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The Prince of Wales of people’s hearts, in people’s hearts, and votes? – politicalbetting.com
The Prince of Wales of people’s hearts, in people’s hearts, and votes? – politicalbetting.com
How well or badly do you think the following are doing at their jobs? (% of adults in Wales) MARK DRAKEFORD57% well / 34% badly BORIS JOHNSON39% well / 54% badlyhttps://t.co/QkWuB7oO4D pic.twitter.com/b8GkaRDTGH
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Re. last night's Opinium poll I think we need to be careful that it isn't an outlier as much as the 13% YouGov might have been the other way. It's always tempting to view polls through the prism of one's own desires.
However, I did suggest we might have hit peak Boris a couple of weeks ago. The vaccine rollout is utterly pointless if civil liberties, including freedom to travel abroad, are not restored. The Government, influenced by a small coterie of scaredy-cat scientists, are forever moving the lockdown goalposts.
People are tired of it.
We get jabbed, we get back to life. End of.
Haven't had my second yet; apparently there's a shortage of Pfizer. Which as I had my first back in January is a bit concerning.
First time for ages I've set an alarm to wake up in the morning!
That makes it much more difficult for Labour to get close to a majority as the vote is no longer split three ways.
I anticipate they will be down to 23/24 seats.
The Tories could run them very close. 6-1 for them to have most seats looks much too long.
It will make no difference to who is in government of course but to fail to lead a nationwide election in Wales for the first time since 1918 would definitely be a profound shock to Labour.
Rhodri Morgan was always personally popular but that didn’t save Labour from embarrassment in 2007. Similarly Carwyn Jones’ personal prestige couldn’t help them hang on to their vote in 2016 although the net loss was only one seat.
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1376050471090188290?s=20
Where did you hear that 'apparently' from? All the reports today are stating that there will be no shortages of the vaccines for 2nd doses, whether AZN or Pfizer.
F1: I'll peruse the markets shortly, after checking the grid to see if Mazepin's yello flags cause a reshuffling.
Time standing still for MV Ever Given, despite moving a little last night, she’s still stuck blocking the Suez this morning.
Lloyds List estimates the trade value of the canal at $9.6bn per day, and it’s been blocked for five days now.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/suez-canal-blockage-is-delaying-an-estimated-400-million-an-hour-in-goods.html
Bigger tugs are apparently on the way, after the 14 tugs they could muster yesterday didn’t do the job.
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1376050471090188290?s=20
Recovery is one of the UK’s greatest contributions to world health, all based on the deceptively simple principle of deciding treatment by the flip of a (digital) coin. It has demonstrated what can be achieved through efficient organisation, a national health service, dedicated medical teams and vast numbers of volunteers.
Just as you said it would be...
Four drivers, including Vettel, got a No Further Action for yellows at turn 8.
I still can’t decide if Max is going to drive off into the distance, of if Mercedes are going to double-team him with pit strategy. The latter is less likely if there’s a safety car and they all box together.
'Shortage of Pfizer' is as advised by GP; they rang my wife the other day for her second. I asked where mine was, as IMHO I'm overdue and was told they hadn't any Pfizer, at least at the moment, didn't know when they were getting out 'but would tell me as soon as'.
A neighbour is getting worried about her 91 year father and I get the impression is starting to camp on the surgery's phone!
Nothing leaping out at me right now.
On the plus side, my unusual 1.08 on Tsunoda to be the highest scoring rookie this year is looking like a smart tip.
Just got the other 50 I'll offer this season to worry about
Last night’s efforts confirmed what we suspected, that the bow end is totally embedded in the sloping canal bank.
They’ve got another couple of days of pushing and pulling, before they will have to start unloading containers - there’s a big crane on the way (she’s about 50m above the water at the top of the stack!) as well as a specialist dredger that works like a massive vacuum cleaner, which will carefully try and remove enough of the bank that they can drag her free.
Wouldn’t want to be working in marine insurance today!
https://twitter.com/BBCPhilipSim/status/1376058835669037060?s=20
When the SPD switched to Schulz last time they got an immediate 10% boost in the opinion polls, but ended up getting exactly the vote share they had been polling before switching chancellor candidate.
The CDU are being judged for being in government. Switching chancellor candidate might not help much.
Have we seen many existing MSPs on the defection list yet, they’re the ones that will shortly have to submit themselves to the people?
“In my opinion I’m overdue” doesn’t cut it for a statement “there are a shortage of vaccines”
betting PostF1: heroically, I've decided to back the man in the fastest car who also starts first for the win. Verstappen, 1.74 on Betfair Exchange.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2021/03/bahrain-pre-race-2021.html
This detail of the first date in the Sunday Mirror is very telling. Johnson always expects someone else to pay:
"Jennifer says Boris finally pinned her down for their first “private drink” – at the swish Tavistock Hotel in London’s Bloomsbury.
Jennifer says: “He showed up late, dishevelled and chaotic. He was biking – he came in with his helmet. I thought, ‘That’s a great look for the start of this’. He went to the bar and came back within a minute and said, ‘Jennifer can I borrow £3.10?’ I thought, ‘I’m a student buying you a beer, you should be ashamed of yourself’."
Will look at some other markets later, the race isn’t until 4pm UK time so they might take time to get going.
Edit: quite like the look of Lewis to lead the first lap at 4 too.
Shouldn't be long though, she was just put back a week.
I think the leading two will leave Bottas behind. You're right about Verstappen's starts, mind.
