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Only in the Midlands and Wales do more people think Johnson’s “clean and honest” over those who thin
Only in the Midlands and Wales do more people think Johnson’s “clean and honest” over those who think he’s corrupt – politicalbetting.com
The most striking question in tonight’s Opinium poll for the Observer is the one above testing on how many perceive Johnson to be corrupt following the events of recent weeks. It really says something about things at the moment that such a question is included in a major poll.
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Isn't it? It's almost as if people are happy with the job the Government's doing for the country and don't cast their vote on the basis of silly stories about where Boris gets his wallpaper from...
SO why isn't Mike in the Cabinet? Clearly he's just passed the "first" test!
However, it is a good point and more polls will no doubt be along shortly
Then she ended it with "Poor Boris." Which is why he is still riding high with the voters, to the consternation of the legions of Boris-bashers.
Detecting no diminishing of support for the Blues on the doorstep. Even had ex-Tories who went LD in 2019 coming back to the fold today.
The concern is for those people and what may happen in the autumn and winter if the virus returns and we see case numbers start to rise among the unvaccinated.
Again, the concern is partly for those individuals but more those close to the decision-making process will see rising case numbers and insist on a new lockdown. Locking down the country because of a small number of vaccine "refuseniks" seems the height of folly but that's where we may end up.
I have every sympathy for the tiny number who cannot have the vaccine for medical reasons but those whose refusals are for other reasons and then dragging the rest of us back - that's not something with which I would be happy.
That is a matter of where you personally draw the line.
There's a heck of a lot of grey in between.
Which IIRC turned out NOT to be the case.
Personally doubt the wallpapering of No 10 is gonna derail the PM. Though it might take a few points off of Tory performance next month. (Appears that happened in Germany in their recent state elections due to sleaze allegations against some CDU politicos.)
But whatever the May results, certainly embellishes BoJo's well-earned reputation as a first-class grifter.
Would you care to explain that to the rest of us?
Note that a major part of Trumpsky's formula for (sometimes) electoral success, is the widespread belief that ALL politicos are crooked as country roads. But at least The Donald is honest about it!
It is quite common, for example, when ministers change over, for the new minister to discover that actions have been carried out in his/her name without authorisation. And it is considered rude to reverse them - even when they are against the inclinations of the minister in question.
And the PM polls well there too.
I don't see why this should necessarily be so.
I would also suspect they haven't been vaccinated so I don't know where the "truth" is but I note the disparity between Newham and areas such as Surrey and Hampshire so I'm left with questions and concerns.
Putting it down to some form of statistical quirk seems risky.
If I had a £ for every time someone I have spoken to/overhead who has made the 'well, we did a bit of a Barnard Castle' line and had mates round, slipped away for weekend, had mum overnight, did kids party in garden etc then I would be richer than Elon Musk.
The concern is a spike in cases among the unvaccinated being used as an excuse for another lockdown in some areas - Newham being one.
What should be done about that?
In many ways, as I understand it, it is a kind of census.
When I got mine (both time) asked if we were gonna get a cookie after my jab - both times the nurse just laughed!
Seriously, a few freebies might go a LOOOOOOOONG way to helping this cause.
Tens of millions have paid cash for that sort of work.
It makes Boris look like the bloke down the pub. Again.
Now if he'd been involved in serious sleaze like Cameron has it might be different.
... a bare faced liar promoted to the highest office ... when did we stop caring about honesty and integrity?
And then there is our old friend - travel from abroad.
TV shows over here often have quite contemporaneous political and social references - sometimes quite well disguised, other times barely disguised from the news headlines at all.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VDvgL58h_Y
I think the last st one I went to a cinema to see was the railway children
I think the anger is much greater when it is seen we are paying for politicians to enrich themselves e.g. expenses scandal or that there was so dodgy business went on and public money resulted in nothing i.e. why I think the PPE stuff hasn't really landed massively, as again the government for the most part got lots of PPE in emergency situation, even if it appears to be friends of friends and it doesn't look good.
For some reason I did not anticipate this.
I think I would stick to an approach of preaching ensuring getting value for money for public contracts. I think while people think the Tories have given contracts to their mates, Labour under Jezza screamed we will nationalize everything, which a lot of the public equate with inefficiency, expense and wasting taxpayer money.
I think Labour need to try to build a reputation that they will be careful with public money, ensuring best value etc. That is the vision Blair sold, more public spending, but we aren't against the private sector if they can deliver a better service / value for money.
