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On his wedding day Johnson sees rating hits on approval, competence, and likeability – politicalbett
On his wedding day Johnson sees rating hits on approval, competence, and likeability – politicalbetting.com
Generally I do not work Sundays and never really get the chance of getting into the findings of my favourite pollster, Opinium, which comes out every other weekend in the Observer. It has by far the best and comprehensive datasets of any pollster and has been running regular approval ratings longer than any other firm and its surveys always carry a range of leadership questions.
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Another sleepless night. I am getting very fed up with this insomnia.
Mind you, dawn is beautiful and I have the rising sun shining into my window. So I may as well get up and breakfast on the terrace.
Able to sit in the pub garden by choice yesterday, after gardening, instead of by necessity! No-one, though, in the small group I was talking to, expects things to be back to 'normal', or very near it, next month. And the same thought is coming through other chats, on-line as well as face-to-face.
The critical factor will be Boris's decision on opening the economy and we presently have a media obsessed with the zero covid narrative and simply not giving airtime to any other contrary views
As I said yesterday I intend acting in a responsible manner but will make my own judgment on these matters
It is time for HMG to step aside and trust the public as I fear the public are at the point where compliance to HMG edicts is going to evaporate anyway
You can only keep the public prisoner to restrictions for so long and I believe the dam is about to burst, if it has not done so already
The only way HMG will gain the trust of the public is if they provide detailed hospitalisation figures and clearly demonstrate the vaccine status of the patients and the media stops succumbing to and giving their platform to those who want to eliminate the disease
At this rate the economy will be closed each year in the flu season
The public need to stand up to this claptrap
So our poll had a 12-point Tory lead, Survation had 10, YouGov had 14, Opinium have 6. Without debating who is right or wrong, I wonder which of these polls will get the most attention?
https://twitter.com/MattSingh_/status/1398716807251378176?s=20
Haven’t we seen people take similar positions repeatedly through the pandemic, whilst exponential growth quietly does its work undoing gains.
Everyone is fed up with Covid, but it’s premature to say it’s all done and dusted and to go rogue.
https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/sexy-labour-leaning-polls-get-more-traction-on-twitter-4f3113415a88
Some people have suggested that this may have changed since the change of Labour leader. Anecdotally there are a few hints of it. But that doesn't change the social media (and traditional media) bias towards outliers, particularly those that fit whichever story is big at the time
https://twitter.com/MattSingh_/status/1398726051069583364?s=20
It also seems ridiculous to take the word of Cummings for. anything..The left were baying for his blood as somonene who is completely untrustworthy. Now he is their stick to beat Boris with... Ludicrous , but that's politics.
It seems summer may be upon us.
The stick is beating the government all on its own.
I'd want more than 19/1 on the LDs for C&A too.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1398758890200866816?s=20
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57294438
"Hospitals are seeing no rise in admissions due to Covid, but delays to easing of restrictions need to be debated because they are seeing growing pressure from non Covid admissions. Effectively the argument seems to be that people have put off seeking medical help for important but non-critical problems whilst the pandemic was seen as a threat, and the only way to prevent the NHS from being overwhelmed is to maintain the public perception of this threat to keep them from presenting...
Quite frankly I’m surprised that folks are so eager to associate themselves publicly and so enthusiastically with this administration. I guess that the power of modern tribal politics.
Unless their is real evidence the NHS is being overwhelmed and the vaccine is not effective then yes, we cannot be held ransom to something which is not much more serious than flu in those contracting it
The appointment letter suggests that I might be able to get in earlier if I phone, indicating possible cancellations and other non-attendances.
I am making the point about myself and others must take their own responsibility
The amount of mithering we hear from great chunks of the scientific and medical establishment about the variants reveals that these people want to continue to exercise their power over us permanently, either because they've become irrationally obsessed with the disease to the exclusion of all else, or they like the attention, or both. It is as if, the further and deeper the vaccines penetrate into society, the more useless they become! We are entreated to think of the welfare of very low risk under 30s, almost invulnerable children, and to remember that vaccination "only" slashes transmission and keeps 9 in 10 of what would previously have been the most serious cases out of hospital.
The basic message is, if you dare let go of the security blanket then some more people (and it doesn't matter how few) will die, and they will die because you didn't care about them, or the NHS. And that will all be your fault, because you are an evil person who wouldn't do something so small and harmless as spend half the remainder of your life walking around in a gag, and wetting your pants every time somebody you don't live with gets within two metres of you, in order to protect them.
Thus, it becomes increasingly obvious that no level of vaccination will ever be good enough for these people, and we're left relying on the Government to stop listening to them. Hopefully it will, but it's far from certain - and if the Prime Minister buckles we could still be stuck with rules and prodding and nannying and paranoia in 2025. Because there will always, ALWAYS be one more reason for not declaring the disaster over and moving on.
Just watched Friday Night Dinner anniversary show. I was shocked to see how ill Paul Ritter was. A great shame to lose him, he was so funny in the show, and excellent in Chernobyl.
“I knew quite a bit about Scotland’s disproportionate role in running the British empire, and had long been aware that many Scots had been tea planters, but I had no idea that the early pioneering work on tea was so dominated by Scots.
One of my grandmother's sisters had lived on a Ceylon plantation in the 1930s - returning after independence and naming their home in Angus "Kandy".
It's a simple human interest story.
https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/nostalgia/2245414/meet-the-north-east-planters-and-pioneers-who-brewed-up-a-storm-in-a-teacup/
I am sad to see you want to join their ranks because, like the rest of us, are fed up. We are so close to getting out of this hell, now is not the time to go rogue.
