In the sense of? Is the growth in cases and hospitalisations slowing down?
I've only really had time to look at the headline numbers and the news from the three B's. The hospital data from Bedford currently look low and stable; Blackburn's total patient count is still going up but the admission rate shows signs of having levelled off; in Bolton, unfortunately, the hospital count has started to go back up again, albeit that it's still only a small fraction of previous waves.
At least the ramp in the hospital patient total for the country is still very gradual.
Cases over 10k but less than yesterday. Patients in hospital in England are rising fast actually -> in England it is up 32% over past 7 days.
In the sense of? Is the growth in cases and hospitalisations slowing down?
I've only really had time to look at the headline numbers and the news from the three B's. The hospital data from Bedford currently look low and stable; Blackburn's total patient count is still going up but the admission rate shows signs of having levelled off; in Bolton, unfortunately, the hospital count has started to go back up again, albeit that it's still only a small fraction of previous waves.
At least the ramp in the hospital patient total for the country is still very gradual.
Better but not great either. If case week-on-week growth rates remain around 30% then I'd remain concerned the government will delay lockdown easing, especially with the rate of hospitalisations (both new admissions and inpatients) picking up.
Not stellar but better than yesterday’s numbers, which were enthusiastically overanalysed to within an inch of their lives by the zerocovidians. And a much better picture from Zoe and PHE - the former is a pretty reliable leading indicator.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
It is made up and propagated by Russian troll farms no doubt.
Electoral Reform Society @electoralreform The government has announced plans that gut the UK’s independent Electoral Commission, representing a power grab over election scrutiny.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Good result for the LDs in Chesham and Amersham. I thought there was an outside chance but it was the size of the majority that surprised me. First LD gain from Con in a seat not won before since Romsey in 2000 (so long ago I had to look it up).
Lots of reasons for switching suggested and I expect there's an element of all of them. However I'm struck by how many habitual Conservative voters I know who take a dim view of Boris as a lying charlatan and don't much like the government's incompetence, lack of accountability, fast and loose attitude to observing the law, and its rather abrasive/unpleasant nationalistic tone. Yes, many of them were Remainers rather than pro-Brexit, but generally the sort of professional educated traditionalist Radio 4 listening types that could be relied upon to vote Tory. There are lots of people like that in the SE. None of them would ever dream of voting Labour (though I guess a few may have secretly voted for Blair in 1997) but they will vote LD.
While the Conservatives continue to wipe the floor with Labour in the North it's probably a fair trade; they won't lose many southern seats in a GE but if the wheels start to fall off the coalition of supporters looks unstable. However I expect in that case the Tories will jettison Boris as quick as a flash and elect someone who looks like a traditional Conservative. The question is whether that happens before the next GE, or after it when shifts in voting patterns have had a chance to take hold.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Any idea of their vaccination status and disease severity ?
Given their ages 18-25 I suspect unvaccinated, as for severity enough that there is obvious symptoms as the biggest complaints are from two sets of parents who are having to isolate so can't work.
Neither would I be normally, but when it is obvious someone has registered on the site purely to spread disinformation one has to question their authenticity.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Chances of this being true but not being reported on pprune are zero.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
From what I've heard Durham Uni has serious problems at the moment..
ONS infection survey data doesn't look particularly alarming. Don't see how that series which measures all infections will hit anything like the Warwick predictions that were used to justify the lockdown extension.
It will be interesting to see how PCR positives trend over the next 10 days. I think we will be seeing the specimen date trend going down by then but the LFT rate steady or increasing as more people report asymptomatic infections and fewer report symptomatic COVID.
It will be very difficult to justify continued measures if PCR positives are trending downwards, but I'm sure the scientists will try and use LFTs to keep their restrictions going. I enjoyed Professor Pollard saying it was time to call and end to LFTs in schools, I think it's the right policy now that everyone is eligible to be vaccinated and by the start of the next school year all adults will have been called for both doses.
