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Tonight’s Opinium poll sees CON lead down 4% and Johnson’s approval down 6% – politicalbetting.com
Tonight’s Opinium poll sees CON lead down 4% and Johnson’s approval down 6% – politicalbetting.com
Tonight's Opninium sees CON lead down to 4%CON 41% -2LAB 37% =LD 6% =GRN 5% +1
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The pb golden rule used to be take the lowest Labour score, but not sure that holds since Corbyn got elected.
Or
Cf Churchill 1945. Base ingratitude.
https://twitter.com/ClaudiaWebbe/status/1375823373289279492
I suspect each of the stages of "freedom" as the Daily Mail put it in its usual hyperbolic style will see a boost for the Conservatives and the Government.
The Mail this morning told me it was "Freedom Monday" - to be honest, I can't see how anything will change very much for most people. The easing of restrictions on April 12th and May 17th will be of much greater significance.
FPT, Bristol West is a great example of the shifts that have taken place among urban upper middle class voters. Other seats like Hornsey & Wood Green, Leeds NE and NW, Manchester Withington, Exeter show the same shift. I'd be interested for views as to why upper middle class voters in big cities have become very left wing (even as voters elsewhere have shifted right).
https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2021-03-25/division/7599821D-1E4C-47CD-A9CC-CB7D40185AFA/Coronavirus?outputType=Names
OMFG
They are going to destroy us. Their food is better, their toilets are better, they aren't obese, they don't die of Covid
We are doomed
Labour will lead polls again soon IMHO
Trump of course famously tweeted he had met the Prince of Whales.
I think the title 'Prince of Whales' should certainly replace 'Prince of Wales'.
https://twitter.com/Charles_HRH/status/1139164300378091520
Or maybe Johnson and Patel are crap and after the recent excitement people are noticing?
Long wait to No 10 Keir!
If you own a nice house in a nice part of a big UK city, you have enjoyed a huge capital boost from rising house prices over the last decades (and you may have benefited from your parents' houses doing the same, which you have inherited)
This is unearned wealth. You did nothing to deserve this lottery win. You were just lucky. Unearned luck creates guilt, especially when you see the younger generation struggling to buy, with worse jobs and prospects
This is why self-made people are often happily and openly right wing, they didn't luck out (in their eyes) they EARNED the fortune, so Labour and the taxman can take a hike
Also, we have not had a majorly confiscatory leftwing UK government for a long while. One that might lift top tax rates to 60-70%, impose a wealth tax, and so on. So the upper middle feels invulnerable and able to virtuously vote left. The Commies will never arrive
Views would rapidly change in the urbanite metropolitans if a Corbynite party ever came to power
Are poll aggregators a good or bad thing in general?
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/
For example.
Or see the response of people on over £50K at the loss of child benefit a few years earlier.
Or before that very wealthy people horrified at the very idea that they might not get an unlimited tax break when they gave money to charity.
Guilt is not the feeling they suffer from. But selfishness.
Are cross tabs reliable?
Cons +40
Labour +35
A Government "of all the talents" in waiting if there ever was one.
I won't say this often but kudos to the Conservative and Labour "rebels" on this one - I don't normally agree with them but on this issue I applaud them all.
exciting LE night could yet be on the cards for Lab.
Britain Elects
@BritainElects
·
22s
Westminster voting intention:
CON: 41% (-2)
LAB: 37% (-)
GRN: 6% (+2)
LDEM: 6% (-)
via
@OpiniumResearch
, 25 - 26 Mar
Chgs. w/ 12 Mar
The selfish, hidden secret is that they are hoping that Grannies house will pay off *their* mortgage.
Voters in general won't be that interested. Con haven't won there since 1959. Enough residual Lab support to get them over the line.
Why we should be expecting them to be doing any better right now is beyond me. They have an anonymous leader who gets very little air time, in charge of a party with no more than a vaguely discernible philosophy, and no policy platform whatever known to anyone outside of their own ranks. Their main priority seems to be avoiding their own extinction.
This is unlikely to improve in the near future. There's only so much mileage to be had in being a continuity Europhile party for a handful of wealthy enclaves in SE England, allied to a niche Scottish unionist party for wet centrists.
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1375902519386341384?s=19
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/
(a) Richard Branson, Roman Abramovich, various oil sheikhs etc, all of whom should be made to give at least 95% of it to the NHS immediately
OR
(b) Anybody who earns at least £1 per year more than I do
It's someone who earns 3-4 times more than the person you ask.
So in the case you mention - they will be going on about the barstewards on £500K
I'm in a kind of friendship triangle (we used to go abroad together as a team) with him and another guy. 3rd guy. Let's call him Y
3rd guy is proper working class, very poor background, worked hard in the arts, now has a decent life, but he knows what it is like to be really poor. No central heating, worrying about the weekly shop, crap food all the time. He doesn't own, he rents, for his family, in his 40s
Friend X has a millionaire mother, is single, and has just sold his flat in Battersea for about half a million. Just sitting in the bank. Half a mill. Age 40
X genuinely seems to have no idea that, by most standards, he is obviously wealthy. Half a million in the bank and a job that still pays nicely (even if it has been threatened by Covid).
When we go out as a trio, and X rants about "rich evil Tories", I sometimes have to restrain friend Y from strangling friend X
Anyway, trends might possibly tell you something. Individual results in isolation aren't much good for anything.
With hard work and luck I may make it to afford hard-core Socialism.
I thank you.
His theory was that the future of progressives was in the oncoming AI revolution - that the real masses were those not working, and that they would expand massively.
