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This rebuke to BoJo from the Speaker is almost unprecedented – politicalbetting.com
This rebuke to BoJo from the Speaker is almost unprecedented – politicalbetting.com
"This House needs to know first. I find it totally unacceptable that once again, we see Downing Street running roughshod over members of parliament"Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle criticises government for informing media before MPs about latest restrictionshttps://t.co/r1G7KD6Gx6 pic.twitter.com/QZI4yD16is
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I know so little of the situation in France that I can only speculate as to why that would be. I do know some months back that it was reported that Wales was sequencing more Covid genomes in a week than France had managed in the whole of the pandemic, or some such extraordinary statistic. Is it simply that their testing infrastructure is poor and they're not detecting the vast bulk of their cases?
In truth, a lot of tests are being conducted in France but the difference between there and the UK does nevertheless seem to be very substantial. Lacking any significant command of the French language I'm struggling slightly with that French Government website, but I think that those 689 confirmed cases must be some kind of special category in France, because the tests page seems to record about 3,800 positive tests today - but, here's the thing: the tests page also appears to suggest that the French have conducted just under 90 million tests in total so far, whereas we're now at 192 million. In terms of today alone, we have carried out just over a million tests whereas France has reported about 375,000.
Put simply, you can't count positive cases to which you are blind.
The notion that Parliament hears before the media has been one more honoured in the breach for decades now, though every Speaker objects.
Well, its a view.
Biden was two hours late for his NATO presser. And then he did this
https://twitter.com/EnronChairman/status/1404542019565928456?s=20
I kinda like Sleepy Joe (apart from the creepy bits), and I feel sorry for a rather doddery but well meaning old man with a sad life story, but I really really doubt he can see out this term, let alone win another won. Bet accordingly
Goodnight
@hendopolis
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INDEPENDENT DIGITAL: Summer death toll could hit 40,000 #TomorrowsPapersToday
Sheesh. On the other hand Reagan was fairly demented in his second term, but his team managed to disguise it and the USA remained quite sensibly governed.
I do, however, think we can discount any 2nd term for Joe
I despise Trump (who, I think, also has some clear mental decline) and I was glad Biden won. Better a demented nice guy than a demented evil despot
But it is facile to deny that Biden has cognitive issues. As Justin Trudea reportedly said at the G7, "he may be gone by 2022"
It's bloody Warwick again, isn't it?
Roll on the public inquiry. It's not just the Government that needs holding accountable. It's those to whom it has turned for advice, and been fed this kind of excrement.
But it's ok - it's only a "reasonable worse case scenario" no doubt.
I'm sticking around; I want to be able to vote for Baker if necessary.
He might be right on covid restrictions, but he's a barking mad voter repellent.
That is way too old to be the "leader of the free world" or any other hugely senior position
Biden is just a few years younger than my dear old mum, who feels challenged by a half mile walk to Falmouth harbour. He has to fly around the world, and charm massively important people, and deal with other world leaders, and represent all of America, and presumably work 15 hour days - when all he wants is a nap, and maybe an omelette
STOP DOING THIS, AMERICA
I give it four weeks.
This is controversial and will scare and annoy people in equal measure.
It will therefore sell newspapers.
iirc the last panic (or was it three panics ago, I forget?) was caused by assumptions about vaccine uptake and efficiency that were an utter joke.
The idea that we could be back to hundreds of corpses a day within a few weeks, with the current measures in place and the vaccination program being both as far advanced and demonstrably effective as it is, is literally incredible.
You can bet that this is the kind of modelling that's being fed to the Prime Minister, and he gives a very strong impression of accepting it almost unquestioningly, when the application of a little common sense and about five minutes studying his own Government's Covid dashboard would be more than enough to expose it as arrant nonsense.
This is an appallingly run country, it really is.
But yes she would be a shoo-in.
Here's the 40k model...
There is a tendency in politics when changing leader to overreact to the flaws of the predecessor.
George Bush - succeeded Reagan but lied about not raising taxes, not trusted on the economy in 92.
Clinton - "Its the economy, stupid" won in 92, but considered very sleazy and immoral by 2000.
W Bush - Religious right born again "compassionate conservative" Christian in 2000, despised as a neocon warhawk by the left in 08
Obama - "Hope" in 08, black and not a real American for the birther lunatics in 16
Trump - Orange is the new black in 16, inexperienced in politics hated by anyone not a white supremacist and a completely unstable farce in 2020.
Biden - Calm, collected, decades of experience and a safe pair of hands in 2020.
Every POTUS winning against an opponent overcorrects the priors flaw. Biden's flaw is his age, oddly Trump's wasn't his age, so expect his successor to be quite young following an overcorrection next time.