And in a beautiful moment for @CarlottaVance the England infection estimate is 1 in 520 whilst the Scotland figures is 1 in 600.
So yes, Nicola should have advised the Tartan army not to travel for their own safety.
You sure about that?
In Scotland, the trend in the percentage of people testing positive remains uncertain in the week ending 12 June 2021; we estimate that 8,800 people in Scotland had COVID-19 (95% credible interval: 4,900 to 14,000) equating to around 1 in 600 people.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
It's very contagious, but the details of the PHE report, in terms of vaccine-efficacy, hospitalisations, and deaths on the part of those catching the Delta variant, are quite encouraging.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Any idea of their vaccination status and disease severity ?
Given their ages 18-25 I suspect unvaccinated, as for severity enough that there is obvious symptoms as the biggest complaints are from two sets of parents who are having to isolate so can't work.
So ten unvaccinated people have mild or asymptomatic cases? It’s gonna happen!
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Fortunately, airlines are required to report these incidences to the Civil Aviation Authority as a Mandatory Occurrence Report.
You can download these from the CAA website here (https://www.caa.co.uk/). If you could just post a link, that would be great.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
I think that applies to all parties. I actually think that most MPs are essentially good people that are wanting to do the best they can for their constituents from their own political perspective. There are always a few very rotten apples that enable the press to say "they are all the same"
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
It is made up and propagated by Russian troll farms no doubt.
This is PB. We require a better class of troll - perhaps an airport thriller writer persona? Or 2?
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
In the sense of? Is the growth in cases and hospitalisations slowing down?
I've only really had time to look at the headline numbers and the news from the three B's. The hospital data from Bedford currently look low and stable; Blackburn's total patient count is still going up but the admission rate shows signs of having levelled off; in Bolton, unfortunately, the hospital count has started to go back up again, albeit that it's still only a small fraction of previous waves.
At least the ramp in the hospital patient total for the country is still very gradual.
Cases over 10k but less than yesterday. Patients in hospital in England are rising fast actually -> in England it is up 32% over past 7 days.
Whether or not this is a serious concern depends, of course, on whether we're seeing the emergence of a widespread trend (with patient numbers climbing relentlessly in the most seriously affected localities, until the hospitals really start to struggle) or if this is primarily the result of the disease very gradually spreading into new areas, whilst it levels off at moderate rates in the areas where the latest variant got a foothold first.
Clearly one hospital gaining 50 Covid patients in a week is much more of a concern than 50 hospitals each gaining only one over the same period.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Yep. Was in the Toon last night. Still light till c. 11 pm this time of the year. Hot. It was wild. Impromptu street raves. Bars heaving. Drunken cavorting high. Mask wearing low. Like old times. And good, good times for Delta.
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Moron.
Just imagine how Delta airlines must feel.
I just went to Fulton County, Georgia to see if cases were shooting up due to Delta. Which would have allowed puns around home of Delta hit by Delta.
But (fortunately) cases remain at a very low level.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Yep. Was in the Toon last night. Still light till c. 11 pm this time of the year. Hot. It was wild. Impromptu street raves. Bars heaving. Drunken cavorting high. Mask wearing low. Like old times. And good, good times for Delta.
People are living their lives in the knowledge that vaccines work. Sooner or later, we have to get on with our lives.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Genuine answer - I don't know. But it does looks as if both hospitalisations and deaths are rising, albeit gradually, especially in the case of the latter. Although vaccine efficacy is very high, maybe it's not quite high enough to stop growing hospitalisations/deaths if case rates become too high. I'd be more comfortable if, at this stage in the race between vaccinations and infections, a higher proportion of the population were double-vaxxed. It's a pity the timings aren't quite right.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
Your party made Cyril Smith an MP and covered up.