While he didn't say it (or I think mean it), it did give me a vision of a combination of the masses from the estates plus the Its Grim Up North London In Our Inherited Town Houses brigade.
So they often encounter people who are much richer than them, so they feel kind of average, even tho they might have a net worth of £500k-£1m and be earning, as a couple, £100-150k a year
That puts them in the top 1-2% of the country but they will feel "quite ordinary middle class" because they see others with SO much more, very frequently
I am affluent. Decidedly so, by average British standards. But when my friend bought a private jet for $57m I thought "basically, I'm skint, I'm practically Oliver Twist"
Tis only natural
Or was it just someone who had read his rather silly book?
Yesterday in Parliament I voted against extending the Coronavirus Act for a further six months. Along with all of my Liberal Democrat colleagues I opposed this Act on the basis that the Government hasn't shown that they need the powers it contains anymore, and neither Parliamentary scrutiny nor civil liberties should be be relinquished lightly. We continue to support all necessary measures to contain the spread of the virus and assist individuals and businesses. However, none of these measures relies on the passage of this bill.
Disappointingly, the Bill was supported by Labour as well as the Conservatives and it passed despite our opposition.
Or did you inherit some money from, say, a past life? Ummm, I meant ancestor.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiplicity_(film)
Ultimately all order in society is by threat of violence, and the police are the sharp end of that.
It is why policing needs to be by consent, and in turn for the laws to have widespread support. When communities feel that the laws are unfair, the police are seen as an oppressive occupying force. There are plenty of examples in British history.
https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1375905606045999111/photo/1
"... Another returning at Malaga airport today was Shaun Cromber who despite voting for Britain to leave the EU, didn’t believe it would end his Spanish lifestyle, he said: ” Yes I voted out, but I didn’t realise it would come to this, my application has been rejected and we are on our way home – the wife is in tears, she’s distraught if I’m honest and I’m not too happy at the prospect of returning back to the UK. ..."
https://global247news.com/2021/03/26/tears-flow-for-brits-as-they-head-home-to-avoid-being-deported-as-illegals-in-spain/amp/
"it was so easy before, get your funds in from the UK, do a bit of cash in hand around the likes of Benidorm and bob was your uncle, but that’s all changed now – hey, don’t be fooled thousands of Brits in some guise or other have been doing the same thing, especially in the entertainment industry!"
I may have lost my nano-violin with which to lament their troubles
Which apparently puts me in the top 7% of earners in the country.
It’s probably actually higher than that in terms of disposable income, as I live alone and in a very cheap area.
I must admit a bit like Leon’s friend, I find it hard to get my head around that. I don’t feel like one of the wealthy elite - certainly I don’t think I live like them - but it does occur to me that I have more money than I need, a decent house and access to pretty much anything I want, and I seldom have to back off from a project on financial grounds. I think the only thing I’ve had to rethink is buying an electric car, and that wasn’t solely due to money.
And however you look at it, that makes me pretty fortunate.
However, @Leon had found that he had knapped so meticulously that his hands were thoroughly knackered and sore. He wondered about taking some time off in order to finish off his masterpiece at a later date. Boris's office phoned him back reasonably promptly, but to @Leon's horror, he was told in no uncertain terms that he would lose his fee if he stopped work!
"Why?" asked @Leon on the phone incredulously.
"Simple!" Boris's underling replied. "You're not entitled to any..." He paused for effect. "...Statue-Tory Sick Pay!"
I thank you!
Boris Johnson: 33% (-4)
Keir Starmer: 27% (+2)
Via
@OpiniumResearch
, 25-26 March (+/- since 11-12 March)
Would I really live any differently, earning double? I highly doubt it.
(read the whole, lengthy thread to get the full picture)
https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1375820410797887491
https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1375838791282405383
https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1375839330288209924
https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1375840242155065344
I recall sitting in a community workshop, having a beer after setting up a new lathe. About half of the people there were young city types, plus students and some older types...
A couple of the younger ones were going on about "The Man".
They were a bit shocked when a friend of mine pointed out - "You are The Man".
Working in IT/Finance, good money, in the top 10% of earners, On Their Way.
They had no idea......
Secondly, it's a lot easier to spot the wealth (possessions etc.) of others rather than the poverty of others.
Boris Johnson being a twat, yet again
It is rare to the point of non-existence to find someone who earns £100K and lives as if he/she was on 50k and puts the rest in the bank/gives it to charity.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/personalandhouseholdfinances/incomeandwealth/bulletins/householddisposableincomeandinequality/financialyear2020#:~:text=Median income between the financial,on average 0.8% per year.
That is enough for a decent life, of course, and we are a safe, wealthy country. But it means you don't have to go much higher than this to be obviously wealthy to MOST people, even if you don't feel it. Such as you
Someone with a personal net income of £50k a year is RICH. They will furiously deny it, they certainly won't believe it. But they are. To most of the country
Dr. Joachim Wunderlich, a cardiologist who has helped staff a local vaccination center in Berlin, told CBS News that the bureaucratic process for people to get vaccinated in Germany was "unbelievable," and the amount of paperwork involved, "insane."
"You can't expect an over-80-year-old to fill out 10 pages and numerous consent forms and ask them to call a hotline to make an appointment," he said. "And then they risk being turned away because they forgot some forms at home."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/germany-covid-vaccine-slow-rollout-shortages-bureaucracy-european-union/
I guess its even harder for Fritz the 3 year old who has been invited because he has an old dude name and he gets his crayon out....
I really don't think the government / NHS have been given enough credit for just how slick the operation is. Its not just the amount of supply, it is how straight forward they have made it. If only every interaction with the state, your ISP, your mobile provider, the electricity company was this straight forward.