On a hunch, I'd say yes, just as there is an optimum age to be a top lyric poet (early 20s), mathematician (20s), goalkeeper (around 30?), novelist (30s-60s), flint knapper (78!), and so on
A great politician needs at least some of the vigour of youth, combined with the wisdom and neutrality of age, plus the advanced social network of midlife. And the experience gained thereby
As Margaret Thatcher was clearly our greatest ever prime minister I'm taking her as an examplar. She was 54 when she became prime minister. Young enough to work insane hours, old enough to have acquired great social networks, much life experience - and to judge people, shrewdly (a skill that really does only come with age)
54 then, That's it. That's the ideal age to take the top job. I'm not far beyond this so if anyone wants to suggest that I become PM in the Covid Coalition I won't resist.
Frankly, I would have done better than Boris since late January 2020
Boris wins elections and has saved the Conservative party from disaster.
Over half of the population support the lockdown, it is a popular policy
FWIW, I'm pretty sure I recall Windbag wibbling about boosters at his presser this evening, but if there is a campaign it looks like it's going to end up consisting of unmodified AZ and keeping our fingers crossed that the variant issues don't get significantly worse. If Max is right then we can forget about mRNA and Novavax might not arrive this side of the heat death of the universe.
Yet we're going to get 40k deaths. PMSL.
Jab takeup right now at 87.84% of ONS-19 adults.
Or is No-vax mRNA?
We shall have to see if that jump in new hospitalisations continues.
Their weekly average of new admissions has been around 3k for a while. 2697 as of 6 June (OurWorldInData) so 365 in a day is not a jump in admission from there.
We should get that rectified.
I see form that that its predicting 700 deaths a day, unless we delay unlocking by 4 weeks, then it will peek at 500.
So as we are not delaying unlocking by 4 weeks, it should be 500. remember that number, and then keep them accountable for it.
Tomorrow is Covid freedom day in California.
I just thought I should mention that.
180,762 to get to 95%
The fake vaccines are brilliantly effective in protecting us from fake positives for fake COVID, fake hospitalisation and fake death.
Drink your broth....
Bolton: October 46 deaths, November (101), December (74), Jan (100), Feb (75)
Bolton: March/April/May/June (37 deaths)
The LSHTM study submitted to Sage on 8 June said that a summer wave of infections comparable to those seen in spring and autumn 2020 could be expected, with a peak in August or September.
Well how very convenient. We must hunker down until the Autumn! The modellers will then claim that they've saved the NHS from collapse, release the blood curdling warnings of what will happen because of the cold weather and all the rest of the Autumnal excuses, and we'll be into the lockdown that they oh so desperately want to force upon us for the whole bloody Winter.
More than half of the hospitalisations and deaths are expected to occur in unvaccinated individuals, with deaths concentrated in the over-75 age group, said the paper.
What proportion of the over 75s have already been double jabbed? At a guess, something like 95%? Now, leaving aside the philosophical question of why we should suffer endless restrictions to protect a small minority of very, very selfish old crocs who put themselves in harms' way like this, how is the disease going to get at so many of them so quickly, against the backdrop of mass vaccination of most of the populace, good weather, and the fact that Delta has already been around for two months and has signally failed to cause any measurable increase in Covid deaths?
It's also at this point that we must once again recall that previous SAGE predictions of the impact of unlocking during the Spring have been hugely wide of the mark.
If the disease were as transmissible and lethal as these made up on the spot models, possessing as they do the predictive powers of Mystic Meg's bag of runes, suggest then we might as well give up and unlock anyway, because we're not going to be able to save any of these people. It will eventually seek and destroy the lot of them.
As it is, let's just say I remain less than wholly convinced...
As you say, the difference between 500 a day and 700 a day is basically meaningless if you start from the assumption that the virus will find a way to breach the wall of vaccinated individuals and worm it's way to the vulnerable ones. It will just take a little bit longer.
Made sense when the models were all based on the old "flatten the curve to prevent the overwhelming of the NHS" policy. But if that is no longer the policy the why does it matter whether the 40k die over 8 weeks or 12? And as you say, any 75+ year olds not vaxxed now, aint getting vaxxed.
I stand ready to serve. Any time before late November.
EDIT: although that's one of the major excuses that I am afraid the Susan Michies of this world will deploy sooner rather than later: masks and social distancing forever, to create a hyperclean and as close to germ-free environment as possible.
The fact that this would likely have catastrophic long term consequences for human immune systems doesn't bother these people one iota, quite the reverse. The weaker they become, the more interventions would become necessary.
We'd all be spending our entire lives walking around in hazmat suits in twenty years' time.
In contrast to Boris Johnson urging the country not to boo England players for their protest, his home secretary said that it was the fans’ choice whether they did so." (£)
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/priti-patel-will-not-condemn-booing-fans-kgmln2765