All parties have had and still do have terrible human beings as MP.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
If you want to look proportionately, I reckon the old Liberal Party would probably be "top of the pops" for Rank Bajins.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
At some point we need to let the virus make headway through the population. We are all adults that want it single vaxxed and broadly all adults that wanted it over 40 double vaxxed by 19th July. We could hold on further but under 40s can wait till they're double vaxxed before they head fully out out if they so wish - it's their own decision.
At a population level waiting longer doesn't gain much as Vallance said so 19th July it should be.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
Own up.
I tried, but it just took me to the header. Which didn't seem right, somehow ?
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Moron.
Just imagine how Delta airlines must feel.
A bit like the company that makes Corona lager, or the investment company known as ISIS .
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
It's just that the argument for a bit more time - the 4 weeks - to get really clear on the link between Delta and hospitals does have some validity. That's my view anyway.
C&A will go back to the Tories at the next election with ease, failing some massive 1997 style turnaround at the national level.
A by-election asks a different question from a general election. At the by-election you are answering the question "are you happy with the government or not?". At a GE you are answering the question "on balance do you prefer this party to form a government or the opposition". Unless Kier suddenly offers an income tax cut for high earners the voters of C&A are going to tick the Tory box. That's why the party can continue to take them for granted.
Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani · 56m Can CONFIRM certain individuals making calls about a potential leadership bid in Labour. One contact isn’t sure Angela Rayner has nominations (unless Starmer resigns, then falls to 25).
“She may not have right or left of PLP”. Weird day to not be honest about Corbyn pic.(1/2)
Bastani should understand that the first consideration must be to destroy Johnson. After that he'll have plenty of time to indulge himself in selecting a new Labour leader.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Genuine answer - I don't know. But it does looks as if both hospitalisations and deaths are rising, albeit gradually, especially in the case of the latter. Although vaccine efficacy is very high, maybe it's not quite high enough to stop growing hospitalisations/deaths if case rates become too high.
We have to ride the exit wave at some stage in the game. Better to do so in the summer than in the autumn surely?
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
It's very contagious, but the details of the PHE report, in terms of vaccine-efficacy, hospitalisations, and deaths on the part of those catching the Delta variant, are quite encouraging.
Have I read PHE correctly? Two doses is even better on Delta than on Alpha (92% vs 94%)(for hospitalisation).
Yesterday's LD private polling was widely derided. And rightly so. Spectacularly inaccurate.
It was derided, certainly, by Tory supporters because they thought the Lib Dems could not possibly be that close.
I think the figures published were not far out. The Lib Dems were still making up ground. As a snapshot, the figures were accurate enough.
And then Lib Dem activists from all over the country really did pile in, to convince the waverers and finally to get the vote out.
Why do PB Conservatives always sneer at everything?
There is such a thing as momentum in by-elections. In the early days it is hard graft sorting out all the mechanics of a campaign, then working out the messages and printing the literature. The you have to become the story. This happened ( no thanks to the media) in the last week. I understand that on polling day the Lib Dems did 8 complete knock-ups. I think the victory point came at the beginning of the week - the majority came on the day.
Re: the stunning Cheshm and Amersham result, perhaps THIS from across the pond may be relevant?
Politico.com - ‘As Long as the Party Embraces Trump, It’s Going to Have Trouble’ The Republican collapse in Michigan’s Oakland County, once a stronghold, was a long time coming. Is losing these suburbs a warning light for Trumpism?
n the aftermath of the 2020 election, the Republican National Committee opted not to order an autopsy into what exactly led to the party’s decline in suburban communities that were, until recently, considered deep red.
But if RNC Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel wanted to understand what happened, she could do worse than to look back at the place she was raised: Oakland County, Michigan. . . .
