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The latest Ipsos-MORI phone poll where I was part of the sample – politicalbetting.com
The latest Ipsos-MORI phone poll where I was part of the sample – politicalbetting.com
These days when virtually all polling is carried out online the regular Ipsos-MORI political monitor stands out as the only regular major poll that was carried out by random phone calls to the public.
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Eh?
There have been two others in the last 24 hours that have seen the CON-LAB gap widening; You Gov +3 to 8, & Savanta Com Res +2 to 8
Disaster.
SNP 54%
SCon 16%
SLab 13%
SLD 8%
SGP 6%
oth 3%
What was the fking point?
Humiliation.
BREAKING: Team GB 100m relay silver medallist CJ Ujah has been suspended for suspected doping violation.
Feel for his team mates as surely they’ll be stripped of silver
BBC News - Chijindu Ujah: British Olympic silver medallist suspended after positive test for banned substance
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/athletics/58193101
(Though the fact we followed as usual says it all)
But rest assured, this is not an isolated individual. Cheating in the current environment requires organisation. For every cheat caught there are a significant number of cheats in the team behind them. If the government wanted to root them out it could.
Sample was 1,113 British adults. There are ~51 million British adults. Naive probability estimate is 1-in-46,000.
However, the probability is likely a bit higher than that, since you're in a demographic more likely to find itself in the sample, because of your age and willingness to take part in an opinion poll.
I'm struck by a combined LD-Green vote of 21% on IPSOS-Mori which seems very different to the 15% on other polls. The "difference" is largely but not wholly an increased Labour share on the other polls.
‘There was a programme on R4 a couple of years ago on the phenomenon of down at heel, impoverished urban areas (Brooklyn, Kreuzberg, various London neighbourhoods) becoming artistic hot spots; squats, cheap property, cheap to live etc, with the concomitant gentrification following. They suggested Athens was set to become the next big thing, any sign of that?’
Not really. Maybe some tiny hints here and there. Part of the problem is the moribund Greek economy. Brooklyn is situated in the biggest economy on earth. Shoreditch Hoxton etc are in a world city with many rich people. Kreuzberg was ripe for investment, as part of the new reunified German capital of Berlin
Athens is a crumbling city in a crumbling country. And the language is a barrier, even tho many of the young now speak good English
But my, Athens still has the power to wow. I haven’t seen the Acropolis since I was a very young man. It is just fucking AWESOME. This mighty THING, surmounted by gleaming temples.
I climb it tomorrow.. I might drink in every taverna on the way down. The weather continues sublime
I've seen the Oxford one (the old Radcliffe Observatory, in what is now Green College) but never been to Athens to see the original (and much else).
FPT Heat Pumps: Yes. Compared to the environment, any amounts of heat involved are small.
But a heat pump will put in far less heat than the previous system by definition. Typically it will actually use only 1/3 as much energy to run it (with a COP of 3:1) compared to any direct system (whether say Electrical Resistance or a Gas Boiler) so the energy input is reduced by 2/3 everything else being equal. That is the whole point of a pump.
And any heat drawn inside will have leaked back out in a day or two. Which is a net zero.
A gas boiler by comparison will draw no heat in from outside, but will add 3 times as much energy as a heat pump.
So a heat pump won't on the overall scheme heat up the atmosphere more.
(Ignoring energy lost in eg generation and transmission).
It’s worse than humiliation. You can overcome humiliation. I do it daily. It is desolation. We have squandered trillions - as you say - and many many lives - to achieve something worse than a royal fuck all.
We should have gone in, nuked the Taliban, killed Bin Laden ASAP, and left immediately
Instead, we have made a disaster, and called it retreat
As it happens, from Googling them and reading Wikipedia it seems you have it backwards. The EDL and their sister organisations the WDL and SDL are not nationalists. They are unionists.
Take this picture of an EDL protest at a Scottish independence rally. Look at the flags chosen. What does that scream to you: English Nationalists wanting Scottish Independence? Unionists? Rangers fans?
https://www.alamy.com/tommy-robinson-speaking-at-the-auob-scottish-independence-march-in-george-square-glasgow-scotland-uk-on-4th-may-2019-image245525832.html
Of course most of those “Scottish” organisations are nothing of the sort, proving Philip’s point on the previous thread.
Along with - you can't buy an Afghan Warlord. But you can rent them at low, low rates....
That part of Athens is so movingly historic it can make you feel a bit weepy. This gorgeous marble cradle
I went to Aristotle’s Lyceum as well. The ruins are fairly humdrum but you can walk the very same path where Aristotle walked, under the plane trees, discussing Plato and Socrates, with his pupils. Goodness me
I was one of about 6 people in the otherwise deserted and idyllic gardens
EDIT: In the UK, the various sporting associations work pretty closely with the testing people, and indeed have been castigated as "unfair" for penalising athletes who have missed tests etc.
Running away from the issue isn’t going to end well, as is being demonstrated
I can assure you that if the sub-sample had been this then it would be first item on the BBC evening news:
SLab 54%
SCon 16%
SNP 13%
SLD 8%
SGP 6%
Alba 3%
PS: they avoid British as they would get even less support than the current meagre pickings.