Sunday morning PB pedantry at its best....
1. This new ship. Great! Don't knock work being unveiled to "reinvigorate the shipbuilding industry". Probably worth pointing out though that we have been a major sea-faring power for a long time. The notion that it will be "distinct from any previous national flagship reflecting the UK's new status as an independent trading nation and helping us to seize the opportunities that status presents" is laughable. Year Zero was not 1996. Or 1973. We have spent centuries as an "independent trading nation" and have a long history of sending in flagships to "seize" opportunities.
2. The Unite plot to spread itself through the party and oust Iain Duncan Starmer. If Unite was a force for good or change then perhaps I would get their plan. Instead Unite could get done under RICO laws in America and wasted £2m of member's money in an absurd legal action against a Labour MP.
I keep making this point that its now absolutely clear that the hard left and the centre right can no longer occupy the same party. Their sole aim seems to be war against the other. The Labour brand is beyond tarnished anyway, let the nutters have it, and take the majority of members, MPs and the party machine away to do something relevant.
3. Congratulations to Boris and Carrie! Boris better get writing some more books to pay for the inevitable divorce when he shags someone else again.
What Covid has done is elevate one issue above all others to a level where the medical establishment can command widespread public support for their "zero tolerance" approach. But take the arguments on Covid to their logical conclusion and suddenly we have zero tolerance of anything that might put someone in hospital and therefore deprive public health resources to more "deserving" others. And then, too late, the public start to realise that they aren't able to the things that they want to do, and the restrictions no longer just apply to others.
We're all sinners deserving of mercy blah, blah, I know all that. But this same church, not content with overlooking the most revolting crimes against children by some of its priests, says that my gay son, born like that and, according to church doctrine, made in the image of God, is "disordered" and "intrinsically immoral".
Well stuff that, frankly. If the church going to opine on immorality, it needs to take a good hard look at itself. I know who in that little group listed above is immoral and it isn't my son.
Saw my parents for the first time in 15 months (bliss) to help get their house fit for viewings next week. They're moving to Scotland to be with their sons and the grandkids which is great!
And then onto Manchester. Why stay here when the olds live in Rochdale? Vecause even the Travelodge wanted £170 for 2 nights and I have Diamond Hilton status and points to burn darling. Town was rammed with people last night. Look out over Canal Street from my room and it was busy busy. And this morning? A n ice jog in the sunshine down the canal.
Yes, it seems summer may be upon us. Today's activities include doing egregious damage to the overgrowth in the old's garden. I hope for scorchio!
Truthfully, I’d far rather trust Big G than Whitty, who has a weird mask fetish and has got just about every call wrong.
Will this do?
Logically I don't see the point of converting to it until the very last minute.
I do not go out to pubs, or concerts, or the cinema but I do meet up with all my family, who by the way are vaccinated, and I do wear a mask in shops and try to socially distance
I will continue to do all those things, but it is time the public took on the media and the zero covid devotees as there is no proof that the hospitalisation and death figures are significantly rising and there is plenty of proof vaccines work
Voices have to be heard to take on these attitudes as mental health and the backlog of health issues are made far worse each time we lockdown
My anger this morning is directed at the one sided arguments being put forward by those who just want us kept prisoner when the indicators do not justify the need for such action
If it is proven the hospitals are being overwhelmed, or the vaccine is not working, then of course I will comply with restrictions but the case has to be made and it has not been so far
No doubt there will be calls in some quarters to nationalise private providers to create new capacity. Of course however on of the advantages (in principle - noting the point about nurses) of the private sector is that it can grow to meet demand in a way the NHS can't, because more demand means more money to meet that demand. So nationalisation is a false solution. If more "equitable".
Since Barnard Castle everyone has taken the view that restrictions on other people are very important, but that it’s OK for them to use their judgement. After all, the Attorney General said that herself.
As a result, the best argument for lifting restrictions is that they are being widely flouted anyway and bringing the law into disrepute. Like arbitrary speed limits imposed by councils obsessed with miles per hour ahead of planning proper junctions and road layouts that make people less likely to follow speed limits where they are important (e.g. outside schools and through roadworks).
Sow the wind, reap the whirlwind.
You make my point perfectly
This more than anything indicates that Johnson is in it for the long haul. There is no way this fucking thing will be complete by the next GE and I'd say it's not certain it'll be commissioned by the GE after that. Mr and Mrs Johnson aren't going to miss out the chance to embark on for an imperial procession.
I'm not going to change. More likely I will gently drift away if it continues behaving like a pillock.
I can't help feeling that in the upper reaches there is a Brideshead tendency which is a bit too enamoured with the idea of catching high profile people as converts or those returning to the faith and that this makes them a bit less diligent about the entry requirements.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/05/24/us/tulsa-race-massacre.html
‘Don’t be so fucking stupid, Father,’ came the reply. ‘This really isn’t the moment to annoy him.’
(*see last night's late night ramblings)
Also, and it's not something I have any issue with at all, if Carrie is a strong practicing Catholic then one presumes the priest might have had something to say about having a child out of wedlock.
Hypocrisy is rife.
I went to the Evangelical one a lot as a child for Sunday school because the singing and dancing were more fun, frankly.
However, the Catholic church still does its own thing. And the Jehovah's Witness Kingdom Hall definitely does its own thing.
Story of his life; whatever seems a good idea at the time, I suppose.
I believe Carrie has always been Catholic, though.