Ten years ago, Republicans held two of the four GOP-drawn U.S. House seats in Oakland (the other two were safe Democratic); now, all four are in Democratic hands. Democratic women now represent the Romney family’s hometown in the state House, state Senate and U.S. House (Rep. Haley Stevens). Ten years ago, Brooks Patterson, the silver-tongued sun-God around whom all local politics orbited, was county executive, and Republicans held four of the six countywide elected posts; Democrats now hold five of them, including the executive. After GOP-controlled redistricting in 2012, Republicans had a 14-7 majority on the Oakland County Board of Commissioners; now, Democrats have an 11-10 edge and will control the county-level redistricting process for the first time in a half-century.The change is happening in lush, sylvan communities like Birmingham and Bloomfield—a place at least three generations of Romneys, McDaniel included, have called home. Here, generations of families with auto-baron surnames set roots. Here, they enrolled their kids at affluent public schools or even-more-affluent private schools with idyllic names like Country Day and Cranbrook. Here, they donated to and elected Republicans. At least, that is, until recently.
“That’s how I describe it to literally anyone from out of state,” laughs Mari Manoogian, a Democratic state Representative whose district encompasses much of the community. “They’re like, ‘Wait, you’re the state representative for Mitt Romney’s hometown?’ And I’m like, ‘Yeah!’” . . . .
Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin says 89% of new coronavirus cases in the capital are caused by the Delta variant
Major crisis incoming on Russia.
Tbh that's good news so far as the UK goes.
I don't think it good news. Indeed it is horrible news. It's not Putin that will suffer.
Would you prefer it was the Eta (B1.525) variant from Nigeria ? If a lineage is dominant in your country then you want other outbreaks elsewhere to be of that same lineage, given how piss poor our border control is.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Genuine answer - I don't know. But it does looks as if both hospitalisations and deaths are rising, albeit gradually, especially in the case of the latter. Although vaccine efficacy is very high, maybe it's not quite high enough to stop growing hospitalisations/deaths if case rates become too high. I'd be more comfortable if, at this stage in the race between vaccinations and infections, a higher proportion of the population were double-vaxxed. It's a pity the timings aren't quite right.
The hospital numbers for the country as a whole will likely keep going up for some weeks, and more deaths are bound to follow. The important thing for the Government to look at is whether or not any of the individual hospitals are really beginning to struggle, or if patient numbers are plateauing at manageable levels.
If we wait for the wretched disease to disappear then we shall be stuck with restrictions forever.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
If you want to look proportionately, I reckon the old Liberal Party would probably be "top of the pops" for Rank Bajins.
Probably most of the 1970's Parliamentary Liberal Party should have gone to prison.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Genuine answer - I don't know. But it does looks as if both hospitalisations and deaths are rising, albeit gradually, especially in the case of the latter. Although vaccine efficacy is very high, maybe it's not quite high enough to stop growing hospitalisations/deaths if case rates become too high.
We have to ride the exit wave at some stage in the game. Better to do so in the summer than in the autumn surely?
Yes, but even better to do so when all adults (i.e. those willing and able), at least, are double vaxxed. In an ideal world.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani · 56m Can CONFIRM certain individuals making calls about a potential leadership bid in Labour. One contact isn’t sure Angela Rayner has nominations (unless Starmer resigns, then falls to 25).
“She may not have right or left of PLP”. Weird day to not be honest about Corbyn pic.(1/2)
Bastani should understand that the first consideration must be to destroy Johnson. After that he'll have plenty of time to indulge himself in selecting a new Labour leader.
To be fair he seems to be talking about people ringing him to discuss their leadership bids rather than him ringing them to propose they stand.
I suspect most of it is wild fantasy, but Steve Bush of Newstatesman says plenty of Lab MPs don't think SKS will get past the autumn.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
Own up.
I tried, but it just took me to the header. Which didn't seem right, somehow ?
Yep: I didn't really tag anyone, not even people who really deserve it
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
Nailed it, Sean.
Far be it for me to defend the Conservative Party, but I name Elliot Morley, Chris Huhne, Jim Devine, Denis MacShane, Fiona Onasanya who are all non-Tory MPs who have done jail time, and don't seem paragons of repentance. Add to those some of the really obnoxious MPs from the Labour Party, who are not provenly criminal but just, well, painfully obnoxious: (Prescott, Skinner, Corbyn, Keith Vaz). Equally for all these arseholes there are also some very nice ones, as there are in the Conservative Party. Oh, and I almost forgot the guy that was described by his own QC as a bully and sex pest, oh what's his name...looks like a toad and only has one fan on here.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
From what I've heard Durham Uni has serious problems at the moment..
