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Cuomos and goings – politicalbetting.com
Cuomos and goings – politicalbetting.com
It has been a disastrous week for the Governor of New York, Andrew Cuomo, following the publication of a report on his behaviour, at least eleven women were harassed by Governor Cuomo.
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I don’t think it’s guaranteed he will be convicted, but I do think it’s very, very likely he will be. The jury in an impeachment of the governor of New York is the state senate except the majority leader, as he is in the line of succession, plus the seven members of the Court of Appeals, our court of final instance. (In New York the Supreme Court is the first tier of the state court system, similar to the terminology in England before the current UK Supreme Court was created.) A two-thirds majority is required.
A conviction is slightly less certain as there may not be enough Democratic senators voting for conviction to secure it on their votes alone, and just maybe the Republicans might try to put enough votes Cuomo’s way to save him in the hope that he will somehow secure the Democratic nomination in next year’s gubernatorial race (next to impossible IMHO) and be so damaged that the GOP candidate somehow gets in. Highly unlikely but, hey it’s New York. Stranger things have happened.
Cuomo is a consummate New York machine politician and he’s dominated state politics and the state Democratic party for over a decade, through patronage and leverage and of course that means there’s a lot of people in the Democratic party that have grudges to settle with him. He’s survived and prospered in the face of that because of the power he’s amassed: “no matter if they hate so long as they fear”.
But now the fear is going away. He’s wounded and the pack is circling. He will be removed well before the end of the year, probably next month, certainly by October.
The interesting question now is who will get the Democratic nomination next year. Our new governor will be the current Lt-Giv, Kathy Hochul, and she now has a golden opportunity to dig in as the effective incumbent. However, my money is on our A-G, Letitia James. Don’t be surprised if her office to has filed indictments against one Donald J. Trump not so very long before the primary.
But as Chris Hoy says, kudos to the Japanese for hosting an outstanding Olympics despite the pandemic.
My predix were as bad yours. TEAMGB ‘around 9th’ with 40-45 medals. Happily, laughably wrong
I also thought China would just beat USA on golds. Looks like that’s wrong as well (but closer)
Given the UK’s dire pandemic, we’ve done outstandingly well. Our third highest haul of golds since London 1908
Actually quite a year for UK sport. Brilliant Olympics. Euro finals for England. Destroyed the finances of top EU football teams by nixing the Super League. Result.
On the other hand, what could be in the files that needs to remain hidden? Any American missteps will have been down to the Republicans under President GW Bush.
COVID-19 cases are hitting daily records in the Olympic host city, and the Japanese government has declared a state of emergency…
… experts—and a lot of Japanese scofflaws—say the government’s decision to plow ahead with the Olympics while also telling people to stay home and obey social distancing has shattered the willingness of many Japanese people to abide by the rules after 18 months of yo-yoing COVID-19 restrictions.
… Experts say that case numbers still haven’t peaked, and they will continue to surge after the Closing Ceremony on Sunday. One expert told a Tokyo COVID-19 committee that daily case numbers in the Olympic host city could double in August if new infections continue to increase at the current pace.
https://time.com/6088006/japan-olympics-covid-19/?amp=true
ETA a warning for Lauren Price is that Kellie Harrington won as the outsider.
I’ve no idea if they can stop Biden attending. Probably not. He is after all the elected representative of Americans. Showing disrespect for him shows disrespect for them.
Scotland also has more winners as a proportion of its population than any other nation.
By that score, the North West of England with 29 medallists per 10 million people, also has the highest number of winners among English regions.
https://news.sky.com/story/amp/diversity-at-tokyo-2020-where-do-team-gb-medal-winners-come-from-12374757
https://twitter.com/gregdore2/status/1424158691964588034?s=21
TeamERII
TeamCommonwealth
TeamBoris
TeamEnglishSpeaking
TeamFiveEyes
TeamGunboatsAtDawn
He’s a very creative chap. I’m so excited to see the final rankings.