Yes it was getting close.. but I think @OldKingCole was later in January not the 1st?
https://twitter.com/thhamilton/status/1375952561572831236?s=19
twitter.com/marcelvandenber/status/1374821546225762308
If this replay of the ship's path is close to correct, she was all over the place for several miles before she ran aground, but still went into the bank with a speed of 12 knots. It's too early in the morning to do complicated maths and fluid dynamics calculations, but that's an awful lot of momentum she had, there's probably a good chance of the bow section having sustained damage through the impact sequence.
https://twitter.com/fabioac/status/1375975000507813888
Still lots of unknowns, including as you suggest damage to the canal structure, which will need an extensive survey before anything else that big goes through.
I don’t like Ian Blackford, or Nicola Sturgeon, but will he/they really be sorry to lose Neale Hanvey? In fact, they’re probably quite relieved. He shouldn’t even be an MP, ffs, he was elected while suspended.
And I just don’t see any other member of the SNP, certainly not a high profile one, jumping ship. Joanna Cherry perhaps, but I gather she’s already ruled it out. Sturgeon is still far too popular elsewhere and she has the party sewn up.
So far, a nuisance rather than a disaster for the Nats. It could change, but there isn’t much evidence it will.
(Although it’s not trivia for him, obviously 🙄)
Air flowing up from the continent will bring conditions similar to those in southwest France and southern Spain on Monday and Tuesday.
Temperatures are forecast to get very close to the record figure, set in Mepal, Cambridgeshire, in 1968.
London is most likely to see such unseasonal March conditions, along with areas just north of the capital.
The warmth will be relatively widespread, however, with temperatures reaching the early 20s Celsius for many parts of England and Wales.
And although parts of the North will be wet, temperatures will be higher than average there too. That will especially be the case on Monday for eastern parts of Scotland, where temperatures could locally be up into the upper teens.
Met Office forecaster, Greg Dewhurst, said: "Into next week, large swathes of southern England and Wales will be dry with warmer temperatures than expected for this time of year, the average for March being 11C (51.8F) to 12C (53F). "The mercury could reach a high of around 18C (64.4F) on Monday, with Tuesday seeing highs of 24C (75.2F).
Not politically impossible if packaged as poke in the eye for EU though 🙂.
(Oblique reference to last night’s thread)
Selected trivia for me.
Not sure that Reeves nor Nandy fall into that category, but Dodds has been totally invisible in the role for almost a year now.
Leader ratings can be useful in the devolved assemblies.
Expect a three point Tory bounce as the feelgood factor kicks in.....
However, she is a shite communicator - at least, I presume she is, although I’ve heard so little from her it’s hard to judge - and that is something of a drawback in a politician, particularly in Opposition.
There is a reason why Butler was preferred to Lyttelton as Chancellor in 1951. Just as there is a reason why the one real intellectual to lead a British political party suffered what remains the greatest ever net loss of seats at a single election (246). Communication skills matter more than intelligence quotient.
Right now Labour don’t need somebody who understands post neo classical endogenous growth theory, they need somebody who understands how to get voters to listen to them.
And whatever her other qualities, that wasn’t Dodds.
😆
Lawrence Dallaglio, the former England rugby captain, raised the alarm last night after holding talks with Whitehall officials over plans to allow fans into Wembley and the World Snooker Championship.
He said the government was “in a mess of its own making” for putting in place a “crazy” system of testing that would “put off” fans and overload the NHS. Dallaglio has offered to help ministers set up a system in which fans can get a test at home, validated by a credited laboratory, with the results recorded on a phone app that would be used to access the event.
He said: “I want to get fans and supporters safely back into events by the summer, but I fail to see what’s being proposed can achieve that. A system that involves using already overstretched NHS resources to test a few hundred fans here and there just won’t do. It has got failure written all over it.
“The government won’t allow fans to rapid flow test themselves at home on game day and digitally verify their negative test before going to the event in safety.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/plan-to-get-fans-in-stadiums-has-failure-written-all-over-it-gntqb0vrl
If reckless Boris has gambled and lost, the UK will be in a very dark place indeed. He may get away with it, if the outbreak over all can be controlled, but if it can´t then it will not just be the UK, but the whole planet that will be at risk. So it will be in the interests of all humanity that the UK second doses are delivered, but the anger at the UK on this side of the Channel is genuine and deep felt.
Temperatures will be back to normal by the end of the week.
After a lovely midweek, the weather over next weekend looks to be sunny intervals but a cool northerly breeze that should keep all but the hardiest hiding behind their wind breaks.
How does any system deal with, for example, me, who got vaccinated elsewhere; and my wife, who isn’t known to the NHS at all?
Millions of people who don’t fall into neatly defined boxes don’t want to be banned from having a life, nor beholden to a battery-powered device spying on them.
Seriously.
More working on scenery and costumes
Shame it was for the Tories.
Now deleted fortunately. If it was still there the Politico editor would have an email suggesting a move to a beat where he is not so personally committed. This reporting is something that will need a gentle eye kept on it if UK/EU relations are to improve eventually.
If you thought this had no momentum, other than a few people you'd want to get rid of anyway defecting, you'd be far less bothered.
There's a post election scenario where she wins a small majority, or is the largest party by some distance, then 10+ MSPs immediately defect to Alba.
The thought of it would put the fear of God into the SNP though, which is probably Salmond’s intention. They’re all going to be looking at each other with extreme suspicion for the next six weeks...
Is that all SKS fans have.