Re: the Cornwall cluster discussion yesterday. Yesterday's MSOA hotspots over 400/100k (excluding the 3-4 dozen such in GM / Ribble:
St. Ives 3 x Falmouth 1 x North Somerset (Bristol border) 1 x London (Mayfair, imported?) 1 x Liverpool (Wavertree, student?) 1 x Cheshire W (Prestbury, close enough to MCR) 1 x Kirklees (Batley Carr, ongoing Delta hotspot) 3 x Leeds (Hyde Park, Headingley, student) 1 x Durham City (student)
I'm concluding the G7 summit after all was a superspreading event - not so much the summit itself, but the security preparations, including housing security personnel in a cruise ship off Falmouth. Hotspots were already establishing by the summit start date and the 3 loci, Falmouth, St. Ives and Newquay (esp the airport) were key locations.
For an event like that, you can set up with security / military in a way that you can't normally with civilians, and then that can transfer into the towns. No evidence, as such, just my hunch.
Really? Ventilator numbers still rising in the North East.
Was chatting to someone earlier today - group of 10 went to the pub, all 10 of them now have Covid.
Yes, I think there's far too much complacency on here, even from the expert epidemiologists and modellers. This delta variant spreads like wildfire, and current (lack of) restrictions are helping it do so. At my daughter's college they are struggling to contain a spread involving many students and staff, with many of the staff not yet double-vaxxed.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
Where do you expect the hospitalisations and deaths to come from? And in what magnitude? Genuine question, I’m trying to work out where and how because the vaccines are working extremely well.
Genuine answer - I don't know. But it does looks as if both hospitalisations and deaths are rising, albeit gradually, especially in the case of the latter. Although vaccine efficacy is very high, maybe it's not quite high enough to stop growing hospitalisations/deaths if case rates become too high.
We have to ride the exit wave at some stage in the game. Better to do so in the summer than in the autumn surely?
Newcastle surfing that exit wave all the way to the shore. Last night reminded me of fresher's week, only all ages involved this time. Full on bacchanalia. Shortly before we were locked down on September 18. Hopefully the vaccines will do their job this time. All will be revealed in time.
Just an FYI if any of you ever meet John Bercow tell him that you're a huge fan of his and his political judgment, tell him you really liked his Monday Club days, when they supported apartheid and repatriation of darkies from the UK.
Very oddly shaped man. Large head, average sized body and little legs as I recall. Like a puppet on a string
I remember one friend calling him "the Gollum of British politics. Small, stinking, and misshapen, yet strong, with a demonic inner drive."
So your lot made him a Conservative MP..... The rot didn't really start with Johnson, did it?
There have always been some horrible Conservative MP's.
If you want to look proportionately, I reckon the old Liberal Party would probably be "top of the pops" for Rank Bajins.
Probably most of the 1970's Parliamentary Liberal Party should have gone to prison.
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Is it too simplistic to say the Conservatives stayed at home and the rest went to the LDs?
The Con 2019>Con 2021 & Turnout 2019>Turnout 2021 numbers are very similar
My assumption was the LDs would hold their vote, and get half the Lab vote, while the Cons would keep two-thirds of their vote. That would have resulted in a 20k Con vs 17k LD vote share.
The Conservatives lost more than half their vote and the LDs were up more than the "lost" Labour vote, so I reckon at least some Tories voted LD. Maybe not a massive number, but probably at least a couple of thousand.
Electoral Reform Society @electoralreform The government has announced plans that gut the UK’s independent Electoral Commission, representing a power grab over election scrutiny.
