldn't was by Stephen Aryan, as it was a breezy read and seemed like a series in reverse, opening not closing with grand war against a big bad.
But enough non politics geekery from me.
Personally, although I've read LotR, I much prefer the writings of Sir Terry Pratchett. Lot of wry comments which could be directed at society.
I couldn't NOT manage the Silmarillon.
I believe there are films, but I'm by no means convinced that making a film of a book is always a good idea.
But putting together this poll with the recent poll that showed immigration as the most important issues for Conservative voters (54% vs 14% for Labour), could it be that more non-graduates are more concerned about immigration than graduates, and that is what is making non-graduates more likely to vote Conservative?
"So how high can you raise your arm after the accident?"
Grimacing painfully, "This high, sir".
"And how high could you raise it before the accident?"
"Oh, this high!"
Not sure when it frees up, but the picture icon on the comments system gives you an option to hotlink the url, which usually works.
Placebo masks aren't going to stop Delta circulating among kids.
They couldn't do worse than the Afghan army and get some sympathy from Western countries.
Increasing efficiency in normal times will naturally mean that there is less spare capacity to respond when something unusual happens.
The latter seems like a political lesson about deviating from your brand and historic supporters too.
Vaccinating the adults I'd the obvious solution, but the Trumpist anti-vaxxers are bonkers. Here they are threatening doctors in Tennessee:
https://twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1425449438202548224?s=19
https://www.amazon.co.uk/New-Snobbery-David-Skelton/dp/1785906577/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=the+new+snobbery&qid=1628839417&sr=8-1
(not resting until everyone on PB has read it
I did a very detailed post looking at all the different hospitals in NHS Lothian, a few don't even have any inpatient beds at all, so I'm very disappointed that the silly figure of 1250 hospitals is still being used to divide the number of Covid inpatients.
There aren't going to be any Covid inpatients at a mental health hospital. Or a specialist eye surgery hospital. Or at the vast majority of facilities that are classed as "hospitals". There certainly aren't two hospitals with Covid inpatients in each parliamentary constituency. I think the right number of hospitals to use for this calculation is most likely closer to 200.
Given that Labour were set up to give the less well educated a voice, it’s a bit galling if their supporters now condescend them. Mind you, Labour offered out low paid jobs to anyone in Europe who’d do it cheaper, so maybe they just hate commoners
Exactly that happened to the one person I know who has died of Covid.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58186709
There were diminishing returns to the sequels in some ways but they succeeded in broadening a world that I and millions of others had become hooked on. Let’s see what the telly programme manages to do. Not many people would have given much hope to the Mandalorian either but that had some fabulous moments.
Mask mandates are displacement activity which aren't worth the hassle and punish those who have been vaccinated.