Now you can argue about that meant lots of use of Capita etc, but the public bought it.
Which King was it who wanted to ban Sunday football on the basis that it was safer for everyone to be out practising with their longbows?
Gross 37% say there's an issue - which is basically just opposition core. Not gone beyond that.
As for anyone else, innocent until proven guilty applies. 63% do not say there is an issue.
The number of vulnerable will be far less than it was last autumn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEsBYtjsGGI
- Prominent journalist
- Shot on her doorstep
- Hard contact technique
- No witnesses
- Twin theories of contract killer or crazed fan
- No leads for many months
- Mentally handicapped suspect arrested, minimal forensic evidence
The Tories have pulled ahead, because of the vaccination roll out, where accusations of mates getting hired has been nullified by a very good person doing a very good job.
I do think a certain amount of wastage is given more leeway during the pandemic e.g. when there are reports testing cost x, do we need to do quite so many per day, I think the public say I don't care how much it costs as long as everybody who gets a test can access one. Or that within billions of bits of PPE, there we some duff stuff, as long as there is enough of it.
What will change though is as we emerge from the pandemic, there are going to be tough decisions and that is when there is the biggest danger for the sort of cronyism mixed with incompetence. Telling people there is no money, then been seen to spend a load with a friend for very little is when you get in real trouble.
I will not engage in media briefing regarding these issues but will answer questions about any of these issues to Parliament on 26 May for as long as the MPs want.
https://dominiccummings.com/2021/04/23/statement-regarding-no10-claims-today/
Digging further into the detail, you can see that 10% of the Tory GE2019 vote rate Johnson as corrupt, which compares to 4% of those currently intending to vote Tory - so that suggests this is something that could change people's voting intention (though it might be that people who have decided not to vote Tory will be looking for reasons to confirm that view).
Interestingly though, seats that the Tories gained in 2019 saw Johnson's best figures on this question of 35-26 in favour of honest, compared to 35-35 for Conservative holds in 2019. So perhaps the Tories are losing votes in the south?
There are some interesting oddities in Keir Starmer's numbers on this question. Tories give him 37-16 for honest, but SNP voters think he is corrupt by 24-32.
This is tonight's poll from Opinium on this subject
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1386034204446580738?s=19th
37% think he is not compared to 19% Starmer
He does have a wider issue in regards to honesty and integrity, but I don't think its news to anybody. I think a bigger drag is incompetence. Blair wasn't seen as a beacon of honesty or trustworthiness after a few years, but people voted for him because he was seen as competent.
When it comes to Boris, the phrase form is temporary, class is permanent, comes to mind. When we get back to day to day stuff, he will run into problems again.
Man Utd sighted government involvement and the papers across Europe named Boris as having defeated the proposals as well as EUFA officials
I’m down in Cornwall in warm breezy weather and the sense of hedonistic relief is palpable
My own extended family had a large and illegal gathering indoors last night. We all thought ‘fuck it’ and did it. This morning we worked out 10 people got thru 20 bottles of wine. And it really wasn’t just me
We could be looking at a genuinely roaring 20s. At least for a while....
If it had gone ahead and it had come down to brass tax, well I think you need to listen to Boris actual words which said something along the lines of against going head IN THE CURRENT FORMAT.
The Tory performance is curious, isn’t it?
A couple of factors I can think of;
1. The greens started out a decade ago converting dont vote-green, red-green and even UKIP/BNP-green votes in the rather unloved (and unlovely) Chelmsley Wood. The greens also have absorbed some of the former Lib Dem vote in the wealthier parts of east bham. I suspect many of these local green votes went/go blue in the national elections.
2. Andy street is, IMO a bit of a twit, but generally regarded as a good candidate, and perhaps has acted as a gateway drug for the tories.
I think it’s the general shitness of labour, though, locally, which explains the rise in the Tory vote best.
Perhaps there is just less of a tribal anti-Tory vote in the WM.
Can anyone else explain the tories relative outperformance?
Eight officers injured as protesters bombard police with missiles and bottles after thousands of anti-vaccine passport activists march through London in 'Unite for Freedom' protest attended by TV presenter Beverly Turner and Laurence Fox
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9507223/Thousands-anti-lockdown-activists-march-central-London.html
Separately why are we so cheap with government property? Spending £250k on doing up a flat is not that much for a PM.