Electoral Reform Society @electoralreform The government has announced plans that gut the UK’s independent Electoral Commission, representing a power grab over election scrutiny.
C&A will go back to the Tories at the next election with ease, failing some massive 1997 style turnaround at the national level.
A by-election asks a different question from a general election. At the by-election you are answering the question "are you happy with the government or not?". At a GE you are answering the question "on balance do you prefer this party to form a government or the opposition". Unless Kier suddenly offers an income tax cut for high earners the voters of C&A are going to tick the Tory box. That's why the party can continue to take them for granted.
Other more marginal seats though...
While I tend to agree, this is quite a large LibDem majority. If you look at historic by-elections wins they were usually by quite small margins:
Dunfermline - 1,800 votes Leicester South - 1,600 Brent East - 1,100 Romsey - 2,800 Littleborough and Saddleworth - 1,800 Eastleigh - 9,200
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
Electoral Reform Society @electoralreform The government has announced plans that gut the UK’s independent Electoral Commission, representing a power grab over election scrutiny.
Domestic airline traffic is now up about 400% year-over and is almost back at prepandemic levels.
And yet none of the US airlines are reporting either (a) deaths of pilots or (b) any problems finding pilots for planes.
Given that US pilots were among the very first to be vaccinated in the US, this and that there are nine times as many commercial pilots in the US (85,000) as in the UK (9,000), this is very odd.
Is there something specific about British Airways? Or is this a completely made up story?
A more pertinent question might be why @thespeaker was compelled to join PB solely for the purpose of peddling this dubious tale. All seems a bit futile.
There are people who's job is pushing conspiracy stories.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a fewexceptionshereandthere), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Come on, who decided to click on the links to see who I'd tagged as an idiot?
Own up.
I tried, but it just took me to the header. Which didn't seem right, somehow ?
"Regarding BA, I don't wanna be revealed but i work for BA and on Wednesday a flight arrived at Heathrow and the captain suffered a cardiac arrest upon landing the plane, not sure if he died or not."
Re: the stunning Cheshm and Amersham result, perhaps THIS from across the pond may be relevant?
Politico.com - ‘As Long as the Party Embraces Trump, It’s Going to Have Trouble’ The Republican collapse in Michigan’s Oakland County, once a stronghold, was a long time coming. Is losing these suburbs a warning light for Trumpism?
n the aftermath of the 2020 election, the Republican National Committee opted not to order an autopsy into what exactly led to the party’s decline in suburban communities that were, until recently, considered deep red.
But if RNC Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel wanted to understand what happened, she could do worse than to look back at the place she was raised: Oakland County, Michigan. . . .
Ten years ago, Republicans held two of the four GOP-drawn U.S. House seats in Oakland (the other two were safe Democratic); now, all four are in Democratic hands. Democratic women now represent the Romney family’s hometown in the state House, state Senate and U.S. House (Rep. Haley Stevens). Ten years ago, Brooks Patterson, the silver-tongued sun-God around whom all local politics orbited, was county executive, and Republicans held four of the six countywide elected posts; Democrats now hold five of them, including the executive. After GOP-controlled redistricting in 2012, Republicans had a 14-7 majority on the Oakland County Board of Commissioners; now, Democrats have an 11-10 edge and will control the county-level redistricting process for the first time in a half-century.The change is happening in lush, sylvan communities like Birmingham and Bloomfield—a place at least three generations of Romneys, McDaniel included, have called home. Here, generations of families with auto-baron surnames set roots. Here, they enrolled their kids at affluent public schools or even-more-affluent private schools with idyllic names like Country Day and Cranbrook. Here, they donated to and elected Republicans. At least, that is, until recently.
“That’s how I describe it to literally anyone from out of state,” laughs Mari Manoogian, a Democratic state Representative whose district encompasses much of the community. “They’re like, ‘Wait, you’re the state representative for Mitt Romney’s hometown?’ And I’m like, ‘Yeah!’” . . . .
I am always skeptical of people who would never vote republican in a thousand years offering the republicans advice.