If he doesn’t get impeached and removed, you have wonder exactly what an American politician would have to do to be removed from office.
Wouldn’t want to be a coach of the Olympic team when they get back.
On topic, surely there are so many in the NW is because the cycling centre, National Velodrome, or whatever it's called, is in Manchester and the top cyclists have all moved to be close.
Laura Kenny, for example, lived in Hertfordshire before she got really good at cycling, and before she married Jason, who is a Lancashire lad.
When he’s suffered setbacks or humiliations - and I think he will see this as a setback - his reaction has always been to lash out.
The irony being that China have done outstandingly well, better than they have for years, but leading the table for so long will have raised expectations.
Iceland have only ever won 4 medals at the olympics (none in tokyo). --- all have been at the SUMMER games! None at the Winter
22 GOLDS
Since he expects to be president for life, and the Chinese tend to take a longer view than most, he's likely just mildly annoyed.
Not sure I'd want to be the Chinese coach ever.
Honest answer? Way too much chili in my (exquisite) Singapore laksa. So it’s keeping me awake. So I’m up at an unusual hour
You did ask
I think it might be Mexico. Vast population: 127m. Medium income with some high income areas
FOUR BRONZE MEDALS
We’re doing no better than when we were in the EU, though.
https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1424252230455238659?s=20
Congrats to Fiji; two rugby sevens medals. Maybe the women will win gold next time.
(Edit; poor proof-reading before posting!)
Yayyyyyyy
GO BORIS’ BREXIT BRITAIN!!!
Fickle as ever.
Relatedly, Biden shows Trump how it's done.
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/566878-biden-congratulates-us-olympians-you-made-me-so-damn-proud
"That means the women's handball final between the ROC and France is the only event still standing at Tokyo 2020."
So Allez Les Blues?
No, I haven’t heard of him before either.
Doctors are required to run patients through the rare risk of thrombosis and thrombocytopenia syndrome, or clotting disorder, associated with AstraZeneca. The Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation says the risk of TTS for under 50s is about 3.4 in every 100,000, and the fatality rate is about 3 per cent, meaning the risk of death is about one in a million.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/good-luck-doctors-still-discouraging-younger-patients-from-astrazeneca-vaccine-20210806-p58ggx.html
The best advice on vaccines came from the Irish Doctor's Association; "The best vaccine you can get is the one you can get NOW".
Other Olympic underachievers are India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and South Africa (two medallists, both white female).
Pakistan and Bangladesh have no medals and only a handful of competitors.
Netherlands looks to have punched above their weight
We’ve only been Brexiteered about six months and we’ve reached our first major football final since 1966 (before we joined the EEC) and now we’ve won medals in more Olympic sports than any other nation
At this rate we will have mastered cheap nuclear fusion by late November and we will colonise Neptune next summer
So far, the French keeper has been awesome. Meanwhile, the French are putting everything to the back of the net.
Now I’ve said that she’s going to let in six in a row while the French hit the stands all the time, of course.
And boom - the French concede one.
They voted for Ford over Carter.
‘Lauren Price would have been put in care at 3 days old had her grandparents not taken her in. She grew up with a dream. The young Welsh boxer drove a taxi by night & trained in the day. She’s just won gold in Tokyo. Another incredible backstory of a warrior woman.’
https://twitter.com/suzyjourno/status/1424251589355872260?s=21
Genuine hero. Go Lauren. RESPECT
Now that would be entertaining...
Edit - 6 in 40. They think it’s all over - it is now.
The cheats can’t catch us...
He grew up in San Diego, the most Conservative city in the state, the place Nixon called his "Lucky City". It was still voting Republican in the 2000s only flipping in 2008.
https://twitter.com/simisterliz/status/1423740527799853059?s=21
@BorisJohnson said the contracts could not be torn up
@NicolaSturgeon does not appear to have made up her mind:
https://twitter.com/GlennBBC/status/1424271273534922753?s=20