1 - You turn up.
2 - Kill anyone in Al Queada,
3 - Offer 100K a year, each, to the local warlords.
4 - Payable monthly
5 - if they don't take the money, kill them
6 - Explain to the survivors that the money will stop if they do anything on a short, short list of things.
7 - Leave
I know it is trendy to talk up the Persians but pah. I know exactly what side my heart is on.
I think the same would apply to the kindly English looking after the Scotch if the Scotch ever made the error to vote for Indy.
Same here, except now there is a rival hegemon ready, able and willing to exploit an American calamity
This blog has been operating for ~17 years, during which time there will have been 204 monthly Ipsos-MORI opinion polls. At the start of that period there would have been other phone polls, but let's just consider Mori for now (though we can appeal to these other polls when someone points out that Mori skipped the odd month here and there).
The probability of being part of any of those 204 opinion polls is:
1 - (45999 / 46000) ^ 204 = 1-in-226
It's not that unlikely.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:English_sportspeople_in_doping_cases
And Marathon looks on the sea;
And musing there an hour alone,
I dream’d that Greece might still be free;
For standing on the Persians’ grave,
I could not deem myself a slave.
A king sate on the rocky brow
Which looks o’er sea-born Salamis;
And ships, by thousands, lay below,
And men in nations;—all were his!
He counted them at break of day—
And when the sun set, where were they?
@Theuniondivvie asked if the EDL were English Nationalists and the answer looking into it is a categorical NO they are British unionists instead.
Now I won't be so petty as to suggest you investigate the link between unionism and racism.
The real problem is whether to go for the Athenians or the Spartans. The former definitely ate better. I do like the book 'Courtesand and fishcakes'.
lists 8
:-)
κείμεθα τοῖς κείνων ῥήμασι πειθόμενοι.
Go, tell the Spartans, stranger passing by
That here, obedient to their laws, we lie.
The other surprising item for some on ASHPs is the huge volume of air involved.
Off out now.
A long time ago a Scottish nationalist troll (yes, they exist!) went round the Wikipedia articles of every single Unionist politician (Robin Cook, Gordon Brown, Jim Wallace etc etc etc) changing every “is a Scottish politician” to “is a British politician”. Absolutely hilarious. And the funny thing is that about fifteen years later nobody has bothered removing the vandalism. One of many reasons to be wary of Wikipedia.
PS Southern Italy, or a good chunk oif it, was called Magna Graecia by the chaps in Rome.
Naive, but hardly a cheat.
I also visited the region of Sybaris. Home off the Sybarites. It is not very sybaritic now. An impoverished, earthquake ruined, mafia infested toilet. Great food nearby, however, in the Mafia owned resorts
One does wonder whether competition regulators will become a backdoor policy tool for European and Asian governments to stop US tech giants from expanding by buying up smaller rivals. The EU could wield a lot of power against the US big tech firms if it chose to do so I mean the CMA forced a non-US demerger between StubHub and Viagogo and that's just the UK.
It's definitely a US vs UK take on businesses expansion with the US happy for its companies to become effective monopolies that then expand globally while the UK would rather not have local monopolies in the first place but it results in fewer national champions.
What's always baffled me is that Latin totally died out. The idea that there's still a good holding of the Greek language baffles me on the former idea more.
(The wartime story of Iceland is fascinating. They were invaded by the UK. Still smarts.)
https://twitter.com/JackElsom/status/1425820178491789312?s=19
Will anybody notice a difference in the quality output from the shadow ministers?
A dear friend of mine from a Moray family was boarded out in the eastern Borders during the war years - Teviotdale or perhaps Kelso way. His academic career led him to South Africa and he discovered that if he relaxed and didn't try hard he could get a very good sense of the Boers in front of him discussing this rooinek in front of them. A tactically very useful accomplishment at times.
You get caught cheating and you are lottery funded, not only do you lose your funding forever, they chase you for all the money back and you will be a total outcast should you ever cone back from your ban.
Remember with Dwayne Chambers they even fought legal action to have to select him, despite him getting qualifying times. And even when they lost the court case, it was very much you get no help, no assistant, we don't want anything to do with you.
Comparison Tyson Gay, 3 times he has been busted for drugs, and the Americans don't appear to be bothered, as soon as he is off his ban, back to the forefront.
The one big grey cloud in UK is the cycling.
I recall comments about being "cold hearted", "no compassion" etc being used about the UK athletics authorities. There was even an attempt, on one occasion, to suggest that it was all a bit racist....
‘Calabrian Greek
Greko
Native to Italy
Region Calabria
Ethnicity Greeks
Native speakers c. 2,000 (2010)[1]
The Calabrian dialect of Greek, or Grecanico[2] is the variety of Italiot Greek used by the ethnic Griko people in Calabria, as opposed to the Italiot Greek dialect spoken in the Grecìa Salentina. Both are remnants of the Ancient and Byzantine Greek colonization of the region.’
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calabrian_Greek
Some dispute as to its ancientry. No doubts that it is Greek. I went to Griko