The fact is, Trump is going to leverage the Maricopa audit and investigations elsewhere (Like Fulton County) to try to destroy Biden's legitimacy.
Comments
Patients in hospital in England are rising fast actually -> in England it is up 32% over past 7 days.
@electoralreform
The government has announced plans that gut the UK’s independent Electoral Commission, representing a power grab over election scrutiny.
We're a fairly smart bunch here (well, with a few exceptions here and there), so he was always going to find us a tough crowd.
Thespeaker
Now that's an anti-vaxxer
Lots of reasons for switching suggested and I expect there's an element of all of them. However I'm struck by how many habitual Conservative voters I know who take a dim view of Boris as a lying charlatan and don't much like the government's incompetence, lack of accountability, fast and loose attitude to observing the law, and its rather abrasive/unpleasant nationalistic tone. Yes, many of them were Remainers rather than pro-Brexit, but generally the sort of professional educated traditionalist Radio 4 listening types that could be relied upon to vote Tory. There are lots of people like that in the SE. None of them would ever dream of voting Labour (though I guess a few may have secretly voted for Blair in 1997) but they will vote LD.
While the Conservatives continue to wipe the floor with Labour in the North it's probably a fair trade; they won't lose many southern seats in a GE but if the wheels start to fall off the coalition of supporters looks unstable. However I expect in that case the Tories will jettison Boris as quick as a flash and elect someone who looks like a traditional Conservative. The question is whether that happens before the next GE, or after it when shifts in voting patterns have had a chance to take hold.
I'm not suggesting restrictions should be reintroduced. But I do think we have a bigger problem than many on here have been suggesting over the last few weeks. We have been badly bitten before through complacency; it can happen again.
4 BA staff have indeed died in short succession, including at least 2 pilots:
1. After 243 days of hospitalisation due to COVID infection. CoD unknown, but COVID had badly affected him:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/pilot-texas-hospital-british-airways-b1863722.html
2. Looks like traumatic injuries, including local abdominal bleeding, during an off road bike ride:
https://www.newvalleynews.co.uk/news/airline-pilot-in-mystery-death/
3 & 4 tbc
No obvious evidence of vaccination side effects in this so far.
You can download these from the CAA website here (https://www.caa.co.uk/). If you could just post a link, that would be great.
Take your time.
Own up.
Clearly one hospital gaining 50 Covid patients in a week is much more of a concern than 50 hospitals each gaining only one over the same period.
It was wild. Impromptu street raves. Bars heaving. Drunken cavorting high. Mask wearing low. Like old times. And good, good times for Delta.
But (fortunately) cases remain at a very low level.
You are the Scotland in disguise of trolls (no offence to hon PBers).
All parties have had and still do have terrible human beings as MP.
At a population level waiting longer doesn't gain much as Vallance said so 19th July it should be.
Which didn't seem right, somehow ?
A by-election asks a different question from a general election. At the by-election you are answering the question "are you happy with the government or not?". At a GE you are answering the question "on balance do you prefer this party to form a government or the opposition". Unless Kier suddenly offers an income tax cut for high earners the voters of C&A are going to tick the Tory box. That's why the party can continue to take them for granted.
Other more marginal seats though...
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/portland-police-resign-protest-budworth-b1868066.html
Politico.com - ‘As Long as the Party Embraces Trump, It’s Going to Have Trouble’
The Republican collapse in Michigan’s Oakland County, once a stronghold, was a long time coming. Is losing these suburbs a warning light for Trumpism?
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/06/18/biden-republican-voters-oakland-county-michigan-suburbs-494983
n the aftermath of the 2020 election, the Republican National Committee opted not to order an autopsy into what exactly led to the party’s decline in suburban communities that were, until recently, considered deep red.
But if RNC Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel wanted to understand what happened, she could do worse than to look back at the place she was raised: Oakland County, Michigan. . . .
Ten years ago, Republicans held two of the four GOP-drawn U.S. House seats in Oakland (the other two were safe Democratic); now, all four are in Democratic hands. Democratic women now represent the Romney family’s hometown in the state House, state Senate and U.S. House (Rep. Haley Stevens). Ten years ago, Brooks Patterson, the silver-tongued sun-God around whom all local politics orbited, was county executive, and Republicans held four of the six countywide elected posts; Democrats now hold five of them, including the executive. After GOP-controlled redistricting in 2012, Republicans had a 14-7 majority on the Oakland County Board of Commissioners; now, Democrats have an 11-10 edge and will control the county-level redistricting process for the first time in a half-century.The change is happening in lush, sylvan communities like Birmingham and Bloomfield—a place at least three generations of Romneys, McDaniel included, have called home. Here, generations of families with auto-baron surnames set roots. Here, they enrolled their kids at affluent public schools or even-more-affluent private schools with idyllic names like Country Day and Cranbrook. Here, they donated to and elected Republicans. At least, that is, until recently.
“That’s how I describe it to literally anyone from out of state,” laughs Mari Manoogian, a Democratic state Representative whose district encompasses much of the community. “They’re like, ‘Wait, you’re the state representative for Mitt Romney’s hometown?’ And I’m like, ‘Yeah!’” . . . .
If a lineage is dominant in your country then you want other outbreaks elsewhere to be of that same lineage, given how piss poor our border control is.
If we wait for the wretched disease to disappear then we shall be stuck with restrictions forever.
I suspect most of it is wild fantasy, but Steve Bush of Newstatesman says plenty of Lab MPs don't think SKS will get past the autumn.
A Tory MP has been charged with a sexual assault on a teenager it can finally be revealed.
Rising star Imran Ahmad Khan, 47 appeared at Westminster Magistrates over an historic “groping” claim.
The charge can now be reported after restrictions were lifted.
He appeared at the court this week where Mr Khan, the MP for Wakefield pleaded “not guilty” to the single count which dates back to January 2008.
He will appear at the Old Bailey next month.
Mr Khan was one of the red wall MPs elected in the 2019 election, where he ousted Labour stalwart Mary Creagh.
Staffordshire Police have been probing the claim for over a year but never made a formal arrest.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/politics/15305518/tory-mp-charged-with-historic-sex-assualt/
St. Ives
3 x Falmouth
1 x North Somerset (Bristol border)
1 x London (Mayfair, imported?)
1 x Liverpool (Wavertree, student?)
1 x Cheshire W (Prestbury, close enough to MCR)
1 x Kirklees (Batley Carr, ongoing Delta hotspot)
3 x Leeds (Hyde Park, Headingley, student)
1 x Durham City (student)
I'm concluding the G7 summit after all was a superspreading event - not so much the summit itself, but the security preparations, including housing security personnel in a cruise ship off Falmouth. Hotspots were already establishing by the summit start date and the 3 loci, Falmouth, St. Ives and Newquay (esp the airport) were key locations.
For an event like that, you can set up with security / military in a way that you can't normally with civilians, and then that can transfer into the towns. No evidence, as such, just my hunch.
Hopefully the vaccines will do their job this time. All will be revealed in time.
Seven people have been charged with electoral offences by police investigating a missing £10.25m loan to Northampton Town Football Club.
The six men and one woman have been charged over donations made to Northampton South Conservative Association in 2014.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-57525981
It's a if, following Dom's departure, nobody remembers how dead cat theory is meant to work.
Certainly it didn't end up at the football club.
Dunfermline - 1,800 votes
Leicester South - 1,600
Brent East - 1,100
Romsey - 2,800
Littleborough and Saddleworth - 1,800
Eastleigh - 9,200
I like to see my name in lights
The fact is, Trump is going to leverage the Maricopa audit and investigations elsewhere (Like Fulton County) to try to destroy Biden's legitimacy.
Will he succeed? I have no idea.
But he is going to try.
Potentially quite serious.